
空客(AIR.PA)预计,在未来20年,土耳其将占欧洲和独联体地区新客机需求的约20%,随着客运量增长,将需要1800架新飞机,空客高管周四表示。
Airbus (AIR.PA) expects Turkey to account for about 20% of demand for new passenger aircraft in Europe and the CIS over the next 20 years, requiring 1,800 new aircraft as passenger traffic grows, a senior Airbus executive said on Thursday.
空客市场分析与预测副总裁安东尼奥·达科斯塔表示,土耳其人均每年乘坐航班次数预计将从目前水平增长至2045年的3.1次,几乎是目前的三倍,超越该地区平均2.4次的水平。
Antonio Da Costa, Airbus vice president for market analysis and forecast, said the number of flights taken annually per person in Turkey was expected to triple to 3.1 by 2045, surpassing the regional average of 2.4.
“我们预计土耳其整体将需要1800架新飞机,以更新机队并特别是按照预期的速度增长,”达科斯塔说,并补充称,未来20年土耳其的客运量预计年均增长约4.5%,而更广泛的地区为2.9%。
"We expect to see the need for Turkey as a whole, 1,800 new aircraft to renew the fleet and especially grow at the rate that's expected," Da Costa said, adding that passenger traffic in Turkey was expected to grow by around 4.5% annually over the next 20 years, compared with 2.9% for the wider region.
“我们预计,土耳其所有航空公司的机队总量在未来20年内将增加一倍以上,”达科斯塔说。
"Our expectation is that the fleet of aircraft in Turkey overall, throughout all the airlines, will more than double over the next 20 years," Da Costa said.
根据空客最新的全球市场预测,欧洲和独联体地区到2045年将需要8190架新客机,其中3600架用于增长,4590架用于机队更新。
According to Airbus' latest Global Market Forecast, Europe and the CIS region will need 8,190 new passenger aircraft by 2045, including 3,600 for growth and 4,590 for fleet renewal.
达科斯塔表示,伊斯坦布尔作为国际枢纽的地位持续增强,这得益于强劲的旅游需求和过境客流。
Da Costa said Istanbul's position as an international connecting hub continued to strengthen, driven by strong tourism demand and transit traffic.
被问及中东冲突对航空需求的影响时,达科斯塔表示,土耳其因部分海湾地区客流转移而受益,吸引了更多游客和过境旅客。
Asked about the impact of the conflict in the Middle East on aviation demand, Da Costa said Turkey had benefited from traffic diversions away from parts of the Gulf region, attracting more tourists and connecting passengers.
“我们确实看到了机遇……由于海湾地区的冲突,更多游客和过境旅客选择经土耳其,”他说。
"We do see an opportunity... there's more incoming tourists and more connecting passengers coming through Turkey due to the conflict in the Gulf," he said.
尽管预计地区紧张局势将随时间缓解,达科斯塔表示,他认为经土耳其的额外客流将有助于该国的长期增长。”}
While expecting regional tensions to ease over time, Da Costa said he believed the additional traffic flowing through Turkey would support the country's longer-term growth.