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霍尔木兹海峡附近船只遭袭报告创历史新高,石油出口放缓Ship attack reports near Hormuz reach record high as oil exports slow

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一艘船体呈蓝色、上层建筑为白色的油轮在疑似遭到袭击后,正被一艘较小的船只喷水。A tanker with a blue hull and white superstructure has water sprayed on it from a smaller vessel after an apparent attack

BBC事实核查(BBC Verify)对英国一家海事机构数据的分析显示,有一周内有12艘船只遭到袭击。

BBC Verify analysis of data from a UK maritime agency shows 12 vessels were struck in a week.

乔舒亚·切瑟姆(Joshua Cheetham)、托马斯·科普兰(Thomas Copeland)、艾莉森·本杰明(Alison Benjamin)报道:BBC事实核查对英国一家海事机构数据的分析显示,在霍尔木兹海峡及周边地区报告遭到袭击的船只数量达到了历史最高纪录。

By Joshua Cheetham, Thomas Copeland, Alison Benjamin The number of ships that have reported being attacked in and around the Strait of Hormuz has hit a record high, BBC Verify analysis of data from a UK maritime agency shows.

英国海事贸易行动办公室(UKMTO)的数据显示,在10月5日至11日期间,共有12艘船只遭到袭击——这是自美以与伊朗的战争爆发以来,该机构报告的单周袭击次数最多的一次。前一周则有10艘船只报告遭到袭击。

Twelve vessels were attacked between 5 and 11 October - the largest number of weekly strikes reported to the UK's Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) agency since the US-Israeli war with Iran began. The previous week saw 10 ships reporting attacks.

据英国海事贸易行动办公室称,上周日有6艘船只遭到袭击——创下了单日最高纪录。本周迄今为止,已有4起报告的袭击事件。

Six of the vessels were struck last Sunday, according to the UKMTO - a one-day high. So far this week, there have been four reported attacks.

行业数据显示,随着袭击次数的增加,上个月通过该海峡的石油运输量复苏势头已经放缓。

As the number of strikes has risen, the recovery in oil shipments through the strait seen last month has slowed, industry data suggests.

BBC事实核查整理了英国海事贸易行动办公室在其网站上发布的事件报告,并根据每份报告中引用的首个日期制作了一个时间线。这是一个近似值,因为有些事件使用的是袭击日期,有些使用的是报告日期。

BBC Verify collated incident reports published by the UKMTO on its website and created a timeline based on the first date cited in each report. This is approximate because some incidents use the date of the attack and some the date on which it was reported.

专家表示,德黑兰一直在袭击船只,试图对该水道施加更大的控制,因为美军增加了其在海峡南部护航以躲避伊朗袭击的油轮数量。

Experts say Tehran has been attacking ships in an effort to assert greater control over the waterway as the US military has increased the number of tankers it is shepherding through the south of the strait to evade Iranian strikes.

海湾及霍尔木兹海峡地图,显示了10月5日至11日期间发生的12起针对船只的报告袭击事件。红点表示事件的大致位置,其中大多数聚集在伊朗和阿曼之间的霍尔木兹海峡附近、穆桑代姆半岛附近。其他袭击事件标示为……Map of the Gulf and Strait of Hormuz showing 12 reported attacks on ships between 5 and 11 October. Red dots indicate the approximate locations of incidents, with the majority clustered around the Strait of Hormuz between Iran and Oman, near the Musandam Peninsula. Additional attacks are marked furt

专家表示,伊朗还在距离霍尔木兹海峡更远的地方对船只进行更多的袭击。

Iran is also carrying out more attacks on vessels further away from the Strait of Hormuz, according to experts.

负责中东地区行动的美军中央司令部在社交媒体上发帖称,尽管发生了袭击,“在美军和地区伙伴的协同保护下,商业交通继续通过霍尔木兹海峡”。周日袭击事件之一发生后有两名船员失踪一段经核实的视频记录了周日报告的6起袭击事件之一的善后情况,视频显示悬挂尼加拉瓜国旗的“佩特罗海豚”(Petro Dolphin)号油轮正在起火,该视频由附近一艘小船上的船员拍摄。

The US military's Central Command, which oversees operations in the Middle East, posted on social media that despite the attacks "commercial traffic continues to flow through the Strait of Hormuz with co-ordinated protection from US forces and regional partners". Two crew missing after one of Sunday's attacks The aftermath of one of Sunday's six reported attacks was captured in verified footage showing the Nicaragua-flagged tanker Petro Dolphin on fire, as filmed by the crew on a smaller boat nearby.

两张显示一艘油轮着火的图片——从一艘较小的船只上拍摄Two images showing a tanker on fire - taken from a smaller boat

据海事情报公司先锋(Vanguard)称,该船在阿曼苏哈尔锚地(Sohar Anchorage)附近遭到无人机袭击,距离海峡超过250公里(150英里)。

The vessel was struck by a drone close to the Sohar Anchorage, Oman, more than 250km (150 miles) from the strait, according to the maritime intelligence firm Vanguard.

印度前线海员工会(Forward Seamen's Union of India)表示,11名印度海员获救,但仍有2人失踪。

Eleven Indian seafarers were rescued but two are still missing, the Forward Seamen's Union of India said.

本周袭击事件仍在继续,集装箱船“GFS普莱德”(GFS Pride)号周二在海峡内遭到不明抛射物袭击后沉没。21名船员安全撤离。

Attacks have continued this week with the container ship GFS Pride sinking after a strike by an unknown projectile in the strait on Tuesday. Twenty-one crew were safely evacuated.

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队(IRGC)公布了疑似同一艘船沉该船沉没的视频画面。该船称,该船载有“2500个集装箱的违禁品”,并且走了“未经授权的路线”。石油运输陷入停滞随着船只袭击次数的增加,中东石油出口有所放缓。

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) published footage of what appeared to be the same ship sinking. It said the vessel was carrying "2,500 containers of contraband" and had taken an "unauthorised route". Oil shipments stall Middle East oil exports have slowed as the number of ship strikes has risen.

两张图片显示:(左)一艘集装箱船向船尾倾斜,以及(右)较小的船只聚集在一个海运集装箱附近Two images showing (left) a container ship listing to the stern and (right) smaller boats gathered near a shipping container

贸易情报公司克普勒(Kpler)的数据显示,10月13日,每天有约1260万桶石油通过该海峡,低于9月底报告的1500万桶。相比之下,战前的基准约为每天1700万桶。

About 12.6 million barrels per day went through the strait on 13 October, below the 15 million reported at the end of September, data from trade intelligence firm Kpler shows. This compares with a pre-war baseline of some 17 million barrels per day.

面积图显示了自8月1日以来驶出霍尔木兹海峡的石油运输量的7天滚动平均值。8月初,日均运输量约为600万桶,在9月下旬呈上升趋势,达到每天1500万桶。这一数字已小幅下降至12……Area chart showing the 7-day rolling average of oil shipments exiting the Strait of Hormuz since the first of August. In early August daily shipments were about six million barrels on average, which trended upward to 15 million barrels per day in late September. This has dipped slightly down to 12 m

近期袭击事件的增加正值美国海军数据表明,在10月的前10天里,获得协助通过霍尔木兹海峡导航的船只数量比8年同期增加了85%。

The recent increase in attacks comes as US Navy data indicates the number of vessels given assistance to navigate the Strait of Hormuz during the first 10 days of October was up 85% compared with the same period in August.

最近从海湾阿拉伯国家运出的绝大部分石油都是通过“穿梭”系统运输的,即一支油轮舰队装载货物并航行穿过海峡,然后将货物转移到阿曼湾更大的油轮上。

Most of the oil being shipped from Gulf Arab states recently has been carried using a "shuttle" system where a fleet of tankers load up and sail through the strait before transferring their cargo to larger tankers in the Gulf of Oman.

这些穿梭船使用的是靠近阿曼海岸线的路线。伊朗称这是“未经授权的”,并坚决要求船只走靠近其自身海岸的另一条路线。

These shuttle ships use a route close to Oman's coastline. Iran says this is "unauthorised" and insist vessels take an alternative route closer to its own shore.

一张带注释的卫星图像,显示多艘油轮在阿曼海岸附近进行船对船转运An annotated satellite image showing a number of tankers carrying out ship-to-ship transfers off the coast of Oman

所谓的协助通行是帮助中东石油流量在9月份恢复到战前水平的关键因素。这不包括由于美国对伊朗港口和船只的封锁而完全陷入停滞的伊朗出口。

So-called assisted transits were a key factor in helping drive oil flows from the Middle East back towards pre-war levels in September. This does not include Iranian exports which have completely stalled as a result of the US blockade of Iranian ports and ships.

轨道风险情报公司(Orbital Risk Intelligence)首席执行官马丁·凯利(Martin Kelly)表示,作为对失去对海峡控制的放松的回应,伊朗已经“演变了其战略”,并一直在进行“几乎每天或每天多次的袭击”。他补充说:“这里的目的是阻止船只通过并威慑其他船只。”

Martin Kelly, CEO of Orbital Risk Intelligence, said Iran has "evolved its strategy" in response to this loosening of its control over the strait and has been carrying out "near daily or multiple attacks every single day". "The aim here is to stop the ships going through and to deter others," he added.

据官媒报道,伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队海军曾表示,袭击将“不限于霍尔木兹海峡”,随后宣布在整个地区采取“新的部署阵型”。

The IRGC's navy has said strikes would not be "limited to the Strait of Hormuz" and later announced a "new deployment formation" across the region, according to state media.

马丁·凯利对BBC事实核查表示,伊朗正在扩大其袭击范围,并将海湾阿拉伯国家海岸附近以及阿曼湾的船只作为目标。

Martin Kelly told BBC Verify that Iran is widening its attacks and targeting ships near the coast of Gulf Arab states and in the Gulf of Oman.

据先锋公司称,10月8日周四,卡塔尔以北的一艘油轮遭到多个抛射物袭击,距离海峡超过500公里(310英里),导致多人伤亡。

A tanker was struck by multiple projectiles north of Qatar on Thursday 8 October, more than 500km (310 miles) from the strait, resulting in multiple reported casualties, according to Vanguard.

三张来自海上船只的图像,显示地平线上升起浓烟。在左侧图像中,一股浓密的黑烟在船只甲板旁翻滚涌入夜间的天空。在中间图像中,身穿安全装备的船员站在船只甲板上,远处浓烟升起。在右侧图像中,一大股……Three images from a ship at sea showing smoke rising on the horizon. In the left image, thick dark smoke billows into the night sky beside a vessel's deck. In the centre image, crew members wearing safety gear stand on a ship's deck as smoke rises in the distance. In the right image, a large plume o

先锋公司表示,另一艘油轮于10月9日周五在阿联酋贾齐拉哈姆拉(Al-Jazirah al-Hamra)城镇附近遭到袭击。

Another tanker was attacked close to the UAE town of Al-Jazirah al-Hamra on Friday 9 October, Vanguard said.

经过核实的视频显示,随着一股浓密的黑烟在船上升起,船员们在甲板上奔跑并穿上救生衣。

Verified footage shows crew members running across the deck and putting on lifejackets as a large cloud of black smoke rises over the ship.

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