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反新冠防疫 activism 如何为阿尔伯塔省的分离主义运动注入活力How anti-COVID activism injected life into Alberta's separatist movement

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六月,在阿尔塔省塔伯举行的一场支持独立的集会。该运动中的许多领导人和支持者因抗议新冠规定而积极参与政治。(马修·布鲁斯/加拿大新闻社)A pro-independence rally in Taber, Alta., in June. Many leaders and supporters in the movement became politically active in protest of COVID rules. (Matthew Bruce/The Canadian Press)

克里斯无法在他的咖啡馆里为食客服务。米奇无法销售曲棍球杆或步枪。尼克无法骑公牛。

Chris couldn’t serve diners in his café. Mitch couldn’t sell hockey sticks or rifles. Nick couldn’t ride bulls.

邦妮没有拐杖就无法走路,而且她把原因归咎于“那针疫苗”。阿特不禁回想起他父亲在第二次世界大战期间遭受的迫害。

Bonnie couldn’t walk without a cane, and blamed “the jab.”Art couldn’t help but recall his dad’s Second World War persecution.

新冠疫情在全球范围内带来了无数社会、经济和政治影响。但阿尔伯塔省或许是唯一一个因此催生了分裂主义运动的地方。

The COVID-19 pandemic had myriad social, economic and political effects around the world. But Alberta may be the only place it helped spawn a separatist movement.

对许多独立运动活动家而言,无论是领导者还是追随者,他们投身活动的契机,正是对公共卫生限制措施或疫苗所作出的强烈反应。

For many independence activists, from leaders to adherents, their entrée to activism was in their profound responses to public health restrictions or vaccines.

用一句谚语来说,这就像那只放射性蜘蛛的叮咬一样,让许多普通的阿尔伯塔人变成了为某一事业而奋斗的斗士。

Proverbially, it was the same radioactive spider bite that powered so many ordinary Albertans into becoming fighters for a cause.

当然,分裂主义在阿尔伯塔省自1905年建省以来就有着悠久的历史,并在20世纪80年代渥太华政府的能源政策下再次被点燃,近期又因气候行动问题而再度升温。

Sure, there’s a long history of separatism that stretches back to Alberta’s founding in 1905, got inflamed anew by Ottawa energy policy of the 1980s, and then again by climate action more recently.

西部地区的疏离感或许由来已久,但对许多阿尔伯塔分裂主义者而言,他们的道路真正始于2020年和2021年。

The timeline of western alienation may be long, but for so many Alberta separatists their trajectories really began in 2020 and 2021.

10月19日公投前的民意调查显示,分裂主义群体如今只是居民中的少数派,就像当时反对新冠政策和对疫苗持怀疑态度的人一样。

Polling ahead of the Oct. 19 referendum suggests the separatist cohort is a minority of residents now, just as the COVID policy critics and the vaccine-wary were in the minority then.

但他们对加拿大主流现状的愤怒和厌恶,与五六年之前一样强烈,并将这种个人厌恶转化为政治行动。

But they’re just as riled up and disgusted by the mainstream Canadian status quo as they were five or six years ago, converting their personal disgust into political action.

“大多数人都是这样的,”主权主义组织“让我们谈谈阿尔伯塔”(Let’s Talk Alberta)的领导人克里斯·斯科特解释道。“他们会对周围的事情视而不见,直到这些事影响到他们个人,直到他们有了参与的理由。”斯科特本人的“新冠起源故事”或许是最广为人知的。他在位于阿尔伯塔省米拉镇的“Whistle Stop咖啡馆”无视室内用餐限制,随后又无视2021年的关闭令,之后因在餐厅外领导抗议活动而被捕。后来,他经过一场漫长而成功的诉讼,最终洗清了所有指控。

“Most people are like that,” reasons Chris Scott, leader of the sovereignist group Let’s Talk Alberta. “They ignore things around them until it affects them personally, until they have a reason to get involved.”Scott’s COVID origin story might be the best known. He defied indoor dining restrictions at his Whistle Stop Café in Mirror, Alta., then ignored a 2021 closure order, then got arrested after leading a protest outside his restaurant. Then, he fought a lengthy and successful court case against his charges.

在此之前,斯科特说他唯一的政治活动就是在网上随口大骂进步派。但在他所不相信的公共卫生规则出台后,他受到触动,开始采取更多行动。“这有点粉碎了我对曾经以为的自由加拿大的幻想,”他在最近接受加拿大广播公司新闻(CBC News)采访时表示。

Before all that, Scott said his only political activity was casually talking smack online against progressives. But he was jolted into doing more after the public health rules he didn’t believe in. “It kind of shattered my illusion of what I thought a free Canada was,” he told CBC News in a recent interview.

2021年抗议活动的影像透露出了斯科特日后将成为分裂主义领头的蛛丝马迹。他餐馆外面的旗杆上飘扬着一面蓝色的阿尔伯塔省旗,而那里通常应该悬挂着枫叶旗。抗议活动周围挂着写有“阿尔伯塔强大而自由”的横幅。不久之后,他成为了“阿尔伯塔繁荣项目”(Alberta Prosperity Project)的关键人物。该组织发起的请愿书获得了30万个签名,推动了省长丹ielle·史密斯(Danielle Smith)安排本月举行公投,决定未来是否举行具有法律约束力的独立投票。

Images from the 2021 protest show glimpses of the separatist leader Scott would become. A blue Alberta flag flapped on the pole outside his restaurant, where a maple leaf might typically fly. Around the protest hung banners saying “Alberta strong and free.”Before long, he became a key figure in Alberta Prosperity Project, the group behind the 300,000-signature petition that helped push Premier Danielle Smith to schedule this month’s referendum on holding a binding separatism vote in the future.

以下是斯科特从他的餐馆被迫关门到想要一个独立阿尔伯塔的逻辑桥梁:“如果阿尔伯塔完全主权独立,联邦政府不进行干涉,我们就能确保拥有我们原以为自己拥有的权利和自由。”然而,正是时任省长贾森·肯尼(Jason Kenney)的省级政策迫使“哨所”餐馆(Whistle Stop)采取限制措施,尽管这些政策是基于联邦公共卫生建议。

Here is Scott’s logical bridge from his restaurant having to close to wanting an independent Alberta: “If Alberta was fully sovereign, and the federal government wasn't interfering, we could make sure that we have the rights and freedom that we thought we had before.”It was, however, the provincial policies of then-premier Jason Kenney that forced restrictions on the Whistle Stop, albeit based on federal public health recommendations.

APP的创始人之一是丹尼斯·莫德里(Dennis Modry),这位埃德蒙顿的退休外科医生在2020年因致信贾森·肯尼一封备受瞩目的具争议性公开信,而在新冠怀疑论者群体中崭露头角。

Among APP’s founders is Dennis Modry, the retired Edmonton surgeon who’d emerged in the COVID skeptic community with a prominent contentious open letter in 2020 to Jason Kenney.

9月中旬,斯科特带着他的“畅谈阿尔伯塔”房车之旅来到卡尔加里东北部的一个宴会厅,邦妮·迈克尔(Bonnie Meikle)像往常一样在那里负责登记和独立宣传册的桌子。

Scott took his Let’s Talk Alberta RV tour in mid-September to a banquet hall in northeast Calgary, where Bonnie Meikle worked the registration and pro-independence pamphlet desk, as she often does.

她过去曾在波诺卡一家医疗中心的餐饮服务部门工作,阿尔伯塔省卫生服务局(Alberta Health Service)的新冠疫苗强制令迫使她要么接种她不信任的疫苗,要么失去工作。

She used to work in foodservice at a Ponoka medical centre, and Alberta Health Service’s COVID mandate forced her to get a vaccine she didn’t trust, or lose her job.

迈克尔打了她讽刺地称之为“那一针”的疫苗,结果还是丢了饭碗——因为她说她很快就失去了膝盖的大部分软骨。她将这一点以及同事的离世归咎于疫苗。

Meikle got what she derisively calls “the jab,” and lost her job anyway — because she says she soon lost much of the cartilage in her knees. She attributes that, and co-workers dying, to vaccines.

“当然,你不一定能证明任何事,但我确实看到这些事在我周围发生,”梅克尔说。

“Of course, you can't necessarily prove anything, but I was seeing these things happen around me,” Meikle said.

她支持了2022年在渥太华和阿尔伯塔省库茨的与COVID相关的车队抗议,但她表示,对此的执法回应“把她打垮了”。

She supported 2022’s COVID-related convoy protests in Ottawa and Coutts, Alta., but said the law-enforcement response to it “broke” her.

“我意识到,我所生活的加拿大并不是我曾以为的那个国家,”她说。

“I learned that the Canada I lived in wasn’t the country that I thought it was,” she said.

首先是封锁。随后是分离主义。旧的紧张局势在库茨重新浮现。分离主义信息在大城市里更难推销。上个月星期二晚上,斯科特在卡尔加里举办的活动为200人准备了宴会椅,但只有大约50人到场。通过举手表决,更多人告诉斯科特,他们参加过十几场甚至更多的独立活动,这是他们第一次参加此类活动。

First came the blockade. Then came separatism. Old tensions revived in Coutts Separatist messages are tougher sells in big cities. Organizers at Scott’s Calgary event on a Tuesday night last month put out banquet chairs for 200 people, but around 50 showed up. By show of hands more people told Scott they’d been to a dozen or more independence events than were there for the first time.

重型设备操作员尼克·克林克印象深刻,以至于当斯科特发放捐款箱时,他从钱包里掏出了一张100美元的钞票。他戴着一顶特朗普式的“让阿尔伯塔再次伟大”蓝色帽子,并解释说他喜欢它引发的对话。

Nick Klinck, a heavy equipment operator, was impressed enough that when Scott sent donation buckets around, he pulled a $100 bill out of his wallet. He sported a Trump-style “Make Alberta Great Again” blue hat, and explained he likes the conversations it provokes.

他在疫情封锁和疫苗强制令期间也在政治上变得更加活跃。他目睹朋友失业、车辆被收回,而牛仔竞技赛的停摆让他失去了两季竞争性骑牛的机会。

He also perked up politically during the pandemic lockdowns and vaccine mandates. He watched friends lose their jobs and have vehicles repossessed, while rodeo shutdowns meant he lost most of two competitive bull-riding seasons.

“我不喜欢加拿大现在的走向——对这个方向感到不自豪,”他说。

“I don’t like the way Canada is going — not proud of the direction,” he said.

疫情抗议者是两类人群的混合——反疫苗者和反政府的民粹主义者,“大多属于极右翼”,这是卡尔加里大学政治学家让-克里斯托夫·布歇的观察,他一直在追踪后疫情时期的激进活动。

Pandemic protesters are a blend of two groups — the anti-vaccine people and the anti-government populists “that were mostly on the far right,” according to Jean-Christophe Boucher, a University of Calgary political scientist who has tracked post-pandemic activism.

“COVID创造了条件,使得一个政治运动能够形成,而政党并不一定是主要推动者,”他说。

“COVID created conditions to create a political movement without parties necessarily being the main drivers,” he said.

在2022年卡车车队抗议期间凝聚起来的反疫苗强制令的抗议力量,亦与针对学校性别认同政策的抗议以及去年不列颠哥伦比亚省对鸵鸟屠宰的争议交叉重叠。

What coalesced to protest the vaccine mandates galvanized during the 2022 trucker convoy, and has also had overlap with protests against gender-identity policies in schools and furore over an ostrich cull in B.C.

布歇表示,在阿尔伯塔省,激进主义在很大程度上已经转向了试图让该省脱离加拿大的行动。

last year. In Alberta, activism has largely migrated to trying to take the province out of Canada, Boucher said.

“这是一个相互合作了近六年多的运动,并且有点像系统性地发展了他们的网络、建立了他们的资金基础、积累了他们的网络粉丝。”但正如他们在公共卫生规则问题上所做的那样,分裂分子正在与体制建制派以及你能说出的几乎每一位政治家之间近乎共识的立场进行对抗。无论是线上还是线下,他们都在试图说服更多的阿尔伯塔人接受他们的观点。“这里有人接种过疫苗吗?”

“This is kind of a movement that has been working with each other for almost more than six years now and has kind of like systematically developed their networks, built their funding bases, built their online followership.”But as they were with public health rules, separatists are fighting against a near-consensus among the institutional establishment, and almost every politician you can name. Online and in person, they try to persuade more Albertans to see it their way. 'Anyone here vaccinated?'

在卡尔加里以南约一小时车程的沃尔肯镇(Vulcan),阿尔伯塔繁荣计划(APP)的小镇分裂主义组织者聚集在一个前身为汽车修理厂的建筑里。

About an hour’s drive south of Calgary, small-town separatist organizers for APP gather in a former car-repair shop in the town of Vulcan.

在接受CBC新闻长达90分钟的小组采访中,疫情这个话题被反复提及。许多人不相信疫苗安全有效的科学共识,并认为新冠病毒是一场骗局或是一场“心理战”。“这里有人接种过疫苗吗?”来自附近香槟村(Champion)的利安恩·斯帕克斯(Leanne Sparks)问道。房间里的其他人则摇着头,或者意味深长地做着鬼脸。来自沃尔肯的辛迪·利德尔(Cindy Leader)在解释独立活动人士在当地面临的敌意时说,对于那些确实打了新冠疫苗的人来说,“这改变了他们的态度”。

In a 90-minute group interview with CBC News, the pandemic repeatedly comes into the conversation. Many distrust the scientific consensus that vaccines were safe and effective, and reckon COVID was a scam or a “psy-op.”“Is anyone here vaccinated?” asks Leanne Sparks from the nearby village of Champion. Others in the room shake their heads, or grimace knowingly. For people who did get COVID shots, “it has changed their attitudes,” said Cindy Leader from Vulcan, explaining the hostility independence activists have faced locally.

APP领导人米奇·西尔维斯特(Mitch Sylvestre)将联邦主义者视为那种毫无抗议地遵守社交距离规则和口罩建议的人。“他们显然不像我这样看待新冠肺炎。”西尔维斯特是分裂主义请愿运动的领军人物,也是联合保守党(UCP)的重要幕后推手,但他坦言自己在疫情爆发前对政治一无所知。他说:“我当时分不清左翼和右翼。”

APP leader Mitch Sylvestre views federalists as the sort that complied without protest to social distancing rules and mask recommendations. “They obviously don’t view COVID the way I see it.”Sylvestre is the separatist petition’s frontman and a major UCP power broker, but admits he was politically clueless until the pandemic. “I did not know left from right,” he said.

2020年春天,省卫生当局关闭了西尔维斯特位于博尼维尔(Bonnyville)的枪支和体育用品商店,以及其他“非必需品企业”。令他愤怒的是,他所在的阿尔伯塔省东北部小镇的加拿大轮胎公司(Canadian Tire)和沃尔玛被视为必需品企业,这使得它们能够继续兜售他被禁止销售的同类商品。

In spring 2020, provincial health authorities shuttered Sylvestre’s gun and sporting goods store in Bonnyville, along with other “non-essential businesses.”It infuriated him that Canadian Tire and Walmart in his northeast Alberta town were deemed essential, allowing them to keep flogging similar items that he was barred from selling.

“COVID 是一个明显的例子,说明情况可能会变得多么糟糕,”他对 CBC 新闻说。

“COVID was the clear example of how bad it could get,” he told CBC News.

分析:关于阿尔伯塔分离主义和留在阵营的(众多)组织指南 在策划从加拿大分裂之前,他和其他人曾致力于让肯尼在阿尔伯塔失去权力。Sylvestre 加入了 Take Back Alberta,这是由大卫·帕克创立的草根组织——帕克是一个因疫情对牧师的打压而感到冒犯的牧师之子,对疫苗持怀疑态度。

Analysis A guide to the (many) groups running Alberta's separatist and remain camps Before plotting a split from Canada, he and others worked on making Kenney part ways from power in Alberta. Sylvestre joined Take Back Alberta, the grassroots organization launched by David Parker — a preacher’s son offended at pandemic crackdowns on pastors, and doubtful of vaccines.

Take Back 利用了对 COVID 规定的不满,尤其是在农村地区和保守派网络社区中,帕克称肯尼为“暴君”。 随着大量新成员投票进行领导层审查,联合保守党将该党的第一任省长驱逐出局,并用一位政治家兼前广播员取代了他,这位新任省长将疫苗要求比作大屠杀后对人体实验的公约,并为她所谓的疫情“被下架的医生”提供了特别的播出时间。

Take Back tapped into unrest about COVID rules, particularly in rural areas and conservative online communities, and Parker called Kenney a “tyrant.”With a flood of new members voting in a leadership review, United Conservatives pushed out the party’s first premier, and replaced him with a politician and ex-broadcaster who compared vaccine requirements to post-Holocaust conventions on human experimentation and gave special airtime to what she called the pandemic’s“deplatformed doctors”

作为省长,丹妮尔·史密斯进一步取悦了她的新政治基础——她解雇了最高公共卫生官员迪娜·欣肖,并称未接种疫苗者是“我一生中见过的最受歧视的群体”。作为疫情议题的同路人,她在新关注议题上与活动人士站在同一阵线。她自称是联邦主义者,但她宣传自己的“阿尔伯塔在统一加拿大内的主权”版本,并放宽了公民倡议规则,使分离主义者更容易将议题列入省级选票。

As premier, Danielle Smith further pleased her new political base — she fired top public health official Deena Hinshaw, and called the unvaccinated“the most discriminated against group that I’ve ever witnessed in my lifetime.”A fellow traveller on pandemic issues, she’s met activists partway on their new issue of focus. She’s a declared federalist, but she’s touted her own version of “Alberta sovereignty within a united Canada,” and loosened citizen initiative rules to make it easier for separatists to get the issue onto a provincial ballot.

肯尼比他的继任者更公开地反对分离主义者,他在八月对 CBC 广播说,这是一场“边缘运动”,类似于当初反对他的那场运动。

Kenney has been far more vocal than his successor against separatists, which he told CBC Radio’s in August is a “marginal movement” like the one that rose up against him.

“我认为它被各种不满情绪的人们所激化,这些人聚集在一起并围绕 COVID 组织起来,”肯尼说。

“I think it got hypercharged by people with a variety of grievances coming together and getting organized around COVID,” Kenney said.

“整件事情已经变成了新的右翼大联合诉求。如果你的首要关切是疫苗怀疑论、化学飞机云、或是……或是全球主义——不管是什么,分裂主义都是承载这些心结的一个方便的遮阳伞。”虽然大多数阿尔伯塔省的分离主义者似乎是在大流行之后才抓住这个议题不放的——主要是由于联邦自由党去年再次赢得大选,并且公民请愿为这项诉求提供了一个政治工具——但该运动中的一些人持这种观点的时间更长。

“This whole thing has become the new right wing uni-cause. If your number-one issue is vaccine skepticism or chemtrails or … or globalism — whatever it is, separatism is a convenient umbrella for these preoccupations.”While most Alberta separatists appear to have latched onto the issue since the pandemic — largely since the federal Liberals won re-election last year, and the citizen’s petition gave the cause a political vehicle — some in the movement have held the view for longer.

科里·摩根(Cory Morgan)的分离主义活动可以追溯到他在2001年领导阿尔伯塔独立党(Alberta Independence Party)的时期,那时在微生物学界之外,还没人知道什么是冠状病毒。

Cory Morgan’s separatism activity goes back to his 2001 leadership of the Alberta Independence Party long before anyone outside microbiology circles knew what a coronavirus was.

但作为第三方广告商“通往独立之路”(Pathway to Independence)的负责人,摩根明白新冠疫情如何在追求独立的群体中有效地触动敏感神经。

But the leader of the third-party advertiser Pathway to Independence gets how COVID strikes an effective nerve in a pro-independence crowd.

摩根在7月1日位于米勒(Mirror)克里斯·斯科特(Chris Scott)餐厅外举行的“阿尔伯塔人日”(Albertans' Day)集会上说:“我们离因为某种假大流行而被封城只差一个喷嚏的距离。”

“We’re one more sneeze away from being locked down over some fake pandemic,” Morgan told the July 1 “Albertans’ Day” rally outside Chris Scott’s restaurant in Mirror.

“你知道的,我们可以就 equalization(财政平等拨款)、我们的油田诸如此类的事情进行论证,但最可怕的事情莫过于我们的自由……人们往往在失去自由之后,才意识到自己曾拥有它。”在口罩和疫苗规定实施的几年后,这些问题在分离主义者的演讲中并不是经常被提及。但它足够引人关注,以至于APP(阿尔伯塔繁荣项目)在8月份省议会大型集会上的一名演讲者,将他的演讲重点放在了安大略省保守党国会议员迪恩·阿利森(Dean Allison)关于疫苗伤害的独立听证会上。

(根据加拿大卫生部的数据,在截至2023年接种的1.05亿剂新冠疫苗中,报告了约11,702起严重不良事件。)受欢迎的亲独立网络主播杰森·拉维涅(Jason Lavigne)在全民公投竞选的冲刺阶段请了一周假,前往渥太华,对保守党所称的“阿利森调查”进行每天八小时、持续四天的现场直播。

“You know, we can make the case about equalization and our oilfield and things like that, but the scariest stuff of all is our freedoms … people often don't realize that they don't have them until they've lost them.”Several years removed from mask and vaccine rules, the issues don’t come up constantly at separatist lectures. But it’s front-of-mind enough that one speaker at APP’s big legislature rally in August focused his speech on an Ontario Conservative MP Dean Allison’s independent hearings on vaccine injuries. (About 11,702 serious adverse events were reported among the 105 million COVID immunization doses administered through 2023, according to Health Canada Jason Lavigne, a popular pro-independence online broadcaster, took a week off in the referendum campaign’s stretch drive to be in Ottawa to live-stream what Conservatives called the Allison Inquiry, eight hours a day for four days.

疫情也把一些本可能永远无法接触到的活动人士带入了分裂主义运动,这些人被一些分析人士视为极右翼的原因。艺术之旅松井艺术就是这样的人物。

The pandemic also brought into the separatist movement some activists who may have never otherwise been accessible to what some analysts consider a hard-right cause. Art's journey Art Matsui is one such figure.

这位退休的IT工作者在2015年瑞秋·诺特利当选省长的夜晚,与妻子在新民主党卡尔加里总部庆祝;他在2010年参加了纳希德·嫩西的市长选举胜利派对,戴着嫩西标志性的紫色毛绒软帽。他在一次采访中说:“彻底的左翼分子。”

The retired IT worker celebrated with his wife at the NDP’s Calgary headquarters the night Rachel Notley was elected premier in 2015; he joined Naheed Nenshi’s mayoral election victory party in 2010, donning a fuzzy fedora in Nenshi’s signature purple. “Lefties” through and through, he said in an interview.

当疫情导致企业关闭并实行全民戴口罩时,松井立刻对这些决定背后的科学持怀疑态度。他们曾对在公共供水中添加氟化物的公共卫生益处持同样的怀疑,但COVID-19的健康干预措施范围更广。

When the pandemic shuttered businesses and ushered in universal masking, Matsui was immediately skeptical of the science behind such decisions. They’d been similarly doubtful of the public health benefits of adding fluoride to the public water supply, but the health interventions in COVID-19 were so much broader.

他的妻子在一个准宗教邪教中长大,后来脱离,但仍保留对政府的不信任。对松井而言,抵抗的灵感来源于他父亲在1940年代被关押在加拿大的日裔拘留营。

His wife was raised in a quasi-religious cult and had broken free, but preserved her distrust of governments. For Matsui, inspiration to resist came from his father’s imprisonment in Canada’s Japanese internment camps in the 1940s.

“权利是我旅程的主要驱动力,”他说。“因为我们在二战期间被剥夺了所有权利……我的家人失去了一切。”他成为卡尔加里疫情抗议和游行的常客。他开始携带父亲在拘留营的文件,以展示极端权利镇压会发生什么。

“Rights is the main driving force in my journey,” he said. “Because we had been stripped of all our rights during the Second World War … my family lost everything.”He became a regular at Calgary’s pandemic protests and marches. He began bringing his father’s internment camp papers to show what happens in extreme rights crackdowns.

当市长称这些抗议为“薄弱掩饰的白人民族主义至上主义反政府抗议”时,松井对嫩西失望了。他回忆起在2021年底放弃诺特利,因为她建议开展上门宣传以应对少数犹豫接种疫苗的阿尔伯塔人。他支持卡车司机车队,甚至尝试与他们一起开车前往梅迪辛哈特,直到他的车辆在离开卡尔加里时被追尾。

Matsui got turned off by Nenshi when the mayor called them“thinly veiled white nationalist supremacist anti-government protests.”He recalled swearing off Notley in late 2021 when she suggested a door-to-door campaign to address the few vaccine-hesitant Albertans. He backed the trucker convoy, and even attempted to drive along with them to Medicine Hat, until his vehicle got rear-ended leaving Calgary.

在一次抗议活动中,松井遇到了“夺回阿尔伯塔”运动的帕克,帕克鼓励他尝试在联合保守党(UCP)内部推动变革。他成为了家乡选区的一名党代表,并迅速支持史密斯竞选省长,对她就阿尔伯塔省政府对待未接种疫苗者的做法公开道歉表示敬佩。

At one protest, Matsui met Take Back Alberta’s Parker, who encouraged him to try effecting change in the UCP. He became a party director in his home riding, and quickly supported Smith for premier, revering her public apology for the Alberta government’s treatment of the unvaccinated.

随着他更深入地参与“夺回阿尔伯塔”以及随后的“阿尔伯塔繁荣项目”,松井愈发确信联邦政府在疫情后仍在继续压制权利,并将自由党的反仇恨立法视为对言论自由的巨大威胁。“在新冠疫情期间,他们一直在限制我们的自由,对吧?”松井说道,“但现在,我们依然在沿着同样的轨迹前行。”同许多志同道合者一样,松井逐渐开始相信,走向阿尔伯塔独立是维护自由的唯一途径。他收集了独立请愿书上的签名,并成为亲独立活动的热情参与者和志愿者。

As he became more involved with Take Back Alberta and then Alberta Prosperity Project, Matsui became more convinced the federal government continued to crack down on rights post-pandemic, regarding the Liberals’ anti-hate legislation as a big threat to free speech“In COVID, they were curtailing our freedoms, right?”Matsui said. “But now, we’re still on the same trajectory.”Matsui gradually began to believe that moving toward Alberta independence was the only way to preserve freedoms, as so many fellow travellers have. He gathered names on the separatist petition, and became a frequent attendee and volunteer at pro-independence events.

这一切即将在10月19日迎来高潮,这是许多独立活动人士大约18个月以来(有些人甚至更久)一直热忱投身的目标。

It’s all coming to a head on Oct. 19, the mission many independence activists have passionately been on for about 18 months, some longer.

民调显示,他们注定会在公投中惨败。如果他们失败了,且没有具有约束力的公投运动可打,他们此后将把反建制、反政府的斗争带向何方?

Polls suggest they’re bound to lose the referendum by a wide margin. If they lose, and there’s no binding referendum campaign to wage, where will they take their anti-establishment, anti-government fight then?

阿尔伯塔大学政治学家费奥多尔·斯纳戈夫斯基通过民意调查发现,支持车队抗议是预测分离主义倾向的最明确指标之一。他想知道这个群体接下来可能会抓住什么诉求不放。

Feodor Snagovsky, a University of Alberta political scientist, has found in polling that one of the clearest predictors of separatism was support for the convoy. He wonders what cause the group might latch onto next.

“10月19日之后,他们是否会继续奉行分离主义,我认为这是一个悬而未决的问题,”斯纳戈夫斯基说。

“After Oct. 19, whether or not they continue with separatism I think is an open question,” Snagovsky said.

“我不认为分离主义情绪一定会下降,但这个群体中的人们会去寻找其他感兴趣的事物。”卡尔加里大学的布歇表示,在经历了疫情期间对自由的多年关注以及随后的分离主义之后,“创造一场政治运动的需求”可能会催生出完全不同的东西。失去公投不会改变他们对阿尔伯塔在加拿大地位的看法,他说。

“I don't think separatist sentiment necessarily will go down, but the folks in this cohort will find other things to be interested in.”After spending years on freedoms during the pandemic, and then separatism, the “need to create a political campaign” might spawn something different, said University of Calgary’s Boucher. Losing the referendum won’t likely change how they view Alberta’s place in Canada, he said.

但他预计他们会在接下来可能出现的任何情况中,仍然坚持分离主义的信念和叙事。

But he expects them to carry the separatist beliefs and narrative with them in whatever might come next for the cohort.

“现在失利不会改变他们对这个问题的感受。”大多数独立领袖则表示,无论公投结果如何,都将继续斗争。

“Losing now won’t change how they will feel about this issue.”Most independence leaders, for their part, have vowed to keep up the fight, no matter what the referendum's result is.

距离政府强制关闭企业、需要疫苗证明才能乘机、从事医疗工作或在室内用餐的政策已经过去了好几年,政策制定者和大多数公众可能已经淡忘。许多阿尔伯塔分离主义者并未淡忘,也不相信大政府会忘记。

Several years removed from state-ordered business closures, or needing proof of a vaccine to fly, work in health care or dine indoors, policy-makers and much of the public may have moved on. Many Alberta separatists haven’t, and don’t believe Big Government has, either.

对米奇·西尔维斯特来说,COVID 只是一场“彩排”,为当权者下一步的强制措施做准备,如果阿尔伯塔无法摆脱过度干预的话。“下一次,”他说,“将会更加严格。”

To Mitch Sylvestre, COVID was a mere “dress rehearsal” for what those in power will impose next, if Alberta cannot free itself from overreach. “The next one,” he said, “will be even more strict.”