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北极地区罕见的油轮航行暗示俄罗斯炼油厂困境加剧Rare Arctic Tanker Trip Hints at Russia’s Growing Refinery Woes

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2024年的达喀尔号油轮。The Dakar tanker in 2024.

一艘被制裁的油轮正载着从中国运来的汽油添加剂,似乎正沿着北方海路驶向俄罗斯。这一罕见的航程表明,由于俄罗斯境内的炼油厂屡遭袭击,这个全球主要燃料出口国不得不转向亚洲寻求供应。

A sanctioned tanker carrying a gasoline additive from China appears to be heading to Russia along the Northern Sea Route, a rare journey that suggests attacks on its refineries continue to force one of the world’s top fuel exporters to turn to Asia for supplies.

据Kpler数据显示,今年早些时候被欧盟列入黑名单的小型油轮“达喀尔号”正沿俄罗斯北极海岸向西航行,船上装载的是甲基叔丁基醚(MTBE)。这种用于提升汽油品质的化学物质于8月初在中国被装载到另一艘船“约里克号”上,随后于9月初在韩国丽水港被转装至“达喀尔号”。

By Weilun Soon The Dakar, a small carrier blacklisted by the European Union earlier this year, is heading west along Russia’s Arctic coast carrying methyl tert-butyl ether, or MTBE, according to Kpler. The chemical, used to improve gasoline quality, was loaded onto another ship — the Yorik — in China in early August before being transferred to the Dakar off Yeosu, South Korea, in early September, Kpler data show.

“达喀尔号”并未标明目的地,不过鉴于其受制裁身份导致难以进入欧洲主要港口,它极有可能正前往俄罗斯。

The Dakar is not signaling a destination, but is likely to be headed for Russia as its sanctioned status makes it difficult to call into major European ports.

俄罗斯通常是柴油等燃料的净出口国,但乌克兰方面的持续攻击严重影响了其炼油能力,导致国内燃料供应出现短缺。此次MTBE的运输正值7月和8月韩国与印度对俄燃料出口量大幅上升之际,其中还包括航空燃油。

Russia is typically a net exporter of fuels such as diesel, but escalating Ukrainian attacks have significantly hobbled processing and resulted in domestic shortages. The MTBE shipment follows a jump in product flows to Russia from South Korea and India in July and August, including jet fuel.

达喀尔号于九月初从韩国启航,目前正沿着俄罗斯北极海岸向西航行。The Dakar was seen sailing from South Korea in early September, and is currently traveling west along Russia’s Arctic coast.

通常情况下,只有船体经过加固的船只才能通行北方海路,不过像“达喀尔号”这样不具备抗冰等级认证的受制裁船只,也曾在气候较暖的月份尝试通过该航线。而此前从韩国和印度运抵俄罗斯的燃料则并未经由北极航线。

The Northern Sea Route is typically plied by vessels with reinforced hulls, though sanctioned ships without ice-class certification — like the Dakar — have made the passage in warmer months. Observed deliveries from South Korea and India didn’t transit the Arctic route.

据Kpler统计,8月份从韩国运往俄罗斯的石油产品总量创下纪录,达约70万桶;同期从印度运出的石油产品也达到约32万桶。而在7月份,从印度运往俄罗斯的石油产品总量更是超过120万桶。

A record volume of around 700,000 barrels of oil products was transported from South Korea to Russia in August, along with about 320,000 barrels from India, according to Kpler. That followed more than 1.2 million barrels in July, mostly from the South Asian nation.

仅“Aram Khachaturian”号一艘油轮就在7月和8月期间完成了三次运输任务,共运送了约26万桶成品油,堪称同期该航线上最活跃的油轮。此外还有另外9艘油轮也参与了运输,其中包括一些受到欧盟和英国制裁的船只;部分船只则通过船对船转运的方式完成了交货。

One vessel alone, the Aram Khachaturian, made three deliveries during July and August, transporting about 260,000 barrels of clean products, making it the most prolific tanker on the route during that period. Nine other tankers, including some sanctioned by the EU and UK, were also involved, with some making deliveries through ship-to-ship transfers.

随着亚洲进入北半球冬季,流向俄罗斯的燃油量较此前高峰期有所回落。Kpler的初步数据显示,9月份印度并未向俄罗斯出口任何燃油;不过此类运输航程通常需要一个月以上才能完成,相关运输记录可能稍后才会显现。

Fuel flows to Russia have eased since that jump, as Asia heads into the Northern Hemisphere winter. Preliminary Kpler data show no Indian exports to Russia in September, though such voyages take more than a month to complete and flows may show up later.

根据Kpler的数据,自2022年俄罗斯入侵乌克兰以来,每月对俄罗斯的燃油出口量此前从未超过15万桶。

Previously, monthly fuel exports to Russia hadn’t exceeded 150,000 barrels since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, according to Kpler figures.

目前尚不清楚近期从亚洲发往俄罗斯的这批货物究竟由谁出口。据Kpler、Vortexa及Signal Ocean的数据,韩国的出口货物大多从蔚山港发出——该港拥有大量储油设施,便于其他地区的出口商将燃油暂存于此后再发往最终目的地。《卫报》率先报道了这批货物的运输情况。

It’s unclear who ultimately exported the recent shipments from Asia. The South Korean deliveries were largely made from Ulsan, which has numerous storage tanks that allow exporters from elsewhere to hold fuel before sending it to its final destination, according to Kpler, Vortexa and Signal Ocean data. The Guardian first reported the shipments.

根据Equasis数据库的信息,“Dakar”号油轮的船东为Vulcano Marine SA,其注册地址与管理公司Ultramarine Navigation Management在迪拜的地址相同。有人接听了致电Vulcano Marine的电话,称该号码有误;而Ultramarine Navigation Management则未公布其他联系方式。

Dakar’s owner is Vulcano Marine SA, which shares the same address as its manager, Ultramarine Navigation Management in Dubai, according to database Equasis. A person who answered a call made to Vulcano Marine said it was the wrong phone number, while there were no other contact details listed for Ultramarine Navigation.