据消息人士向 Axios 透露，比尔·盖茨正准备大幅扩大其人工智能安全倡议的推进力度，他正亲自向商界领袖施加影响，并考虑大规模投入自身资源。
Bill Gates is gearing up to dramatically expand his AI safety push personally leaning on business leaders and considering a major deployment of his resources, sources tell Axios. Why it matters
为何重要那个强势果断、曾缔造微软的比尔·盖茨回来了，而且他将自身的竞争热情转向了一个他视为一生中最重要事业之一的领域。
The formidable, sharp-elbowed Bill Gates who built Microsoft is back, and he's directing his competitive fire toward what he has come to see as one of the most important causes of his lifetime.
- “在这方面，我比你们更容易接触到首席执行官们，”盖茨曾向一位就人工智能安全问题与他商谈的人士表示。他表示出强烈的行动意愿，据其身边人士称，这让他回到了“初代”状态。
• "I can reach CEOs on this better than you can," Gates told one person he consulted on AI safety, showing an eagerness for combat that associates say is a return to "OG" form. Driving the news
新闻背景消息人士称，盖茨曾对人工智能持乐观态度，但如今他对模型能力的快速提升、令人担忧的安全事件以及他认为不够完善的监管措施感到日益失望。
Once a voice for optimism on AI, Gates has grown dismayed by an escalation of model capabilities, alarming security incidents and what he sees as insufficient regulation, sources say.
- 在准备倡导建立更严格的人工智能监管框架之际，他与多位顶尖人工智能高管、研究人员和安全倡导者进行了广泛交流，其中包括 Anthropic 首席执行官达里奥·阿莫迪。
• As he prepared to make the case for a far more robust regulatory framework on AI, he conferred extensively with leading AI executives, researchers, and safety advocates, including Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei.
- 据这些人士称，这一过程让盖茨意识到，控制人工智能风险将成为他一生中最重要的议题之一。
• That process led Gates to see containing AI risks as one of the most important issues he will engage with in his lifetime, the people said.
幕后故事与盖茨沟通过的人士称，他的这次倡导行动是一场“回归之旅”，旨在重塑因过去与杰弗里·爱泼斯坦的关联而受损的声誉。
Behind the scenes People Gates has spoken to called his advocacy a "comeback tour," an attempt to rebuild a legacy that has been tarnished by his past association with Jeffrey Epstein.
- 盖茨曾表示，他意识到有些人可能会因为与爱泼斯坦的关联而忽视他的警告。
• Gates has said he's aware that some people may dismiss his warnings due to the Epstein ties.
- “从某些方面来说，我过去所做的其实非常有限，而且主要是出于筹集资金的动机，”盖茨今年 8 月对 Axios 表示。“但……那确实是一个巨大的错误。”
• "What I did do, in some ways, was very limited, and it was motivated by my desire to raise money," Gates told Axios in August. "But ... it was a huge mistake."
- 然而，盖茨认为问题的利害关系太高，无法袖手旁观。他相信自己的人脉网络、深厚的科技行业信誉以及财富能够带来巨大的积极影响。
• However, Gates sees the stakes as too high to stay on the sidelines and believes his Rolodex, foundational tech credibility and wealth can do an immense amount of good.
大局观这场运动标志着盖茨的显著转变：从一个谨慎的乐观主义者，转变为一个发出紧急警报的倡导者。
The big picture This crusade marks a stark evolution for Gates, moving him from a measured optimist to an urgent alarmist.
- 三年前，盖茨向公众保证：“人工智能的风险是真实存在的，但可以控制。”他将这项技术的颠覆性影响视为个人电脑或互联网问世时的历史类比，并认为社会将能够适应。
• Just three years ago, Gates assured the public that "the risks of AI are real but manageable." He viewed the technology's disruptions as historical parallels to the introduction of the PC or the internet and argued that society would adapt.
- 到了八月，他的看法变得更加阴暗。在一篇长篇文章中，盖茨警告称，当前的发展轨迹充满不稳定性。
• By August, his outlook had darkened considerably. In a sprawling essay, Gates warned that the current trajectory was volatile.
- 在接受Axios采访时，他敲响了警钟，表示世界正面临着危险的 unpreparedness（准备不足），即将到来的经济和社会动荡。
• He sounded the alarm in an interview with Axios, indicating that the world is dangerously unprepared for the economic and societal upheaval ahead. Zoom in
聚焦盖茨的研究使他相信，自己需要超越文章和媒体采访的范围行动，尽管他尚未明确界定自己运动的确切轮廓。
Gates' research has convinced him to step beyond essays and media interviews, although he has yet to define the exact contours of his campaign.
- 在八月的文章中，盖茨呼吁建立新的监管机构，能够协调人工智能政策，为人类保留一些岗位，并对人工智能使用和机器人征税。
• In his August essay, Gates called for new regulatory institutions capable of coordinating AI policy, reserving some jobs for humans and taxing AI usage and robots.
人工智能竞赛的利害关系这让亿万富翁盖茨重新呈现出科技界数十年未见的形象。在最近的采访中，他时不时流露出昔日那位酸言酸语、铁腕打造微软的巨头本色，甚至讽刺挖苦记者埃兹拉·克莱因，质疑是否需要超出克莱因所说的“普通公司声誉管理”之外的任何监管。
The stakes of the AI race have resurrected a version of the billionaire the tech world hasn't seen in decades. In recent interviews, he's shown flashes of the acid-tongued titan who ruthlessly built Microsoft, chiding journalist Ezra Klein for asking whether any regulation is needed beyond what Klein called "normal corporate reputational management."
- 盖茨讽刺地嘲笑一个只有诉讼才是监管形式的世界。“比如说你杀死了1亿人。你想用诉讼？我几乎绷不住脸了。”
• Gates sarcastically made fun of a world where lawsuits are the only form of regulation. "Say you kill 100 million people. You want to use a lawsuit? I almost can't keep a straight face."
- 这与他过去二十年精心塑造的温和、穿毛衣的慈善家形象形成了鲜明对比。
• It is a jarring contrast to the softer, sweater-wearing philanthropist persona he has cultivated over the past 20 years.
接下来会怎样盖茨对强有力监管的呼吁将使他与特朗普政府发生正面冲突，后者一直倾向于较轻的监管方式，通过组织一批高官，以自愿安全协议的形式来监管行业。• 随着盖茨的计划逐渐明朗化，目前尚不清楚人工智能安全是否将成为他晚年职业生涯中的决定性战场。
What's next Gates' calls for robust regulation will put him on a collision course with the Trump administration, which has favored a lighter regulatory touch, organizing a group of top officials to police the industry through a voluntary safety pact • As Gates' plans crystallize, it remains to be seen whether AI safety becomes a defining battle of his late career.