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人工智能选股基金押注机器人选股比人类更快更好AI-powered stock funds bet bots can pick stocks faster and better than humans

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资料图片:2025年10月16日拍摄的插图,画面中一个3D打印的“ETF(交易所交易基金)”字样出现在上涨的股票走势图前。路透社/达多·鲁维奇/插图/资料图片FILE PHOTO: A 3D printed word "ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund)" is seen in front of rising stock graph in this illustration taken October 16, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

普罗维登斯,罗德岛州,10月14日:少数基金经理正在押注,由人工智能选股模型运行的交易所交易基金能够更快地处理数据并做出比人类更好的投资决策,尽管许多人对人工智能仍持警惕甚至恐惧的态度。

PROVIDENCE, Rhode Island, Oct 14 : A handful of fund managers are betting that exchange traded funds run by AI stock-picking models can crunch data quicker and make better investment decisions than humans, even as many people remain wary or even fearful of artificial intelligence.

迄今为止,只有不到半打的ETF,合计仅管理着ETF行业近17万亿美元资产中的约3000万美元,完全依赖人工智能驱动的机器人来控制从研究到股票选择的全部过程。

So far, fewer than half-a-dozen ETFs, collectively managing only about $30 million of the ETF industry's nearly $17 trillion in assets, rely solely on AI-powered bots to control everything from research to stock selection.

虽然这仅占行业的一小部分,但人工智能正缓慢而稳步地进入大多数资产管理者的投资流程,即使这种影响目前可能尚未对投资者本人可见。今年早些时候,梅瑟调查的91%的资产管理者表示计划今年增加使用基于人工智能的投资组合管理工具,并表示他们正在努力弄清楚哪些任务可以安全地交给人工智能处理。

While that represents a tiny fraction of the industry, AI is making its way slowly and steadily into the investment processes of most asset managers, to some extent, even if that may not yet be visible to investors themselves. Earlier this year, 91 per cent of asset managers surveyed by Mercer reported plans to increase their use of AI-based portfolio management tools this year and said they are trying to figure out what tasks can be safely handed off to AI.

仅依赖人工智能产生回报的少数基金的表现表明,它们正在跑赢市场,尽管它们的业绩记录仅追溯到几个月前。这些基金的经理认为,这些回报将随着时间的推移吸引更多资金流入这一理念。

The performance of the handful of funds that rely solely on AI to generate returns shows they are beating the market, even if their track records stretch back only a few months. Their managers argue these returns will attract more investments into the idea over time.

“到目前为止,你只有两种选择:成为被动投资者并持有指数,或者成为主动投资者,由人类挑选股票,” Ai Funds的创始人兼首席执行官塔尔·施瓦茨说。“我想提供第三种选择:由人工智能为你完成一切。” 施瓦茨于8月推出了High Conviction US Equity AI-Managed ETF,该基金建立在一个专有人工智能学习算法之上,该算法分析了数十年的市场数据。截至目前,根据ETF.com的数据,该基金吸引的资产不到2000万美元,但施瓦茨表示,这仍是早期阶段。

"Until now you've had two choices: be a passive investor and own an index, or be an active investor" with a human picking stocks, said Tal Schwartz, founder and CEO of Ai Funds. "I want to offer a third option: where it's AI that is doing it all for you." In August, Schwartz launched the High Conviction US Equity AI-Managed ETF, built on a proprietary AI learning algorithm that analyzes decades of market data. So far, it has attracted less than $20 million in assets, according to data from ETF.com, but Schwartz said it is still early days.

他说,人工智能能够比任何人类更快速地处理更多数据,并且能够从投资过程中剔除人类的情绪和认知偏见。

AI can crunch more data more rapidly than any human being, he said, and strips human emotions and cognitive biases out of the investment process.

“我知道这需要一个长期的过程,人们只有随着时间的推移才会被说服,”他补充道,“我认为能够说服他们的,只有基金的实际表现。”自8月21日成立以来,施瓦茨(Schwartz)管理的基金已经上涨了2.7%,超过了同期标准普尔500指数(S&P 500)1.1%的涨幅。

"I know this is a long-term process, that people will only become convinced over time," he added. "I think that what will convince them is performance." Schwartz's fund is up 2.7 per cent since its August 21 launch, beating the 1.1 per cent gain for the S&P 500 index in the same time frame.

以色列资产管理公司FinQ在2月份推出的两只基金,在同期内也大幅跑赢了标准普尔500指数11.0%的涨幅:FinQ管理的、以美元计价的、专注于美国大盘股的AI主题ETF上涨了25.35%;而未采用货币对冲策略的版本则上涨了23.98%。

Two funds launched by Israeli asset manager FinQ in February have handily beaten the 11.0 per cent gain by the S&P over that time frame. FinQ's dollar-neutral US Large-Cap AI-managed ETF has soared 25.35 per cent and the version of the ETF not offering a currency hedge is 23.98 per cent higher since inception.

另外两只基金——Pacer S&P 500 3AI Top 100 ETF和Pacer S&P World 3AI Top 100 ETF——自5月初成立以来,涨幅分别达到了10.34%和10.33%,而同期标准普尔500指数的涨幅仅为5.8%。

Two other funds, the Pacer S&P 500 3AI Top 100 ETF and the Pacer S&P World 3AI Top 100 ETF, are ahead 10.34 per cent and 10.33 per cent, respectively, since their launches in early May, compared to a gain of 5.8 per cent for the S&P 500.

不过,投资顾问和分析师指出,这些基金较短的业绩记录以及较高的管理费用可能会限制投资者的兴趣。

Nonetheless, advisers and analysts said the funds' short track records and above-average fees may limit investor interest.

“对于那些需要AI辅助决策的投资顾问来说,他们还能接受;但对于那些完全依赖AI来做出投资决策的基金,他们则感到不安,”马里兰州福里斯特希尔(Forest Hill)的Chesapeake Financial Planners公司的财务顾问杰夫·贾奇(Jeff Judge)表示,他的客户们对这类基金并不感兴趣。

"Advisers are comfortable with AI that informs a decision and uneasy with AI that makes it," said Jeff Judge, a financial adviser at Chesapeake Financial Planners in Forest Hill, Maryland, adding his clients are not clamoring for this.

“这种投资策略是否有效,最终将取决于谁能妥善管理风险,并在市场低迷时期保持基金的稳定表现,”Strategas公司的ETF分析师托德·索恩(Todd Sohn)说。

"Proof that this approach works will really come down to who can thoughtfully manage risk and ride out a down market," said Todd Sohn, ETF analyst at Strategas.

越来越多的基金公司推出了“AI增强型”ETF(AI-enhanced ETFs),这些基金利用人工智能技术进行定量分析、股票筛选或风险监控。业内人士表示,这种较为谨慎的投资策略正变得越来越普遍。

AI-ENHANCED ETFS MORE COMMON Other firms have rolled out "AI-enhanced" ETFs, which use AI to undertake quantitative analysis, analyze stocks or monitor risk. This cautious approach is more common, insiders said.

“我们使用人工智能训练模型已经有七八年时间了,而将这些模型应用于实际投资操作则已经有大约四年的时间了,”日内瓦Pictet Asset Management公司的量化投资主管大卫·赖特(David Wright)说道。

"We've been training models using AI for seven or eight years now, and using them to run live capital for about four years," said David Wright, head of quantitative investments at Pictet Asset Management in Geneva.

他的公司于今年2月推出了Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF(一款运用人工智能技术的美国股票ETF基金)。自该基金成立以来,已吸引了1.63亿美元的资产,并实现了14.8%的收益,而同期标准普尔500指数的收益仅为11.4%。

His firm launched the Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF in February. Since its debut, the fund has attracted $163 million in assets and posted gains of 14.8 per cent, compared to 11.4 per cent for the S&P 500.

赖特将人工智能在投资过程中的应用比作使用飞机的自动驾驶系统:虽然自动驾驶系统可以完成起飞、巡航和降落等操作而无需人工干预,但他表示:“我绝不会乘坐一架没有飞行员的飞机。”其他资产管理机构在整合人工智能技术时也采取了类似的谨慎态度。

Wright compares using AI in the investment process to using a plane's autopilot functions. The autopilot may be able to take off, cruise and land with no humans involved, but, he added, "I wouldn't go on a plane that didn't have a pilot." Other asset managers are taking a similarly cautious approach to integrating AI.

“关于机器人会终结世界的说法,我并不担心,”曼集团(Man Group)系统投资部门副主管丹·泰勒(Dan Taylor)说道;他指的是最近的一些新闻报道。不过他仍然担心人工智能在应对那些极端、难以预测的事件时的表现——因为这些事件往往会导致各种后果(无论是好是坏)。

"I'm not losing any sleep over robots ending the world," said Dan Taylor, deputy chief investment officer of systematic within Man Group, referring to recent headlines. "But I still do worry about AI's ability to deal with the most extreme, unlikely events, where all the action happens, both good and bad."