在标准普尔全球评级公司(S & P Global Ratings)维持罗马尼亚主权国家的投资级信用评分后,罗马尼亚的债券和股票上涨,为这个正在努力克服政治危机的国家提供了安慰。
Romania’s bonds and stocks rallied after S&P Global Ratings maintained an investment-grade credit score for the sovereign, providing a relief to the country struggling to overcome a political crisis.
国内10年期国债收益率下跌12个基点至7.24%,较一周前下跌约40个基点,而美元计价债券周一是新兴市场表现最好的债券之一。布加勒斯特基准股票指数上涨2.7%,是彭博社追踪的全球交易所中涨幅最大的。
The yield on the domestic 10-year government notes fell 12 basis points to 7.24%, down about 40 basis points from a week ago, while the dollar-denominated bonds were among the best performers in emerging markets on Monday. The benchmark equity index in Bucharest jumped 2.7%, the biggest increase among global exchanges tracked by Bloomberg.
标准普尔周五确认罗马尼亚的主权评分为BBB-,这是最低的投资水平,这是今年三大信用评估机构中最新的一家避免将这个黑海国家的债券削减至垃圾级。标普维持负面展望,并警告称,如果政治动荡阻碍未来两年削减财政赤字,可能会下调评级。
S&P affirmed on Friday Romania’s sovereign score at BBB-, the lowest investment level, the latest of the three major credit assessors to have steered clear of cutting the Black Sea nation’s bonds to junk territory this year. The S&P kept a negative outlook and warned it could lower the rating if the political turmoil hinders fiscal deficit reduction in the next two years.
“主要机构对今年的定期评级审查已经完成,现在的重点是考虑到2027年预算,继续进行财政整顿,”Raiffeisen Bank International经济学家Stephan Imre表示。“因此,立即降级的风险已经避免,尽管由于第四季度可能的计划外评级行动,评级风险仍然存在。”自5月份联合政府因紧缩措施而垮台以来,罗马尼亚一直由看守政府管理。上周,组建一个全面运作的政府的第二次尝试失败,加剧了货币抛售,并将列伊兑欧元推至历史低点。
“The regular rating reviews by the leading agencies are completed for this year, with the focus now on the continuation of the fiscal consolidation in view of the 2027 budget,” said Stephan Imre, an economist at Raiffeisen Bank International. “Immediate downgrade risks have thus been averted, though rating risks remain due to potential unscheduled rating actions in the fourth quarter.”Romania has been run by a caretaker government since the collapse of a coalition administration over austerity measures in May. The second attempt to install a fully functioning government failed last week, exacerbating a currency selloff and pushing the leu to a record low against the euro.
周一,该货币上涨0.1%,至5.3295左右,周四在突破之前的区间后跌破5.34。
The currency gained 0.1% to around 5.3295 on Monday, having traded weaker than 5.34 on Thursday after a break from its previous ranges.
尼库索·丹总统将与主流政党举行更多会谈,并计划最早在周一提名新总理,以避免提前选举。
President Nicusor Dan is set to hold more talks with mainstream political parties and plans to nominate a new prime minister as early as on Monday in an effort to avoid early elections.
临时财政部长亚历山德鲁·纳扎尔(Alexandru Nazare)表示,标准普尔的决定证实,财政整顿进程和欧盟资金的吸收仍在正轨上,而公共投资继续支持经济活动。他敦促各政党承诺进一步削减预算赤字并稳定公共债务。
The S&P’s decision confirmed that the fiscal consolidation process and the absorption of European Union funds remained on track, while public investments continued to support economic activity, according to interim Finance Minister Alexandru Nazare. He urged political parties to commit to further reduction of the budget deficit and to stabilizing the public debt.
纳扎尔说:“为了避免失去我们所设法保护的东西,这项努力必须继续下去。”“我们还没有脱离困境,我们不应该在成功保持评级后自满。罗马尼亚在预算赤字方面的记录不佳。”
“To avoid losing what we have managed to safeguard, this effort must continue,” Nazare said. “We are not out of the woods yet and we shouldn’t become complacent after managing to keep the rating. Romania has a negative track record when it comes to the budget deficit.”