
克里斯·布鲁尼-洛(左)和奈杰尔·法拉奇在2023年5月伦敦梅费尔的一家餐厅。
Chris Bruni-Lowe (left) and Nigel Farage at a Mayfair restaurant in London in May 2023.
摄影:MJ Pictures 奈杰尔·法拉奇的顾问在民调公司担任未公开角色 独家:消息人士称克里斯·布鲁尼-洛利用在Redfield & Wilton Strategies的职务制定潜在竞选策略 据《卫报》揭露,奈杰尔·法拉奇的一位亲密顾问在一家全国性民调公司发挥了重要作用,尽管他并未公开与该公司关联。
Photograph: MJ Pictures Nigel Farage adviser had unpublicised role at polling firm Exclusive: Chris Bruni-Lowe used Redfield & Wilton Strategies role to develop potential campaign tactics, sources say A close adviser to Nigel Farage had an influential role at a national polling company despite not being publicly associated with the firm, the Guardian can reveal.
多位曾在那里工作的消息人士称,克里斯·布鲁尼-洛是法拉奇多年的私人民调专家,他在Redfield & Wilton Strategies的运营中扮演了重要角色,并利用该公司制定潜在的竞选策略。
Chris Bruni-Lowe, Farage’s private pollster for many years, played an important role in the operations of Redfield & Wilton Strategies and used it to develop potential campaign strategies, according to several sources who have worked there.
该公司成立于2020年,由律师布鲁诺·罗德里格斯所有。其主要公众形象是哈佛大学毕业生菲利普·范·谢尔廷加。
The firm, founded in 2020, is owned by Bruno Rodrigues, a lawyer. Its main public face was Philip van Scheltinga, a Harvard graduate.
随着新冠疫情蔓延、英国进入封锁,该公司的民调获得了越来越多的报道,尽管其民调专业知识的来源当时尚不明确。前员工现在透露,布鲁尼-洛发挥了重要作用,他有时使用“克里斯·雷德菲尔德”这个名字,华盛顿邮报曾以此名引用他的言论。
As the Covid pandemic grew and the UK entered lockdown, the company’s polls received increasing coverage, even while the source of the firm’s polling expertise was unclear. Former employees have now revealed the important role of Bruni-Lowe, who sometimes went by the name “Chris Redfield”, under which quotes were published by the Washington Post newspaper.
除了委托英国和美国选民意向民调,消息人士称布鲁尼-洛还指导了关于议会支出等议题的研究,并且似乎“痴迷”于制作一份他建议可卖给政党的文件。
As well as ordering UK and US voter intention polls, sources said Bruni-Lowe directed research on issues such as council spending, and appeared “obsessed” with producing a dossier which he suggested could be sold to political parties.
布鲁尼-洛在该公司的角色将放大人们对民调行业透明度的质疑,因为他长期与法拉奇有关联,而此时政党使用民调塑造政治叙事正受到密切审查。
Bruni-Lowe’s role at the company will amplify questions about transparency in the polling industry, given his longstanding association with Farage at a time of intense scrutiny over the party’s use of polls to shape its political narrative.
英国民调委员会的规则不要求民调员声明任何政治立场,但他们有严格的指导方针,规定必须声明谁委托并支付了任何民调。
The rules of the British Polling Council do not require pollsters to state any political affiliations, but they have strict guidelines on how they must declare who has commissioned and paid for any polling.
在一份声明中,公司唯一董事罗德里格斯表示,Redfield & Wilton与改革英国或法拉奇之间从未存在过“机构性的、民意调查的、研究的、委托的或财务关系”。
In a statement, Rodrigues, the company’s sole director, said there had never been “an institutional, polling, research, commissioning or financial relationship” between Redfield & Wilton and Reform UK or Farage.
他说,布鲁尼-洛伊自2020年中至2022年底一直担任“顾问”,并在2025年夏季“自愿”返回,以培训实习生。罗德里格斯补充说,布鲁尼-洛伊是团队中“重要且备受重视”的成员。
He said Bruni-Lowe had worked as a “consultant” from mid-2020 until late 2022, and returned “voluntarily” in the summer of 2025 to train interns. Rodrigues added that Bruni-Lowe was “an important and highly valued member” of the team.
消息人士称,布鲁尼-洛伊(一些员工称其为“克里斯·雷德菲尔德”)深度参与了公司的民意调查运营。
Sources said Bruni-Lowe, who some employees said had been known as “Chris Redfield”, was heavily involved in the company’s polling operations.
罗德里格斯表示,姓氏“雷德菲尔德”在组织内部被用作电子邮件账户的命名惯例,他还举了“菲利普·雷德菲尔德”和“布鲁诺·雷德菲尔德”等其他例子。他说:“这不是专门为克里斯创造的设备,也没有在公司内部工作的人面前隐瞒他的身份。”尽管如此,情况仍然令人困惑,以至于至少有一家报纸——《华盛顿邮报》将引用归因于该姓名,而一名前员工在2021年夏季的口头入职培训中所做的笔记(被《卫报》看到)则描述为:“老板——克里斯·雷德菲尔德实际上是首席运营官”。
Rodrigues said the surname Redfield was used as an email account convention within the organisation, citing other examples of “Philip Redfield” and “Bruno Redfield”. He said: “It was not a device created specifically for Chris and it did not conceal his identity from people working within the company.”Nonetheless, the situation was confusing enough that at least one newspaper, the Washington Post, attributed quotes to that name, while notes taken by one former employee during an oral induction in the summer of 2021, and seen by the Guardian, described “boss – Chris Redfield is COO essentially”.
罗德里格斯说:“他从未被向员工展示为公司的首席运营官,也没有人被指示将他视为如此。”他补充说,作为研究主管的范·谢尔廷加领导了“日常运营”。
Rodrigues said: “He was never presented to staff as the company’s chief operating officer and staff were never instructed to treat him as such.”He added that Van Scheltinga, as director of research, led the “day-to-day operation”.
《卫报》还可以透露,当时担任法拉奇高级顾问的丹·朱克斯曾在2020年试图推广Redfield & Wilton的工作,希望在包括《卫报》在内的出版物中独家发布民意调查,但该报拒绝了这一提议。
The Guardian can also reveal that Dan Jukes, then a senior adviser to Farage, sought to promote Redfield & Wilton’s work in 2020, looking to place exclusive polls in publications including the Guardian, which turned down the offer.
朱克斯最近因一起丑闻而辞去法拉奇的首席幕僚职务,该丑闻中,卧底记者冒充潜在的海外捐助者,试图向英国改革党提供资金。第四频道新闻发布的画面显示,民调公司JL Partners的联合创始人詹姆斯·约翰逊显然承认,朱克斯曾委托一项由海外捐助者资助的民调。
Jukes stepped down as Farage’s chief of staff recently over a scandal in which undercover reporters posed as potential overseas donors to Reform UK. Footage published by Channel 4 News showed the co-founder of polling firm JL Partners, James Johnson, apparently acknowledging that Jukes had commissioned polling funded by an overseas donor.

该民调曾在报刊上出现,但未提及任何政党关联,JL Partners承认其程序存在“漏洞”。
The polling had appeared in newspapers without any reference to the party, with JL Partners acknowledging “weaknesses” in its procedures.
朱克斯否认有任何不当行为,而英国改革党表示该党本身并未委托进行该项工作。周三,英国改革党宣布,内部调查已清除官员违法的嫌疑。但此事仍在警方调查之中。
Jukes denies wrongdoing and Reform UK has said the party itself did not commission the work. On Wednesday, Reform announced that an internal inquiry had cleared the officials of breaking the law The matter remains under police investigation.

红菲尔德与威尔顿公司自2020年开始制作民调,鲜有关于公司背后人物的信息。在其于2024年底之前仍较为活跃的公开时期,其选民意向民调经常出现在Politico、《泰晤士报》和《新政治家》等具有政治影响力的新闻通讯中。
Redfield & Wilton started producing polls in 2020 with little information about the people behind the company. During its publicly active years before it became less visible in late 2024, its voter intention polls frequently appeared in politically influential newsletters from Politico, the Times, and the New Statesman.
布鲁尼-洛曾协助法拉奇进行2015年大选竞选,帮助测试脱欧党成立时的信息传递,并就2019年地方选举竞选提供建议。此外,自2014年至少起,他一直为法拉奇制作私人民调,唯一的例外是在2024年大选前,他曾短暂为里希·苏纳克工作。他在政治策略方面的著作中写道,自己曾为“各种政治立场的组织和候选人”工作。
Bruni-Lowe ran Farage’s 2015 election campaign, helped test messaging for the formation of the Brexit party and advised on the 2019 local elections campaign, as well as having produced private polling for Farage since at least 2014, apart from during a brief period of working for Rishi Sunak before the 2024 election. In his book on political strategy, he writes of having worked for “organisations and candidates of all political persuasions”.
他被视为法拉奇的核心圈子成员,并且与英国改革党领袖关系十分密切,以至于他在2022年圣诞节期间随同前往党员克里斯托弗·哈伯恩位于泰国的健康疗养地参加其60岁生日庆典,哈伯恩是一名加密货币亿万富翁。
He is considered to be part of Farage’s inner circle and was close enough to the Reform UK leader to have been present on a trip to party donor Christopher Harborne’s Thai wellness retreat at Christmas in 2022 to mark the crypto billionaire’s 60th birthday.
图片中从左至右依次为:乔治·科特雷尔当时的女友乔治亚·托福洛、克里斯·布鲁尼-洛、乔治·科特雷尔、一名未被识别的男子、克里斯托弗·哈伯恩和奈杰尔·法拉奇,他们于2022年12月合影。
Left to right: George Cottrell’s then girlfriend Georgia Toffolo, Chris Bruni-Lowe, Cottrell, an unidentified man, Christopher Harborne and Nigel Farage pictured together in December 2022.
其他在会议上被拍到的嘉宾还包括法拉奇的无偿助理、已被定罪的诈骗犯乔治·科特雷尔。
Other guests photographed at the meeting include Farage’s unpaid aide and convicted fraudster George Cottrell.
2023年5月,范·舍尔廷加和布鲁尼-洛在一家梅费尔餐厅与法拉奇、科特雷尔以及改革英国副领袖理查德·蒂斯一起被拍到喝酒。
In May 2023, Van Scheltinga and Bruni-Lowe were photographed having drinks at a Mayfair restaurant with Farage, Cottrell and Richard Tice, the Reform UK deputy leader.
2023年5月,在一家餐厅的餐桌周围,从左至右依次是:奈杰尔·法拉奇、克里斯·布鲁尼-洛、乔治·科特雷尔、赌博集团曼森集团的尼尔·加拉赫、菲利普·范·舍尔廷加、理查德·蒂斯,以及科特雷尔当时的女友乔治亚·托福洛。
Pictured around a restaurant table in May 2023 from left: Nigel Farage, Chris Bruni-Lowe, George Cottrell, Neil Gallacher of gambling group Mansion Group, Philip van Scheltinga, Richard Tice, and Cottrell’s then girlfriend Georgia Toffolo.
罗德里格斯说:“涉及与公司有关联的个人的个人或社交会议的存在,并不能证明雷德菲尔德与威尔顿战略公司与改革英国之间存在公司关系。”虽然雷德菲尔德与威尔顿发布的大部分民调与英国和美国选民的投票意向有关,但消息人士称,布鲁尼-洛曾让该公司的员工在2024年秋季至2025年春季期间制定一份关于地方当局表现的“档案”。
Rodrigues said: “The existence of personal or social meetings involving individuals associated with the company does not establish a corporate relationship between Redfield & Wilton Strategies and Reform UK.”While much of Redfield & Wilton’s published polling related to voter intentions in the UK and the US, sources said Bruni-Lowe had its staff develop a “dossier” on local authority performance between autumn 2024 and spring 2025.
一位消息人士表示,他建议该公司的工作可以出售给政党,并且布鲁尼-洛似乎对该档案“着迷”。员工的研究包括向地方议会提出信息自由请求,以查询翻译服务的支出情况。
One source said he suggested the firm’s work could be sold to political parties, and that Bruni-Lowe appeared “obsessed” with the dossier. Research by employees included freedom of information requests to councils to find expenditure on translation services.
罗德里格斯表示,该信息自由项目是一个“商业研究项目”,而翻译服务只是范·舍尔廷加领导的项目中公司所审查的“几十个类别”之一。他补充说,这些研究没有一份提供给改革英国或法拉奇。
Rodrigues said the FOI project was a “commercial research project” and translation services were just one of “several dozen categories” examined by the company in a project led by Van Scheltinga. He added that none of the research was supplied to Reform or Farage.
消息人士称,该公司的其他工作还包括在黑山、匈牙利、香港和巴哈马进行的民调,以及关于英国民众对黄金和加密货币态度的研究。
The company’s other work, sources said, included polling in Montenegro, Hungary, Hong Kong and the Bahamas, as well as research about attitudes in the UK to gold and cryptocurrencies.
员工并不总是被明确告知他们的工作将如何被使用。根据一名前员工的说法,他们被告知自己在外国选举上的工作是为《每日电讯报》服务的,但该民调从未在该报上出现。另一人表示,他们相信自己在加密货币方面的工作是为某客户进行的。
Employees were not always told exactly how their work would be used. According to one former employee, they were told their work on a foreign election would be for the Telegraph, but the polling never appeared in the newspaper. Another said they believed their work on cryptocurrencies was for a client.