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澳大利亚从未设计性地将移民逆转。急刹车会带来灾难性后果吗?Australia has never driven migration into reverse by design. Would slamming the brakes on be calamitous?

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除去新西兰人和持访客签证者,过去15年间,临时移民占澳大利亚人口的比例已增长一倍以上。图为邦迪海滩。摄影:danefromspain/Getty Images/iStockphotoExcluding New Zealanders and those on visitor visas, temporary migrants as a share of Australia’s population has more than doubled over the past 15 years. Image shows Bondi Beach. Photograph: danefromspain/Getty Images/iStockphoto

澳大利亚确实面临移民挑战——但这并不是一国党和联盟所认为的那样。

澳大利亚正在考虑一件它从未做过的事情:故意将净海外移民推向逆转。

在我们这个移民国家的历史中,出现更多人离开海岸而非抵达的延长时期,仅发生在经济崩溃、战争和疫情等剧烈动荡时期。

Australia does have a migration challenge – but it’s not what One Nation and the Coalition think it is Australia is flirting with the idea of something it has never done: deliberately driving net overseas migration into reverse In the history of our immigrant nation, extended periods of more people leaving our shores than arriving have only happened during convulsive moments: economic collapses, wars and pandemics.