民主党策略师詹姆斯·卡维尔周三重申了他的预测，即特朗普总统将在明年复活节前离任。福克斯新闻主持人劳拉·英格拉姆在《英格拉姆视角》节目采访中询问卡维尔，他是否坚持今年早些时候做出的这一预测，以及理由为何。卡维尔表示他坚持这一预测，并补充说特朗普“并非特别强硬的人”。“当他看到这场选举将会发生什么时，我在1994年就有过这种感觉，我知道这是什么情况。大多数人不懂。当这些事情发生时，（前总统）克林顿之所以能挺过去，是因为他年轻、才华横溢，而且有纽特·金里奇作为他的对手，”他指的是来自佐治亚州的前共和党众议院议长。
Democratic strategist James Carville doubled down Wednesday on his prediction that President Trump will leave office by Easter of next year. Fox News's Laura Ingraham asked Carville during an interview on "The Ingraham Angle" if he stuck by the prediction he made earlier this year and why. Carville said he does, adding that Trump's "not particularly a hard man." "And when he sees what's going to happen in this election, and I had this hit me in 1994, I know what this is. Most people don't. And when these things hit, of course, [former President] Clinton was able to survive because he was young, he was brilliant and he had Newt Gingrich as his foil," he said, referring to the former Republican House speaker from Georgia.
“卡维尔，你想为此打赌吗？”英格拉姆问道。“我愿为此下重注，赌特朗普将在复活节前离任，赌注用于慈善。”卡维尔给这提议泼了冷水，说他不“做那种可预见的事”。“我喜欢展望未来，”他说。“我认为他会变得非常无聊，当你输得这么惨时，人们不再真正关注你。”卡维尔在六月的《政治作战室》播客中曾预测，如果民主党在十一月的中期选举中取得“惊人”胜利，特朗普——他称特朗普“软弱”、“分心”且“对伊朗战争感到厌倦”——将会离任。“他显然身体不好，整天睡觉，流口水弄脏自己，诸如此类，”卡维尔当时说道。
"Do you want to put some money on this, Carville?" Ingraham asked. "I will put a huge amount on this, that Trump will be out by Easter, for charity." Carville poured cold water on the offer, saying he does not "do the predictable thing." "I like to think of the future," he said. "I think he's going to get really bored and when you lose one this big, people don't really pay attention to you." Carville predicted on his "Politics War Room" podcast in June that Trump, whom he said was "soft," "distracted" and "bored with the Iran war," would leave if Democrats make "breathtaking" victories in the November midterm elections. "He’s obviously not well, he sleeps all the time, slobbers all over himself or whatever," Carville said at the time.
他补充说，特朗普将面临对他本人、与他有任何关系的人、以及与他有任何关系的事物的“大规模拒绝”。卡维尔重申了他的预言，称特朗普“只会他妈的走开”，无法接受“对他的大规模拒绝”。当时，白宫发言人戴维斯·英格尔在给《国会山报》的一份声明中称卡维尔是“一名彻头彻尾的失败者，患有一种严重且无法治愈的疾病，称为‘特朗普失调症’，这已经烂透了他花生大小的大脑”。
He added that Trump will be responding to the "massive rejection of him, anybody that has anything to do with him, anything that has anything to do with [him]." Carville reiterated his prognostication, saying Trump's "just going to f---ing walk away," unable to come to grips with "a massive rejection of him." White House spokesperson Davis Ingle, in a statement to The Hill at the time, called Carville "a stone-cold loser who suffers from a severe and incurable disease known as Trump Derangement Syndrome, and it has rotted his peanut-sized brain."
此后，卡维尔也声称自己“患有”特朗普失调症，周一表示，如果他“能吃一颗药丸，让我更恨那个混蛋、更痴迷于他，我会吃下那颗药丸”。民主党似乎有望在下个月的中期选举中夺回众议院，并可能夺回参议院，这将给特朗普造成重大打击。《国会山报》的选举合作伙伴“决策台总部”预测，民主党在11月夺回众议院的概率为78%，从共和党手中夺回参议院的概率为57%。
Carville has also since claimed he "has" Trump Derangement Syndrome, saying on Monday that if he "could take a pill that would help me hate that motherf‑‑‑er more and obsess on him more, I would take that pill." Democrats appear to be poised to reclaim the House and potentially the Senate in next month's midterms, dealing significant blows to Trump. The Hill's election partner Decision Desk HQ forecasts a 78-percent probability that they will win back the House in November, and a 57-percent probability that Democrats could reclaim the Senate from Republicans.