（NewsNation）——物价可负担性与打击腐败是民主党在中期选举宣传中的核心议题，但前白宫幕僚长拉姆·伊曼纽尔则认为这两者是“一枚硬币的两面”。在最近一场NewsNation举办的市民座谈会上，伊曼纽尔说道：“美国总统从卡塔尔获得了价值4.5亿美元的礼物——一架新的‘空军一号’；而普通民众却只能忍受每加仑4.5美元的汽油价格。”
(NewsNation) — Affordability and fighting corruption are central to the Democrats’ midterm message, but former White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel sees the two issues as “heads and tails of the same coin.”“The president of the United States gets a $450 million gift from Qatar — Air Force One — and you’re getting $4.50 a gallon of gas,” Emanuel said during a recent NewsNation town hall.
曾在奥巴马政府任职的伊曼纽尔对民主党的宣传效果给出了“B+”的评价，不过他认为民主党本可以更好地将物价可负担性与反腐败这两个议题联系起来。
Emanuel, who served under the Obama administration, gave Democrats a “B+” for their messaging but thinks they could do a better job connecting affordability and corruption.
“无论是总统还是共和党人，都在为民主党提供源源不断的宣传素材，”他说道。
“The president is giving them, and Republicans are giving them, an endless amount of material,” he said.
在最近由福克斯新闻发起的一项调查中，政府腐败问题位列选民最担忧的事项之首，有60%的受访者表示对此“极为担忧”；通货膨胀问题紧随其后，占比为58%。
Government corruption topped the list of voter concerns in a recent Fox News survey, with 60 percent saying they were “extremely concerned” about it. Inflation ranked second at 58 percent.
中期选举历来被视为对执政党的民意检验。鉴于目前共和党掌控着白宫及国会两院，该党目前处于守势。那么，民主党能否成功夺回众议院与参议院的控制权呢？
Midterm elections are traditionally a referendum on the party in power, and with Republicans controlling the White House and both chambers of Congress, the GOP is on the defensive. What are Democrats’ chances of taking the House and Senate?
作为《国会山报》与NewsNation的合作伙伴，Decision Desk HQ预测：民主党有77%的几率在众议院赢得多数席位，有56%的几率掌控参议院。
Decision Desk HQ, a partner of The Hill and NewsNation, gives Democrats a 77 percent chance of winning a House majority and a 56 percent chance of taking control of the Senate.
不过伊曼纽尔认为，即便中期选举获胜，也并不意味着民主党就能稳稳拿下2028年的总统大选。
Still, Emanuel doesn’t think a midterm victory would make Democrats a lock to win the White House in 2028.
“共和党人肯定会输，但民主党人也未必能赢，”他指出，并补充道：“2027年的情况以及我们届时的行为方式，将决定我们能否在那一年胜出。”伊曼纽尔呼吁民主党推动道德改革。这位曾连任两届芝加哥市长且担任过美国众议员的政客强调，民主党必须明确中期选举的意义究竟是“权宜之计”还是“变革契机”，同时他呼吁尽快出台相关道德改革法案，以兑现该党打击腐败的承诺。
“The Republicans are going to lose. Democrats aren’t going to win,” he noted, adding that 2027 and “how we comport ourselves will determine whether we have won that year.”Emanuel urges Democrats to push for ethics reform The two-term Chicago mayor and former U.S. representative said Democrats have to decide whether the midterms are “transactional” or “transformational” and called for an ethics reform bill that would deliver on the party’s anti-corruption promises.
他敦促民主党推动立法，禁止议员交易股票和在预测市场进行押注，并设定75岁为强制退休年龄。
He urged Democrats to push for legislation that would ban lawmakers from trading stocks and betting on prediction markets and set a mandatory retirement age of 75.
“如果你们所做的只是民主党版的食物大战，或者你们所做的只是调查而没有行动……你们就不会实现变革，”埃马纽埃尔说。
“If all you do is a Democratic version of food fighting, or all you do is investigations with no action … you won’t have delivered change,” Emanuel said.
在美联社和NORC研究中心最近的一项民意调查中，大约一半的选民表示他们希望实现“实质性变革”，而大约30%的选民希望在国家治理方式上实现“彻底颠覆”。
About half of voters in a recent poll from The Associated Press and NORC Research Center say they want “substantial change,” while roughly 3 in 10 want “complete and total upheaval” in the way the country is run.
同一项调查还发现，选民对特朗普总统普遍不满，但这种不满并未转化为对民主党的热烈支持。大约40%的选民对民主党持“非常”或“有些”好感，而大约一半的选民对该党持不利看法。
The same survey found widespread dissatisfaction with President Trump, but that discontent hasn’t translated into overwhelming enthusiasm for Democrats. About 4 in 10 voters have a “very” or “somewhat” favorable view of Democrats, while about half view the party unfavorably.
在Kalshi预测市场上，埃马纽埃尔目前被看好将成为首位宣布参加2028年总统竞选的民主党人。
Emanuel is currently favored on Kalshi to be the first Democrat to announce a 2028 presidential run.