肯尼亚中央银行行长卡毛·图格表示，由于双方仍在就相关细节进行协商，因此很难预测国际货币基金组织（IMF）新援助计划的具体启动时间。
Kenya’s central bank Governor Kamau Thugge said the timing of a new International Monetary Fund program is hard to predict as the two sides hash out the details.
“我们需要了解对方的想法、我们的想法，以及该援助计划的具体内容——这些因素都将决定援助计划何时能够正式启动，”图格在周四于曼谷举行的IMF年会上接受采访时说道。
“We have to see their thinking, our thinking, and how the program would look like — all those would be a determinant as to when the program can start,” Thugge said an interview Thursday on the sidelines of the IMF Annual Meetings in Bangkok.
作为全球最大的红茶出口国，肯尼亚希望获得IMF的资助，因为这种贷款属于优惠性融资，有助于替代成本较高的国内借款。
The world’s biggest shipper of black tea favors a funded IMF program “given that this is concessional financing” and would help replace pricey domestic borrowing, he said.
“我们目前并不需要国际收支方面的援助，”图格指出，肯尼亚的外汇储备足以覆盖大约六个月的进口需求，同时该国货币也保持稳定。
“We don’t have a balance of payments need,” the governor said, pointing to Kenya’s foreign exchange reserves currently at about six months of import cover, and a stable currency.
图格还表示，IMF的一个评估小组预计将于12月初访问内罗毕，对肯尼亚的经济状况进行常规评估，并讨论后续的援助计划。
An IMF team is expected to visit Nairobi in early December for a regular Article IV economic health-check and to hold discussions on a successor program, Thugge said.
此前为期四年、总额为36亿美元的IMF援助计划已于去年提前终止，由于未能实现关键目标（如缩小预算赤字和增加税收收入），肯尼亚未能获得最后一笔8.5亿美元的贷款。
A previous four-year, $3.6 billion IMF facility ended prematurely last year, with the country missing out on a final disbursement of about $850 million after failing to meet key targets, including narrowing its budget deficit and boosting tax revenue.
根据IMF的评估，肯尼亚面临较高的债务风险，且其提高税收以弥补不断扩大的预算赤字的空间十分有限。此前试图增加税收的努力曾引发大规模抗议活动及法律纠纷。
Kenya is at high risk of debt distress, according to the IMF, and has limited room to raise taxes to finance its widening budget deficit. Previous attempts to boost revenue have sparked deadly protests and legal challenges.
为缓解债务压力，肯尼亚政府越来越依赖世界银行和IMF等多边机构的低成本贷款，并通过再融资到期债券来延长还款期限。
The government has increasingly relied on cheaper financing from multilateral lenders, including the World Bank and IMF, while refinancing maturing eurobonds to extend repayment periods to ease concerns over its ability to meet debt obligations.
图格表示，肯尼亚已完成2027年6月前54亿美元外债融资计划的牵头安排工作，目前“已准备好尽快进入市场”（即启动新的融资程序）。
The country has completed the hiring of lead arrangers for its $5.4 billion foreign borrowing plan for the year through June 2027 and is “in a position to go into the market as quickly as possible,” Thugge said.
他表示，市场波动性加剧，使得目前是否适合进入市场变得难以判断；自上个月初以来，肯尼亚欧元债券的收益率已经上升了多达100个基点。由于美元走强以及美国债券收益率上升，投资者纷纷撤离高风险资产。Thugge还表示，肯尼亚尚未考虑与中国进行货币互换。
Heightened volatility makes it difficult to determine whether now is a good time to tap the market, he said, pointing to a rise of as much as 100 basis points in Kenyan eurobond yields since the beginning of last month. Investors have been retreating from riskier assets because of a stronger dollar and rising US bond yields. Kenya also hasn’t considered a currency swap with China, Thugge said.
作为非洲第二大铜生产国，赞比亚正在与中国谈判货币互换事宜，并计划允许中国买家用人民币支付铜货费用；中国的矿业公司也已经获准用人民币缴纳税款。
Zambia, Africa’s second-biggest copper producer, is in talks with China on a currency swap and plans to allow Chinese buyers to pay for the metal in renminbi. Chinese mining companies are already allowed to settle taxes in the renminbi.
这位官员指出，中东危机是肯尼亚经济增长面临的主要风险；预计将出现的强厄尔尼诺现象（可能导致非洲之角地区发生洪水）将对经济增长产生负面影响。
The Middle East crisis “is the main risk” to Kenya’s growth outlook, the governor said. An expected super El Niño weather pattern which results in flooding in the Horn of Africa “will have a negative impact on growth,” he said.
Thugge预计，肯尼亚经济今年将增长5%，2027年将增长5.3%。
The economy is projected to expand 5% this year and 5.3% in 2027, Thugge said.