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彭博社

Fairfax 60亿美元收购银行交易彰显对印度资产的兴趣Fairfax’s $6 Billion Bank Deal Signals Zest for Indian Assets

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印度将IDBI银行有限公司的控股权以近60亿美元的价格出售给加拿大的Fairfax金融控股有限公司,这有助于拉开南亚国家推动银行业改革的序幕,并显示出其快速增长的金融行业在更多交易方面的潜力。

India’s sale of a controlling stake in IDBI Bank Ltd. to Canada’s Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. for nearly $6 billion helps jump-start the South Asian country’s push to reform its banking sector and shows the potential for more dealmaking in its rapidly growing financial industry.

此次交易中,Fairfax收购了私营贷款机构IDBI银行60.7%的股份,表明越来越多的海外投资者正寻求在世界上增长最快的主要经济体之一站稳脚跟。自2019年总理纳伦德拉·莫迪政府开始整合国有贷款机构以来,这笔交易是该国金融部门规模最大的交易之一。

The transaction, which saw Fairfax acquire a 60.7% stake in private sector lender IDBI Bank, shows how more overseas investors are seeking a foothold in one of the world’s fastest-growing major economies. The deal is one of the country’s biggest in the financial sector since Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government began consolidating state-run lenders in 2019.

随着外国投资者希望加深敞口、寻求更好回报,印度的金融服务业可能会出现更多交易。据报道,Blackstone公司及其他私募股权公司正在探索对影子银行IIFL金融有限公司的股权投资。与此同时,日本三菱UFJ金融集团公司正在研究最终获得Shriram金融有限公司多数控股权的途径,彭博新闻曾有此报道。

India’s financial services sector could see even more dealmaking as foreigners look to deepen their exposure, hoping for better returns. Blackstone Inc. and other private equity firms are said to be exploring a stake in shadow bank IIFL Finance Ltd. Meanwhile, Japan’s Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. is studying ways to eventually gain majority control of Shriram Finance Ltd., Bloomberg News has reported.

这些兴趣表明,随着富裕人口的扩大和中产阶级收入的提升,金融服务资产的需求十分旺盛。分析人士表示,这些举措可能预示着该行业将出现进一步的股权出售、战略伙伴关系和融资交易。

The interest suggests robust appetite for financial services assets as the population of wealthy citizens expands and earnings of the middle class rise. These moves could signal further stake sales, strategic partnerships and capital-raising deals in the sector, analysts say.

此波交易正值莫迪推动建设能够支撑印度到2047年转变为发达经济体的银行系统之际,政策制定者正在考虑该国是否需要更少但规模更大的国有贷款机构。

The dealmaking comes as Modi pushes for a banking system capable of supporting India’s transformation into a developed economy by 2047, with policymakers considering whether the country needs fewer but much larger state-run lenders.

其理念是利用外国投资带来的资本,创造就业岗位,提升生产力,增强印度的经济增长及其全球竞争力。

The idea is to tap foreign investments that bring capital, create jobs, boost productivity and strengthen India’s economic growth as well as its global competitiveness.

外国投资者对更广泛金融领域的投资意愿已达到创纪录水平。根据彭博汇编的数据,去年涉及海外投资者的印度金融服务业交易总额约为205亿美元。这反映出一种日益增强的信念,即该国的金融体系将成为其经济扩张最大的受益者之一。

Foreign investors’ appetite for the broader financial sector has already reached a record. Deals involving overseas investors in India’s financial-services industry totaled about $20.5 billion last year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That reflects growing conviction that the country’s financial system will be one of the biggest beneficiaries of its economic expansion.

确实,印度贷款机构近期的财报显示,在消费上升和借贷成本下降的推动下,放贷增长强劲。据监管机构称,不良贷款处于十年来的低位。

Indeed, recent earnings from Indian lenders show robust lending growth, driven by rising consumption and lower borrowing costs. Non-performing loans are at decadal lows, according to the regulator.

格兰特·桑顿印度公司合伙人维韦克·拉姆吉·艾耶尔表示:“在当今地缘政治分裂的世界中,印度在强大金融体系的帮助下,提供了经济增长机遇。正是这一假设,吸引了金融服务业作为投资机会。”尽管如此,此类交易也伴随着一系列挑战。据分析师称,IDBI银行将需要增强其竞争力,以对抗规模更大、资本更充足的私营银行,同时在技术、客户获取和分行网络方面进行投资以维持增长。

“In a fractured geopolitical world today, India offers growth opportunities within the economy, aided by a strong financial system,” said Vivek Ramji Iyer, a partner at Grant Thornton Bharat. “It is this hypothesis, that attracts the financial services sector as an investment opportunity.”Still, such deals come with a string of challenges. IDBI Bank will need to sharpen its competitiveness against larger, better-capitalized private-sector lenders while investing in technology, customer acquisition and its branch network to sustain growth, according to analysts.

拓展至财富管理等相关业务及其他产生费用收入的服务,有助于使收入来源超越传统放贷实现多元化,并提高新所有者的回报。

Expanding into adjacent businesses such as wealth management and other fee-generating services could help diversify revenue beyond traditional lending and improve returns for the new owner.

多拉特资本股票主管阿米特·库拉纳表示:“关键挑战将在于交易的执行。考虑到费尔法克斯在印度金融领域的各项投资,鉴于IDBI的工作文化和员工工会相关问题可能构成挑战,要以非破坏性的方式执行这笔交易将很棘手。”然而,对于全球金融公司而言,印度呈现了一个难以忽视的奖赏:庞大的未充分享受银行服务人口、不断上升的收入、快速的数字化采用以及有利的人口红利,正在产生对信贷、财富管理和保险的需求。

“The key challenge will be the execution of the transaction,” said Amit Khurana, head of equities at Dolat Capital. “Looking at the various investments Fairfax has in India’s financial sector, it will be tricky to execute the deal in a non-disruptive manner given IDBI’s work culture and employee union-related issues will likely be a challenge.”Nevertheless, for global financial firms, India presents a prize that is difficult to ignore: a huge under-banked population, rising incomes, rapid digital adoption and a favorable demographic dividend that is generating demand for credit, wealth management and insurance.

外国投资者传统上面临所有权限制的丛林、创始公司的投票权以及控股股东的投票权上限为26%,在寻求控制印度银行时还需要监管批准。现在政府正在提出将国有银行的外国持股限额从20%提高到49%。它还允许保险行业实现100%的外国直接投资。

Foreign investors have traditionally faced a thicket of ownership restrictions, voting rights of founding firms and controlling stakeholders capped at 26%, as well as regulatory approvals when seeking control of Indian banks. Now the government is proposing increasing foreign shareholding limit in state-run banks to 49% from 20%. It has also allowed 100% foreign direct investment in the insurance sector.

日本和中东的金融巨头,如三菱日联金融集团和IHC集团,正在加大对印度影子贷款机构的投资 — — 这些机构的所有权和投票权限制相对宽松 — — 他们押注印度的信贷繁荣以及零售和财富管理领域日益增长的机遇。现在加拿大人也加入了这一行列。

Japanese and Middle East financial giants like Mitsubishi UFJ Financial and IHC Group have stepped up investments in Indian shadow lenders — that have relatively relaxed ownership and voting cap norms — betting on a credit boom in India and growing opportunities in retail and wealth management. Now the Canadians have joined the party.

印度正在讨论创建大型国有贷款机构的方案,这符合政府在亚洲第三大经济体中为大规模基础设施和工业项目提供资金的需求。目前,只有印度国家银行和HDFC银行在全球机构按总资产排名中位列前100。印度还在考虑将国有贷款机构的外国投资上限从20%提高到49%。

India is discussing options to create large state lenders, which aligns with the government’s need to fund massive infrastructure and industrial projects in Asia’s third-largest economy. Currently, only State Bank of India and HDFC Bank rank among the top 100 global institutions by total assets. India is also considering ways to increase the foreign investment cap in state-run lenders to 49% from 20%.

总体而言,这一系列交易正值印度银行业正经历深刻转型之时,正在摆脱基础设施项目停滞、贷款压力以及正规金融渠道获取不均的遗留问题。当时数字银行仍处于早期阶段,贷款机构正在应对多年不良贷款带来的后果。

Broadly, the string of deals come at a time when India’s banking sector is undergoing a sweeping transformation, moving beyond a legacy of stalled infrastructure projects, stressed loans and uneven access to formal finance. Digital banking was still at an early stage, and lenders were grappling with the fallout of years of bad lending.

随后的改革周期带来了对不良贷款的更清晰认识、破产重组改革、银行再资本化、整合、更强的治理、更广泛的金融包容以及数字公共基础设施的扩张。

The reform cycle that followed brought a sharper recognition of bad loans, insolvency reforms, bank recapitalization, consolidation, stronger governance, wider financial inclusion and the expansion of digital public infrastructure.

到2026年,该行业已从修复资产负债表转向为更广泛的投资和消费周期提供融资。

By 2026, the sector had shifted from repairing balance sheets to financing a broader cycle of investment and consumption.

印度上一次大规模银行改革是在2019年,当时将10家国有贷款机构合并为4家,帮助将国有银行数量从27家减少至12家。其目标是打造规模更大、资产负债表更强、具备与全球银行竞争能力的机构。

India’s last big banking overhaul in 2019 merged 10 state-run lenders into four, helping reduce the number of state-owned banks to 12 from 27. The objective was to create institutions with greater scale, stronger balance sheets and the capacity to compete with global banks.

印度国家银行集团首席经济顾问、总理经济顾问委员会成员苏米亚·坎蒂·戈什在8月发表的一篇论文中写道,印度应努力以一种方式整合银行,使其形成少数几家规模相当的大型银行,同时不损害行业内的竞争。

India should make efforts to consolidate banks in such a manner that a few big banks of equal size would be created, without compromising competition in the industry, Soumya Kanti Ghosh, group chief economic advisor of State Bank of India and a member of the prime minister’s economic advisory council, wrote in a paper published in August.