特朗普在玫瑰园的最新长篇独白，让人想起上一位入住椭圆形办公室的八旬老人。安德鲁·费恩伯格解释了原因。
Trump’s latest lengthy soliloquy in the Rose Garden evoked memories of the last octogenarian to occupy the Oval Office. Andrew Feinberg explains why
在南草坪新停机坪降落九个小时后——他对此赞不绝口，此前他还进行了为期多天的竞选之旅，走的是大多无需拉票的安全共和党州——唐纳德·特朗普在玫瑰园对一群精心挑选的急救人员说，他“本该睡觉了”。与会者参加午宴本是期待听特朗普讲话，但如果他决定闭上眼睛、待在床上，他们和他本人或许都会更好。
Nine hours after he’d landed at the new helipad on the South Lawn that he can’t stop gushing about —after a multi-day campaign swing through mostly safe Republican states that he should not have to rally support in — Donald Trump told a hand-picked group of first responders gathered in the Rose Garden that he was “supposed to be sleeping now.”The attendees had come to the luncheon with the expectation of seeing Trump speak, but both they and he might have been better off if he’d decided to shut his eyes and stay in bed.
他们得到的，不是自由世界领袖（至少总统本应如此）一篇连贯、切题的讲话，而是一位筋疲力尽的八旬老人近一个小时的漫无边际的喋喋不休，他正急不可耐地冲向一场其党将输掉的中期选举。
Instead of a cogent, topical set of remarks from the leader of the free world (at least that's what the POTUS is supposed to be anyway), what they got was nearly an hour of rambling from an exhausted octogenarian rushing headlong towards a midterm election his party is on course to lose.
“如果我的嗓子能撑住，我们就会形势大好，”特朗普在列举自己日程中仍剩的州、以每天一场半的集会节奏后不久说道。“毕竟只有一个人的声音。你也许可以弄一个他们现在制造的漂亮机器人，让它长得跟我一模一样，你也分不出区别。让它们去竞选路上跑。我可以坐在家里，在电视上看着它们。”对于那些报道过乔·拜登总统任期最后一年的记者来说，这位80岁老人的举止唤起了强烈的似曾相识感——看着一位已过鼎盛、即将成为跛脚鸭的老人，对糟糕的民调和日益高涨的不可负担性视而不见，转而谈论他离开后会发生什么。
“If my voice holds out, we’re going to be in great shape,” Trump said early on, after listing the states still on his schedule at his pace of a rally-and-a-half a day. “You know, it is one voice after all. You could maybe get one of those beautiful robots that they make nowadays and make them look just like me, and you wouldn’t know the difference. Send them out on the trail. I can sit home and watch them on television.”For those of us who covered the last year of Joe Biden’s presidency, the 80-year-old’s demeanor elicited a sharp sense of deja vu — watching a past-his-prime, soon-to-be lame duck shrug off dismal polling and rising unaffordability while pivoting to talking about what happens after he is gone.
让他花数月时间向媒体和公众炒作第三任期话题的那种狂妄气焰，似乎已荡然无存，这使他在夸耀其不受欢迎的关税带来22万亿美元投资时，不得不默认自己任期的局限性。
The bravado that led him to spend months trolling the press and public about a third term appeared to be completely gone, leading him to tacitly acknowledge the limitations of his time in office — in the middle of a boast about the $22 trillion in investment he claims his unpopular tariffs have brought in.
“总有一天，你们会有一位不是我的总统，他们将就站在这里，女士们、先生们。我想报告我们国家历史上最伟大的增长。我做得非常好，”特朗普说道，语气听起来更像是沮丧的怀念，而非夸耀。
“You’re going to have a president someday that’s not me, and they’re going to be standing right here, ladies and gentlemen. I’d like to report the greatest growth in the history of our country. I’ve done such a good job,” Trump said, sounding more defeatedly wistful than boastful.
特朗普随后转向附近一张桌子上的边境巡逻队工会负责人。“记住，是我做的。不是他们做的。所以请记住这一点，”他说。
Trump then turned to the head of the Border Patrol union at a nearby table. “Remember, I did it. They didn’t do it. So just remember that,” he said.
当他提到自己第一任期的药品定价改革“在拜登第二年见效”时，他声称自己也遭遇了类似现象，这导致他的继任者（鉴于其分段任期，也是前任）将成果宣布为自己的。
He claimed to be the victim of a similar phenomenon when he remarked that drug-pricing reforms from his first term “kicked in in Biden’s second year,” leading his successor (and predecessor, given his split terms) to announce the results as his own.
“我记得拜登站起来说，‘女士们、先生们，我想在这里或那里宣布一些好数字。’我会说，‘那是我做的，’”特朗普说。
“I remember Biden standing up and saying, ‘Ladies and gentlemen, I want to announce some great numbers here or there.’ And I’d say, ‘I did that.’”
特朗普在谈到“总统名人堂”的黄铜匾额时，以另一种方式表达了同样的意思，这些匾额如今安装在回廊旁。“随着我们接近我的年份，条目会‘变得更个人化一些，’”他说，“关于我们不得不忍受的事情。所以谁知道呢？他们一上任可能就会改掉。但我所做的只是写下真相。”
Trump said the same thing a different way when he talked about the brass plaques of the “presidential walk of fame” now mounted along the colonnade. The entries get “a little bit more personal as we get closer to my year,” he said, “about what we’ve had to put up with. So who knows? They’ll probably change that as soon as they get in. But all I do is write the truth.”
距离选民在中期选举中投票不足一个月，特朗普似乎陷入了同样的民调泡沫，而这个泡沫曾困住拜登，直到与时任参议院多数党领袖查克·舒默（民主党-纽约州）进行一次“醒悟会谈”后，拜登才相信自己已不再拥有足够的党内支持，继续担任民主党总统候选人。
With less than a month until voters cast their ballots in the midterms, Trump appears caught in the same polling bubble that trapped Biden until a come-to-Jesus meeting with then-Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) convinced him that he no longer had enough support from his party to continue as the Democratic presidential nominee.
在导致他与特朗普辩论表现糟糕的那个夏天的大部分时间里，拜登告诉所有询问的人，民调是错的，他的集会人数证明了这一点，而媒体不会报道这一点。
For most of that summer leading up to his shockingly bad debate performance against Trump, Biden told anyone who asked that the polls were wrong, that his crowds proved it and that the press would not report it.
特朗普在曾经是玫瑰花园的铺装空间里反复说的话也类似：“民主党人说有坏事发生，而假新闻不想谈论它。但这些是前所未见的集会。”他到底在说什么尚不清楚，尽管特朗普最近几天多次表示，他仅仅通过在各州为2024式集会露面，就提振了共和党候选人。
Trump’s refrain in the paved-over space that was once the Rose Garden was similar: “The Democrats are saying there’s something bad happening, and the fake news doesn’t want to talk about it. But these are rallies that nobody’s ever seen.”It was unclear what he was talking about, though Trump has remarked multiple times in recent days that he has boosted GOP candidates simply by appearing in their states for a 2024-style rally.
他在谈及个别选举时比谈全国形势更为坦率。他飞去帮助的蒙大拿州众议员正陷入“有点胶着的竞争”。得克萨斯州司法部长肯·帕克斯顿，特朗普称他“有点争议”，如今在与詹姆斯·塔拉里科的竞争中“不相上下”——是的，请让这个事实沉淀一下：在红得发紫的得克萨斯州，特朗普支持的共和党候选人竟然与支持跨性别权利、倾向左翼的民主党人不相上下，而总统将此视为一个加分项。哦，还有，特朗普说如果有必要他会“回来”，因为“我们必须赢得这些选举”。
He was more candid about individual races than about the national picture. The Montana congressman he flew out to help is in “a little bit of a tight race.”Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, who Trump allowed is “a little bit controversial,” has “pulled pretty even now” with James Talarico in Texas — yes, let it sink in, the Trump backed Republican in ruby-red Texas has pulled even with a trans-rights supporting, left-leaning Democrat, and the president is noting that as a plus. Oh, and Trump said he’d “go back if it’s necessary because “we got to win these races.”
谈到密歇根州，那里阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛耶德领先于迈克·罗杰斯，他说：“我无法想象他会赢。”他称埃尔-赛耶德为“穆斯林兄弟会的人，百分之百”，并说：“我叫他穆罕默德·阿卜杜勒·阿尔-赛耶德。”埃尔-赛耶德是一名在密歇根州出生的埃及裔医生。这一表述（如上文标题所示）是在特朗普解释为何芬太尼从未诱惑他时说的：他不喝酒、不抽烟、也不吸毒。
On Michigan, where Abdul El-Sayed leads Mike Rogers, he said, “I can’t imagine he won.”He called El-Sayed, a physician born in Michigan to Egyptian parents, “a Muslim Brotherhood guy, 100 percent,” and said, “I call him Mohammed Abdul Al-Sayyed.”The admission (as in the headline above) came while Trump was explaining why fentanyl has never tempted him: he does not drink, smoke or take drugs.
“我有其他问题。我有一些非常严重的问题，但这些不是其中之一。我不想把它们加到名单上。你明白这一点吗，托德？”他对司法部长托德·布兰奇这样奇怪地说，后者也是他以前的私人律师。“因为如果我那样做了，我可以保证我现在不会在这里。”
“I have other problems. I have some very severe problems, but those are not one of them. I don’t want to add them to the list. Do you understand that, Todd?” he strangely said to Attorney General Todd Blanche, who is also his former personal lawyer. “Because if I did, I guarantee I wouldn’t be here right now.”
他立刻抓住了这一点。“现在媒体会说，‘他到底有什么问题？我们来弄清楚。’我可能自己给自己埋下了这个伏笔，托德。托德将不得不尝试为我辩护，因为他们会说，他说他有严重的问题。是什么问题？而我实际上并不知道。我当时只是在玩乐。”另外，托德不再是你的律师了，他是美国人民的律师，那他为什么要为你辩护，总统先生？
He caught it immediately. “Now the press is going to say, ‘What problem does he have? Let’s figure it out.’ I probably set myself up for that one, Todd. Todd’s going to have to try and defend me because they’re going to say, he said he’s got some serious problems. What are they? Which I actually don’t know. I was just having fun.”Also, Todd is not your lawyer anymore, he is the American people’s, so why would he be defending you, Mr. President?
这句话让人想起拜登在任期这个阶段所发表的离奇故事和失误，从据说被食人族吃掉的叔叔，到谈论乌克兰的“普京总统”和那年北约峰会上的“特朗普副总统”。
The bizarre remark was reminiscent of the madcap stories and gaffes that came from Biden at this point in his term, from the uncle supposedly eaten by cannibals to talk about “President Putin” of Ukraine and “Vice President Trump” at that year’s NATO summit.
特朗普自己当场进行解释，他在这里也这样做了。但在2024年，这些片段成为新闻，并被保守派媒体和特朗普的社交媒体盟友广泛且定期推广。今年，这些片段与每加仑4.40美元的汽油、持续八个月的战争以及皮尤研究中心本月测得的30%批准率共享版面——这是他两届有争议任期中的最低水平。民主党在普遍选民投票中领先九个百分点，并在12个竞争激烈的参议院选举中的10场中领先。他仍然引来了笑声。
Trump does his own explaining, on the spot, and did here. But in 2024, the clips were the news and they were widely and regularly promoted by conservative outlets and Trump’s social media allies. This year, they share the page with gasoline at $4.40, a war in its eighth month, and an approval rating Pew measured at 30 percent this month, the lowest of either of Trump’s divisive terms. Democrats lead the generic ballot by nine points and are ahead in 10 of the 12 competitive Senate races. He still got laughs.
海军对毒品船只的导弹打击，特朗普说，已经“毁掉了渔业”，因为“再也没有人想出海了。”他希望对任何在消防车梯子上开枪射击消防员的人判处死刑。当一名志愿消防队长递给他一顶头盔并说他希望上帝能用它来保护他时，特朗普说：“我在巴特勒本来也可以用上这个。”他说，每个人都会得到一枚挑战币，并且“他们可以选择这枚硬币，或者见我。他们说，‘我们要硬币，请。’”他告诉客人吃饭，建议放一些音乐，因为“你们有些人互不喜欢”，然后他进屋了。
Navy missile strikes on drug boats, Trump said, have “killed the fishing industry,” because “nobody wants to go boating anymore.”He wants the death penalty for anyone who shoots a firefighter on a ladder. When a volunteer fire chief handed him a helmet and said he hoped God would use it to protect him, Trump said, “I could have used this in Butler.”Everyone would get a challenge coin, he said, and “they have a choice of the coin or meeting Trump. They say, ‘We’ll take the coin, please.’”He told the guests to eat, suggested some music because “some of you don’t like each other,” and went inside.
密歇根州、爱荷华州和堪萨斯州仍在名单上。特朗普只有一种声音来应对他们。
Michigan, Iowa and Kansas are still on the list.
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Trump has just one voice to get through them with.