
河内,10月7日:越南银行计划出售近70亿美元的股票,以满足该国快速增长经济对资本的需求,为外国投资者在严格控制的银行业领域扩大业务提供了机会。
HANOI, Oct 7 : Vietnamese banks are planning nearly $7 billion in share sales as the country's fast-growing economy fuels demand for capital, opening a window for foreign investors to expand in the tightly controlled sector.
越南共产党领导的政府上一次报告称经济增长近10%,拥有亚洲增长最快的银行业之一,但进入门槛一直受到限制,外资累计持股上限为30%,个别股份持有上限为20%,海外借款也受到严格限制。
Communist-run Vietnam, which reported growth of nearly 10 per cent in the last quarter, has one of Asia's fastest-growing banking industries but access has been restricted, with cumulative foreign ownership capped at 30 per cent, individual stakes limited to 20 per cent and offshore borrowing subject to strict limits.
然而近几个月来,顶层领导人陶林推动通过大规模基础设施投资来加速经济增长的政策,带来了更加开放的态度。政策制定者认为,在国内资金紧张的情况下,更大程度的外资参与是满足日益增长的信贷需求所必需的。
But in recent months, top leader To Lam's drive to turbocharge economic growth with major infrastructure spending has ushered in a more open approach, as policymakers view larger foreign participation as necessary to meet growing credit demand amid a domestic funding squeeze.
因此,据路透社根据公开披露信息和菲特评级公司报告计算,到明年年底,银行股票销售可能筹集近70亿美元资金。这可能是越南银行业历史上最大规模的资本筹集活动。
As a result, bank share sales could raise nearly $7 billion by the end of next year, according to Reuters calculations based on public disclosures and a Fitch Ratings report, which noted that this was likely Vietnam's largest-ever wave of capital raisings by lenders.
今年海外借款上限也提高了11%至61亿美元,未来可能进一步上调。三家本地银行已被允许将外资持股上限提高至49%,而去年底证券市场改革使越南获得了FTSE罗素公司的新兴市场地位提升。此外,设立国际金融中心的计划也承诺将带来更多外资流入。
The ceiling on offshore borrowing was also raised this year by 11 per cent to $6.1 billion and it could rise further. Three local lenders have been allowed to increase their foreign ownership limits to 49 per cent, while stock-market reforms secured Vietnam's upgrade to emerging status by index provider FTSE Russell last month. Separate plans to set up international financial centres also promise more foreign capital inflows.
参与与越南伙伴进行股权谈判的几家外国银行表示,他们的财务投资收益以及更便捷地进入该国日益增长的消费者市场(如保险产品)是扩大在越南业务的原因。这些信息来源于熟悉相关谈判的两名人士,他们因涉及私密事宜要求匿名。
A couple of foreign lenders involved in equity talks with Vietnamese partners cited gains on their financial investments and greater access to the country's growing consumer market for products like insurance as reasons to expand there, according to two people familiar with the discussions who requested anonymity because the matter was private.
越南正允许更多外资进入其银行体系,因为“它开始重新思考下一阶段增长如何融资”,胡志明市华盛大学金融讲师阮清表示。然而,她同时提醒称,该举措具有选择性,并不等于全面放松管制。股份出售、离岸融资这些股份发售引发了外国投资者的济慈兴趣,“尤其是那些已经熟悉越南并正在考虑更深入投资的战略投资者”,阮清表示。
Vietnam is allowing more foreign capital into its banks as "it is beginning to rethink how its next phase of growth will be financed," said Quynh Nguyen, a finance lecturer at Hoa Sen University in Ho Chi Minh City. She cautioned, however, that the move was selective and did not amount to a wholesale liberalisation. SHARE SALES, OFFSHORE FUNDING The share offers have increased foreign interest, "particularly from strategic investors who are already familiar with Vietnam and are now considering deeper exposure," Quynh said.
日本三井住友银行(SMBC)正在与越南合作伙伴VP银行洽谈,将其持股从15%增至20%,据路透社9月报道,VP银行正寻求以当前市价进行价值5.6亿美元的私人配股。VP银行被允许将外国所有权上限提高至49%。
Japan's Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp (SMBC) is in talks with Vietnamese partner VPBank to raise its stake to 20 per cent from 15 per cent as VPBank seeks a private placement worth $560 million at current market prices, Reuters reported in September. VPBank is allowed to raise its foreign ownership cap to 49 per cent.
越南最大的贷款机构越商银行也公布了计划,计划在今年年底出售6.5%的股票,按当前价格计算,交易价值约12亿美元。日本的瑞穗银行是目前持股15%的最大外国投资者,据越商银行4月份的股东大会纪要称,“可能会增加其持股”,但瑞穗银行拒绝置评。
Vietcombank, the country's largest lender, has also unveiled plans to sell 6.5 per cent of its shares by the end of this year in a transaction worth around $1.2 billion at current prices. Japan's Mizuho Bank, its current largest foreign investor with a 15 per cent stake, "may potentially increase its holding," according to minutes from a Vietcombank shareholder meeting in April. Mizuho declined to comment.
越南第二大贷款机构BIDW银行于3月份向数十名投资者出售了约3%的股票,并计划在明年年底前再出售近11%的股票,总价值约14亿美元,据公开披露。
BIDV, Vietnam's second-largest lender, sold roughly 3 per cent of its shares to dozens of investors in March and intends to sell almost another 11 per cent by the end of next year for a total value of approximately $1.4 billion, according to public disclosures.
其最大的外国股东、韩国的KEB Hana银行没有参与首次配股,但 spokesperson 表示正在考虑是否参与新的计划。
Its top foreign shareholder, South Korea's KEB Hana, did not participate in the first placement but is considering whether to participate in the new plan, a spokesperson said.
“我们看到一些机会在较小的银行中建立一些合作关系,前提是越南能够维持其增长势头,”斐士比基金的Willie Tanoto表示。
"We see some opportunities among the smaller banks to score some tie-ups down the line, provided Vietnam can maintain its growth story," Fitch's Willie Tanoto said.
西贡商业银行表示,计划在明年年底前出售10.7%的股份。这家与越南最大的民营航空公司越捷航空有关联的私人银行目前并无大型外国投资者,且按规定其外资持股比例上限可提升至49%。
HDBank has said it plans to sell a 10.7 per cent stake by the end of next year. The private bank - linked to Vietnam's largest private airline Vietjet - does not have a large foreign investor and is allowed to raise its foreign ownership to 49 per cent.
另据路透社8月份报道,越南规模最大的私营银行之一——科技商业银行也曾与多家外资银行就股份出售事宜进行过洽谈。
Separately, Techcombank, one of the country's largest private lenders, has discussed a stake sale with foreign lenders, Reuters reported in August.
据标普全球旗下机构FiinRatings统计,今年越南各银行及企业已公布的境外借款计划总额达53亿美元。
Meanwhile, Vietnamese banks and corporations disclosed offshore borrowing plans for an aggregate value of $5.3 billion this year, according to FiinRatings, an S&P Global partner.
越南财政部也在考虑发行境外主权债券,这将是该国自2014年以来的首次此类发行。各银行也在权衡发行境外债券的可行性;根据新规定,大型地方政府或也能通过发行债券进入国际资本市场融资。更多股权出售计划?
The finance ministry is also considering an offshore sovereign bond sale that would be the country's first since 2014. Banks are also weighing offshore bonds while large municipalities may be able to tap international capital markets with debt offerings under new rules. MORE EQUITY SALES?
越南各银行纷纷计划出售股权,主要目的是充实资本储备,以应对到2030年即将实施的更为严格的巴塞尔III国际监管标准。由于信贷规模增长迅猛,这一需求愈发迫切——据穆迪旗下VIS评级机构指出,信贷扩张可能进一步削弱银行的损失吸收能力。
The equity sales have been driven by the need to bolster capital as Vietnam transitions to stricter global Basel III requirements by 2030. The need has become pressing because of rapid loan growth, which Moody's-backed VIS Rating said could further deteriorate loss-absorption buffers.
根据越南央行8月份发布的内部报告,为实现2030年前年均经济增长率不低于10%的目标,越南资产价格持续上涨,尤其是房地产行业。该行业约占全国贷款总额的四分之一,且不良债务率正快速攀升。
The government's push for annual economic growth of at least 10 per cent through 2030 is also fuelling the inflation of asset prices, particularly in the real estate sector, which accounts for roughly a quarter of all loans and where bad debts are rising quickly, according to an August internal report from the central bank.
惠誉指出,由于新筹集的资金将迅速被用于发放新贷款,此次资本筹集行动“不太可能显著改善多数银行的资本充足率”。不过惠誉也指出,这些风险也可能催生新的机遇:“未来几年,越南银行业很可能还需要大量资本注入。”
Fitch said the capital-raising drive "is unlikely to materially improve most banks' capitalisation" because the fresh funds will be rapidly deployed into new lending. Yet those risks may also create new opportunities as "further large capital injections are likely to be needed in the coming years," Fitch said.