底特律消息——由于高油价及整体通胀压力增加了美国消费者的生活成本，预计今年二手车价格将出现比预期更大幅度的下跌。
DETROIT — Used vehicle prices are forecast to fall more than previously expected this year, as high gas prices and broader inflationary costs hit Americans' pocketbooks.
周二，考克斯汽车公司下调了其对Manheim二手车价值指数的预测值，从原先预计的上涨2%调整为仅增长0.2%。
Cox Automotive on Tuesday lowered its forecast for the company's Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index from an increase of 2% to an uptick of 0.2%.
这一下调与9月份该指数0.6%的降幅密切相关。这是自去年初以来，该月度指数首次出现同比下跌的情况。
The lower forecast follows a 0.6% decline for the index in September, which marked the first time since early last year when the monthly index hasn't been higher than a year earlier. The historical average for the Manheim index is about a 2.3% year-over-year gain, but last year it was only up 0.4% after a historical run-up in prices during the coronavirus pandemic earlier in the decade.
从历史数据来看，Manheim指数年均涨幅约为2.3%，但在经历了新冠疫情初期的价格暴涨后，去年该指数同比涨幅仅为0.4%。
Non-adjusted wholesale used-vehicle prices fell 1.2% year over year in September and 1.3% from August as depreciation accelerated in the third quarter.
数据显示，9月份未经调整的二手车批发价格同比下跌了1.2%，较8月份也下降了1.3%，反映出第三季度车辆折旧速度明显加快。
"The first half of the year actually showed more appreciation than usual, even in the face of higher fuel prices.
考克斯汽车公司的首席经济学家杰里米·罗布在声明中指出：“今年上半年，即便面临高油价压力，二手车价格仍出现了超常增长。然而，随着中东局势持续紧张、柴油价格屡创历史新高以及利率快速攀升，企业和消费者的经济压力日益增大，批发价格也随之受到明显冲击。”
But with the conflict in the Middle East ongoing, diesel prices at record highs, and interest rates climbing rapidly, increasingly worrying both businesses and consumers, wholesale prices have felt the sting," Cox Automotive's chief economist, Jeremy Robb, said in a release.
该指数是衡量美国二手车价格走势的重要指标，反映了在Manheim批发拍卖会上成交的二手车价格变动情况。通常而言，零售市场的价格也会随之产生相应变化。
The index is a closely monitored gauge for used vehicle prices that tracks the pricing of used vehicles sold at Manheim U.S. wholesale auctions. Retail prices for consumers traditionally follow changes in wholesale prices.
此外，考克斯汽车公司还指出，本季度电动汽车销量及租赁到期车辆数量均持续增长，促使市场格局发生转变。受此影响，电动汽车及小型节能车型的价格表现强劲，而大型卡车和SUV的价格则表现疲软。本文为即时新闻。
Cox noted electric vehicle sales and off-lease volume continued to grow, reshaping used-vehicle market dynamics as EVs and smaller, fuel-efficient vehicle values increased during the quarter. That compares with poor performances of large trucks and SUVs, the company said. This is breaking news.