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美国消费者新闻与商业频道

华尔街正将数据中心吹捧为一项重大的房地产投资。风险正在不断累积Wall Street is pitching data centers as a major real estate bet. The risks are piling up

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数据中心正在引发美国社会的分歧。一方面,华尔街的资本巨头们热切看好人工智能作为未来经济引擎的潜力;另一方面,普通民众对此却日益不满。随着为谷歌Gemini、Meta的Muse、Anthropic的Claude以及OpenAI的ChatGPT提供算力的数据中心在美国各地纷纷落地,各大金融机构正试图向投资者推销AI基础设施投资,将其作为房地产投资组合的一部分以实现资产多元化。

Data centers have divided America. The ire of everyday citizens continues to increase against a backdrop of enthusiastic and deep-pocketed Wall Street investors betting artificial intelligence is the economic engine of the future. And as data centers that power the answers for Google's Gemini, Meta's Muse, Anthropic's Claude and OpenAI's ChatGPT spread across the U.S. landscape, the financial firms are attempting to pitch investors on AI infrastructure as part of a real estate allocation that can diversify a portfolio.

目前,那些承诺让投资者分享AI经济基础设施红利的另类投资基金,主要面向养老基金等机构投资者。不过这一趋势也在一定程度上波及到了散户市场。另类投资领域的巨头黑石集团走在了前列,今年初它推出了名为“黑石数字基础设施信托”的房地产投资信托基金(REIT),该基金已在纽约证券交易所上市交易。

For the most part, the funds from alternative investment companies promising investors a piece of the physical infrastructure powering the AI economy remain the province of institutional investors like pension funds. But the trend has to a limited degree also dipped into the retail investor market. Alternative investments giant Blackstone has been at the forefront, creating the Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust, a newly formed real estate investment trust, or REIT, that trades on the NYSE, earlier this year.

“我们认为这是一个绝佳机遇:既能全面布局那些运营稳定的数据中心,又能在公开市场上占据一席之地,”黑石集团首席执行官尼克·佩尔在5月份接受CNBC《Squawk on the Street》节目采访时说道。

"We saw this as an opportunity to capture the whole market of stabilized data centers and build a home in the public market where we think it belongs," CEO Nick Pell said in a CNBC "Squawk on the Street" interview in May.

尽管美国各地众多新建数据中心项目仍面临公众舆论与政治风向的变化影响,纽约州与德克萨斯州等地甚至还出台了相关禁令,但这家黑石REIT基金主要将投资目标锁定在弗吉尼亚州北部与达拉斯等发展成熟的市场。这些地区在AI热潮兴起之前便已拥有大量数据中心。

While many new data center projects across the U.S. remain subject to shifts in public and political opinion — and various moratoriums including in the states of New York and Texas — the Blackstone REIT is primarily focusing on data centers in already mature markets such as Northern Virginia and Dallas, where sprawling data centers have had a significant presence that predates the AI boom.

“这是风险最低的投资方式,”佩尔补充道。据黑石集团介绍,其目标市场规模高达3000亿美元,公司可从中精挑细选合适的数据中心项目提供给投资者。今年5月中旬,该基金首次公开募股时以每股20美元的价格售出了8750万股。然而自那以后,其股价已累计下跌约16%,截至周四收盘时股价已降至17美元以下。黑石集团拒绝进一步置评。

"It is the lowest risk way to play," Pell said, adding that Blackstone can then hand-select data centers to offer investors from what it says is a $300 billion market. The company sold 87.5 million shares at $20 apiece in its mid-May debut. But the fund is down roughly 16% since then, with shares closing under $17 on Thursday. Blackstone declined to provide further comment.

作为以房地产投资信托基金形式上市的数据中心开发商,Equinix与Digital Realty Trust的长期表现一直不错,不过自BXDC推出以来,其股价便陷入停滞状态。

Equinix and Digital Realty Trust, data center developers that trade as REITs, have fared well longer-term, though their shares have stalled in the period since the BXDC launch.

今年,房地产投资信托基金板块的整体表现优于利率上升、债券收益率走高的常规时期。通常情况下,在这样的环境下,由于借贷成本增加,房地产行业波动较大,投资者也会对那些以产生收益为目的的资产类股票兴趣降低。不过,大部分涨幅出现在今年早些时候,当时债券市场尚未出现剧烈波动;自8月起,许多房地产投资信托基金相关投资便开始遭遇抛售。

The REIT sector has performed better this year than it typically does during periods of rising rates and higher bond yields, a situation in which the real estate sector is typically volatile due to the increased cost of lending and investors finding sectors of the stock market associated with income-generating assets less attractive. But most of the gains came earlier in the year before the bond market stress intensified, with many REIT investments selling off since August.

佩尔在公司最近的财报电话会议上称,这一市场机遇“规模巨大,预计未来几年内我们业务的总潜在市场规模将突破1万亿美元”。如今,数据中心正逐渐成为全美建筑开支的重要组成部分。事实上,在众多其他行业建筑支出持续下滑的背景下,人工智能相关建设有力支撑了全美建筑开支的增长。

Pell described the opportunity on the company's most recent earnings call as "massive, with a total addressable market for our business expected to eclipse $1 trillion over the next several years." Data centers are an increasingly big part of construction spending nationally. In fact, construction spending across the U.S. has been propped up by AI construction while many other sectors' construction spending has been on the decline.

在将数据中心作为投资机会提供给投资者的另类投资机构中,黑石集团并非唯一一家。据悉,Blue Owl目前虽已为高端投资者运营着一只私人数字基础设施基金,但正考虑推出一只规模最高可达65亿美元的公开上市房地产投资信托基金,将现有的数据中心投资项目整合进该基金。据称,Blue Owl在全球32个市场拥有130多座数据中心,管理资产规模超过180亿美元。相比之下,黑石集团的BXDC至今尚未向任何投资项目投入资金。

Blackstone is not alone among alternative investment firms offering up data centers as investment opportunities. Blue Owl, which already runs a private digital infrastructure fund for sophisticated investors, is reportedly considering the launch of a public REIT with a value as high as $6.5 billion which will roll up existing data center investments into the new fund. The company says it owns over 130 data centers in 32 global markets representing over $18 billion in assets. By contrast, Blackstone's BXDC has not yet deployed any capital into investments.

Blue Owl方面拒绝接受CNBC的采访。不过,该公司联席首席执行官马克·利普舒尔茨在最近的一篇领英帖文中力挺这一行业,称数据中心是几十年来最具潜力的长期投资方向之一,并强调其具备风险较低且回报可观的优势。利普舒尔茨表示:“这些项目始终能带来稳定收益,信用风险也相对较低。相关合同条款设有保障机制,即便租户提前退租,我们也能免受损失。”

Blue Owl declined to comment to CNBC, but Blue Owl's co-CEO Marc Lipschultz made the case for the sector in a recent LinkedIn post, calling data centers one of the strongest long-term investment opportunities in decades and citing an attractive, lower risk-return profile. "These projects have delivered consistent results with reduced credit risk. Contracts are structured with protections that make us whole even if a tenant exits early," Lipschultz said.

虽然并非房地产投资信托基金,但房地产资产管理巨头布鲁克菲尔德资产管理公司今年7月还是将其旗下数据中心服务提供商Csquare作为独立上市实体在纽约证券交易所挂牌交易。自上市以来,其股价已累计下跌近16%。

While not a REIT, real estate asset management giant Brookfield Asset Management listing its data center services provider, Csquare, as a stand-alone trading vehicle on the NYSE in July. Its shares have declined close to 16% since debuting.

不过,如今这一投资逻辑正遭遇一股阻力——这种阻力在黑石集团推出相关基金时尚不明显,即日益高涨的政治反对声浪。盖洛普的全国性民调显示,70%的美国民众反对在自己所在地区建设数据中心,且这种反对情绪跨越了党派界限:今年秋季《纽约时报》与西耶纳学院联合开展的民调也显示,无论属于哪个政党,约三分之二的受访者均持反对态度。

But the investment case is running into a headwind that was less intense when Blackstone launched its fund: a fast-growing political backlash. National polling from Gallup found 70% of Americans oppose a data center being built in their area, and that opposition is bipartisan — a New York Times/Siena poll this fall found roughly two-thirds opposed regardless of party.

今年7月,纽约州率先颁布禁令,暂停审批新的超大规模数据中心项目;8月,得克萨斯州也紧随其后。就在一年前还称该州为人工智能“中心地带”的得州州长格雷格·阿博特,在要求对电网连接情况展开审计后,又下令暂停新项目的审批。对投资者而言,风险不仅在于数据中心能否顺利建成,更在于地方及州级层面的政治因素是否会拖慢甚至破坏那些原本已被纳入基金收益预期的项目进度。

New York became the first state to pass a moratorium on new hyperscale data center approvals in July, and Texas followed in August, with Gov. Greg Abbott — who called the state the AI "epicenter" just a year earlier — ordering a halt on new approvals after already having called for a grid-connection audit in August. For investors, the risk isn't just whether a data center gets built, but whether local and state politics slow down or derail projects already baked into a fund's return assumptions.

9月下旬,甲骨文公司股价下跌4%。此前该公司发布了与“朱庇特计划”相关的不可抗力通知。该计划是在新墨西哥州建设的数据中心园区项目,也是Blue Owl主导的“星门”人工智能基础设施建设项目的一部分。甲骨文方面称,若该项目无法在2028年前投入运营,公司将寻求延期支付相关费用,原因包括监管障碍及当地民众的反对。不过该公司也强调,项目目前仍在按计划推进。

Oracle's stock fell 4% in late September after the company sent a force majeure notice tied to Project Jupiter, a New Mexico data center campus and part of the broader Stargate AI buildout developed by Blue Owl. Oracle is seeking to delay payment on the project if it isn't operational by 2028, citing a mix of regulatory hurdles and local opposition. But it says the project remains on track.

这些风险具有全球性,对于在全球范围内拥有并投资各类项目的投资者而言同样如此。一家获得英伟达与黑石集团支持的澳大利亚数据中心企业,因投资者兴趣寥寥而取消了原定的首次公开募股计划。

These risks are global as well for investors that own and finance projects around the world. An Nvidia and Blackstone-backed Australian data center company just pulled its planned IPO due to underwhelming investor interest.

此外,与人工智能产业相关的宏观经济波动也日益显著。周四,有消息称OpenAI的营收预期比原先预测值低了近200亿美元,导致众多人工智能概念股纷纷下跌。

There is also the broader economic volatility increasingly linked to the AI trade. On Thursday, many AI-themed stocks sank when it was reported that an OpenAI revenue forecast was close to $20 billion below a prior revenue projection.

葛底斯堡学院金融学教授萨布尔·莫拉指出,鉴于云计算、人工智能、数字服务及数据存储领域的需求持续增长,数据中心可被视为极具吸引力的长期投资标的。

Sabur Mollah, professor of finance at Gettysburg College, said data centers can represent attractive long-term investments because of the growing demand for cloud computing, AI, digital services, and data storage.

“优质的数据中心设施能够通过与大型科技企业签订的长期租赁协议带来相对稳定的租金收入,”莫拉补充道,“该领域的主要潜在回报包括持续的租金收益、分享数字经济的结构性增长红利,以及实现投资组合在传统房地产领域之外的多元化配置。”

"High-quality facilities may generate relatively stable rental income through long-term lease agreements with large technology companies," Mollah said, adding that the principal potential rewards include sustained rental income, exposure to the structural growth of the digital economy, and diversification beyond traditional real estate sectors.

不过莫拉也强调,该行业属于资本密集型产业,对稳定的电力供应、冷却系统及网络连通性有着高度依赖。同时,人工智能热潮也容易让部分投资者丧失理性判断能力。

However, Mollah said, the sector is highly capital intensive and depends critically on reliable access to electricity, cooling systems, and network connectivity. And the hype and excitement around AI can cause some investors to put blinders on.

“主要风险包括:因对人工智能的过度追捧导致的估值虚高、高昂的开发与维护成本、对少数大型科技租户的过度依赖,以及电力供应方面的限制,”莫拉说道。

"The key risks include overvaluation driven by excessive enthusiasm surrounding AI, substantial development and maintenance costs, dependence on a limited number of major technology tenants, and constraints on power availability," Mollah said.

其他潜在风险还包括技术过时、再融资风险、施工延期以及持续不断的资本投入需求。

Additional concerns include technological obsolescence, refinancing risk, construction delays, and the need for continuing capital expenditure.

市场与政治因素之外的数据中心风险 作为一家保险经纪及风险咨询机构,IMA公司的数字风险业务负责人帕特里克·达茨与数据中心业务联合负责人瑞秋·尼克松指出,数据中心投资面临的影响因素众多。

Data center dangers beyond the market and politics Many factors can come into play with data center investments, said Patrick Datz, digital risk practice leader, and Rachel Nixon, data center practice co-lead at IMA, an insurance brokerage and risk-advisory firm.

“从非市场风险的角度来看,自然灾害属于人类无法控制的‘天灾’,”达茨说道。他补充说,正因如此,过去数据中心大多选址在弗吉尼亚州的‘数据中心走廊’,因为那里地理位置优越且自然灾害发生频率较低。不过如今,各地都在大力建设数据中心,这也使得它们面临更多风险。

"From a non-market danger standpoint, natural disasters, 'the Act of God' that you have no control of," Datz said, adding that that is why data centers were typically built in "Data Center Alley" in Virginia in the past, because of the location and infrequency of natural disasters. But now there is a push to build them everywhere, and that exposes them to more risk.

‘数据中心随时有可能因灾害而中断运行,’达茨指出,‘这时保险就派上用场了。’

"There is always that danger of the asset being taken off line," Datz said, and that is where insurance comes into play.

‘如果数据中心无法维持承诺的正常运行时间,就会给与之签订合同的各方带来一系列后续问题。风险确实不少,’尼克松说道。

"If the uptime goes down, just not having the uptime they have promised, whoever their contract is with can create other problems down the line. There are a lot of risks," Nixon said.

不过两人都表示,总体而言他们认为数据中心投资仍是稳妥的选择。

Still, both said that overall they see data centers as a safe bet.

‘我们非常看好这一领域,’达茨说道。他补充说,面向投资者开放的数据中心项目通常都经过严格审核,并有价值30亿至50亿美元的保险作为保障。

"We are big believers in the space," Datz said, adding that the data centers held out for investors are usually vetted and underwritten by $3 to $5 billion in insurance.

‘数据中心的设计经过深思熟虑,建设过程也非一蹴而就。参与承保的保险公司向来谨慎行事,绝不会冒不必要的风险,’达茨说道。

"A lot of thought is going into the design, this isn't an overnight build and the insurance carriers involved are not risk takers, they will play it safe," Datz said.

目前,普通散户对数据中心投资的兴趣仍较为有限。市场数据显示,即便是像普通股票一样可自由买卖的黑石房地产投资信托基金,其股权结构中也有约94%由机构投资者持有。

Retail interest is limited to date. Even in the Blackstone REIT, which can be bought and sold like any stocks, roughly 94% of ownership is institutional, according to market data.

不过,随着美国证券交易委员会主席保罗·阿特金斯上周公布相关提案——旨在拓宽普通散户参与私募投资的渠道,并将原本仅面向机构及高净值人群的基金管理模式(如对冲基金的业绩报酬机制)推广至更多投资品类——未来将有更多私人资本流向散户群体。

But the trend of bringing more private investments to retail investors is set to accelerate with Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Paul Atkins unveiling proposals last week to increase retail investor access to private investments, and bring aspects of fund management long associated with the institutional and high-net-worth world (e.g. hedge fund performance fees) to a broader range of investments.

正如甲骨文公司的相关公告所显示的那样,专家提醒投资者:面对任何新兴资产类别,尤其是那些传统上主要由机构投资者涉足的领域,都应谨慎行事。

Experts caution, as the Oracle announcement illustrates, that investors should tread carefully, as with any new asset class and especially one often associated with institutional buyers.

首先,流动性就是一大难题。如果你指望通过投资数据中心来随时套现,恐怕会失望而归。

For starters, liquidity is a big issue. If you think you can use a data center investment as a sort of ATM, you might be disappointed.

“这些投资项目背后的基础设施原本是为少数进行大额投资的机构投资者设计的,并非为数百万进行小额投资的散户服务,”财富管理技术平台InvestCloud旗下Altic(私募市场)部门总裁安德鲁·塔弗说道。

"The infrastructure behind these investments was built for a relatively small number of institutional investors making large commitments and not for millions of retail investors investing smaller amounts," said Andrew Tarver, president of Altic (Private Markets) at InvestCloud, a wealth management technology platform.

塔弗将这种模式形容为“邮局模式”:即一个专为缓慢且手动处理的交易而设计的系统,并不适用于高频的零售交易。在投资任何像房地产投资信托基金这类在主要交易所每日都有流动性交易的公开上市证券之外的项目前,投资者应当先了解赎回窗口期、流动性限制以及底层资产的运作机制——因为能够购买某只基金并不等同于能立刻提取现金。

Tarver describes this as a "post office" model: a system designed for slower, manual transactions, not continuous retail activity. Before investing in anything outside a publicly traded security like a REIT or REIT fund with daily liquidity on a major exchange, investors should understand how redemption windows, liquidity limits and the underlying assets work, because access to a fund doesn't necessarily mean immediate access to their cash.

即便是经验丰富的投资者也见识过这类限制带来的问题:2026年,由于投资者们担忧会出现“软件即服务行业大崩盘”,纷纷急于套现离场,众多同时管理着数据中心投资的私募信贷基金管理者与股东之间爆发了激烈的赎回权争夺战。总体而言,将数据中心基金作为投资组合中占比不大的长期配置或许并无不可,但Falcon Wealth Advisors首席执行官杰克·法尔肯指出,投资数据中心及其他类似产品绝非一时冲动就能决定的事。

Even sophisticated investors have seen how these limits can be an issue with the battle between private credit fund managers — many of whom also manage data center investments — and shareholders over redemptions in 2026 as investors rushed for the exits over fears of the "SaaSpocalypse." Overall, a data-center fund may be appropriate as a modest, long-term portfolio allocation, but Jake Falcon, CEO of Falcon Wealth Advisors, said investing in data centers and other similar instruments isn't something that should be done on a whim.

不过他也表示,公开上市的房地产投资信托基金对许多个人投资者而言是合适的投资工具。“由于这类基金具备流动性,相较于私募基金,我对其持更开放的态度,”他说道。“个人投资者在投资另类基金前必须加倍谨慎、深入了解……他们应当审视自己的整体投资组合,问问自己所考虑的投资项目是否是实现自身理财目标所必需的,”法尔肯补充道。

He did say the public REIT fund is an appropriate investment vehicle for many individual investors. "Since they offer liquidity, I'm not as opposed to them versus private funds," he said. "The individual investor needs to triple their understanding before investing in alternative funds. ... One should look at their overall portfolio and ask themselves if the investment they are considering is necessary for them to hit whatever goal they have for the money," Falcon added.

如果对此缺乏了解,他建议投资者应当进一步调研,或者寻求专业受托顾问的指导。

If they don't know, he said, they should research more or seek out a fiduciary advisor to guide them.