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要点:我们对超大规模热浪调查的关键发现Takeaways: Key findings from our investigation of supersized heat waves

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认识热风暴:我们赋予超大热浪新名称的调查七大要点 作者:莫里斯·塔曼 10月20日 - 热浪已从零星、孤立的事件演变为大规模的、连锁性的天气事件,一次就能笼罩地球大片区域,持续数月甚至数年。

Meet the heat storm: 7 takeaways from our investigation that gave supersized heat waves a new name By Maurice Tamman Oct 20 - Heat waves have evolved from sporadic, isolated episodes to massive, cascading weather events that can blanket vast swaths of the planet for months or even years at a time.

继续把这种蔓延的现象称为“热浪”,就像把季风称为阵雨一样。为了理解这些巨大热浪区域的新现实,路透社咨询了二十多位气候研究人员,并分析了自1960年以来全球每一天每一小时的气温。基于这些结果,我们提出了一个新概念:“热风暴”。科学家和研究人员经常在讨论全球变暖时,将其置于全球平均气温比工业化前水平升高超过2°C(3.6°F)将会带来的风险背景下。普通人对此能理解多少呢?并不多。热浪是全球变暖科学与我们日常体验之间的连接组织。

To continue calling such sprawling phenomena “heat waves” would be like calling a monsoon a rain shower. To understand the new reality of these immense expanses of heat, Reuters consulted with two dozen climate researchers and analyzed temperatures around the globe for every hour of every day since 1960. From those results, we developed a new concept: the “heat storm.”Scientists and researchers often discuss global warming in the context of risks that will arise if the planet’s average global temperature rises more than 2°C (3.6°F) above pre-industrial levels. What is an ordinary person to make of that? Not much. Heat waves are the connective tissue between the science of global warming and our everyday experience.

但超大热浪曾经很罕见。如今不再如此。现在它们成群结队地席卷全球。

But supersized heat waves used to be rare. No longer. Now they swarm the planet.

耶鲁气候变化传播项目主任安东尼·莱泽罗维茨告诉路透社,为事件命名是“让人们理解正在发生某事的一种有力方式”。然而他说,“我们并不对热浪这样做”,尽管据估计高温每年导致近50万人死亡。以下是路透社调查《热风暴时代》的主要发现:什么是热风暴?

Naming events is “a powerful way for people to understand that something is happening,” Anthony Leiserowitz, director of the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication, told Reuters. Yet “we don't do that with heat waves,” he said, even though heat has been estimated to kill almost half a million people a year. These are the key findings of the Reuters investigation, The Age of Heat Storms: WHAT IS A HEAT STORM?

热浪没有普遍的定义。因此,我们与气候科学家协商后,将普通热浪定义为连续五天或以上出现异常高温。我们将最大的热浪——那些在峰值时至少覆盖全球1%面积、大致相当于加拿大一半大小的热浪——称为热风暴。

There is no universal definition of a heat wave. So, in consultation with climate scientists, we have defined an ordinary heat wave as five or more consecutive days of abnormally high temperatures. We call the largest heat waves – those that at their peak cover at least 1% of the globe, roughly half the size of Canada – heat storms.

关键数据:

MORE AND BIGGER Heat storms were rare in the 1960s, when they averaged about five active storms per year. This decade, heat storms have averaged about 102 a year.

在20世纪60年代,强热浪较为罕见,年均发生约5次;而本十年间,强热浪的年均发生次数已上升至约102次。其中一次强热浪导致了今年欧洲的极端高温天气。

One of them caused this summer’s deadly heat in Europe.

史上持续时间最长的强热浪——“Vera”有记录以来持续时间最长的强热浪名为“Vera”,它从2023年持续到2024年,共持续了367天,影响了全球近85%的地区。据路透社报道,“Vera”对世界各地都产生了深远影响:德克萨斯州的一名足球运动员因此住院治疗;亚马逊河流域的海豚在极端高温中死亡;科特迪瓦的可可农民也因此失去了生计。

BIOGRAPHY OF A 367-DAY HEAT STORM The largest heat storm on record, named Heat Storm Vera, lasted for 367 days over 2023-2024 and swept over nearly 85% of the globe. Reuters tells the story of how Vera impacted every corner of the world, from a football player going to the hospital in Texas, to Amazonian river dolphins dying in a “circus of death,” to a cocoa farmer whose livelihood was destroyed in Ivory Coast.

温室气体排放与强热浪的关系随着温室气体排放量的增加,强热浪和普通热浪的频率也在上升。从20世纪60年代至今,大气中的二氧化碳含量增加了30%以上;与此同时,全球受强热浪和热浪影响的区域面积增加了12倍以上。

GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS As greenhouse gas emissions have increased, so too have heat storms and ordinary heat waves. From the 1960s to this decade, the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has increased by more than 30%.

连续不断的强热浪现象另一个新的现象是强热浪的连续发生——它们可能同时发生,也可能接连不断。这类强热浪的持续时间从20世纪60年代的平均两个月延长到了21世纪初的九个月。

Over that time, the average portion of the planet likely to be covered by heat storms and heat waves has risen more than 12-fold. 18 YEARS WITHOUT A BREAK Another new phenomenon we identified: heat storms that run consecutively, simultaneously, or both — heat storm cascades.

2008年7月6日,新一轮强热浪开始爆发,并且至今仍未停止;连续18年来,全球至少都有一次强热浪在肆虐,很多时候甚至同时发生多次强热浪。

The duration of these cascades swelled from an average of roughly two months in the 1960s to nine months in the early 2000s. Then, on July 6, 2008, a cascade started — and still has not stopped.

当前正在肆虐的强热浪——“Raimundo”目前全球正遭受“Raimundo”强热浪的侵袭。该热浪导致欧洲出现极端高温,并在西班牙和法国引发了大规模的森林火灾。自2026年2月28日以来,“Raimundo”已经影响了全球近四分之三的陆地面积。

For more than 18 years straight, at least one heat storm has been roiling the planet, and often more than one. WE ARE IN A HEAT STORM NOW The world is now in the grip of Heat Storm Raimundo, which broiled Europe and stoked massive wildfires in Spain and France this summer. Since its inception on February 28, 2026, Raimundo has touched almost three-quarters of the planet’s surface.

实时追踪热风暴的工具 作为本系列报道的一部分,路透社创建了一个在线“热风暴追踪器”,实时命名并跟踪热风暴。这现已成为路透社气候监测平台的一项功能,该平台提供了解重大天气事件和衡量地球升温程度的方法。

LIVE TOOL TO TRACK HEAT STORMS As part of this series, Reuters has created an online Heat Storm Tracker that names and follows heat storms in real time. This is now a feature of the Reuters Climate Monitor, which offers ways to understand major weather events and measure how the planet is warming.

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