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巴西卢拉领先弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗51%对49%的新民调显示决选势均力敌Brazil's Lula leads Flávio Bolsonaro 51% to 49% in new runoff poll

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巴西投票站内投票箱旁的一面巴西国旗 · 图片:Sora Shimazaki / PexelsBrazilian flag beside a ballot box at a polling station · Photo: Sora Shimazaki / Pexels

巴西民调机构Vox Brasil最新民调显示,总统卢拉在有效票中获得51%,挑战者弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗获得49%,两人差距在误差范围内,被描述为技术性平局。此次民调于巴西总统决选前恰好一周发布,决选日期定于10月25日。

A new Vox Brasil poll gives President Lula 51% of valid votes against 49% for Flávio Bolsonaro, a technical tie a week before Brazil's October 25 presidential runoff.

民调结果表明,卢拉以微弱优势领先博尔索纳罗。民调机构指出,两人支持率差距在误差范围内,属于技术性平局。该民调于选民返岗投票前恰好七天发布,决选定于10月25日举行。

A fresh survey from pollster Vox Brasil shows President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva narrowly ahead of challenger Flavio Bolsonaro in Brazil's presidential runoff, with 51% of valid votes against 49%. Pollsters describe the gap, within the margin of error, as a technical tie, published exactly seven days before voters return to the polls on October 25.

此结果标志着一场持续数周的胶着竞赛告一段落。此前多家民调机构的调查也显示,选举势均力敌,难以预测胜负。弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗已成为保守阵营在第二轮选举中的代表人物,而卢拉则希望继续执掌巴西总统职位。作为拉美最大经济体,巴西的货币和股票市场对民调变化表现出敏感性,因为投资者正在评估不同选举结果可能对财政政策和支出带来的影响。

The result caps a campaign that has stayed essentially deadlocked for weeks, with earlier surveys from rival pollsters also pointing to a race too close to call. Flavio Bolsonaro has emerged as the standard-bearer for the conservative bloc in the second round, while Lula is seeking to extend his hold on Brazil's presidency. Latin America's largest economy, and its currency and stock markets, have shown sensitivity to shifts in the polling as investors weigh what either outcome could mean for fiscal policy and spending.

随着竞选进入最后一周,双方阵营预计将加大力度动员未决定的选民。Vox Brasil表示,将继续追踪选民情绪直至决选前最后几天。届时,超过1.5亿巴西选民将有资格参与投票。

With just a week of campaigning left, both camps are expected to intensify efforts to mobilize undecided voters in the final stretch. Vox Brasil said it would continue tracking voter sentiment through the final days before the runoff, when more than 150 million Brazilians are eligible to cast ballots.