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从食品杂货到住房贷款,高油价渗透日常生活From groceries to home loans, high oil prices permeate daily life

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2026年10月2日,德国柏林,在美国与以色列同伊朗冲突持续、取暖油价格不断上涨之际,一户人家接收取暖油配送时,可以看到一个升数计数器。路透社/安妮格雷特·希尔泽/资料图片A litre counter is seen during a heating oil delivery to a household amid rising heating oil prices during the ongoing U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Berlin, Germany October 2, 2026. REUTERS/Annegret Hilse/File Photo

油价飙升至五个月来每桶110美元的高点,亚洲和欧洲的天然气价格也触及自2022年12月以来的最高水平,这正在给家庭预算带来压力。

The shock of oil prices at a five-month high of $110 a barrel and gas prices in Asia and Europe hitting their highest levels since December 2022 is making its mark on household budgets.

除了推高交通和取暖成本,还给食品、服装和包装价格带来压力,并导致通胀和借贷成本居高不下。下图展示了油价上涨对全球日常生活造成影响的一些方式。

As well as raising the costs of transport and heating, it adds to pressure on food, clothing and packaging prices and contributes to elevated levels of inflation and borrowing costs. The following graphics illustrate some of the ways in which the rally is having an impact on daily life around the world.

伊朗战争已将全球柴油价格推至历史新高。本月,英国平均柴油零售价首次达到每升2英镑(2.64美元),美国价格在9月达到每加仑6.53美元的历史新高。

The Iran war has already pushed global diesel prices to record highs. Average British diesel pump prices hit £2.00 ($2.64) per litre for the first time this month and US prices hit a record of $6.53 a gallon in September.

作为回应,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普允许任何人在今年年底前使用红色染料柴油。这种柴油通常用于不在公共道路上行驶的设备和车辆,且免征公路税。

In response, US President Donald Trump has allowed red-dyed diesel, which is used in equipment and vehicles that are not usually operated on public roadways and is exempt from highway taxes, to be accessed by anyone until the end of the year.

影响还延伸至抵押贷款利率,因为能源价格推高通胀,主要央行正试图通过加息来抑制通胀。

The impact extends to mortgage rates as energy prices contribute to rising inflation, which major central banks are attempting to rein in by raising interest rates.

英国上月的通胀和借贷成本上升幅度超出预期。英国国家统计局表示,8月份的涨幅是由于汽油和柴油成本上升,使通胀率达到自2025年10月以来的最高水平。

British inflation and borrowing rose more than expected last month. The increase in August, which the Office for National Statistics said was due to higher petrol and diesel costs, took inflation to its highest since October 2025.

澳大利亚储备银行上月将现金利率提高至15年来的最高水平,导致该国大部分浮动住房贷款利率同步上升,对房价构成压力。

The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate to a 15-year high last month, leading the country's mostly variable housing loan rates to rise in tandem, weighing on home prices.

以30年期抵押贷款购买一套平均贷款额为73.1万澳元(约合51.3966万美元)的房子为例,利率从2025年的5.5%上升至目前的6.2%,每年还款额将增加约3900澳元(约合2742美元)。

When buying a house with an average loan of A$731,000 ($513,966) on a 30-year mortgage, a rise in interest rates from 5.5% in 2025 to 6.2% now raises annual repayments by around A$3,900 ($2,742).

与此同时,在美国,随着30年期抵押贷款利率从约6.1%攀升至约7.5%,抵押贷款购房活动有所减弱,增加了潜在购房者的借贷成本。大多数人选择固定利率。

Meanwhile in the United States, mortgage purchase activity has weakened as 30-year mortgage rates climbed from around 6.1% to about 7.5%, increasing borrowing costs for prospective homebuyers. Most people opt for fixed rates.

家庭预算的其他部分也受到了影响,尤其是那些在冬季依赖取暖油的家庭。

Other parts of household budgets also suffer, particularly those relying on heating oil for winter.

根据美国国家能源援助主任协会的数据,在纽约州,取暖费用预计将比去年上涨47%。

In the state of New York, heating bills will likely rise by 47% from last year, National Energy Assistance Directors Association data shows.

在英国,天然气是主要的取暖燃料;据EnergyUK估计,本季度家庭取暖费用可能同比增长10%。

In Britain, where gas is the main fuel used for heating, households could see a 10% year-on-year rise in bills this quarter, EnergyUK estimates.

由于大多数塑料都是由石油或天然气制成的,随后被加工成聚合物,用于生产从瓶子到运动鞋等各种产品,以及用于制作服装的聚酯纤维,因此原油价格的上涨正在产生更广泛的影响。

Since most plastics are made from oil or natural gas and then converted into polymers for making everything from bottles to sneakers, as well as polyester fabric for clothing, the increase in crude prices is having a wider effect.

根据咨询公司MAT的数据,对于常见的食品来说,无论采用何种包装材料(塑料、纸张还是玻璃),包装成本通常占产品制造成本的5%到15%。

For common grocery items, packaging of any type, whether plastic, paper or glass, typically represents 5% to 15% of a product's manufacturing cost, according to consultancy MAT.

2025年8月,美国的塑料价格相比10月上涨了7%。在美国,9月份消费者价格进一步加速上涨,其中汽油价格的飙升占据了价格上涨的主要原因。

US plastic prices rose 7% in August versus October 2025. In the US, consumer prices accelerated in September, with a surge in gasoline prices accounting for more than half of the rise.

根据联合国粮食及农业组织的数据,由于航运中断以及化肥成本上升(化肥同样由天然气生产),全球食品通胀预计将进一步加剧,并将持续到2027年。

Global food inflation is poised to accelerate further and persist well into 2027 on shipping disruptions and higher costs for fertiliser, which is also made from natural gas, data from the United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organization showed.

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