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斯洛伐克恢复与俄罗斯军事接触引发担忧Concern as Slovakia restores military contacts with Russia

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菲乔(右,前排第四位)对普京(左,前排第四位)表示,斯洛伐克与俄罗斯的关系不应仅局限于能源供应领域。图片来源:拉米尔·西特迪科夫/美联社/图片联盟Fico (right, fourth from the front) told Putin (left, fourth from the front) that relations between their two countries should extend beyond energy suppliesImage: Ramil Sitdikov/AP Photo/picture alliance

5 月,罗伯特·菲科在克里姆林宫与弗拉基米尔·普京相对而坐时,斯洛伐克总理表示,两国关系应超越能源供应。他告诉俄罗斯总统,已采取措施在各自大使馆恢复军事武官职务。五个月后,这一安排正在成形。

When Robert Fico sat opposite Vladimir Putin in the Kremlin in May, the Slovak prime minister said relations between their countries should extend beyond energy supplies. He told the Russian president that steps had already been taken to restore military attaches at their respective embassies. Five months later, the arrangement is now taking shape.

斯洛伐克已派遣两名军官 — — 准将斯拉沃米尔·斯塔维尔斯基及其副官伊沃·加希尔上校 — — 前往莫斯科,并正在准备接收俄罗斯军事武官驻布拉迪斯拉发,自2022年2月俄罗斯全面入侵乌克兰以来,首次恢复军事外交代表。斯洛伐克能获得什么?此举引发反对派政客的批评,他们质疑斯洛伐克能从中获得什么。他们警告称,俄罗斯可能利用此安排加强其情报行动。

Slovakia has sent two military officers — Brigadier General Slavomir Staviarsky and his deputy, Colonel Ivo Gahir — to Moscow and is preparing to receive a Russian military attache in Bratislava, restoring military-diplomatic representation for the first time since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. What has Slovakia to gain? The move has prompted criticism from opposition politicians, who question what Slovakia stands to gain. They warn that Russia could use the arrangement to strengthen its intelligence operations.

“一名额外的军事武官不会从根本上改变这一更广泛的图景;此次任命的主要意义在于它传递的政治信号,”前斯洛伐克议员、反对派进步斯洛伐克党成员马丁·波利亚奇克对德国之声表示。

"One additional military attache does not fundamentally change that broader picture; the appointment's main significance is the political signal it sends," Martin Poliacik, a former Slovak MP affiliated with the opposition Progressive Slovakia party, told DW.

“北约盟国既应关注即将到任官员的活动,也应关注他将在其中开展工作的政治环境,”他继续说道。

"NATO allies should be concerned both about the activities of the incoming officer and about the political environment in which he will operate," he went on.

斯洛伐克新闻网站Aktuality.sk于10月8日报道了此次任命。两名军官均出现在斯洛伐克国防部公布的在国外服役的军事外交官名单中。

The appointments were reported by Slovak news website Aktuality.sk on October 8. Both officers appear on the Slovak Defense Ministry's published list of military diplomats serving abroad.

据斯洛伐克公共广播公司STVR报道,斯塔维尔斯基自8月初起一直在莫斯科。

According to public broadcaster STVR, Staviarsky has been in Moscow since the beginning of August.

与此同时,被Aktuality.sk引用的反对派国防专家指出,即将到任的俄罗斯军官为马克西姆·韦雷赞。

Meanwhile, opposition defense experts quoted by Aktuality.sk named the incoming Russian officer as Maxim Verezan.

根据该网站引用的反对派消息来源,韦雷赞已获得斯洛伐克批准,但尚未被列入获认证的军事武官名单。

Verezan has received Slovak approval, according to the opposition sources cited by the website, but was not yet listed among accredited military attaches.

Aktuality.sk 表示,国防部尚未回答其关于韦雷赞何时抵达布拉迪斯拉发的问题。

Aktuality.sk says that the Defense Ministry has not answered its question as to when Verezan is due to arrive in Bratislava.

斯洛伐克陆军准将斯拉沃米尔·斯塔维亚尔斯基(右,图中为2024年战斗机交付仪式上与美国少将戴尔·莱尔斯的合影)是斯洛伐克派往莫斯科的两名军方官员之一。图片来源:piemags/IMAGOBrig. Gen. Slavomir Staviarsky (right, pictured here with Maj. Gen. Dale Lyles of the USA at a ceremonial delivery of fighter jets in 2024) is one of two military officers Slovakia has sent to MoscowImage: piemags/IMAGO

对间谍活动和虚假信息的担忧 这一前景唤起了人们对几年前涉及谢尔盖·索洛马索夫的俄罗斯间谍丑闻的回忆,当时他是俄罗斯驻布拉迪斯拉发大使馆的副武官。

Fear of espionage and disinformation The prospect has revived memories of a Russian espionage scandal involving Sergei Solomasov, the Russian embassy's deputy military attache in Bratislava, a few years ago.

索洛马索夫在2021年被拍到正在招募并向亲俄网站的撰稿人博胡斯·加尔巴尔递交金钱。

Solomasov was filmed recruiting and handing over money to Bohus Garbar, a contributor to the pro-Russian website in 2021.

次年,索洛马索夫被驱逐出斯洛伐克。加尔巴尔随后因间谍罪和受贿罪被定罪。

Solomasov was expelled from Slovakia the following year. Garbar was subsequently convicted of espionage and bribery.

反对派专家告诉Aktuality.sk,斯洛伐克驻莫斯科武官将受到严密监视,且难以获得有用情报,而相应的俄罗斯派驻可能便利在斯洛伐克进行间谍活动。

Opposition experts told Aktuality.sk that a Slovak attache in Moscow would be closely watched and obtain little useful information, while the reciprocal Russian posting could facilitate espionage in Slovakia.

他们警告称,即将到任的官员可能开展影响力和虚假信息行动,并质疑斯洛伐克将因此获得什么回报。

They warned that the incoming officer could conduct influence and disinformation operations, questioning what Slovakia would receive in return.

政府为该举动辩护 政府及其支持者辩称,恢复联系是获取信息和维持外交代表的手段。

Government defends the move The government and its supporters have defended the renewal of contacts as a means of gathering information and maintaining diplomatic representation.

斯洛伐克公共广播电台STVR报道的一份声明中,斯洛伐克军事情报表示,斯塔维尔斯基的职责是评估安全和军事政治形势,并让国防部保持知情。

In a statement reported by Slovak public broadcaster STVR, Slovak military intelligence said Staviarsky's role was to assess the security and military-political situation and keep the Defense Ministry informed.

斯洛伐克前国防部副部长帕维尔·马科将军称,政府决定恢复与俄罗斯的军事联系是一项“极其重大的决定”。图片来源:图图斯·兹米耶夫斯基/EPA/dpa/图片联盟General Pavel Macko, former Slovak deputy chief of defense, has called the government's decision to restore military contacts with Russia 'very serious'Image: Tutus Zmijewski/EPA/dpa/picture alliance

菲科的Smer党成员、议会国防与安全委员会主席理查德·格卢克指出,美国、英国和法国的军事外交官在莫斯科的存在。

Richard Gluck, a member of Fico's Smer party who chairs parliament's defense and security committee, pointed to the presence of American, British and French military diplomats in Moscow.

“我们正在失去大量信息,”格卢克对STVR表示,认为终止斯洛伐克在莫斯科的军事外交存在是一个错误。“非常严肃的一步”然而,对于退役中将帕维尔·马科而言,之前接触终止的背景至关重要。

"We were losing a great deal of information," Gluck told STVR, arguing that ending Slovakia's military diplomatic presence in Moscow had been a mistake. 'A very serious step' For retired Lieutenant General Pavel Macko, however, the circumstances in which the previous contacts ended are crucial.

“这是菲科政府迈出的非常严肃的一步,”马科说道,他是斯洛伐克前国防副参谋长,曾是北约指挥体系中军衔最高的斯洛伐克将军。

"This is a very serious step taken by the Fico government," said Macko, a former Slovak deputy chief of defense and once the highest-ranking Slovak general in NATO's command structures.

“自2022年以来,情况没有任何变化,甚至恰恰相反,”他继续说道。

"Nothing has changed [since 2022], just the opposite," he went on.

“俄罗斯的敌对活动在斯洛伐克及整个地区持续升级。俄罗斯对乌克兰的侵略战争仍在高强度进行,针对斯洛伐克及其邻国的各种敌对行动也从未停歇,”马科说道。

"Russia's adversarial activities continue to grow in Slovakia and in the region. The Russian war of aggression against Ukraine continues with high intensity, so do the hostile hybrid activities against Slovakia and its neighbors," Macko said.

他提到了一起未遂事件:有人企图烧毁位于斯洛伐克东部的一家乌克兰人所有的无人机工厂;此外还有种种迹象表明,慕尼黑和莱比锡发生的事件可能与俄罗斯在斯洛伐克境内的行动有关。

He pointed to a foiled plot to burn down a Ukrainian-owned drone factory in eastern Slovakia and suspicions that incidents in Munich and Leipzig were linked to Russian operations based in Slovakia.

马科还警告称,尽管斯洛伐克情报部门中仍有大量专业且值得信赖的官员,但政治势力对情报机构的干预以及政府亲俄政策的推行,仍可能进一步损害盟友间的情报共享与互信关系。他此言或许也是在暗指明年的选举吧?

Macko also warned that political influence over Slovakia's intelligence services and the government's pro-Russian policies could further damage intelligence-sharing and trust among allies, despite the presence of "a significant number of very professional and trustworthy officers." One eye on next year's election?

马科指出,俄罗斯在该地区的敌对活动持续增多,他还提到有迹象表明近期在莱比锡发生的事件可能与俄罗斯在斯洛伐克的军事行动有关。图片来源:阿克塞尔·施密特/路透社Macko says that Russia's adversarial activities continue to grow in the region, pointing to suspicions that a recent incident in Leipzig was linked to Russian operations based in SlovakiaImage: Axel Schmidt/REUTERS

与此同时,马丁·波利亚奇克指出,在菲乔总理谋求明年连任之际,恢复武官职位的决定背后很可能存在政治动机。

Martin Poliacik, meanwhile, said he suspected political motives lay behind the decision to restore the military attache posts, which comes as Prime Minister Fico eyes his chances of re-election next year.

“对菲乔而言,为下次选举塑造可信形象的最佳方式就是宣称其他各方都在试图将我们拖入战争,唯有他一心谋求和平,”波利亚奇克对德国之声说道。

"[Fico's] best chance of building a credible narrative for the next election is to claim that everyone else is dragging us into war and he alone wants peace," Poliacik told DW.

“我认为他会声称自己最有资格与普京商谈结束战争事宜,而要实现这一点就必须与普京保持极为密切的关系,”他补充道。他还提到,菲乔一直试图隐瞒斯洛伐克军火制造商在向乌克兰供应弹药方面所发挥的重要作用。

"I believe he will argue that he is best placed to talk to Putin about ending the war, and that this requires an exceptionally close relationship with him," he went on, adding that Fico tried to keep quiet about the major role played by Slovak arms manufacturers in supplying Ukraine with ammunition.

这些弹药是根据商业合同供应的,并非斯洛伐克政府提供的军事援助。

The ammunition is supplied under commercial contracts, rather than as military aid from the Slovak government.

波利亚奇克同样区分了斯洛伐克的正式承诺与其政治领导层的可信度。在他看来,西方伙伴们早已习惯了菲乔的所作所为。

Poliacik, too, distinguished between Slovakia's formal commitments and confidence in its political leadership. In his view, Western partners have become accustomed to Fico's behavior.

“斯洛伐克在形式上确实履行了其对北约的各项承诺,”他继续说道。

"Slovakia is formally fulfilling its NATO commitments," he went on.

“仅仅做到合规并不能直接解决政治信任的问题,”波利亚奇克补充道。“不过,可预测性并不等同于可靠性。”

"Formal compliance does not, by itself, settle the question of political trust," Poliacik added. "Predictability, however, is not the same as reliability."