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彭博社

Skydance债券抛售引发新发行债券最差表现,为疫情以来首次Skydance Selloff Fuels Worst New-Bond Performance Since Pandemic

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10月8日,纽约证券交易所内的Skydance Corp.标识。摄影师:迈克尔·纳格尔/彭博社Skydance Corp. signage at the New York Stock Exchange on Oct. 8. Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg

根据摩根大通银行(JPMorgan Chase & Co.)的数据,Skydance Corp.在9月30日发行高评级债券后,其债券遭遇抛售,导致新发行债务的表现落后于整体市场,幅度为新冠疫情以来最大。

The selloff in Skydance Corp.’s high-grade bonds following their Sept. 30 issuance resulted in new debt trailing the broader market by the most since the depths of the Covid-19 pandemic, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.

截至10月8日,新发行债券的十日相对表现比该银行投资级指数低27个基点。

Ten-day relative performance of new issues was 27 basis points worse than those in the bank’s investment-grade index as of Oct. 8, strategists led by Nathaniel Rosenbaum wrote in a note dated Tuesday.

由Nathaniel Rosenbaum领导的投资策略师在周二的一份报告中指出,这是六年半以来最大的差距。

That’s the largest gap in six and a half years.

若排除Skydance的影响,新发行债券的表现则优于指数约4个基点。

Back out Skydance, and new issues outperformed by about four basis points, they added.

这些策略师表示,这种疲软“符合今年新发行债券表现更具不可预测性的整体趋势”。

The weakness “fits into a broader pattern of less-predictable new issue performance this year,” the strategists said.

因此,投资者需要“比以往更加谨慎地”考虑此类债券尽管市场利差收窄,但仍可能落后于其他高评级证券的情况。

As such, investors needs to consider “more carefully than in the past” such bonds potentially lagging other high-grade securities despite the market’s tight spreads.

该银行指出,Skydance引发的新债券疲软也解释了为何上周的发行量远低于承销商的预期,尽管资金流入强劲且利率波动性下降。

The Skydance-fueled weakness for new bonds helps explain why issuance last week was far below dealers’ expectations despite strong fund inflows and declining rate volatility, according to the bank.

鉴于2020年4月曾出现创纪录的债券发行量,且JULI指数中高评级债券的平均利差是目前的2.7倍,这些策略师表示:“与当时相比,上周的表现不佳要严重得多。”

Given April 2020 saw record bond issuance and average high-grade spreads in the JULI index were 2.7 times wider than now, the strategists said, “Last week’s underperformance is far worse by comparison.”