民主战略家詹姆斯·卡维尔周四表示，尽管共和党在财政上具有显著优势，并且实施了几项成功的重新划分选区措施，但他们“极有可能”在下个月失去众议院控制权。卡维尔在NewsNation的《CUOMO》节目中的亮相中，进一步强化了他的分析，认为民主党在距离中期选举仅剩两周多的时候占据了优势。他还补充说，共和党也可能失去参议院控制权。
Democratic strategist James Carville said Thursday that Republicans are “highly likely” to lose House control next month, despite a significant financial advantage and several successful redistricting measures. Carville, in an appearance on NewsNation's CUOMO, doubled down on his analysis giving Democrats the leg up with the midterm elections just over two weeks away. He added that the GOP could also lose the Senate.
“今年伊始，记得，共和党曾拥有巨大的财政优势。我们都被教育认为金钱在政治中真的很重要，”这位战略家对主持人克里斯·库莫说。“他们拥有经过操纵的众议院选区图，并且拥有一张‘血红’的参议院选区图。”这位曾任前总统克林顿顾问的战略家指出，民主党需要将精力集中在信息传递和推动受选民欢迎的立法上。
“When this year started, remember, the Republicans had a huge financial advantage. We were all brought up to think money really matters in politics,” the strategist told host Chris Cuomo. “They had a gerrymandered House map, and they had a blood red Senate map.”The strategist, who served as former President Clinton's adviser, noted Democrats needed to focus their efforts on messaging and pushing legislation that is popular with voters.
共和党一直领导着中期选举的重新划分选区斗争，并在特朗普总统的巨大压力下推进这一进程。虽然民主党在加利福尼亚和弗吉尼亚等地也跟进了这一做法，但共和党仍然能够为自己在2026年中期选举中争取到潜在优势。特朗普的MAGA Inc.提供了超过4亿美元的战争基金资金，此外还有像万亿富翁科技巨头埃隆·马斯克这样的人物的大额捐助，共和党在本轮选举中一开始就占据了优势。
The Republican Party has led the midterm redistricting battle, with significant pressure from President Trump to get it done. While Democrats followed suit in places like California and Virginia, Republicans were still able to give themselves a potential advantage heading into the 2026 midterms. With over $400 million in war chest funding from Trump’s MAGA Inc. and large donations from people like trillionaire tech mogul Elon Musk, the GOP started the cycle with a leg up.
但总统的低支持率以及民主党的筹款努力对即将到来的选举产生了显著影响。“看来他们极有可能赢得众议院，”卡维尔周四继续说道。“我个人……但这只是一种直觉……我认为他们也会赢得参议院。”他补充说，如果民主党在11月重新夺回多数席位，他们应该通过至少五项被大多数美国人持积极态度的立法。他举例包括通过最低工资上调法案、重新开放农村医院以及从伊朗战争中撤出军队——无论特朗普是否同意将这些法案签署成法律。
But the president's low approval ratings and Democrats' fundraising efforts have made a significant impact on the upcoming election. “It seems highly likely that they're going to win the House,” Carville continued Thursday. “I personally ... but there's just a hunch ... I think they'll win the Senate also.”He added that if Democrats retake the majority in November, they should pass at least five pieces of legislation viewed favorably by most Americans. Some examples he provided include passing a minimum wage hike, reopening rural hospitals and pulling troops out of the Iran war — whether or not Trump would agree to sign the bills into law.
“我认为民主党的议程相当简单，”卡维尔对NewsNation表示。“通过那项法案，这是四分之三的美国人所希望的，但他们永远不会签署，因为他们的利益集团在阻碍他们。”他补充道：“这就是我会做的。”Decision Desk HQ是《国会山报》的合作伙伴，目前显示民主党在明年重新夺回众议院控制权的可能性为77%。在参议院方面，DDHQ预测左翼在共和党方面仅以微弱优势领先。
“I think the Democratic agenda is pretty simple,” Carville told NewsNation. “Pass that, which three quarters of the American people want that they'll never sign because their interest groups are holding them back." He added, "That's what I would do.”Decision Desk HQ, The Hill's partner, currently shows Democrats with a 77 percent of retaking control of the House next year. On the Senate side, DDHQ forecasts the left with a narrow lead over Republicans.