皮尤研究中心最近的民调发现，白人福音派新教徒和白人天主教徒倾向支持共和党众议院候选人，而其他基督教团体和无宗教信仰群体则意见更分歧或倾向支持民主党。
White evangelical Protestants and white Catholics favor Republican House candidates, while other Christian and nonreligious groups are more divided or favor Democrats, recent Pew Research Center polling finds.
大局来看：特朗普总统在白人福音派新教徒和白人天主教徒中的支持率大幅下降，尽管这两个群体仍继续倾向支持共和党众议院候选人。
The big picture: President Trump's approval has fallen sharply among white evangelical Protestants and white Catholics, even as both groups continue to favor Republican House candidates.
从数字看：白人福音派新教徒仍是共和党的坚定支持者，73%表示他们会投票给所在选区的共和党众议院候选人。
By the numbers: White evangelical Protestants remain staunch GOP supporters, with 73% saying they'd vote for the Republican House candidate in their district.
一半白人天主教徒表示如果今天大选他们会投给共和党人，而32%会支持民主党人——另有18%表示会选择其他候选人或不确定。
Half of white Catholics say they'd vote for the Republican if the election were today, while 32% would back the Democrat — and 18% say they'd pick another candidate or are not sure.
其他群体意见更分歧。白人非福音派新教徒在共和党和民主党之间以45%对37%分裂，皮尤表示这一差距在统计学上不显著。
Other groups are more divided. White nonevangelical Protestants are split 45% to 37% between Republicans and Democrats, a gap Pew says is not statistically significant.
黑人新教徒、西班牙裔天主教徒、无神论者、不可知论者以及将自己宗教描述为“别无特定”的群体，对民主党的支持程度要高得多。
Black Protestants, Hispanic Catholics, atheists, agnostics and those who describe their religion as "nothing in particular" are far more supportive of Democrats.
言外之意：中期选举常被视为对执政党的公投，这使得特朗普在宗教群体中下降的支持率显得尤为相关。
Between the lines: The midterms are often seen as a referendum on the party in power, making Trump's declining approval among religious groups particularly relevant.
在2025年1月至9月至10月的民调期间，特朗普在白人福音派新教徒和白人天主教徒中的支持率均下降了20个百分点——分别从78%降至58%、从59%降至39%。
Trump's approval fell 20 percentage points among both white evangelical Protestants and white Catholics between January 2025 and the September–October poll — from 78% to 58% and from 59% to 39%, respectively.
白人福音派新教徒是受访宗教群体中唯一支持特朗普工作表现者多于反对者的群体。
White evangelical Protestants are the only religious group surveyed in which more people still approve than disapprove of Trump's job performance.
他们的说法：白宫发言人泰勒·罗杰斯为特朗普在宗教自由方面的记录辩护，引用了他赦免反堕胎权活动人士以及在父母权利和跨性别医疗保健方面采取的行动，同时指责民主党破坏基督徒的宗教自由。
What they're saying: White House spokesperson Taylor Rogers defended Trump's record on religious freedom, citing his pardons of anti-abortion rights activists and actions on parental rights and transgender health care, while accusing Democrats of undermining Christians' religious freedoms.
“对于基督徒美国人来说，从未有比特朗普总统更伟大的总统，他坚实的记录证明了这一点，”罗杰斯在周二表示。背景：白宫一直将特朗普推崇为“最亲信仰”的总统，但他在移民、外交政策和技术发展等关键议题上也与一些宗教领袖产生了分歧，包括教皇利奥十四世。
"There has never been a greater president for Christian Americans than President Trump, and his strong record proves it," Rogers said in a Tuesday Context: The White House has championed Trump as the "most pro-faith" president, but he's also found himself at odds with some religious leaders, including Pope Leo XIV, over key issue areas like immigration, foreign policy and technological development.
根据皮尤研究中心的选举后分析，特朗普在2024年赢得了多数天主教选民的支持，获得55%的票数，而前副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯则获得43%。
Trump won a majority of Catholic voters in 2024, per Pew's post-election analysis, taking 55% to former Vice President Kamala Harris' 43%.
在皮尤研究中心的中期民意调查中，天主教徒的立场出现分歧：42%的人表示他们会选择民主党候选人，而39%的人表示他们会支持共和党候选人。
Catholics appear split in Pew's midterm polling: 42% say they'd choose the Democratic candidate, while 39% would go for the Republican.
形势：虽然动员白人福音派和更保守的信仰选民对共和党至关重要，但在特朗普政府时期，一些基督教神职人员在草根抵抗中发挥了重要作用。
State of play: While turning out white evangelicals and more conservative voters of faith is key for Republicans, some Christian clergy have played a prominent role in grassroots resistance under the Trump administration.
民主党也在中期选举前强调宗教议题，像得克萨斯州的詹姆斯·塔拉里科和堪萨斯州的亚当·汉密尔顿这样的候选人突出了他们的信仰如何影响他们的政治立场。
Democrats have also emphasized religion ahead of the midterms, with candidates like Texas' James Talarico and Kansas' Adam Hamilton highlighting how their faith informs their politics.
这导致了与那些拒绝对手对信仰解释的更保守的基督徒之间的摩擦。
That has created friction with more conservativeChristians who have rejected their opponents' interpretations of the faith.
方法论：皮尤研究中心于2026年9月28日至10月4日对5062名小组成员进行了调查，回应率为87%。整个样本的抽样误差范围为正负1.6个百分点。
Methodology: Pew Research Center surveyed 5,062 panelists from Sept. 28 to Oct. 4, 2026, with an 87% response rate. The margin of sampling error for the full sample is plus or minus 1.6 percentage points.