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彭博社

瑞典稳定的通胀率使瑞克斯银行加息仍在考虑之中Sweden’s Steady Inflation Rate Keeps Riksbank Rate Hike in Play

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瑞典9月份的核心通胀率保持稳定,largely符合预期,可能使政策制定者对未来数月加息25个基点的预期保持不变。

Sweden’s core inflation held steady last month largely matching expectations and likely keeping intact policymakers’ projection of a quarter-point interest-rate hike over the months ahead.

根据统计瑞典周三发布的初步数据,撇除能源因素的CPIF通胶率年率仍然维持在0.5%,低于彭博分析师调查的0.7%中位数预期,也低于瑞克斯银行的估计。总体CPIF通胶率从去年同期翻倍至1.5%,符合预期。

The CPIF inflation rate excluding energy stayed at an annual 0.5% in September, according to a preliminary release from Statistics Sweden on Wednesday. The outcome was just below the 0.7% median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of analysts which was also the Riksbank’s estimate. Headline CPIF inflation more than doubled to 1.5% from a year earlier in line with expectations.

自1月以来,CPIF一直低于瑞克斯银行2%的目标,导致该北欧国家过去一年将政策利率维持在1.75%不变,这也是欧盟最低的政策利率。

CPIF has remained below the Riksbank’s target of 2% since January, leading the Nordic nation’s rate-setters to stay on hold for the past year at 1.75%, the lowest policy rate in the European Union.

在上月的会议上,央行理事会表示,他们现在认为今年加息25个基点的可能性更大,原因是经济反弹,而来自伊伦战争引发的通胀脉动风险仍存。

At its meeting last month, the central bank board said it now sees a greater chance of a 25 basis-point rate hike this year as the economy rebounds while the risk of an inflationary pulse from the Iran war remains.

塞普托·埃里克·塞登(Erik Thedéen)当时表示,尽管目前“保持全速前进”仍然适当,但“我们可能需要在11月的下一次政策会议上减小帆面”。

Governor Erik Thedéen said then that while it remains appropriate to “sail in full sail” for now, “we probably need to reduce the sail area” at the next policy gathering in November.