该党在全国范围内势头强劲，但11月28日的州选举将是其迄今为止最大的考验。
The party is surging across the country, but the Nov. 28 state election is its biggest test yet.
工党可能面临‘血洗’局面。据工党亲近的策略师科斯·萨马拉斯称，维多利亚州州长本·卡罗尔在距离11月28日州选举还有六周的时间里正面临这种局面。
A potential “bloodbath” for Labor. That’s the situation facing Victorian Premier Ben Carroll, six weeks out from Victoria’s Nov. 28 state election, according to Labor-aligned strategist Kos Samaras.
“工党最终可能只能在墨尔本的 diaspora 走廊取胜，那里居住着大量第一代移民，”红桥公司战略与分析主管萨马拉斯对《政治》杂志表示。“其他地区则悬而未决。”之所以悬而未决，是因为民调预测，约23%的选票将流向势头强劲的右翼民族主义政党一国党。
“Labor will end up [winning] around the diaspora corridors of Melbourne, where large numbers of first-generation migrants live,” Samaras, director of strategy and analytics at Redbridge, told POLITICO. “Everywhere else is up for grabs.”It’s up for grabs because polls predict an average 23% of the vote will go to the surging right-wing nationalist party One Nation.
“一国党的得票率及其分布‘将决定工党是赢是输，其继任者是少数派还是多数派联合政府，甚至是否可能出现一国党领导的政府’，”选举分析师安东尼·格林表示。
One Nation’s vote, and where it concentrates, “will determine if Labor wins or loses, whether its replacement is a minority or majority Coalition government, or even the outside possibility of a One Nation-led government,” said election analyst Antony Green.