
英国国家电网运营商表示,英国今冬能源供应有保障,尽管预计高峰时段天然气需求将增加,电力供应可能出现“紧张日子”。
Winter energy supply secure but possible tight days for electricity - grid operators Britain's energy supplies are secure for winter, national grid operators have said, despite expected higher gas demand at peak times and possible "tight days" for electricity.
国家能源系统运营商(NESO)称,预计需求与供应之间的缓冲将与近几年相似,且好于2022年能源危机期间。但NESO表示,像所有冬天一样,可能会出现“更紧张”时段。
The buffer between projected demand and supply will be similar to recent years and better than during the 2022 energy crisis, the electricity grid operator, the National Energy System Operator (NESO), said. But like all winters, the NESO said, there may be "tighter" periods.
这份年度冬季展望报告发布之际,该电网运营商正因涉嫌举报人担忧而接受审查。
The annual winter outlook report comes after scrutiny of the grid operator, which was subject to alleged whistleblower concerns.
随着英国经历多次热浪,该运营商曾发布一系列曾经罕见的夏季呼吁,请求增加发电量。
A series of once-rare summer pleas for more power were issued as the country faced numerous heatwaves.
针对举报指控的独立调查听取了受访者证词,称6月23日能源系统“在数小时内持续违反运营极限”,尽管NESO新闻稿称系统“并无风险”。
The independent investigation into the whistleblowing allegations heard from interviewees who said the energy system on 23 June was "consistently in breach of operational limits for a number of hours" despite the NESO press release saying the system was "not at risk".
NESO周一发表声明称,调查结论是“没有证据表明对运营决策存在不当影响,或控制室记录被篡改或以任何方式不当管理,包括为逃避公众监督”。
A NESO statement on Monday said the investigation concluded there "was no evidence of inappropriate influence over operational decisions or that control room records were altered or inappropriately managed in any way, including to avoid public scrutiny".
如何保持灯火通明 今冬在电力需求高峰期,如风力和太阳能发电量较低的特别寒冷无风日子,燃气电厂将开机发电。
How the lights are going to be kept on This coming winter, during times of peak demand for electricity, like particularly cold and still days when solar and wind power generation is lower, gas plants will be fired up.
英国天然气网络运营商National Gas预测,这种为弥补可再生能源短缺而产生的天然气需求将在冬季增加,尽管预计总需求将下降。
This kind of gas demand - to make up for a shortfall in renewables - is forecast to increase in winter by the British gas grid operator, National Gas, despite overall demand expected to fall.
根据National Gas冬季展望报告,进口使用量的增加正在促成这一趋势,报告称全球供应的“重要性日益增强”,预计液化天然气(LNG)进口量将增长约6%。
Greater use of imports is facilitating this, according to the National Gas winter outlook report, which said global supplies have a "growing importance" as liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports are forecast to rise about 6%.
“地缘政治事件”对英国天然气市场的影响 但运营商表示,与欧洲和全球天然气市场的互联互通意味着“外部事件”可能会影响英国的天然气市场。
The influence of 'geopolitical events' on Britain's gas But connectedness to European and global gas markets means "external events" could influence Britain's gas market, the operator said.
它补充道:“国际性中断,包括地缘政治事件,可能会影响市场状况。”
"International disruptions, including geopolitical events, may affect market conditions", it added.
不过,冬季供应“充足”,国家天然气公司的分析表明,只有“罕见且极不可能”发生的事件组合,例如极端天气与重大供应中断同时发生,才会给供应安全带来挑战。
Supply for winter is "sufficient", however, with National Gas analysis indicating only a "rare and very unlikely" combination of events, like extreme weather coinciding with major supply disruption, would create challenges for security of supply.
英国在天然气储存量处于低位、且依赖欧洲的情况下进入寒冷月份,而欧洲自身的储存量也处于历史低位。
Britain enters the cold months with low levels of gas stored and relying on Europe, whose own storage levels are at record lows.
在通常价格较低的夏季月份,价格却异常高企,因为需要天然气发电来填补电力需求缺口,因为欧洲人开启空调和电风扇,且极端高温导致部分发电方式效率降低。
Prices were unseasonably high during the typically cheaper summer months as gas generation was needed to plug power demands as Europeans turned to air conditioning and electric fans, and extreme heat made some electricity generation less effective.
由于美国和以色列在伊朗的战争扰乱了霍尔木兹海峡航运通道的液化天然气运输,供应早已趋紧。英国的大部分进口将来自北海(尽管国内产量在下降)和挪威。该冬季评估是在政府宣布批准开发杰克道天然气田之前做出的。
Supply had already been tight due to the US and Israel's war in Iran disrupting LNG flows through the Strait of Hormuz shipping lane. Most of Britain's imports will come from the North Sea, though domestic production declines, and from Norway. The winter assessment was made before the government announced its approval for exploitation of the Jackdaw gas field.
天然气网络运营商表示,如果杰克道天然气田今冬开始生产,可能会“为预测带来适度的上行空间”。
If Jackdaw production begins this winter, it could "provide a modest upside to the forecast", the gas grid operator said.