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“我们需要少一些互相指责”:政党会议季让我们对英国气候行动有了哪些了解‘We need less point scoring’: What party conference season taught us about UK climate action

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Kemi Badenoch made scrapping the future homes standard a central plank of her bid to become the next prime minister in Birmingham. Photograph: Tolga Akmen/EPA

新建住宅可能无需安装太阳能电池板、热泵和高等级保温材料,如果保守党赢得下次大选,这将导致家庭能源账单增加。

New homes could be built without solar panels, heat pumps and high-grade insulation, leading to higher household bills if the Conservative party wins the next general election.

在本周的保守党大会上,凯米·巴登诺赫将废除未来住宅标准(FHS)作为她竞选下一任首相的核心政策之一。

Kemi Badenoch made scrapping the future homes standard (FHS) one of the central planks of her bid to become the next prime minister at the Tory party conference this week.

尽管此次公告受到的关注远不及她关于遗产税的震撼性表态,但其影响将更为深远,波及人群更广。英国目前需要大约600万套新住宅,若这些住宅未配备高效低碳能源设施,将导致家庭在未来数十年里承受更高的能源账单。

The announcement gained little attention compared to her inheritance tax bombshell, but it would have more far-reaching impacts on a greater number of people. The UK is in need of approximately 6m new homes and failing to equip them with efficient and low-carbon energy sources would doom households to higher bills for decades to come.

保守党曾引用估算称新建住宅成本为3万英镑,但实际成本可能远低于此数字。安装热泵、太阳能电池板、储能电池和保温材料的成本大约在5000至8000英镑之间——这一数据基于2024年能源价格较低时的估算——可使家庭每年节省超过1300英镑的能源费用,而现在这一节省额可能更高。若在建成后进行改造,费用则可能超过2万英镑。

The Tories quoted estimates of £30,000 for new-build houses, but the real cost is likely to be much less. Installing heat pumps, solar panels, batteries and insulation costs about £5,000 to £8,000 at the point of building – a figure estimated in 2024 when energy prices were much lower – to save more than £1,300 a year on bills, a saving likely to be substantially higher now. To retrofit homes after building would cost more than £20,000.

牛津大学气候与能源政策教授Jan Rosenow表示:“如今建造的依赖化石燃料的住宅,对居民而言是一种负担。这也会导致投资者不确定性,并扰乱已经为这一转型做好准备的供应链。我们需要的是减少政治博弈,增加长期清晰度。”尽管房屋建筑商一直是保守党的主要捐助者之一,但近年来这一趋势有所下降。此外,根据英国绿色建筑委员会(UKGBC)的说法,建筑行业已为实施FHS做好准备,且必须在下次大选前落实该政策,因此废除FHS几乎没有实际好处。

Jan Rosenow, a professor of climate and energy policy at the University of Oxford, said: “Every home constructed today that runs on fossil fuels is a liability for the occupants. It also results in investor uncertainty and disrupts the supply chain that has been gearing up for this. What we need is less political point scoring and more long-term clarity.”Housebuilders have been among the biggest donors to the Conservative party, though this has fallen off in recent years. And according to the UK Green Building Council (UKGBC), the construction industry is well prepared for the FHS and will have to implement the policy before the next general election, so scrapping it is of little benefit.

Construction workers install solar panels on a house in the north-east of England. Photograph: Washington Imaging/Alamy

西蒙·麦克怀特(Simon McWhirter),英国绿色建筑委员会(UKGBC)首席执行官表示:“房屋建筑行业多年来一直在为《未来住宅标准》(FHS)的引入做准备,投入技能、供应链和新产品的研发。逆转方向将……拖慢人们所需住房建设的进程。” 巴登诺赫(Badenoch)的住房建设计划仅是保守党绿色政策被彻底推翻的一部分。尽管英国河流和海滩面临污水和农业污染危机,野生动物数量剧烈下降,但该党仍计划废除环境署和自然英格兰。

Simon McWhirter, the chief executive of UKGBC, said: “The housebuilding industry has spent years preparing for the introduction of the FHS, investing in skills, supply chains and new products. Reversing course would … risk slowing progress towards building the homes that people want and need.”Badenoch’s housebuilding plans are only part of a torching of the Tories’ green policies. Despite the crisis of sewage and farm pollution in the UK’s rivers and beaches, and the dramatic drop in wildlife, the party would abolish the Environment Agency and Natural England.

该党在环境问题和净零目标上的政策逆转,与选民的期望背道而驰,哈佛大学肯尼迪学者、英国跨党派气候议会小组前负责人罗比·麦克弗森(Robbie MacPherson)表示:“在经历了多年由化石燃料驱动的能源价格飙升和一个夏季的气候崩溃之后,任何想要赢得选举的政治策略都不能包含环境倒退。

The party’s U-turn on environmental issues and net zero was contrary to what voters wanted, said Robbie MacPherson, Kennedy scholar at Harvard University and the former head of the UK’s all-party parliamentary group on climate. “No winning political strategy, after years of fossil fuel-driven energy price spikes and a summer of climate breakdown, can include environmental regression.

“选民不会奖赏那些想要杀死就业机会、放弃经济增长、且无法让英国安全的政客。” 尽管保守党在党代会期间毁掉了自己的绿色形象,但同样出人意料的政策转变也来自绿党——该党上周末决定放弃其长期反对核能的立场。

“Voters won’t reward politicians who want to kill employment opportunities, spurn economic growth and fail to keep Britain safe.”While the Conservatives spent their party conference burning their green credentials, an equally unexpected U-turn came from the Green party, which resolved last weekend to abandon its long-held opposition to nuclear power.

尽管该党仍将优先发展可再生能源,但绿党议员现在可能支持新堆核反应堆的建设,以承认其在低碳发电中的潜在作用。

Although the party would still prioritise renewable energy, Green MPs could now support new reactors, in recognition of their potential role in low-carbon generation.

Zack Polanski at the party conference in Bournemouth. The Greens will still prioritise renewable energy but MPs will now support new nuclear reactors. Photograph: PA Images/Alamy Stock Photo/Alamy Live News

萨塞克斯大学贝内特学者、核咨询集团智库主席保罗·多夫曼(Paul Dorfman)表示:“绿党在核能问题上走错了路,这将导致他们失去大量草根支持和选票。”

Paul Dorfman, Bennett scholar at the University of Sussex and the chair of the Nuclear Consulting Group thinktank, said: “The Green party has taken a wrong turn on nuclear and this will lose them significant grassroot support and votes.

“由于建设时间长达20多年,反复延误和巨额成本超支,新核能项目将稀缺资源从更快的选项中抽走。可再生能源、储能、提高效率和加强电网可以在每一英镑的投入中提供更多价值。”本周霍尔本和圣潘克拉斯补选中绿党与工党的较量,很可能在即将到来的大选中重演,届时绿党可能成为工党在城市地区传统堡垒的主要挑战者。

“With 20-plus-year construction times, repeated delays and huge cost overruns, new nuclear diverts scarce resources from faster options. Renewables, storage, efficiency and stronger grids can deliver much more for every pound spent.”The battle between the Green party and the Labour party in this week’s Holborn and St Pancras byelection is likely to be repeated during the general election, where the Greens could be the main challengers in urban Labour strongholds.

针对萨加尔·阿卜迪-瓦利为工党赢得胜利,绿色和平英国政治事务主管艾米·麦卡锡表示:“阿卜迪-瓦利已经证明选民正把信任交给工党,但绿党提升了其得票率,仍然是一个严肃的挑战者。随着极端高温成为常态威胁,干旱延续全年大部分时间,人们对气候变化的担忧正在上升,且不可忽视。”在工党大会上,安迪·伯纳姆仅对气候、污染危机和自然问题作了简单提及。

Responding to Sagal Abdi-Wali’s win for Labour, Greenpeace UK’s head of politics, Ami McCarthy, said: “Abdi-Wali has shown that voters are putting their trust in Labour, but the Green party increased its share of the vote and remains a serious challenger. As extreme heat becomes a regular threat and droughts extend for much of the year, concern about climate change is on the rise and cannot be ignored.”At Labour’s conference, Andy Burnham made only passing references to the climate, pollution crises and nature.

他宣布成立一个公共所有机构,以投资能源电网,与私有化的国家电网并行,后者因电网升级进展缓慢而受到批评。此外,还提到了通过社区基金在英格兰种植50万棵树来支持本地自然的举措。

He announced a publicly owned body to invest in the energy grid, alongside the privatised National Grid, which has been criticised for slow progress on upgrades. There was also a nod towards localised support for nature with a community fund for planting 500,000 trees across England.

Andy Burnham made only passing references to the climate, pollution crises and nature at the Labour conference. Photograph: Adam Vaughan/EPA

麦卡锡说:“选民将把工党与那些有明确计划降低能源账单、应对气候危机的其他党进行比较,而不是与保守党和改革党的幻想相比。工党有一个明确的计划,但需要付诸实施——首先是彻底反对任何在北海争夺化石燃料的行为。”据报道,关于玫瑰银行和乔达沃钻井场地未来的决定被推迟以配合此次补选,麦卡锡表示这将“真正定义该政府在气候问题上的遗产”。

McCarthy said: “Voters will be comparing Labour with other parties that have a clear plan to lower energy bills and tackle the climate crisis rather than with the fantasies of the Conservatives and Reform. Labour has a clear plan but needs to deliver it – starting with a full-throated rejection of any scramble for fossil fuels in the North Sea.”The decision on the future of the Rosebank and Jackdaw drilling sites was reportedly postponed for the byelection, and McCarthy said it would “truly define this government’s legacy on climate”.

未能认识并应对英国因创纪录的夏季高温和干旱所造成的损害将付出高昂代价,活动人士警告称。创纪录的厄尔尼诺天气系统正在酝酿,受全球变暖的推动而加剧,可能给关键农业地区带来热浪、干旱和洪水,导致数百万人陷入饥饿,并推高全球食品价格。

Failure to recognise and tackle the damage caused to the UK by a summer of record heat and drought would prove costly, campaigners warned. A record El Niño weather system is brewing, super-charged by global heating and likely to bring heatwaves, droughts and floods to key agricultural areas, pushing millions into hunger and raising food prices globally.

地球之友组织的运动负责人罗西·唐斯表示:“随着厄尔尼诺给英国带来更湿润、更多风暴的冬季,我们迫切需要看到一些政党重新回到现实。政府必须将其言论转化为行动,以造福人民和地球。”

Rosie Downes, the head of campaigns at Friends of the Earth, said: “With El Niño bringing a wetter and stormier winter season to the UK, we desperately need to see some parties getting back in touch with reality. The government must translate its words into action that delivers for people and the planet.”