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为什么美国投资者青睐欧洲防务初创企业Why American investors love European defense startups

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一名乌克兰士兵严阵以待,随时防范俄罗斯无人机的袭击。图片来源:埃弗雷姆·卢卡茨基/美联社 隐藏说明 切换说明 图片来源:埃弗雷姆·卢卡茨基/美联社A Ukrainian soldier stands ready to defend against a Russian drone attack. Efrem Lukatsky/AP Photo hide caption toggle caption i Efrem Lukatsky/AP Photo

您正在阅读的是《Planet Money》旗下的《The Indicator》通讯。

You're reading a newsletter from The Indicator from Planet Money.

我们每周都会精选关于商业、金融、经济领域最值得关注的内容及其重要意义,与读者分享。

Once a week, we curate our favorite stories and insights on business, finance, economics and why they matter.

这是2014年保罗·安卡的演出画面。摄影:约翰·希勒/Invision,由美国马根·达维德·阿多姆协会提供/美联社。你有没有好奇过沃伦·巴菲特闲暇时都做些什么呢?原来他也是个YouTube爱好者,和我们一样容易沉迷于各种视频内容。或许你会以为这位刚刚从伯克希尔·哈撒韦CEO职位上退休的人会多看些专业金融类内容,但事实并非如此。

here Paul Anka performing back in 2014 John Shearer/Invision for American Friends of Magen David Adom/AP Images Have you ever wondered what Warren Buffett does in his free time? Turns out he's a YouTube guy, as prone to the rabbit hole as any of us. You might expect the recently retired Berkshire Hathaway CEO to consume nerdy financial content, but no.

据《华尔街日报》报道,他更喜欢观看保罗·安卡的视频、比尔·默里出演的电影片段,还有我个人最喜欢的——乌兹别克斯坦版的《美国达人秀》,即《O'zbekiston Got Talent》。其实谁没经历过这种阶段呢?

According to The Wall Street Journal we learned he's prone to watching Paul Anka videos, clips of Bill Murray films, and my personal favorite …O'zbekiston Got Talent the Uzbek knock-off of America's Got Talent. But who hasn't gone through that phase?

保罗·安卡于2014年登台演出。图片来源:约翰·希勒/Invision为美国马根·达维德·阿多姆之友协会提供/美联社图片 隐藏说明 切换说明 图片来源:约翰·希勒/Invision为美国马根·达维德·阿多姆之友协会提供/美联社图片Paul Anka performing back in 2014 John Shearer/Invision for American Friends of Magen David Adom/AP Images hide caption toggle caption i John Shearer/Invision for American Friends of Magen David Adom/AP Images

接下来要介绍的内容:欧洲的国防初创企业正大赚特赚,美国人也从中受益;这六座发电厂本应关停,它们却耗费了纳税人大量资金;为何佛罗里达州的大学入学率表现良好。小知识:大多数拥有主权财富基金的国家有什么共同点呢?请将答案发送至indicator@npr.org值得关注的新闻:为何美国投资者纷纷向欧洲的国防初创企业注资?

Coming up European defense start-ups are raking in cash; Americans are benefiting These six power plants should be offline. This is what they cost tax-payers Why Florida college enrollment seems to be doing well Trivia: What do most countries with a sovereign wealth fund have in common? Email your answer to indicator@npr.org News We're Watching Why U.S. investors are throwing money at defense start-ups

需要了解的信息:美国投资者正在欧洲发现新的商机。受俄罗斯带来的压力以及特朗普对北约盟友国防开支偏低的不满影响,去年欧洲的军费开支增长了14%,总额达到8640亿美元。这一增长也催生了大量致力于满足现代战争需求的国防初创企业。这些企业致力于研发人工智能战场管理系统、无人机以及侦察卫星等技术。

What to Know: American investors are seeing an opportunity in Europe. The continent saw a 14 percent rise in military spending to $864 billion last year, due to pressure from Russia and Trump's own unhappiness with low spending from NATO allies. The hike is prompting a spate of new defense start-ups keeping up with modern warfare. They're building tech like AI-powered battlefield management, drones, and spy satellites.

目前它们已开始竞标并成功拿下多项合同,回报也迅速显现。事实上,在美国投资者的助力下,这些初创企业今年募集到的资金规模创下了历史纪录。美国投资者为何如此热衷于此呢?

These start-ups are already bidding and winning contracts… so the pay-off is coming fast. In fact, these startups have raised a RECORD amount of capital this year, with help from Americans. Why the U.S. is loving this:

今年,欧洲国防科技产业获得的资金中,有近一半都来自美国投资者!这是为什么呢?欧洲的风险投资行业远远无法与美国相提并论:欧洲确实有风险投资公司,但欧盟地区的相关基金规模仅约1500亿欧元,而美国同类基金规模则超过1万亿美元。在每一轮融资中,美国的风险投资机构投入的资金都远超欧洲同行;尤其是在需要投入巨额资金且风险较高的后期融资阶段,美国机构的规模优势更为明显。

Just about half of the funding in Europe's defense tech industry is coming from American investors this year! What's up? European VC's aren't remotely measuring up: Europe does have venture capital (VC) firms. But there's about €150 billion in EU-based funds versus more than a trillion dollars in its U.S. counterparts. U.S. firms are out-investing EU ones at every funding round level, getting significantly larger at later-stage rounds when the big, risky checks are needed. American investors are seeing dollar signs:

美国投资者看到了巨大的商机:北约成员国已承诺将GDP的5%用于国防开支,这意味着大量政府合同即将产生。去年,风险投资公司Scout Ventures的合伙人科迪·哈金斯对CNBC表示:“今后我们将看到许多优秀创业者涌入这一领域,否则他们或许不会选择在欧洲创业,因为他们担心当地缺乏相应的合同机会、风险投资支持以及促进企业成长的资本。”

NATO allies have committed to investing 5% of GDP into defense. That means a lot of government contracts. Cody Huggins, a partner at Scout Ventures, a VC firm, told CNBC last year, "you're going to see high-caliber entrepreneurs that otherwise wouldn't have built in this space because they would be concerned that there weren't the contracts or the venture capital or growth equity in Europe."

欧洲投资面临的诸多限制:部分欧洲资金在用于国防领域时存在诸多限制。例如,出于道德考量,欧洲投资银行限制对武器及弹药生产领域的投资;德国的KfW Capital基金则拒绝为它认为“具有争议性”的武器项目提供资金。一名乌克兰士兵严阵以待,防范俄罗斯的无人机袭击。

Restrictions on European investment: Some European money comes with restrictions on defense spending. For example, the European Investment Bank limits investment in weapons and ammo for ethical reasons. The German fund KfW Capital won't finance what it deems 'controversial' weapons. A Ukrainian soldier stands ready to defend against a Russian drone attack. Efrem Lukatsky/AP Photo These power plants should be offline.

运转呢?

Whose paying to keep them going?

如果没有特朗普政府,五座燃煤发电厂和一座以石油及天然气为燃料的发电厂早已停运。美国能源部动用紧急授权,让这些发电厂在预定退役时间之后继续运行,这在能源部历史上尚属首次。此举也违背了部分发电厂自身的意愿。能源部长克里斯·赖特表示,此举旨在让人们能够获得更可靠的电力,以应对用电高峰期。

Five coal-fired power plants and one running on oil and gas would no longer be online if not for the Trump administration. The Department of Energy used emergency authority to keep the plants going past their scheduled retirement, something that's never been done in the history of the DOE. It was also against the wishes of some of the plants. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright said it's about giving people access to more reliable power to help address periods of peak demand.

但奇怪的是,其中数座发电厂要么仅以有限产能运行,要么完全未运行。即便如此,电力公司仍需耗费数百万美元,仅为了维持这些发电厂的备用状态。赖特去年曾表示,他预计美国大多数发电厂都会推迟退役,以支持人工智能,也就是数据中心的电力需求。

What's odd: several of the plants are running at limited capacity or not at all. That said, utilities are still incurring millions of dollars just to maintain a power plant on standby. Wright told last year that he expects most of the nation's power plants to hold off on retirement in order to help power artificial intelligence aka data centers.

联邦政府已命令科罗拉多州的克雷格燃煤发电厂再运营3个月。为何重要:随着人工智能带来的电力需求增长,全国电价已经高得惊人。拥有密歇根州J.H. 坎贝尔燃煤发电公司的消费者能源公司(Consumers Energy)向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)报告称,自去年5月以来,维持该发电厂运行已耗费2.59亿美元。该公司已要求客户承担其中1.38亿美元的费用。最近的一项法院裁决也认定,这项“紧急”命令越权了,并威胁到能源市场的稳定。

Feds have ordered the Craig coal plant in Colorado to stay open another 3 months Rick Bowmer/AP Photo Why it matters: Electricity costs nationwide are already wildly high as demand increases from AI. Consumers Energy, the company that owns the Michigan J.H. Campbell coal plant, reported to the SEC that the plant has cost them $259 million to continue running since May of last year. The utility has gone to its customers to pay for $138 million of that cost. A recent court decision also found the 'emergency' order was an overstep and threatened the stability of the energy market.

美国联邦政府已下令,让科罗拉多州的克雷格燃煤电厂再运行三个月。图片来源:里克·鲍默/美联社 隐藏说明 切换说明 图片来源:里克·鲍默/美联社Feds have ordered the Craig coal plant in Colorado to stay open another 3 months Rick Bowmer/AP Photo hide caption toggle caption i Rick Bowmer/AP Photo

紧急命令同样让科罗拉多州一座燃煤发电厂的一台发电机组得以继续运行。最近一次命令发布于9月27日。能源部必须在90天内持续发布此类命令。据该州州长称,维持该发电厂运行每年将耗费纳税人8000万美元,而该电厂实际上几乎不发电。

Emergency orders are keeping a generating unit at a coal-fired plant in Colorado going as well. The latest happened Sept. 27. The DOE has to keep issuing them within 90 days. Keeping that plant online would cost taxpayers $80 million annually, according to its Governor. That's without it producing basically any power.

我们团队的问题:这对其他能源开发商意味着什么?在监管政策持续处于不确定状态、且需每90天续期的情况下,这是否会影响新的投资?特朗普总统试图降低柴油价格上周,我们在通讯中探讨了为何柴油价格往往高于普通汽油。过去一个月里,柴油价格屡创历史新高,特朗普政府一度考虑实施出口禁令以抑制物价上涨。

Our question on the team: What does this mean for other energy developers? Does the regulatory uncertainty affect new investment given the continued 90-day renewals? President Trump looks to lower diesel costs Last week, we spoke in the newsletter about why diesel costs tend to be higher than regular gas. Diesel prices have hit a record high in the past month, and the Trump administration had considered an export ban to try and lower prices.

如今,政府终于采取了行动——不过并非实施出口禁令!特朗普总统签署行政命令,决定暂缓征收每加仑24美分的公路用柴油消费税,这一措施将持续至今年年底。今日话题:向朋友讨债的尴尬艺术如果您尚未收听本期节目:如果您曾把“用Venmo转账”当作动词使用,想必深谙向朋友讨债的难处。您慷慨地用信用卡支付聚餐费用,对方也承诺会还钱;可当您发出Venmo转账请求后……对方却迟迟没有行动。

Well now, the administration has made its move. No export ban! BUT… President Trump issued an executive order to defer the payment of a 24 cent excise tax on diesel for on-highway driving through the end of the year. Today's Indicator The awkward art of asking friends to pay you back If you HAVEN'T listened: If you've ever used 'Venmo' as a verb, you likely know the pain of someone paying you back. You generously offered your credit card to pay for dinner, your co-diner promised to pay you back, you send a Venmo request and deflating balloon sound... they don't do it.

一天过去了,两天也过去了。数据显示,约40%的人需要一周甚至更久才能还清朋友的欠款。转账虽易,要拿回钱款却并非易事。

A day goes by, TWO. Venmo tells us about 40% of people take a week or MORE to settle debts with friends. Transferring money may be easy, but getting that money back?

在完整版节目中,听众们分享了各自使用Venmo时的亲身经历。

Less so. In the full episode, we hear first-hand accounts from listeners on THEIR Venmo experiences.

记者里基·马尔维提到,受时长限制,我们无法详述导致Venmo转账延迟的各类原因。以下是其中几个典型情况:

The reporter Ricky Mulvey tells us that we didn't have time to get into all the reasons someone doesn't get paid back on Venmo.

Venmo转账请求被大量通知信息淹没;

A few remaining: A Venmo request gets buried in a string of other notifications.

欠款人纯粹是忘记了此事;

The person who owes money simply forgets.

收款人试图“优化”自己的财务安排。这种情况常发生于集体聚餐时:您用信用卡支付费用以赚取积分,结果却让多位同伴——甚至包括一些不太熟悉的人——都欠下了您的钱款。

The person who is owed money is trying to "optimize". This can happen if you are the person who wants to put your card down at a group dinner. You get the credit card points, but now you've got several people, including some folks you may not know owing you money.

此外,不了解对方的财务状况也是一大障碍。这往往源于您想做“包容型朋友”的初衷:您希望让所有人都能参与集体活动,却未必能完全体察此举可能给对方带来的经济压力。

Not understanding someone else's financial situation. This comes from being the inclusive friend. You want to include everyone on a big trip, but may not fully realize the financial burden it could put on someone.

这期节目中最值得注意的建议是:通过Venmo转账实际上就相当于提供了个人贷款。而一旦提供了个人贷款,这笔钱很可能就再也收不回来了。

The most salient advice from the episode is that a Venmo is a personal loan. And if you give out a personal loan, the money may not come back to you.

本周其余内容:为何挪威的主权财富基金正面临类似“艾德·希兰效应”的困境;数据中心面临的恐慌;ICE突击检查增多对医院的影响;听众来信。听众米娅·卡莱从佛罗里达州的圣露西港发来留言。提问:我叫米娅,是佛罗里达州的一名高中数学教师,也是两个年幼女儿的母亲。我从同事们那里得知,如今佛罗里达州的学生想要进入大学变得越来越难。

Rest of the Week Why Norway's sovereign wealth fund is facing its own Ed Sheeran moment Panic! At the data center How increased ICE raids impact hospitals Listener Mailbag Listener Mia Calle is messaging from Port St. Lucie, Fl. Question: My name is Mia, and I am a high school math teacher in Florida and mother of two young daughters. I keep hearing about how it is becoming increasingly difficult for students to be admitted to colleges in Florida from my colleagues.

能否帮我解释一下:为何全国范围内的大学入学率都在下降,而佛罗里达州公立大学的入学竞争却愈发激烈呢?是否因为该州设有以成绩为依据的“光明未来奖学金计划”,从而吸引了比其他州更多的申请者呢?我在密歇根州长大,当时该州的“承诺奖学金计划”最终未能实施。还有哪些州设有类似的奖学金项目呢?这类计划能否扭转全国大学入学率持续走低的趋势呢?

Can you help me reconcile the decline in college enrollment nationally with the increase in competition to enroll in public universities in Florida? Is the latter because the state has the Bright Futures program which is based on merit and may encourage a wider pool of applicants compared to other states? I grew up in Michigan after the Michigan (broken) Promise Scholarship fell through. Are there other states that offer similar programs? Is this an antidote to reverse the national downward trend in college enrollment?

回答:就在上周,我们在节目中还提到,预计直到2041年,全美的大学入学率都将持续下降。不过过去三年里,佛罗里达州的大学入学率稳步上升,预计明年也会保持这一势头。目前尚不清楚这一趋势能否延续下去……但可以确定的是,美国南部地区未来仍将持续有大量高中毕业生涌现。到2041年,田纳西州的毕业生人数预计将增长15%,南卡罗来纳州增长14%,而佛罗里达州也将增加12%!

Answer: Just last week, re talking on the show how college enrollment is set to decline steadily through 2041. Florida has seen college enrollment steadily rise the past three years and is set to do the same into next year. We don't know whether the trend will continue… BUT we do know the South is set to keep churning out high school graduates at a steady pace. Tennessee is set to see a 15 percent bump by 2041, South Carolina 14 percent and…Florida at a 12 percent increase!

以下是近年来促使佛罗里达州大学入学率上升的一些可能因素:价格因素:据《美国新闻与世界报道》统计,佛罗里达州是全美州内学费与杂费最便宜的州。该网站还连续11年将佛罗里达州评为全美高等教育水平最高的州。外州学生的需求:在2021至2022学年,佛罗里达州的州外学生学费水平在全美排名第11低。佛罗里达大学与佛罗里达州立大学均属于州外学生学费相对低廉且教学质量出色的院校。

Here are some potential contributing factors to Florida's college enrollment increasing the past few years: Price: Florida has the MOST affordable in-state tuition and fees, according to U.S. News & World Report. The website has also ranked Florida the NUMBER ONE state for higher education for the past 11 years. Demand from out-of-state students: In 2021-2022, Florida had the 11th-lowest OUT-of-state tuition.

“光明未来”奖学金计划:这是一项旨在帮助成绩优异的佛罗里达州高中毕业生负担本地大学学费的奖学金项目。在刚刚过去的2024-25学年,共有37,114名新生获得了该奖学金,用以支付在州内上学的费用。

AND both the University of Florida and Florida State University are among the most affordable highly rated schools for out-of-state tuition. Bright Futures: This is a scholarship program to help high-achieving Florida high school grads afford school in-state.

你提到经常听说佛罗里达州的大学竞争力日益提升。就佛罗里达大学而言,其录取率确实在逐年下降:几年前这一比例约为33%,而去年则降至19.8%。该校还多次入选各类顶尖大学榜单,这也进一步提升了其竞争力。感谢你的提问,米娅!

Last year, in the 2024-25 school year, 37,114 new students got disbursements to help pay for school in-state. You said you kept hearing how Florida schools are becoming more competitive. Well, at least for the University of Florida, its acceptance rate IS certainly getting tougher. From ~33% a few years ago to 19.8% last year.

1984年,吉姆·莱勒主持PBS新闻一小时节目。图片来源:艾拉·施瓦茨/美联社 隐藏说明 切换说明 图片来源:艾拉·施瓦茨/美联社Jim Lehrer hosting PBS Newshour back in 1984 Ira Schwarz/AP Photo hide caption toggle caption i Ira Schwarz/AP Photo

如果你有经济学相关问题,欢迎发送邮件至indicator@npr.org与我们联系。

It's made quite a few top college lists which helps this competitiveness too. Thanks for your question, Mia!

闲暇时光:1984年时,吉姆·莱勒正在主持《PBS新闻一小时》。 。共同主持人阿德里安·马也在观看《PBS新闻一小时》。最近我经常看《PBS新闻一小时》,这挺有意思的,因为长期以来我其实并不算电视新闻的忠实观众。

If you have an economics question, send us a message at indicator@npr.org. In Our Spare Time Jim Lehrer hosting PBS Newshour back in 1984 Ira Schwarz/AP Photo Co-host Adrian Ma is watching PBS Newshour I've been watching a lot of PBS NewsHour lately, which is funny to me, because for the longest time, I wasn't a TV-news person.

我是在一个只看福克斯新闻的家庭中长大的。自上世纪90年代该频道开播以来,我家里的电视就总是调在奥莱利、贝克、汉尼提或英格拉汉姆的节目上。这种环境塑造了我对电视新闻的印象:嗓门洪亮的主持人、花哨的舞台布景、炫目的动画特效以及耸人听闻的标题。这类节目虽然不会让我觉得无聊,却并非我的菜。它们能迅速激起人的应激反应——正因如此,多年来我一直刻意避开电视新闻。

I grew up in a Fox News household. Ever since it went on the air in the 90s, there was always a TV in my house turned to O'Reilly, Beck, Hannity or Ingraham. And that shaped my idea of TV news: shouty hosts, flashy sets, woosh-y graphics, and sensational headlines. It wasn't for me, but it certainly wasn't boring. TV that gets your fight-or-flight response going. Because of that, I avoided watching TV news for many years. Then a few years ago, I started watching PBS NewsHour.

直到几年前,我开始观看《PBS新闻一小时》。起初我觉得“这节目也太无趣了吧”,但随着观看次数增多,我逐渐意识到这种“无趣”其实是一种优势:它以理性、尊重、冷静且富有人情味的方式传递新闻信息。简而言之,这是一种“最棒的无趣”。

At first, I thought, "This is BORING TV." But the more I watched, the more I came to see its boringness as a superpower. It delivers the news in a way that's smart, respectful, non-sensational, calm, and humane. In short, it is boring in the best way.