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需求疲软,苹果削减iPhone 18 Pro订单Apple cuts iPhone 18 Pro orders due to soft demand

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iPhone 18 Pro于9月发布,但据报道,消费者对其反响比预期更为冷淡,其中较高的售价是一个因素。© Getty ImagesThe iPhone 18 Pro was launched in September, but its reception from consumers is reported to be cooler than expected, with a higher price tag a factor. © Getty Images

台北讯——由于存储芯片价格大幅上涨导致产品定价提高,进而抑制了消费者需求,苹果已要求部分供应商减少新发布的iPhone 18 Pro及iPhone 18 Pro Max相关零部件的产量。

TAIPEI -- Apple has told some of its suppliers to cut production of components for its newly launched iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max, after soaring memory chip costs forced price increases that have dampened consumer demand.

多位知情人士向《日经亚洲》透露,这家总部位于硅谷的科技巨头自9月初起便对产品出货量持更为谨慎的态度。其中两人表示,受市场需求疲软影响,本月相关零部件的订单量较最初预期至少减少了15%。

Multiple people familiar with the matter told Nikkei Asia that the Silicon Valley-based tech giant has turned more conservative on shipments since early September, with two of them saying that component orders for this month have been slashed by at least 15% compared to what was originally requested, due to weaker-than-expected market demand.

一位高层消息人士称:“仅10月份,我们收到的苹果方面针对这两款高端机型的订单量就减少了15%至20%;目前尚不清楚后续情况会如何发展。”由于各供应商的生产周期存在差异,此次订单削减措施在10月份仅会影响部分供应商的产量;至于苹果是否会在11月以后进一步调整订单量,目前尚不明朗。

"In October alone, we are seeing orders from Apple reducing by 15% to 20% for both the premium models; we don't know how things would develop from here," said one of the executive-level sources. The order cuts will affect production volumes for some, but not all, suppliers in October due to differing production lead times, and it is not immediately clear whether Apple will make further adjustments from November onward.

另一位直接了解内情的人士向《日经亚洲》指出,今年8月下旬至10月期间的市场需求量较往年有所下滑,不过这可能与苹果调整了iPhone的发布计划有关。今年苹果优先推出了三款高端机型,而标准版机型——即iPhone 18以及新一代iPhone Air则计划于春季发布。

Another source with direct knowledge of the situation told Nikkei Asia that volume demand from late August into October has been softer than previous years, but that this could be related to Apple changing its launch schedule for iPhone models. Apple has prioritized its three premium models with launches this year, while saving for a spring release its standard model, which will be iPhone 18, along with the new generation of iPhone Air.

我们确实发现,今年下半年从八月份起的需求量不如往年,当时所有新型号会一起推出,”一位供应链经理说。“今年,标准版 iPhone 18 本可以提升销量,但其所需的组件要等到年底才会开始采购,计划在明年 2027 年初上市。”出货量的下降并不会立即转化为苹果收入的下降,因为所有型号的售价至少比去年高出 10%。苹果的供应链也已做好充分准备,具备根据最新市场情况灵活调整生产的经验。

"We do find the demand in terms of volume from August for the second half of this year is not as strong as previous years when all the new models are introduced all together," a supply chain manager said. "This year, the standard iPhone 18, which could provide a boost to volumes, will not require components until toward the end of the year, for launch in early next year 2027." The decline in shipment volume would not immediately translate into lower revenue for Apple, as all models have become at least 10% more expensive than last year's. Apple's supply chain is also well-prepared and experienced in making agile production adjustments in response to the latest market conditions.

瑞银分析师本周在一份报告中指出,30 多个市场的 iPhone 18 Pro 交付等待时间正在缩短。他们表示:“在供应相对稳定的背景下,等待时间的下降令人担忧,尤其是近期的涨价提升了需求弹性风险,相较于以往的发布。”

UBS analysts reported in a note this week that average waiting times for iPhone 18 Pro deliveries to customers in more than 30 markets were decreasing. "Declining wait times against a stable supply backdrop is an increasing concern in our view, particularly given the recent price increases that raised the risk of demand elasticity relative to prior launches," they said.

苹果于 9 月 9 日发布了最新一代旗舰 iPhone,iPhone 18 Pro 起售价为 1,199 美元,iPhone 18 Pro Max 起售价为 1,299 美元。两者均比去年的型号上涨了 100 美元,并于 9 月 18 日正式上市。其首款折叠手机 iPhone Duo 的基础 256GB 版起售价为 1,999 美元,将于 10 月 23 日在 70 个国家和地区推出。

Apple unveiled its latest generation of flagship iPhones on Sept. 9, with iPhone 18 Pro starting at $1,199 and iPhone 18 Pro Max starting from $1,299. For both, it was an increase of $100 on last year's models and they first hit the shelves on Sept. 18. The starting price of its first foldable smartphone, iPhone Duo, is $1,999 for a basic 256-gigabyte model, and this will roll out in 70 countries and regions from Oct. 23.

“一部手机太贵了,”一位知情人士对《日经亚洲》说。“鉴于 iPhone 18 Pro 和 Pro Max 的需求情况,我们预计 iPhone Duo 在上市后不久也会面临类似的命运,”该人士补充道。

"It's just too expensive for a smartphone," a third person with direct knowledge told Nikkei Asia. "In light of the demand for iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max, we anticipate a similar fate for iPhone Duo soon after it becomes available," the person added.

全球智能手机市场正遭受前所未有的存储芯片短缺以及零部件与原材料成本上涨的双重冲击。据IDC预测,2026年全球智能手机出货量将出现有史以来最大幅度的同比下滑,降幅达16.7%,这一颓势预计还将延续至2027年。不过该机构同时指出,由于手机制造商纷纷上调售价以抵消原材料成本激增的影响,智能手机的平均售价较去年增长了27.6%。

The global smartphone market has been hit by an unprecedented shortage of memory chips and rising component and materials costs. The industry is forecast to see its largest-ever year-on-year decline in shipments in 2026, down 16.7%, with the downturn expected to extend into 2027, according to IDC. But the research firm reports that average selling prices are up 27.6% compared to last year, as handset makers raise prices to reflect a surging bill of materials.

2026年上半年,苹果受到的影响相对较小。同期,包括小米、OPPO和vivo在内的众多安卓手机厂商均因成本上涨与零部件供应受限而大幅下调了出货量预期。

Apple saw less of an impact in the first half of 2026, when many Android phone makers, including Xiaomi, Oppo and Vivo, were lowering shipment forecasts dramatically, amid cost hikes and component constraints.

市场研究机构Counterpoint指出,由于主打低价产品的竞争对手受到的冲击更为严重,长期专注于中高端机型的苹果与三星有望借此提升市场份额。据Counterpoint分析师王阳估算,两家公司的市场份额预计将从2025年的各自不足20%提升至2026年的22%以上。

Apple and Samsung, which have long focused on relatively premium models, are likely to see a gain in market share as smaller rivals targeting value-priced models are harder hit, according to research firm Counterpoint. Apple and Samsung should rise from less than 20% each in market share in 2025 to more than 22% each in 2026, Counterpoint analyst Yang Wang estimated.

iPhone 18 Pro与iPhone 18 Pro Max的需求疲软则表明:即便是市场领军企业苹果,也难以完全规避零部件价格大幅上涨所带来的负面影响。

Weak demand for iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max underscores that even a market leader such as Apple is not immune to the impact of significant component price hikes.

据《日经亚洲》上月独家报道,由于对品质要求极为严苛,苹果还一直在与供应商密切合作,以提升配备结构更为复杂的可折叠屏幕的这两款iPhone产品的生产良率。苹果方面并未对《日经亚洲》的置评请求作出回应。

Apple's stringent quality standards have meant it has also been working hard with suppliers to improve the production yield for iPhone Duo, with its more complex folding screen, Nikkei Asia exclusively reported last month. Apple did not respond to a Nikkei Asia request for comment.