
非洲计划已久的信用评级机构周三在毛里求斯成立,这是非洲大陆迄今为止对多年来人们对世界上最大的评级机构夸大非洲风险并推高借贷成本的抱怨的最具体答案。
The News Africa’s long-planned credit rating agency launches in Mauritius on Wednesday, the continent’s most concrete answer yet to years of complaints that the world’s biggest agencies overstate African risk and drive up borrowing costs.
非洲信用评级机构(AfTRA)的成立之际,全球机构因依赖离岸模式而面临越来越多的批评,一些非洲领导人和政策制定者称离岸模式误读了当地现实--今年非洲银行与惠誉的公开决裂加剧了这一争论。
The creation of the Africa Credit Rating Agency (AfCRA) comes as global agencies face growing criticism for relying on offshore models that some African leaders and policymakers say misread local realities — a debate sharpened this year by Afreximbank’s public break with Fitch.
AfCRA将对政府、城市和公司进行评级,旨在对控制全球评级市场95%的三家美国公司进行补充。
AfCRA will rate governments, cities and companies, and it is meant to complement the three US firms, which control 95% of global ratings markets.
孵化该评级机构的非盟机构负责人玛丽-安托瓦内特·罗斯-奎登(Marie-Antoinette Rose-Quaden)表示,这家新评级机构“将在市场意见中添加另一种意见”。她称这是“我们建立自己金融机构的愿望的一个非常明显的结果”。
The new ratings agency “will add another opinion in the market place of opinions,” said Marie-Antoinette Rose-Quatre, head of the AU body that incubated it. She called it “a very tangible outcome of our aspiration to build our own financial institutions”.
根据非盟非洲同行审议机制(ARPM)的背景说明,只有三个非洲主权国家拥有投资级评级。其中13家被评为极高风险或违约,23家没有大型机构的评级,这将它们与国际债券市场隔绝。非盟还表示,非洲大陆的外债偿还成本从2010年的约600亿美元攀升至2024年的超过1600亿美元。
Only three African sovereigns hold investment grade ratings, according to a background note from the AU’s African Peer Review Mechanism (ARPM). Thirteen are rated at very high risk or in default, and 23 have no rating from the big agencies, which cuts them from international bond markets. The AU has also said the continent’s external debt service costs climbed from roughly $60 billion in 2010 to more than $160 billion in 2024.
了解更多此次发布是发展中国家在二十国集团和联合国中更广泛推动的一部分,旨在改变全球金融对其风险定价的方式。南非利用担任2025年G20轮值主席国的机会将借贷成本提上议程。
Know More The launch is part of a wider push by developing countries, at the G20 and the UN, to change how global finance prices their risk. South Africa used its 2025 G20 presidency to put borrowing costs on the agenda.
联合国杂志《非洲复兴》发表的一篇专栏文章中,Rose-Question和联合国秘书长非洲问题特别顾问Ahunna Eziakonwa表示,不公平的评级使非洲每年损失745亿美元--这一估计是联合国开发计划署于2023年首次发布的。
In an op-ed published in Africa Renewal, the UN magazine, Rose-Quatre and Ahunna Eziakonwa, the UN secretary-general’s special adviser on Africa, said unfair ratings cost Africa $74.5 billion a year — an estimate which was first published by the UN Development Programme in 2023.
这家新机构的关键细节仍不明确。APRM将其描述为私营且自筹资金,但尚未公布其股东、首席执行官或董事会成员。毛里求斯商业银行和泛非贷款机构非洲进出口银行(Afreximbank)曾参加2025年的一次会议,为该项目争取支持。根据APRM的说明,AfCRA“将需要获得”毛里求斯金融监管机构的许可。
Key details of the new agency remain unclear. The APRM describes it as privately owned and self-funded but has not named its shareholders, chief executive, or board. Mauritius Commercial Bank and the pan-African lender Afreximbank took part in a 2025 meeting to raise support for the project. According to the APRM note, AfCRA “will require a licence” from Mauritius’ financial regulator.
接近该项目的人士表示,建立信任需要时间。“信用评级方面的可信度是靠积累而非自诩而来的,”英国法律教授丹尼尔·卡什(Daniel Cash)说道,他曾就信用评级问题为APRM提供建议。他告诉Semafor,真正的考验将出现在AfCRA发布一个成员国——“尤其是某个有影响力的国家”——强烈反对的评级之时。“独立性正是在分歧中得以体现。”
People close to the project say trust will take time. “Credibility in credit rating is accumulated rather than declared,” said Daniel Cash, a UK-based law professor who has advised the APRM on credit ratings. The real test, he told Semafor, will come when AfCRA issues a rating that a member state, “particularly an influential one” strongly dislikes. “Independence is demonstrated at the point of disagreement.”
与此同时,全球评级机构也在非洲大陆不断扩张。穆迪拥有非洲最大的评级发行机构GCR,而标普则于7月同意收购尼日利亚Agusto & Co.公司的多数股权。标普全球拒绝置评,而穆迪和惠誉则未回应置评请求。
The launch also comes as global agencies expand on the continent. Moody’s owns GCR, the largest issuer of ratings in Africa, and in July S&P agreed to buy a majority stake in Nigeria’s Agusto & Co. S&P Global declined to comment, while Moody’s and Fitch did not respond to requests for comment.
蒂塞索的观点:半个世纪以来,非洲国家的借贷成本主要由纽约的三家评级公司远程为55个非洲国家设定。AfCRA的出现意味着非洲大陆终于能够坐到决定其风险定价的谈判桌上。
Tiisetso’s view For half a century, the cost of African borrowing has been set largely in New York by three firms that rate the 55 countries from a distance. AfCRA is the continent finally taking a seat at the table where its risk is priced.
每降低10个基点,一个10亿美元规模的欧元债券发行体每年就能节省100万美元。有23个国家尚未获得任何大型评级机构的评级,这使他们无法参与需要评级证明的融资项目。而这正是AfCRA带来的机遇。
Every 10 basis points shaved off a $1 billion Eurobond saves an issuer $1 million a year. Twenty-three states have no rating from the big agencies at all, which locks them out of mandates that require one. That’s the prize.
诚然,AfCRA尚无实际业绩记录,也尚未公布股东名单,但建立可信度的最快途径是经历一次挫折:尽早对某个曾支持其成立的国家政府进行有理有据的评级下调。
True, AfCRA has no track record and no named shareholders, but the quickest route to credibility runs through pain: an early, well-argued downgrade of one of the governments that cheered the launch.
存在分歧空间 批评人士质疑,投资者是否会信任任何由其所评级国家政府设立的机构。英国查塔姆研究所的戴维·卢宾提问,AfCRA是否意味着非洲在“自己批改自己的作业”?他还指出,基金管理者会将非洲借款人与其他地区进行比较,而一家非洲评级机构对此“毫无助益”。
Room for Disagreement Critics question whether investors will trust any agency created by the governments it rates. David Lubin of UK think tank Chatham House asked whether AfCRA amounts to Africa “marking its own homework,” adding that fund managers compare African borrowers with the rest of the world and an African agency “does nothing” for them.
AfCRA的主要设计者米谢克·穆蒂泽承认,该机构的主要作用是将非洲4万亿美元的储蓄引导至非洲资产,而非改变外国投资者对该大陆的看法。
Misheck Mutize, AfCRA’s chief architect, acknowledged that the agency’s main role would be to steer Africa’s $4 trillion savings into African assets rather than changing how foreign investors see the continent.
“问题在于,这仅仅是国际投资者开始认真对待AfCRA之前所要求的最低披露标准,”位于阿克拉的智库IMANI研究主管布莱特·西蒙斯在公共政策平台Katanomics Society上写道。
“The challenge here is that this is the bare minimum disclosure required before international investors can even begin to take AfCRA seriously,” said Bright Simons, head of research at IMANI, a think tank based in Accra, writing on public policy platform Katanomics Society.
尼日利亚总统博拉·蒂努布则明确支持建立非洲本土评级机构。他认为,“三大评级机构”对非洲风险的判断存在偏差,而本土机构能够更早发现发展进展,全球评级公司随后也会对此予以确认。
Notable Nigerian President Bola Tinubu made the case for an African rating agency, arguing that the Big Three misjudge African risk and that a homegrown agency could spot progress early, which the global firms would later confirm.