共和党高层已停止在一场政治前景严峻的北卡罗来纳州参议院竞选中投入资金，但特朗普总统仍坚定支持他亲自挑选的提名人迈克尔·沃特利，并计划于周二前往该州，希望能激发共和党选民投票。
Top Republicans have stopped spending in a politically daunting North Carolina Senate race, but President Trump is standing by his handpicked nominee Michael Whatley with a Tuesday trip he’s hoping can turn out GOP votes.
此次北卡罗来纳州之行是总统进行为期七天、跨越七州的中期选举冲刺行程的一部分。根据当前“MS NOW/Fifty Plus One”民调，该州前州长罗伊·库珀以10个百分点的优势领先沃特利。尽管沃特利面临艰难的战局，但总统仍坚定支持他，希望在提前投票已开始之际点燃共和党选民的热情。
The North Carolina visit, part of a seven day, seven state midterm blitz by the president comes as current MS NOW/Fifty Plus One polling has the state’s former governor Roy Cooper leading Whatley by 10 points. Despite Whatley’s uphill battle, the president is standing by him, hoping to ignite Republicans with early voting now underway.
然而，总统的这一支持态度与参议院共和党首要超级政治行动委员会（Super PAC）的动作形成对比：该委员会本月早些时候已暂停在北卡罗来纳州的未来支出，并大幅削减广告投放，显示出对该选情缺乏信心。
That support from the president however, comes as the top Senate Republican Super PAC paused future spending in North Carolina earlier this month and slashed ad spending, indicating a lack of confidence in the race.
民调：特朗普支持率跌至历史新低 2026年10月19日 根据AdImpact的数据，“参议院领袖基金”于10月2日削减了北卡罗来纳州参议院竞选中1320万美元的广告支出，“此后其他较小规模的削减也陆续跟进”，削减总额达1460万美元。同一天，特朗普在白宫南草坪对记者表示，他希望沃特利获胜，但对他“感到担忧”。北卡罗来纳州的削减伴随着一笔七位数的共和党广告投入，投向了历史上属于红州的堪萨斯州。
Poll: Trump approval rating hits record low October 19, 2026 The Senate Leadership Fund cut $13.2 million in ad spending on the North Carolina Senate race on Oct. 2, according to AdImpact, and “other smaller cuts have trickled in since,” totaling $14.6 million in cuts. That same day Trump told reporters on the White House South Lawn that he hopes Whatley wins, but was “worried” about him. The North Carolina cut was accompanied by a seven-figure Republican ad buy in historically red Kansas.
尽管目前选情不利且本党已撤资，特朗普仍决定在中期选举最后冲刺阶段坚定支持沃特利并为其助选，这将总统自身的政治影响力置于考验之中。
Trump’s decision to stand by Whatley and campaign with him in the final midterm stretch despite the current state of the race and his party’s pullback is putting the president’s own political strength on the line.
据两位熟悉特朗普中期选举策略的人士透露，总统及其政治团队并不认为北卡罗来纳州完全没有机会，但此行也旨在缩小失败的规模。
The president, and his political team, don’t believe North Carolina is entirely out of reach, but the trip is also designed to mitigate the scale of a loss, according to two people familiar with Trump’s midterm strategy.
“至少，你不想在摇摆州精心挑选一个人，然后却不努力帮助他，”其中一位知情人士、一名白宫官员说。这名官员以及本文引述的其他人士均获准匿名，以便坦率谈论内部中期选举策略。该官员继续表示，为了“名声”，特朗普为沃特利助选是有利的。
“At the very least, you don’t want to handpick a guy in a swing state and then not work to help him,” said one of the people, a White House official granted anonymity to speak candidly about internal midterm election strategy, as were others for this story. The official continued that for “reputation sake” it’s advantageous that Trump campaign for Whatley.
“问题在于投票率。[特朗普团队]觉得他能动员低投票倾向的选民，这让沃特利更具竞争力，”这位前官员说。
“The issue is turnout. [Trump’s team] feels like he can draw low propensity voters out which makes Whatley more competitive,” the former official said.
“谁也无法否认，特朗普总统通过‘让美国再次伟大’运动建立了政治史上最强大的联盟之一，而且总统懂得如何与他们沟通，”白宫发言人戴维斯·英格尔说。“特朗普总统是共和党无可争议的领袖、最佳传播者和无与伦比的激励者，他致力于保持共和党在国会的多数席位，”英格尔补充道。
“No one can dispute the fact that President Trump has created one of the most robust coalitions in political history with the MAGA movement, and the President understands how to communicate with them,” said White House spokesperson Davis Ingle. “President Trump is the unequivocal leader, best messenger, and unmatched motivator for the Republican Party, and he is committed to maintaining Republican majorities in Congress,” Ingle added.
尽管共和党今秋面临严峻的政治形势，通胀居高不下，伊朗战争仍在持续，但总统坚持认为，他在十月的集会正在通过激励党员扭转局势。但他动员选民投票的能力正接受考验。
Even as Republicans face a tough political landscape this fall with elevated inflation and the ongoing war in Iran, the president insists his October rallies are turning the tide by energizing the party. But his ability to turnout the vote is being tested.
根据近期《华盛顿邮报》-ABC新闻-Ipsos联合民调，33%的美国成年人支持总统，而66%不支持。根据该民调，特朗普在经济问题上的支持率为28%。
According to a recent Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll 33 percent of American adults approve of the president, while 66 percent disapprove. According to the poll Trump’s approval on the economy is at 28 percent.
“特朗普总统正在全国巡回演讲，宣传共和党的历史性胜利，并与希望迈克尔·沃特利和劳里·巴克豪特减税、大幅削减暴力犯罪、把北卡罗来纳州利益放在首位的选民举行集会，”共和党全国委员会发言人埃玛·霍尔说。“不幸的是，民主党人被迫为软弱纵容犯罪的黑客罗伊·库珀和一事无成的唐·戴维斯辩护，”她说。
“President Trump is barnstorming the country to tout Republicans’ historic wins and rally with voters who want Michael Whatley and Laurie Buckhout cutting taxes, slashing violent crime, and putting North Carolina first,” said RNC spokesperson Emma Hall. “Unfortunately for the Democrats, they are stuck defending soft-on-crime hack Roy Cooper and do-nothing Don Davis,” she said.
库珀是该州知名的两任州长，已将竞选重点锁定在可负担性信息上，并将“让东西更便宜”作为核心竞选承诺。沃特利试图追赶。他最初的竞选信息重点在于减少犯罪、提高公共安全，但在近期已转向，将重点更明确地放在了可负担性上。
Cooper, a well known two-term governor of the state, has honed in on affordability messaging and made a central campaign promise to “make stuff cost less.”Whatley has tried to catch up. His initial campaign messaging focused heavily on reducing crime and increasing public safety but has shifted in recent days with his own sharpened focus on affordability.
北卡罗来纳州也是本周期共和党最冒险的重划选区举措之一的所在地。该州由共和党主导的立法机构去年将目标对准温和派民主党人唐·戴维斯，通过重塑其选区使其更有利于保守派获胜、更为友好。为此，共和党让附近由共和党众议员格雷格·墨菲把持的第三选区对民主党更有利，同时仍保持了明显的亲特朗普倾向。
North Carolina is also home to one of Republicans more perilous redistricting gambits this cycle. The state’s GOP led legislature last year targeted moderate Democrat Don Davis by reshaping his seat to make it more winnable, and friendly, to conservatives. To do that, Republicans made the nearby third district, held by GOP congressman Greg Murphy, better for Democrats while still being decidedly Trump friendly.
尽管重划选区旨在帮助共和党保持对众议院的控制并击败戴维斯，但这位现任议员处于有竞争力的位置，有可能赢得连任。而墨菲的选区——特朗普的格林维尔集会预计将在此举行——如今出现了对共和党不利的脆弱迹象。
Despite the redraw meant to help Republicans keep control of the House and oust Davis, the incumbent is in a competitive position to potentially win re-election. And Murphy’s seat, where Trump’s Greenville rally is expected to be held, now has signs of vulnerability for the GOP.
特朗普在北卡罗来纳州坚持支持沃特利，而共和党主要金主转向密西西比州（现）
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