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中期选举后特朗普或将“暴走”引发担忧,内部“残酷”角力加剧 | CNN政治Fears of a post-midterms Trump rampage spur ‘brutal’ internal jockeying | CNN Politics

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周二,唐纳德·特朗普总统在白宫椭圆形办公室对记者发表讲话时做手势。President Donald Trump gestures as he speaks to reporters in the Oval Office of the White House on Tuesday.

特朗普总统仍有两周时间挽救共和党在国会的多数席位,打破中期选举惨败的预期。但他身边的助手和盟友都在为一旦失败后的后果做准备。

President Donald Trump still has two weeks to salvage his Republican congressional majorities and defy expectations of a midterm wipeout. But all around him, aides and allies are bracing for what happens if he fails.

政府官员越来越确信,共和党的惨重失利将引发政府各部门的大规模人事震荡,因为特朗普会寻找替罪羊,而数十名其他人则在权衡是否在总统任期最低谷、跛脚鸭阶段弃船而去。

Administration officials have grown increasingly convinced that steep GOP losses will trigger major personnel shakeups across the government, as Trump hunts for aides to blame and dozens of others weigh abandoning a lame duck presidency at its lowest point.

据数名政府官员、顾问和亲密盟友透露,这种焦虑已将一个曾以高度团结自居的白宫,变成了特朗普阵营内部斗争和泄密重燃的指挥中心。他们描述称,在通往11月大选的关键最后几天里,这里充斥着争权夺利和抢先甩锅的有毒混合物。

The angst has turned a White House that once prided itself on single-minded cohesion into the nerve center for a resurgence of Trump world infighting and leaking, said several administration officials, advisers and close allies, who described a toxic mix of jockeying for power and preemptive finger-pointing in the critical final days leading up to November. “It’s more brutal than any other situation in modern times in the White House,” said one Trump ally.

“一位特朗普盟友说:“这比现代白宫历史上任何情况都更残酷。你这里没法信任任何人。”政府内部及特朗普更广泛圈子内的激烈角力,仅在过去两周就多次公开化,加深了不信任氛围,也加剧了特朗普对身边顾问的不满。

“You can’t trust anybody here.”

在一系列有损报道后,特朗普解除了金伯利·吉尔福伊尔驻希腊大使的职务,她也是特朗普长子的前未婚妻。这些报道源于一位共和党捐赠者披露,她曾向他索要10万美元偿还信用卡债务。据知情人士透露(Axios首次报道了此次调查),总统还下令白宫法律顾问调查两位亲密盟友阿丽娜·哈巴·米尔登和里克·格雷内尔之间的持续纠纷,涉嫌肯尼迪中心数百万美元资金被挪用。

The extraordinary jousting within the administration and throughout Trump’s wider circle has broken into public view on several occasions in just the past two weeks, deepening the atmosphere of mistrust and stoking Trump’s own frustrations with the advisers around him. Trump ousted Kimberly Guilfoyle, his ambassador to Greece and his son’s former fiancée, after a series of damaging reports prompted by a GOP donor’s disclosure that she’d asked him for $100,000 to pay off her credit card. The president also ordered his White House counsel to investigate a running dispute between two close allies, Alina Habba Mildon and Ric Grenell, over allegations that millions of dollars meant for the Kennedy Center were misallocated, according to a source familiar with the matter (Axios first reported on the investigation).

此外,在多次失误及其表现引发普遍抨击(甚至连亲密盟友也在批评)后,特朗普解雇了上任仅五天的新任新闻秘书凯蒂·扎卡里亚。

And Trump fired his new press secretary, Katie Zacharia, after just five days amid several missteps and near-universal backlash to her performance — even among close allies.

在这些危机之际,特朗普的一些最亲密助手——幕僚长苏西·怀尔斯以及外部政治顾问詹姆斯·布莱尔和克里斯·拉西维塔——遭遇了负面报道,引发了外界对他们在总统核心圈子中地位的质疑。

Amid those crises, some of Trump’s closest aides — chief of staff Susie Wiles and outside political advisers James Blair and Chris LaCivita — have faced unflattering coverage that sparked questions about their standing within the president’s inner circle.

反过来,他们的支持者则认为,这些报道是由竞争对手推动的,目的是改善他们自己与特朗普的关系。布莱尔在过去一周内曾两次随特朗普乘坐“空军一号”出行,这表明总统仍然信任他的核心团队。

Their defenders, in turn, contended the stories were being driven by rivals seeking to improve their own relationships with Trump. Blair has since traveled twice with Trump on Air Force One in the past week, in a sign the president still has faith in his core team.

“一把捅向詹姆斯或克里斯的刀,其实是冲着苏西去的,”一位熟悉内部动态的消息人士说。

“A knife to James or Chris is meant for Susie,” one source familiar with the dynamics said.

这一连串引人注目的事件引发了特朗普阵营内部相互竞争的努力,试图查明是谁在向外泄露针对谁的信息以及意欲何为,两位知情人士透露。据这些人说,政府内部现在正在猜测,如果中期选举结果不佳,特朗普身边谁会成为替罪羊,哪些高级官员会被解职,以及事后可能有多少助手会选择离职。

The striking run of incidents has prompted competing efforts across Trump world to smoke out who is leaking against whom and to what end, two people familiar with the matter said. There’s now speculation across the administration over who around Trump will take the fall if the midterms go poorly, which senior officials will be fired and how many aides might opt to leave in the aftermath, those people said.

“如果我们众参两院都输了,真的很难说会发生什么,”一位特朗普顾问告诉CNN。“所有人都可能成为目标。”

“If we lose both the House and the Senate, there’s really no telling what happens,” one Trump adviser told CNN. “Everyone is fair game.”

白宫发言人戴维·英格尔在一份声明中驳斥了对政府内部动态的任何关注,称其为“无稽之谈”。“特朗普总统全神贯注于在今年十一月保持共和党在国会的多数席位,这也是他奔波全国、强调其政府为美国人民带来的历史性胜利的原因,”他说。

In a statement, White House spokesman Davis Ingle dismissed any focus on the administration’s internal dynamics as “baseless speculation.”“President Trump is laser-focused on maintaining Republican majorities in Congress this November, which is why he is traveling across the country highlighting the historic victories his Administration has delivered for the American people,” he said.

尽管如此,在激烈角力的迹象中,当怀尔斯在特朗普向扎卡里亚提供新闻秘书一职时不在场这一事实变得清晰后,她面临了一阵密集审视。两位特朗普顾问说,一些人将这一事件解读为她权威减弱的迹象,也是将她赶出这一赋予她广泛权力的职位的一个契机。

Still, in a sign of the intense maneuvering, Wiles faced a rush of scrutiny after it became clear she wasn’t present when Trump offered Zacharia the press secretary job. Some interpreted the incident as a sign of weakening authority and an opening to push her out of a job that’s allowed her to wield sweeping power, two Trump advisers said.

有传言称怀尔斯可能很快会辞职,尤其是在她经历了数月的抗癌斗争、且即将迎来两年任期节点之际——许多白宫高级助手通常会选择在两年后离职。特朗普首任期内更换了四任幕僚长,无人在该职位上坚持满两年。

There was chatter that Wiles might soon step down, especially after a monthslong bout with cancer and as she approaches a two-year mark where many top White House aides traditionally choose to depart. Trump had four chiefs of staff during his first term and none stayed in the job for two years.

但她并未透露任何离职计划,特朗普近期也公开力挺,坚称他“零可能性”会替换她。“她不会走人,”一位资深政府官员谈到怀尔斯时表示。

But she has not signaled any plans to leave, and Trump recently issued a full-throated vote of confidence, insisting there’s “zero chance” he’d replace her. “She’s not going anywhere,” a senior administration official said of Wiles.

大选结果也将决定数位内阁部长是否会选择离职,以免面临新掌权的民主党发起长达数月的调查。国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯预计将成为国会民主党早期的攻击目标,长期以来一直面临可能“坐上热板凳”的猜测。但特朗普多次为这位充满斗志、极具电视效果的部长辩护。

The election outcome is also expected to determine whether several Cabinet secretaries leave their posts rather than face the prospect of months of investigations from newly empowered Democrats. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, who is expected to be an early target for congressional Democrats, has long battled speculation that he may end up on the hot seat. But Trump has repeatedly defended his zealous, made-for-TV secretary.

一些官员还推测,能源部长克里斯·赖特因被委以管理伊朗战争最严重经济后果的重任,可能会选择离开政府,去能源行业谋求更丰厚的职位。

Some officials have also speculated that Energy Secretary Chris Wright, who has been charged with managing some of the most damaging economic fallout of the war with Iran, might opt to leave the administration to pursue a more lucrative job in the energy sector.

五角大楼首席发言人肖恩·帕内尔在声明中表示,赫格塞斯不关注“假新闻或华盛顿的喧嚣”。能源部发言人否认赖特正考虑离职,并称他将留任“只要总统希望他任职”。与此同时,其他人正为特朗普或其核心盟友在大选后可能大规模秋后算账做准备。据两位知情人士透露,美国国家卫生研究院院长杰伊·巴塔查里亚的盟友担心,他在与白宫预算办公室主任拉塞尔·沃特就该机构拨款支出控制权发生高调冲突后,可能成为大选后最可能被解职的人选之一。

Sean Parnell, the chief Pentagon spokesman, said in a statement that Hegseth wasn’t focused on “fake news or DC noise.”An Energy Department spokesperson denied that Wright was contemplating leaving and said he would remain in the job “as long as the president wants him to serve.”Others, meanwhile, are preparing for the prospect of extensive post-election score settling from Trump or his close allies. Allies of Jay Bhattacharya, the head of the National Institutes of Health, have expressed fear that he could be among those most at risk of being fired following a high-profile clash with White House budget chief Russ Vought over control of his agency’s grant spending, two people familiar with the matter said.

美国国家卫生研究院(NIH)拒绝置评,但一位知情人士表示,近几周官员们已改善了NIH与沃特所在机构之间的工作关系。一位白宫官员表示,特朗普及其团队专心致志地关注中期选举。

The NIH declined to comment, though one person familiar with the dynamics said officials have improved the working relationship between NIH and Vought’s agency in recent weeks. A White House official said Trump and his team are focused solely on the midterms.

历届政府在中期选举后通常都会面临一定程度的人员更替,中期选举既是许多高级官员自然离职的节点,也是总统在任期最后两年前重新设定优先事项的契机。

Administrations traditionally face some level of turnover following the midterms, which simultaneously serve as a natural exit point for many senior officials and an opportunity for the president to reset priorities ahead of the final two years of his term.

但在这届政府内部,权力主要取决于与特朗普的亲疏远近,效忠对象也瞬息万变,因此任何新出现的职位空缺都可能极大地改变白宫内部的权力平衡,并改变其议程的走向。

But within this administration, where power is measured chiefly by one’s proximity to Trump and allegiances are ever-changing, any fresh vacancies could dramatically shift the balance of power within the White House and alter the trajectory of its agenda.

据与特朗普交谈过的人士透露,特朗普尚未给出任何明显迹象表明他计划在选举后进行人事调整。他对自己近期为共和党候选人奔走助选的密集行程表示乐观,认为这正在积极影响共和党保持对国会控制权的几率。

Trump has not yet given any overt indications that he plans to make personnel changes after the elections, according to people who have spoken with him. And he has expressed optimism that his recent travel blitz on behalf of GOP candidates is having a positive impact on the party’s odds of holding control of Congress.

但许多特朗普的助手和顾问对他们的前景依然感到悲观。他们相信,共和党在众议院的多数席位很可能不保,此时任务的重点更多是限制失利的规模。

But many of Trump’s aides and advisers remain grim about their chances. The GOP’s House majority, they believe, is likely lost, and at this point the mission is more focused on limiting the scale of those losses.

虽然特朗普的顾问们仍相信他们能守住参议院,但普遍感到焦虑,认为选民对政府的反弹情绪加上少数参议院竞选活动表现不佳,使得这场保卫战比常年艰难得多。

While Trump advisers still believe they can hold the Senate, there is broad consternation that the combination of voter backlash against the administration and a handful of poor Senate campaigns has made the effort far more difficult than normal.

据与特朗普交谈过的人士透露,这是一个连特朗普有时都在私下承认的挑战。他曾质疑为什么共和党面临的政治形势如此糟糕,并对该党的政治策略发泄不满。

It’s a challenge that even Trump has privately acknowledged at times, according to the people who have spoken with him. He’s questioned why the political landscape for the GOP is so poor and vented about the party’s political strategy.

这些人补充说,如果共和党在11月3日遭遇惨重失利,特朗普肯定会找人背锅——而那个人不会是他自己。

Should Republicans suffer extensive losses on November 3, those people added, Trump is certain to find someone to blame — and it won’t be him.

“总统总是输,不管什么原因,”特朗普周二哀叹道。“如果我能让我的选民,也就是MAGA共和党人,随便你怎么称呼他们,如果他们去投票,我们就将以压倒性优势获胜。但他们必须愿意出门投票,如果你不在选票上,那就有点困难了。”

“The president always loses, for whatever reason, the midterms,” Trump lamented on Tuesday. “If I can get my voters, MAGA Republicans, whatever you want to call (them), if they get out to vote, we’ll win in a landslide. But they have to want to get out to vote, and if you’re not on the ballot, it’s a little harder.”

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