特朗普总统于10月14日在亚利桑那州布尔黑德城的劳克林/布尔黑德国际机场参加竞选集会并发表讲话。
President Trump speaks at a campaign rally at Laughlin/Bullhead International Airport in Bullhead City, Ariz., on Oct. 14.
肯特·尼希穆拉/法新社，经盖蒂图片社提供 关注中期选举及更多内容，请使用NPR应用。9月初，特朗普总统在白宫玫瑰园召集参加竞争激烈选举的共和党候选人共进晚餐。总统承诺在中期选举前的最后一个月为大约30名参加晚餐的共和党候选人进行竞选，晚餐菜单上有优质牛肉汉堡。
Kent Nishimura/AFP via Getty Images Follow the midterms & more in the NPR App Early in September, President Trump gathered Republicans running in competitive races for a dinner in the White House Rose Garden. Prime aged beef burgers were on the menu as the president made a pledge to spend the final month before the midterms campaigning for the approximately 30 Republican candidates in attendance.
“我将前往那35个地方的每一个，我们将看看是否能让所有人当选，”特朗普自信地表示。
I'm going to go to every one of those 35 places and we're going to see if we can get everyone elected," Trump said confidently.
白宫尚未澄清总统当晚所说的那35个地方具体指哪些。此后，特朗普的竞选活动仅涉及这些候选人的不到三分之一。与总统所说的他将聚焦摇摆州和摇摆选区不同，他的行程安排带他前往了大量共和党腹地。
The White House hasn't clarified which 35 places the president was talking about that night. Since then, Trump has campaigned with fewer than a third of those candidates. Rather than focus on swing states and swing districts as the president said he would, his travel schedule has taken him to a lot of Republican territory.
特朗普的行程既反映了他能提供帮助的地方（以及他无法帮助的地方），也反映了一个正在变化的格局——即便是红州的共和党人也需要提振。
Trump's itinerary is both a reflection of where he can help (and where he can't) but also of a shifting landscape where even red state Republicans need a boost.
本周，在亚利桑那州和蒙大拿州的集会停靠点之间的停机坪上，特朗普试图将他对两年前他曾 decisive 获胜的州的访问描述为出于感激之情。
On the tarmac between rally stops in Arizona and Montana this week, Trump attempted to spin his visits to states he won decisively just two years ago as a matter of gratitude.
“我这样做是为了感谢他们，”特朗普说。“我也这样做是因为那里有一些正在参选的优秀人士，我希望确保他们获胜。”他接着抱怨在他不参选的年份里，共和党投票率下降的问题——这是他和他的团队试图通过十月份的竞选集会 Blitz（密集活动）来应对的情况，此次活动已带他前往俄亥俄州（两次）、得克萨斯州（两次）、俄克拉荷马州甚至田纳西州。
"So, I do it to thank them," Trump said. "I also do it because we have some great people there that are running and I want to make sure they win." He went on to bemoan the drop in Republican turnout in years when he isn't on the ballot, something Trump and his team are trying to counteract with an October campaign rally blitz that has taken him to Ohio (twice), Texas (twice), Oklahoma and even Tennessee.
“我到底在田纳西州干什么？”特朗普在舞台上自言自语，引来观众热烈欢呼。
"What the hell am I doing in Tennessee?" Trump mused from stage to wild cheers.
本周早些时候，总统乘飞机进行了八个小时的飞行前往阿拉斯加，为共和党参议员丹·S·沙利文（Dan S. Sullivan）和众议员尼克·贝吉奇（Nick Begich）助选。特朗普在2024年曾以13个百分点的优势在该州胜出，而这两人目前都面临着胜负难料、令人捏一把汗的选战。
Earlier this week, the president took an eight hour flight to Alaska to campaign for Republicans, Sen. Dan S. Sullivan and Rep. Nick Begich, both of whom face races that are too close for comfort in a state Trump won by 13 points in 2024. "This is worth the 8 hours in a plane," Trump said to an adoring crowd. "And don't forget I've got 8 hours going back.
特朗普向崇拜他的集会人群说道：“这值得坐八个小时的飞机。别忘了我回去还要坐八个小时。给我记上一功。”事实上，他在回程途中又停留了两站，并在拉斯维加斯的特朗普酒店过夜。
Give me credit for that." In fact, he made two more stops on the way back and spent the night at the Trump hotel in Las Vegas. The Republican National Committee has announced he'll be campaigning in Kansas Monday, which has a toss-up U.S. Senate race, something few would have anticipated even a month ago.
共和党全国委员会已宣布，他将于周一前往堪萨斯州开展竞选活动。该州目前有一场胜负难料的美国参议员竞选，这在仅仅一个月前是几乎没人能预料到的。
Republicans are on defense in a lot of states where they've traditionally won without much trouble.
共和党在许多他们传统上能轻松获胜的州处于守势。特朗普的团队正在挑选他过去表现良好、能够动员共和党基本盘的地点。
Trump's team is picking locations where he can activate the Republican base in places where he's done well in the past.
共和党全国委员会主席乔·格鲁特斯（Joe Gruters）在亚利桑那州的一次特朗普集会上通过电话对美国全国公共广播电台表示：“这里基层有大量的热情，积聚了很大的势头。这就是投票率、投票率、投票率。如何让基本盘出来投票？你把总统放进选票里。你把他派到前台去。”特朗普经常恳求支持者像他本人在选票上一样去投票。
"Just a lot of excitement, a lot of momentum building up on the ground here," said RNC Chairman Joe Gruters in a call with NPR from a Trump rally in Arizona. "It's turnout, turnout, turnout. How do you get the base to show up? You put the president on the ballot. You put him out there."
这是一种新颖的政治策略，与那些支持率不受欢迎且其所在政党面临重大中期选举逆风的总统们的常态背道而驰。特朗普声称，民调对他处于水面以下的满意度的看法是错误的。
Trump frequently implores his supporters to vote as if he were on the ballot. It's a novel political strategy that runs counter to the norm for unpopular presidents whose parties face significant midterm headwinds. Trump claims the polls are wrong about his underwater approval rating.
至于特朗普的信息，在各个竞选站之间并没有太大变化。其中包含了他最出彩的内容：他过去的选举胜利、他的“一个伟大而美丽的法案”，以及对他在对伊朗发动战争前不久、油价更便宜的那段美好回忆的重温。他暗示，如果共和党赢得众议院和参议院，将向每位美国成年人发放5,000美元的红利——这个想法是他最初在非常规的共和党中期会议上提出的，但遭到了当选共和党人的阻挠。在大多数竞选站，他都会谈到他为该州计划的具体项目或交易。
As for Trump's message, it doesn't change much from stop to stop. There are the greatest hits: his past election wins, his One Big Beautiful Bill, and a walk down memory lane from right before he launched the war with Iran when gas prices were cheaper. He teases a $5,000 dividend to every American adult if Republicans win the House and the Senate, an idea he first rolled out at the unconventional Republican midterm convention, but has faced resistance from elected Republicans. On most stops he talks about a specific project or deal he has planned for the state.
周二，特朗普计划在北卡罗来纳州格林维尔进行竞选活动。共和党竞选委员会已经开始取消旨在帮助特朗普亲自挑选的该州共和党参议员候选人迈克尔·沃特利（Michael Whatley）的广告预订。这表明他们认为该选区的选情已经变得遥不可及。
On Tuesday, Trump is set to campaign in Greenville, North Carolina. Republican campaign committees have already started canceling ad reservations meant to help Trump's handpicked Republican Senate candidate there, Michael Whatley. It's a sign they see that race as moving out of reach.
北卡罗来纳州东部还有一个国会选区，作为特朗普推动十年中期选区重划的一部分，该选区被重新划分为有利于共和党。它本不该竞争激烈，但现在被《库克政治报告》（Cook Political Report）评为胜负难料。
There's also a congressional district in Eastern North Carolina that was redrawn to favor Republicans as part of Trump's mid-decade redistricting push. It shouldn't be competitive, but it's now rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report.
“我认为今年这会在方方面面适得其反，”北卡罗来纳州民主党主席安德森·克莱顿（Anderson Clayton）说，“他正试图在最后关头争取哪怕一点支持。但我认为北卡罗来纳州人不会再次上当了。”2026年中期选举 唐纳德·特朗普
"I think it's going to backfire on them this year in every way shape and form," said Anderson Clayton, chair of the North Carolina Democratic Party. "He's trying to drum up any amount of support that he can at the last minute. But I don't think that North Carolinians are going to fall for it again." 2026 midterms Donald Trump