Polymarket 已从其预测市场平台上移除了一份合约，该合约允许用户押注 2024 年被指控强奸一名康奈尔大学学生的七名男子中，是否会有任何一人被控重罪性犯罪。
JAY COHEN Polymarket has removed a contract from its prediction market platform that allowed users to wager on whether any of the seven men accused of raping a Cornell student in 2024 will be charged with a felony sex crime.
该市场于 9 月 30 日上线，原定于 1 月 31 日关闭。在从 Polymarket 国际平台撤下之前，其交易量已超过 45 万美元。该公司的美国交易所受美国商品期货交易委员会监管，该委员会禁止与“联邦或州法律认定为非法的活动”相关的交易。
The market was made available on Sept. 30 and was slated to close on Jan. 31. It had more than $450,000 in volume before it was taken off Polymarket’s international platform. The company’s U.S. exchange is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which bans trading related to “activity that is unlawful under Federal or State law.”
“Polymarket 的首要目标是为当今最重要的问题带来客观、数据驱动的洞见，”Polymarket 发言人周二表示。“该市场针对的是政府是否会采取行动——这一过程理应受到审视，尤其是在如此严重的案件中。话虽如此，我们相信群众的智慧，已听清他们的声音，并移除了该市场。”《Front Office Sports》率先报道了该合约。
“Our primary goal at Polymarket is to bring objective, data-driven insight to the most important questions of our time,” a Polymarket spokesperson said Tuesday. “This market addressed whether the government would take action — a process that deserves scrutiny, particularly in a case of such serious concern. That said, we believe in the wisdom of crowds, have heard them loud and clear, and removed the market.”Front Office Sports was the first to report on the contract.
部分针对该 Polymarket 合约的抗议声指向其名人代言人。费城 76 人队球星勒布朗·詹姆斯与 Polymarket 有代言协议，他最近出现在一则星光熠熠的广告中，德雷克·杰特、伊莱·曼宁、苏·伯德及多位名人也在广告中客串亮相。美联社周二已向詹姆斯、杰特、曼宁和伯德的代表留言。
Some outcry over the Polymarket contract has been aimed at its celebrity promoters. Philadelphia 76ers star LeBron James has an endorsement deal with Polymarket, and he recently appeared in a star-studded commercial that also included cameos by Derek Jeter, Eli Manning, Sue Bird and several celebrities. Messages were left by the AP on Tuesday with representatives for James, Jeter, Manning and Bird.
Polymarket 还与 NHL（国家冰球联盟）、美国职业棒球大联盟、美国职业足球大联盟、UFC（终极格斗冠军赛）和 ATP 巡回赛达成了合作协议。美联社已向各组织留言寻求置评。
Polymarket also has partnership agreements with the NHL, Major League Baseball, Major League Soccer, the UFC and ATP Tour. Messages were left by the AP seeking comment from each organization.
斯派克·李的发言人表示，这位也出现在詹姆斯那则 Polymarket 广告中的导演不予置评。美联社也向演员克雷格·罗宾逊、约翰·雷吉扎莫和亚历山德拉·达达里奥的代表留言——他们也参与了那则与詹姆斯合拍的广告。
A spokesman for Spike Lee, who also appeared in the Polymarket commercial with James, said the director had no comment. Messages also were left with representatives for actors Craig Robinson, John Leguizamo and Alexandra Daddario — who were also part of the commercial with James.
一名在法庭文件中以化名“简·多伊”出现的女性于上个月提起诉讼，指控七名兄弟会成员于2024年10月对她实施性侵犯或性剥削，并指控康奈尔大学处理其投诉不当。所有这些男性均否认了她的指控，称他们的互动是自愿的，或者他们根本未参与其中。
A woman identified in court documents by the pseudonym Jane Doe filed a lawsuit last month alleging that seven fraternity members sexually assaulted or exploited her in October 2024 and that Cornell mishandled her complaints. All of those men have denied her allegations, saying either that their interactions were consensual or that they weren’t involved.
网络批评者将Polymarket的这份合约描述为有辱人格，并质疑为何名人大使会选择与该公司合作。一份网络请愿书点名了詹姆斯、曼宁、达达里奥和模特艾米莉·拉塔科斯基，并呼吁其他知名代言人与该公司断绝关系。
Online critics characterized the Polymarket contract as degrading and questioned why celebrity ambassadors would associate themselves with the company. An online petition singled out James, Manning, Daddario and model Emily Ratajkowski while calling on other famous endorsers to cut ties with the company.
预测市场提供了对未来事件结果进行交易的机会。体育赛事占据了各平台通常以是或否问题形式呈现的交易量的很大一部分。
Prediction markets provide an opportunity to trade on the result of future events. Sports account for a major portion of the volume generated by the array of typically yes-or-no question, depending on the platform.
今年早些时候，一名美国陆军中士因押注委内瑞拉总统尼古拉斯·马杜罗被捕而被起诉，他当时是在Polymarket的国际平台上进行交易。《美联社》4月报道称，在唐纳德·特朗普总统在社交媒体上宣布停火前几小时甚至几分钟，Polymarket国际平台上有50个全新账户对美伊停火下注巨资，引发了内幕交易的担忧。
When a U.S. Army sergeant was indicted earlier this year over bets on the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, he was trading on Polymarket’s international platform. The Associated Press reported in April that 50 brand new accounts on Polymarket’s international platform placed substantial bets on a U.S.-Iran ceasefire in the hours, even minutes, before President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire on social media, raising concerns of insider trading.
周二，Polymarket的国际平台上有一个活跃的市场，允许客户交易康奈尔大学校长迈克尔·科特利科夫是否将在10月31日前离职。该市场交易量超过10700美元。点击此处查看美联社完整体育报道
Polymarket had an active market on its international platform on Tuesday that allowed customers to trade on whether Cornell president Michael Kotlikoff will be out by Oct. 31. It had more than $10,700 in volume. See AP’s full sports coverage here