
美国银行股将录得自2008年全球金融危机以来最糟糕的周跌幅,因季度财报未能提振疲软板块的情绪。
US bank shares are set to record their worst weekly losing streak since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, after quarterly earnings didn’t do enough to lift sentiment for the ailing sector.
KBW银行指数(成分股24只)本周下跌约1.1%,已深入修正区间,自8月创下的历史高点以来累计下跌约13%。尽管该板块多年来曾出现更大幅度的抛售——包括今年早些时候近17%的回撤——但目前正朝着连续第六周下跌的趋势发展,若实现,将成为自2008年以来最长的周线连跌纪录。
The 24-member KBW Bank Index is down around 1.1% this week and is well into correction territory, losing about 13% since its last record in August. While the group has suffered larger selloffs over the years — including an almost 17% drawdown early this year — it’s on pace for a sixth consecutive week of declines, which would mark the longest such losing streak since 2008.
在该指数表现最差的成分股中,包括花旗集团、州街公司、美国银行和摩根士丹利。而摩根大通公司本周则上涨约1.7%。
Citigroup Inc., State Street Corp., Bank of America Corp. and Morgan Stanley are among the worst performers on the gauge. While, JPMorgan Chase & Co. is up around 1.7% for the week.
即使在本周财报参差不齐之前,该板块就已因人工智能技术将如何颠覆金融服务领域的担忧而备受打击。本周的高通胀数据也加剧了市场对美联储在遏制持续通胀过程中将有多么激进的担忧。
Even before mixed quarterly earnings this week, the sector has been battered by worries around how artificial intelligence technology will disrupt the financial services space. A hot inflation print this week also added to concerns on how aggressive the Federal Reserve will be in its campaign to reign in persistent inflation.
“银行大型股正面临多重担忧的交汇点,较长时间的高利率环境正在提升经济增长放缓和贷款损失增加的风险,”彭博智库分析师赫尔曼·陈表示。“第三季度财报几乎未能扭转疲态,尽管股票业务表现良好,但固定收益业务令交易表现参差不齐,运营杠杆仅保持稳定。”银行股的持续疲软可能是经济的令人担忧的信号,鉴于贷款机构通过提供信贷来推动经济增长的作用。
“Big-bank stocks are facing a confluence of concerns, with a higher-for-longer rate backdrop raising the risk of slower economic growth and higher loan losses,” said Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Herman Chan. “Third-quarter results did little to reverse the weakness, with stable operating leverage but mixed trading as fixed-income results disappointed despite strength in equities.”Sustained weakness in bank stocks can be a troubling sign for the economy, given the role lenders play in fueling growth by providing credit.

Chan表示:“AI公司的融资成本上升现在正在为与基础设施建设相关的资本市场收入机遇的持久性提出质疑。”他补充说:“具能AI也正在成为对推动银行盈利能力的稳定、低成本存款的潜在长期威胁。”巴克莱银行分析师杰森·戈德堡在周三晚间的一份报告中写道,自美联储于9月16日加息以来,该指标在21个交易日中有18个交易日表现弱于标普500指数。他表示,这是自该指数1992年5月成立以来,在所有连续21个交易日的期间中前所未有的。
The “rising funding costs for AI companies are now adding questions about the durability of the capital-markets revenue opportunity tied to the infrastructure buildout,” says Chan. “Agentic AI is also emerging as a potential longer-term threat to the stable, low-cost deposits that drive bank profitability.”The gauge has underperformed the S&P 500 in 18 of 21 trading days since the Fed raised interest rates on Sept. 16, Barclays analyst Jason Goldberg wrote in a late Wednesday note. That’s unprecedented across rolling 21-session periods since the index’s May 1992 inception, he said.