
一场关键的选举即将到来,国家正处于绝望之中。尽管当时有承诺称经济状况正在好转,但在1932年选民前往投票站时,美国仍有近四分之一的人处于失业状态。
A crucial election was approaching and the country was desperate. Despite promises that economic conditions were improving, nearly a quarter of the US was out of work as voters headed to the polls in 1932.
那是自内战以来最黑暗的时期,情况极其严峻,以至于在加利福尼亚州首府,人们为了工作而互相争斗。《萨克拉门托蜜蜂报》报道称,1931年初,一群200人的男子为了争夺几份搬运沉重花岗岩的临时工作而发生了扭打。
It was the darkest time since the civil war, a period so dire that in California’s capital people fought each other for work. In early 1931, a crowd of 200 men scuffled over a handful of temporary jobs moving back-breaking loads of granite, the Sacramento Bee reported.
该报当时敦促读者寻找零工,以挽救同胞免于饥饿和无家可归。据《萨克拉门托蜜蜂报》报道,那些已经失去住所的人在萨克拉门托河岸边搭起了帐篷,正如几十年后无家可归者所做的那样,其中一些人甚至濒临饿死。
That same newspaper urged its readers to find odd jobs to save fellow citizens from hunger and homelessness. Those who had already lost shelter set up along the banks of the Sacramento River, as unhoused people would do decades later, and were, in some cases, near starvation, according to the Bee.
在更北部的偏远农村社区,情况往往更为糟糕,那里的机会更少,救济也更缓慢。在从中央谷地最北端一直延伸到该州茂密森林的沙斯塔县,居民们生活艰难。
The situation was often even worse in the remote and rural communities further up north, where opportunities were fewer and relief was slower. In Shasta county, which stretches from the northernmost reaches of the Central Valley to the state’s dense forests, residents were struggling.
沙斯塔县成立于1850年,当时成千上万的人涌入加利福尼亚寻找黄金。该地区成为了一个多产的黄金开采中心,新来者在溪流中搜寻,并钻穿山脉以寻找这种贵金属。那曾是一个充满机遇的地方,一个即将成为铁路枢纽的地区,在铜矿开采、农业和木材工业方面提供了就业机会。随后,大萧条来临了。
Shasta had been founded in 1850, as hundreds of thousands flocked to California in search of gold. The region became a productive center for gold mining, with newcomers scouring creeks and boring through mountains in search of the precious metal. It was a place of opportunity, a soon to be railroad hub that offered jobs in copper mining, agriculture and the timber industries. Then came the depression.
在其中一个山城,一群失业男子被指控纵火,目的是为了被雇佣去扑灭火灾。
In one mountain town, a group of jobless men were accused of setting a blaze with the aim of being hired to extinguish it.
绝望的人们回到了曾经带来财富的青山,希望能再次找到一点黄金。“没能发财,但我上个月挖出了18.90美元,”一名年轻人在1931年告诉记者。“我有饭吃,这总比失业挨饿强。”富兰克林·德拉诺·罗斯福承诺带来希望和援助。他在竞选期间走访了41个州,特意前往小城镇和农村地区。1932年9月,当他在沙斯塔县县治雷丁停留时,当地企业停业,课程提前结束,以便所有人都能听到这位纽约州州长的讲话。
Desperate people returned to the green hills that once yielded fortunes, hoping to find a bit of gold again. “Not getting rich, but I dug out $18.90 last month,” one young man told a reporter in 1931. “I eat, and that beats being jobless and hungry.”Franklin Delano Roosevelt promised hope and help. He traveled to 41 states during his campaign, making a point to visit small towns and rural areas. When he stopped in Redding, the Shasta county seat, in September 1932, businesses closed and classes ended early so that everyone could see the New York governor’s remarks.
“我此行并非为了政治目的。我是为了了解美国各个地区的情况和需求,”他在火车后部对数千名群众说道。“我们这场斗争不是针对共和党,而是针对将国家带入目前境地的共和党领导层。”他的信息引起了共鸣。尽管共和党坚称该党将赢得加利福尼亚州,但正如一家报纸所宣称的那样,该州“以压倒性优势转向民主党和进步主义”。在沙斯塔县尤其如此,超过72%的选民支持罗斯福。
“I am not making this trip a political one. I am making it to learn the conditions and needs of every section of the United States,” he told a crowd of several thousand from the back of a train. “We are not making this fight against the Republican party but against Republican leadership which has brought the country to its present condition.”His message resonated. Despite Republican insistence that the party would carry California, the state went, as one newspaper declared, “Democratic and progressive with a vengeance”. That was especially true in Shasta, where just over 72% of voters backed Roosevelt.
近一个世纪后,这样的选举结果已难以想象。沙斯塔县实际上是加利福尼亚州的“让美国再次伟大”(Maga)之都,也是美国选举否定论运动的中心。在2016年、2020年和2024年的选举中,约三分之二的选民支持唐纳德·特朗普。他们采纳了他的政治哲学并付诸实践,选出了那些宣扬关于选举被窃取的谎言并频繁与州政府发生冲突的官员。
Nearly a century later, it’s an election result that is difficult to imagine. Shasta is the de facto Maga capital of California, and a center of the US election denial movement. Roughly two-thirds of voters supported Donald Trump in 2016, 2020 and 2024. They took his political philosophy and ran with it, electing officials who promoted falsehoods about stolen elections and frequently clashed with the state.
在疫情期间,该地区因对新冠防疫限制措施的敌意而引起了全国关注。随后的几年里,动荡波及了公共生活的方方面面,并被接连不断的头条新闻所记录——一名记者在报道当地保守派团体会议时遭到袭击,一名抗议者因在公开会议上举牌要求一名民选官员辞职而面临牢狱之灾。
During the pandemic, the area drew national attention for its hostility to Covid restrictions. The years that followed brought more turmoil that touched all corners of public life, documented in headline after headline – a journalist assaulted while covering a meeting of local conservative groups, a protester who faced jail time for holding a sign calling for the resignation of an elected official during a public meeting.
一年多来,《卫报》一直在探究这里在20世纪所经历的政治转型。通过与长期居民、历史学家和政治专家的交谈,所呈现出的故事是:在一个主要产业崩溃的背景下,该社区急剧向右转,并成为了激进保守派政治的温床。
For more than a year, the Guardian has explored the political transformation that unfolded here over the 20th century. The story that emerged through conversations with longtime residents, historians, and political experts is one of a community that dramatically veered right amid the collapse of its major industries and became a hotbed for radical conservative politics.
这也是民主党故事中的一个篇章。沙斯塔可以被视为一个案例研究,用以观察民主党人如何努力重新赢得他们曾经依赖的关键支持基础——美国农村地区,尽管他们似乎有望在本次中期选举中夺回关键席位。
And it’s a chapter in the story of the Democratic party. Shasta can be seen as a case study for how the Democrats have struggled to regain a crucial pillar of the base they once relied upon – rural America – even as they appear on track to win back crucial seats this midterm election.
科顿伍德这个小定居点或许以其粗犷的西部美景、附近的鱼类孵化场和右翼民兵组织而闻名。这里有着广阔的开放空间、蔓延的养牛场,以及内华达山脉与喀斯喀特山脉交汇处的原始景观。
The small settlement of Cottonwood is perhaps best known for its rugged western beauty, nearby fish hatchery and rightwing militia. It is a place of wide open spaces with sprawling cattle ranches and pristine views of the junction of the Sierra Nevada and Cascades.
即便是在一个共和党势力深厚的县,该社区的保守主义也显得格外突出。在道路两旁,雄伟的橡树下,竖立着关于“B提案”的旧标语。这是一项备受争议的投票倡议,选民已于6月批准通过,旨在结束几乎所有的邮寄投票,同时要求选民提供身份证件并进行人工计票。这一举措使该县再次陷入与州政府的法律纠纷之中——随着诉讼的推进,一名法官已禁止该措施生效。
Even in a deeply Republican county, the community stands apart for its conservatism. Along the roads, underneath majestic oaks, are old signs for measure B, a controversial ballot initiative voters approved in June that would end nearly all voting by mail while requiring voter ID and a hand count. The effort put the county in yet another legal battle with the state – a judge blocked the measure from taking effect as the litigation moves ahead.
在几英里外,萨克拉门托河附近一间挤满物品的家庭办公室里,帕特·卡尔(Pat Carr)建立了一个小型博物馆,展示着一段几乎被遗忘的历史。墙上挂满了当地名流与民主党总统的旧照片,还有来自白宫官员甚至一位最高法院大法官的信件。这些文件描绘了一个由民主党政策所构建的深蓝色区域的图景。
A few miles away, inside a packed home office not far from the Sacramento River, Pat Carr has assembled a sort of museum showcasing a mostly forgotten history. Old photos of local luminaries with Democratic presidents line the walls, along with letters from White House officials and even a supreme court justice. The documents paint a portrait of a deep blue region built by Democratic policies.
“当我试图向这里的人们解释这一点时,他们会说:‘你在开玩笑吧。不可能曾经是那样,’”82岁的卡尔坐在摆满纪念品的桌子前说道。“我们这些记得全盛时期的人,几乎都已经不在人世了。”在20世纪,沙斯塔(Shasta)的居民在州和联邦政治中发挥了至关重要的作用。他们曾担任加州民主党主席,帮助该地区引进了重大基础设施项目,并在约翰·肯尼迪(John F Kennedy)政府中任职。
“When I try to explain that to people here now, they’re going, ‘You’ve got to be kidding me. It couldn’t have been like that’,” Carr, 82, said sitting in front of a table crowded with memorabilia. “Those of us that remember a heyday, we’re almost all dead.”In the 20th century, Shasta residents played crucial roles in state and federal politics. They chaired California’s Democratic party, helped bring major infrastructure projects to the region, and they served in John F Kennedy’s administration.
卡尔非常了解这段历史——因为这就是他家族的历史。在一张罗斯福访问雷丁(Redding)的照片中,罗斯福(FDR)与卡尔的祖父弗朗西斯(Francis)并肩站立。卡尔的父亲和堂兄曾负责肯尼迪在北加州的竞选活动,他的叔叔则在肯尼迪政府时期担任内政部副部长。
Carr knows the history well – it was his family’s. In a photo of Roosevelt’s Redding visit, FDR stands alongside Carr’s grandfather, Francis. Carr’s father and cousin managed Kennedy’s Northern California campaign, and his uncle was the undersecretary of the interior department under Kennedy.
“资金从华盛顿源源不断地流向北部州,而促成这一切的人都是民主党人,”卡尔回忆道。
“The money was flowing out of Washington into the north state, and the guys that were getting it done were all Democrats,” Carr recalls.
沙斯塔大坝(Shasta Dam)是那个时代的纪念碑,高600英尺。这座大坝由1500万吨混凝土建成,其水库可容纳约450万英亩英尺的深绿色湖水。作为中央河谷工程(Central Valley Project)的基石,该大坝助力加州成为了农业强州。
The Shasta Dam is a 600ft tall monument to that era. Constructed with 15m tons of concrete, with a reservoir capable of holding back some 4.5m acre-feet of dark green water, the dam has helped make California an agricultural powerhouse as the keystone of the Central Valley Project.
它将大量的河水从加州最北部输送到中央河谷更为干旱的地区用于农业灌溉,并能产生足以供多达71万户家庭使用的电力。一位导游在9月的一个上午表示,管理该大坝的联邦政府将其视为仅次于白宫和五角大楼的关键基础设施。
It sends vast quantities of water from the state’s far north to more arid sections of the Central Valley for farming, and generates enough electricity to power as many as 710,000 homes. The federal government, which manages it, considers the dam critical infrastructure at a level just below the White House and the Pentagon, a tour guide said on a September morning.
在经济大萧条期间及第二次世界大战期间的建设过程中,它提供了数千个急需的工作岗位。
During its construction amid the Great Depression and through the second world war, it provided thousands of badly needed jobs.
罗斯福带着广泛的支持入主白宫,并实施了一项雄心勃勃的议程。在他的第一个任期内,这些议程帮助建立了一个由工会、非裔美国人、工人阶级、自由派专业人士和南方白人组成的强大联盟,该联盟成为了他所在政党的支柱。
Roosevelt came to the White House with broad support and implemented an ambitious agenda that over his first term helped build a powerful coalition of labor unions, African Americans, the working class, liberal professionals and white southerners that became the backbone of his party.
在他就职仅几个月后,通过平民保育团(CCC),沙斯塔县便建立了劳工营。
Mere months after he took office, there were work camps established in Shasta county through the Civilian Conservation Corps (CCC).
总统的政府通过平民保育团等项目让数百万美国人获得了工作,该项目招募失业的年轻人去建造露营地、开辟防火带以及修建火警瞭望塔。
The president’s administration put millions of Americans to work through programs such as the CCC, which enlisted jobless young men to build campgrounds, cut firelines and construct fire lookouts.
他所创建的机构在全美几乎每个县开展工作,帮助为该国大片地区输送了电力,并建立了我们现在所熟知的许多地方基础设施。该地区最大的城市雷丁获得了联邦资金,用于建造消防站、邮局、桥梁和退伍军人纪念大楼。
The agencies he created worked in virtually every county in the US, helped bring power to vast swaths of the country, and established much of the local infrastructure we now know. Redding, the largest city in the area, received federal dollars to build a fire station, post office, bridge and veterans memorial building.
“这赢得了数百万普通民众的心,”加州大学伯克利分校名誉教授、“活着的罗斯福新政”(Living New Deal)研究项目主任理查德·沃克表示。“他们感到政府在关心他们。至关重要的是,他们感到自己参与其中。无论是在修缮街道和人行道、植树还是建造学校,他们都在帮助自己的社区。”沃克说,该县获得了以大坝形式呈现的最重大投资,这是当时规模最大的公共工程项目之一,也是当时世界上最重要的水力发电设施之一。
“That won over the hearts of millions of ordinary people,” said Richard Walker, a professor emeritus at UC Berkeley and the director of the Living New Deal research project. “They felt that the government cared. Critically, they felt they participated. They were helping their own community, whether it was fixing streets and sidewalks or planting trees or building schools.”The county had scored the most significant investment in the form of the dam, one of the largest public works projects of the era and one of the most important hydroelectric facilities in the world at the time, Walker said.
加利福尼亚州的大部分水资源位于北部,而80%的需求则集中在该州的南部和中部地区。几十年来,加州一直在寻求解决这种不平衡以及山谷社区冬季洪水泛滥问题的方案。在大萧条时期,加州无力承担该项目的资金,但在包括弗朗西斯·卡尔(Francis Carr)在内的加州知名人士游说下,罗斯福政府为其提供了资金。
Most of California’s water is located in the north, while 80% of the demand lies in the central and southern regions of the state. For decades, California had sought a solution to the imbalance and the winter flooding of valley communities. The state couldn’t afford to finance the project during the depression, but after lobbying from prominent Californians including Francis Carr, Roosevelt’s administration funded it.
“中央谷地的情况比以往任何时候都更令人乐观。我们对即将开展的工作前景感到高兴,”州参议员约翰·B·麦科尔(John B McColl)在1937年工程开工前说道。
“Things are more optimistic than ever before in [the] Central Valley. We are delighted with prospects of immediate work,” state senator John B McColl said in 1937 before construction began.
该项目一度雇用了近5000人,带来了新的居民。施工全天24小时、每周7天不间断进行,且被认为至关重要,以至于一些工人在第二次世界大战期间获得了缓征。资深民主党战略家、北加州长期居民鲍勃·穆尔霍兰(Bob Mulholland)表示,这座大坝转化为对民主党持久的忠诚。
It employed almost 5,000 people at one time – bringing new residents. Construction was under way 24 hours a day, seven days a week, and was considered so vital that some workers received draft deferments during the second world war. The dam translated into enduring Democratic loyalty, said Bob Mulholland, a veteran Democratic strategist and longtime resident of northern California.
“我认为,工人们及其子女多年来对罗斯福总统和民主党人确实怀有一种承诺或感激之情,”穆尔霍兰在2025年去世前不久接受《卫报》采访时说道。
“I think there was a certain amount of that commitment or thanks for years, from the workers themselves and the kids, to FDR and the Democrats,” Mulholland said in an interview with the Guardian in 2025 shortly before his death.
战争带来了木材工业的显著增长,随后的几年里,住房需求的激增也产生了同样的效果。那是该州这一地区充满机遇和扩张的时代,从伐木工到零售店员再到酒保,广大工人在工厂和工会中拥有充足的工作岗位。这与当时美国各地发生的情况遥相呼应。
The war brought significant growth in the timber industry, as did surging demand for housing in the years that followed. It was an era of opportunity and expansion in this part of the state, with ample jobs in the mills and unions for wide swaths of workers from loggers to retail clerks to bartenders. It echoed what was happening across the US.
“战后,美国经历了人类历史上最伟大的经济繁荣,而且即便在不平等现象减少的同时,富人依然变得更富,”威斯康星大学绿湾分校民主与正义系名誉教授、历史学家哈维·凯(Harvey Kaye)说。“每个人都过得更好了。”到1948年黛安·金扬(Diane Kinyon)出生时,沙斯塔县(Shasta)还是加利福尼亚州最倾向民主党的县之一,也是其民主党票仓的重要组成部分。金扬的家族在19世纪60年代迁居至此,几代人都在从事有助于建设和供养加州的行业,从铁路到牧场和伐木业,应有尽有。
“After the war, the United States experienced the greatest economic boom in human history and moreover, even as inequality was declining, the rich were still getting richer,” said historian Harvey Kaye, a professor emeritus of democracy and justice at the University of Wisconsin-Green Bay. “Everyone was doing better.”By 1948, when Diane Kinyon was born, Shasta was one of California’s bluest counties and an important part of its Democratic base. Kinyon’s family had migrated to the area in the 1860s and for generations worked in the industries that helped build and feed California, from the railroad to ranching and logging.
她说,她的父母是“铁杆民主党人”。她的父亲是一名工会成员,受雇于县道路部门,从机械师做起,一路晋升,还与她母亲共同经营一家披萨店。她的父亲向金扬强调了工会的重要性,金扬后来也做了几十年的工会组织者。
Her parents were “diehard Democrats”, she said. Her father, a union man, was employed by the county road department, working his way up after starting as a mechanic, and also owned a pizza shop with her mother. Her father emphasized the importance of unions to Kinyon who later who spent decades as a union organizer.
“我们知道我们是工会成员。我们知道我们是民主党人,我们也知道这意味着你要帮助他人,”她回忆道。“但我认为在另一方,(那些也是共和党人的)价值观。他们只是在财务实现途径上有所不同。”金扬回忆说,20世纪60年代,全长近1400英里(约2253公里)、从墨西哥延伸至加拿大的5号州际公路的修建,使该县变得更加开放,并带来了更多的游客。道路工程以及水库项目提供了更多的工作岗位。
“We knew we were union. We knew we were Democrats, and we knew what that meant was that you help people,” she recalled. “But I think on the other side, [those were Republican] values too. They just financially had a different way to get there.”In the 1960s, the construction of Interstate 5, the nearly 1,400-mile (about 2,253km) highway that runs from Mexico to Canada, opened up the county, and brought more tourists, Kinyon recalled. Road work, along with reservoir projects, offered even more jobs.
多年来,该地区的采掘业也带来了挑战——采矿业造成的污染破坏了农作物,渗入水道并毒害了鱼类。
The region’s extractive industries created challenges over the years – pollution from the mining industry damaged crops, seeped into waterways and poisoned fish.
尽管如此,该地区仍笼罩着一种希望感,伴随着木材厂废料燃烧器中几乎从未间断的烟雾,农民兼退休教师帕特·卡尔(Pat Carr)和他的兄弟杰夫(Jeff)回忆道。那是一种甜甜的木头味,而不是加州今天经常忍受的那种刺鼻的野火烟雾。
Still, a sense of hope hung over the region, along with near constant smoke from wood waste burners at the mills, recalled Pat Carr and his brother Jeff, a farmer and retired teacher. It was a sweet wood smell rather than the acrid wildfire smoke California frequently endures today.
1960年,当肯尼迪竞选总统时,该行业正处于全盛时期,而沙斯塔县当时仍是民主党的势力大本营。
The industry was in full swing in 1960, when Kennedy ran for president, and Shasta was still a Democratic powerhouse.
肯尼迪曾两次访问该地区,他在其中一次访问中提到,自己走的是哈里·杜鲁门1948年走过的路线。1960年,他在雷丁发表了演讲,称赞了沙斯塔大坝,并告诉人群“水是美国未来的关键”,还表示“这个山谷展示了我们能取得的成就”。
Kennedy visited the area twice, following the same trail as Harry Truman in 1948, he said on one visit. He spoke in Redding in 1960, praising the Shasta Dam and telling the crowd “water is key to the American future” and that “this valley shows what can be done”.
此后,沙斯塔县对肯尼迪的支持率在加州各县中名列前茅。卡尔兄弟的叔叔詹姆斯·肯尼迪·卡尔,后来出任了内政部副部长。
Shasta went on to have some of the highest support for Kennedy of any county in the state. And James Kennedy Carr, the Carr brothers’ uncle, became the undersecretary of the department of the interior.
尽管美国从“新政”的遗产中受益,但重大变革很快改变了民主党,并使罗斯福建立的联盟发生分裂。民权运动的成功以及民主党对标志性立法的支持,导致许多南方白人开始背弃该党。林登·约翰逊是最后一位获得多数美国白人支持的民主党总统候选人。
While the US benefited from the legacy of the New Deal, major changes would soon alter the Democratic party and fracture the coalition Roosevelt built. The successes of the civil rights movement and the Democrats’ support of landmark legislation resulted in many white southerners beginning to abandon the party. Lyndon Johnson was the last Democratic presidential candidate to attract support from a majority of white Americans.
与此同时,保守派和企业精英开始了历史学家凯所描述的阶级战争,并针对“罗斯福长时代”的成就发起了运动。
Meanwhile, conservatives and the corporate elite began what historian Kaye describes as a class war and crusade against the achievements of the “long age of Roosevelt”.
凯认为,商业团体鼓吹“自由企业”,试图削弱工会并减少政府监管,而企业则将业务转移到美国南部和海外,以削减成本并规避监管。凯表示,吉米·卡特推行了放松管制和紧缩措施,他的政策最终削弱了工会。
Business groups touted “free enterprise” in an effort to disempower unions and reduce government regulation, while corporations moved operations to the US south and abroad to cut costs and skirt regulations, Kaye has argued. Jimmy Carter embraced deregulation and austerity measures, Kaye said, and his policies ultimately weakened unions.
“民主党基本上背弃了工人阶级,”凯伊说。“共和党人从民主党放弃富兰克林·罗斯福(FDR)传统中获益,正是罗斯福时代使他们从20世纪30年代初一直到70年代初成为代表人民的多数党。”沙斯塔县在更长一段时间内保持着可靠的“蓝色”(支持民主党),但麻烦已在酝酿之中。木材加工厂开始倒闭。几十年来,木制品一直是该国最重要的制成品之一,而加利福尼亚州最北部则是关键的枢纽。
“The Democratic party basically turned its back on the working class,” Kaye said. “Republicans benefited from the Democrats abandoning the FDR tradition and the age of Roosevelt that had made them the majority party of the people from the early 1930s right through the early 70s.”Shasta remained reliably blue for a little longer, but trouble was on the horizon. Mills had begun closing. For decades, wood products had been one of the top manufactured goods in the country, and far northern California was a key hub.
该行业辩称,他们正受到日益严格的监管和环境法律的束缚。但沃克反驳说,到70年代末,该地区已经砍伐了大部分优质木材,且在与加拿大和美国南部的新技术及生产竞争中处于劣势。
The industry argued it was being hamstrung by increased regulation and environmental laws. But, Walker countered, by the late 70s the region had cut much of its prime timber and was being out-competed by new technology and production in Canada and the southern US.
66岁的杰夫·卡尔当时还是个十几岁的少年,他记得那些工厂的倒闭,以及随之而来的困境。和他同龄的人在毕业后没有进入工厂,而是参了军,有些人则离开小镇去上大学。他说,沙斯塔县建立在采掘业的基础上,而这些资源似乎已基本被耗尽。
Jeff Carr, 66, was a teenager at the time, and remembers the closures, and the hardship that followed. Instead of heading to the mills after graduating, people his age went into the military and some left town to attend college. Shasta was founded on extractive industries, he said, and it appeared it had largely used them up.
1980年11月,在近50年几乎不间断地支持民主党之后,沙斯塔县像加利福尼亚州的其他地区一样,支持罗纳德·里根竞选总统。选民们还罢免了该地区长期任职的国会议员比兹·约翰逊,转而支持一名共和党人。
In November 1980, after nearly 50 years of almost uninterrupted support for Democrats, Shasta county, like the rest of California, backed Ronald Reagan for president. Voters also ousted the area’s long serving congressman Bizz Johnson in favor of a Republican.
杰夫·卡尔回忆道,这是一次震荡性的转变。它呼应了整个加利福尼亚州正在发生的变化。
It was a seismic shift, Jeff Carr recalled. And it echoed a change taking place across California.
“这里只有一个故事:加利福尼亚州对民主党人来说已经变成了地狱,”民主党顾问迈克尔·伯曼(Michael Berman)在1986年告诉《洛杉矶时报》。“年轻人正在登记成为共和党人。而从他们不得不做出的选择来看——在吉米·卡特(Jimmy Carter)和沃尔特·蒙代尔(Walter Mondale)或者罗纳德·里根(Ronald Reagan)之间——这并不是一个艰难的选择。”
“There’s one story here: California has gone to hell for Democrats,” Michael Berman, a Democratic consultant, told the Los Angeles Times in 1986. “Young people are registering Republican. And from what they’ve had to choose – between Jimmy Carter and Walter Mondale or Ronald Reagan – it’s not been a tough choice.”
这一趋势最终在该州大部分地区发生了逆转,但在包括沙斯塔县(Shasta county)在内的加州内陆部分地区,这被证明是一种持久的改变。一些当地人开始投票支持共和党,并保持与该党的立场一致。与此同时,大量新居民从南加州涌入,渴望逃往物价更低廉的北部,而他们的政治倾向偏向保守。与此同时,教堂的数量也在增加,其中包括极度保守的礼拜场所。福音派学院辛普森大学(Simpson University)于1989年来到雷丁(Redding)。
The trend would ultimately reverse in much of the state, but in parts of California’s interior, including Shasta county, it proved a lasting change. Some locals began voting Republican and stayed aligned with the party. Meanwhile, a surge of new residents arrived from southern California, eager to escape to the more affordable north, and they leaned conservative. At the same time, there was an expansion in churches, including ultra conservative worship houses. Simpson University, an evangelical college, arrived in Redding in 1989.
沙斯塔正变得越来越坚定地保守,而人口的涌入推高了房产价值并抬高了成本,此时,对当地经济至关重要的磨坊业却在衰落。这种转变令人震惊。
Shasta was becoming more solidly conservative while the influx increased property values and drove up costs at a time when mills that had been critical to the economy were declining. The shift was shocking.
“我们中没有人真正预见到这一点。我将其归因于自满,归因于过于自信,”终身居住在沙斯塔的民主党组织者弗兰克·特雷德韦(Frank Treadway)说。
“None of us really saw that coming. I chalk it up to being complacent, being overly self-assured,” said Frank Treadway, a lifelong Shasta resident and Democratic organizer.
这种转变以无数种方式表现出来。84岁的特雷德韦在他的咖啡和茶店里看到了这一点,新来的保守派人士会特意大声讨论宗教和政治,因为他们知道他活跃于民主党内。杰夫·卡尔(Jeff Carr)在牧场和工作场所听到了这一点,那里突然响起了保守派谈话广播永无止境的背景声。
It manifested in countless ways. Treadway, 84, saw it in his coffee and tea shop where newly arrived conservatives would make a point to loudly discuss religion and politics, knowing he was active in the party. Jeff Carr heard it on ranches and job sites that suddenly rang with the endless soundtrack of conservative talk radio.
“这种宗教热情的融合,使政治变得极其个人化,并成为人们生活结构的一部分,”卡尔说。“那时我们开始看到这一点:真正的分裂,以及无法在共同议题上达成一致。”
“With that fusion of religious fervor, it made politics extremely personal and a part of people’s fabric,” Carr said. “That’s when we began to see it: a real divide and the inability to meet on common-ground issues.”
一场关于野生动物的争斗凸显了这种共同基础的瓦解。即使几十年过去了,一些沙斯塔县的居民提到斑点猫头鹰时仍会不寒而栗。金永直言不讳:“斑点猫头鹰毁了我们。”当地木材工业一直在急剧衰退,但联邦政府决定将依赖原始森林和成熟林地筑巢的北方斑点猫头鹰列为受威胁物种,这又是一次沉重打击,因为保护措施严重限制了伐木。沃克认为,该行业推行了一种自私的叙事,将行业低迷归咎于那些想要保护仅存的少量原始树木的环保人士。
A battle over wildlife highlighted the disintegration of this common ground. Even decades on, some Shasta residents shudder at mention of the spotted owl. Kinyon does not mince words: “The spotted owl screwed us.”The timber industry had been in steep decline locally, but the federal government’s decision to list the northern spotted owl, which relies on old growth and mature forests for nesting, as a threatened species dealt another blow as the protection significantly restricted logging. The industry pushed a self-serving narrative, Walker argued, pinning the blame for its downturn on environmentalists who wanted to protect the small percentage of old-growth trees that remained.
尽管是在共和党人乔治·H·W·布什政府时期,在诉讼之后将这种猛禽列入名单的,但民主党在很大程度上支持这一提议。这后来成为多年怨恨的根源,并进一步削弱了民主党在该地区的受欢迎程度。
While it was Republican George HW Bush’s administration that added the raptor to the list, following lawsuits, the Democratic party largely supported the proposal. It would become the source of years of resentment and further diminish the party’s popularity in the area.
“并不是每个人都同意我对斑点猫头鹰问题的看法,”金永说。“作为一名民主党人,我当时想:我们犯了一个错误。”到本世纪末,加利福尼亚州已变成民主党的堡垒,而沙斯塔县几乎已不再是罗斯福、杜鲁门和肯尼迪几十年前访问时的那个社区了。人口虽然激增,但民主党的选民基础却已崩溃。
“Not everybody is with me on the spotted owl situation,” Kinyon said. “As a Democrat I thought: we’re making a mistake.”By the end of the century, California had turned into a blue bastion, while Shasta hardly resembled the community Roosevelt, Truman and Kennedy had visited decades before. The population had exploded, but the Democratic base had collapsed.
沃克表示,这种转变是整个美国农村地区所发生情况的缩影,关键产业的流失导致了经济衰退。这些社区需要类似于“新政”的政府干预和投资来维持其生存能力,并需要改善学校教育,以使学生能够在不断变化的劳动力市场中更好地竞争。但这一切从未到来——无论是来自民主党政府还是共和党政府。
The transformation is emblematic of what happened throughout rural America as the loss of key industries drove economic decline, Walker said. These communities needed something akin to the New Deal, government intervention and investment to keep them viable and improved schools to allow students to better compete in changing labor markets. It never came – not from Democratic or Republican administrations.
“政府不再关心了。那些工厂倒闭、木材厂倒闭、矿场倒闭的工人们,几乎没有得到什么政府援助。他们生活的基本根基正在萎缩,”他说。
“The government stopped caring. You’ve got very little government aid to workers whose factories were closing, whose lumber mills were closing, whose mines were closing. The basic foundation of their lives were shrinking,” he said.
2016年6月一个闷热的午后,唐纳德·特朗普站在雷丁市数千名支持者面前,承诺要带来一场变革。
On a sweltering afternoon in June 2016, Donald Trump stood before a crowd of thousands of supporters in Redding and promised a transformation.
“我们要把就业机会带回这个国家。我们需要我们的工作。我们要让那些解雇所有人并撤离的公司付出高昂的代价,”他在雷丁机场一架印有他名字的飞机前说道。“你们知道,你们这个地区在相当短的时间内失去了三分之一的制造业岗位。那可是大量的制造业岗位。”对于拥有18万人口、如今已是加利福尼亚州最保守县之一的沙斯塔县来说,特朗普的话带来了希望。那一年,他获得了该县超过64%的选票,并在2020年获得了65%的选票。特朗普确实在这里带来了改变,但并非他所承诺的那种。
“We are going to bring jobs back to this country. We need our jobs. We’re going to make it very expensive for companies to fire everybody and leave,” he said in front of a plane adorned with his name at the Redding airport. “You know, your area has lost one in three manufacturing jobs over a fairly short period of time. That’s a lot of manufacturing jobs.”For Shasta, home to 180,000 people and now one of California’s most conservative counties, Trump’s words brought hope. He received more than 64% of the county’s votes that year and 65% in 2020. And Trump did deliver change here, but not the kind he had promised.
他拒绝承认自己在2020年总统竞选中落败,再加上疫情的影响,开启了一个政治极端主义的时代,重塑了该地区的公共生活。
His refusal to admit he lost the 2020 presidential contest, coupled with the pandemic, ushered in an era of political extremism that reshaped public life in this region.
最近的转变甚至在选举前就开始了,当时人们对加州的疫情限制措施感到愤怒。疫情期间,全美各地的不满情绪日益高涨,这在混乱的校董会会议和市议会会议中可见一斑,但在沙斯塔县,这种情绪尤为严重。
The latest shift began even before the election, amid a swell of outrage over California’s Covid restrictions. There was growing discontent across the US during the pandemic, as seen in unruly school board meetings and city council sessions, but in Shasta it was particularly severe.
一些人认为该州的严格规定是失策和越权,并进一步证明了加州的民主党领导人与农村社区脱节。这些限制措施加剧了一种过去几十年来一直在积聚的感觉——即该地区已被萨克拉门托所遗忘。
Some viewed the state’s strict rules as missteps and overreach, and further evidence that California’s Democratic leaders were out of touch with rural communities. The restrictions reinforced a feeling that had been building in past decades – that the region had been forgotten by Sacramento.
许多居民对他们眼中这种突如其来且旷日持久的日常生活干扰感到愤愤不平。州长在州政府敦促民众避免此类聚会时,却被拍到在高端餐厅“法国洗衣房”(French Laundry)参加晚宴,这进一步点燃了民众的怒火。
Many residents were aggrieved at what they saw as a sudden and lengthy intrusion into their daily lives. Photos of the state’s governor at a dinner party at the upscale French Laundry while the state was urging people to avoid such gatherings fueled further outrage.
对疫情的挫败感以及州议会中民主党占据绝对多数的局面,加剧了人们对政府的愤怒,并加深了对特朗普的忠诚。在沙斯塔县,这也将心怀不满的居民与包括民兵成员、反疫苗者和分裂主义者在内的广泛政治团体聚集在了一起。康涅狄格州的继承人里弗奇·安塞尔莫(Reverge Anselmo)因与该县积怨多年,向这场日益壮大的反建制运动投入了大量资金。他还支持了一项罢免温和派共和党监事的行动,这些监事被指责在抵制州政府防疫规定方面做得不够。
The frustration over the pandemic and the state’s Democratic supermajority in the capitol intensified anger at the government and deepened allegiance to Trump. In Shasta, it also brought together disaffected residents and broad political groups including militia members, anti-vaxxers and secessionists. Reverge Anselmo, a Connecticut heir with a years-long grudge against the county, poured money into the growing anti-establishment movement. He also backed an effort to recall moderate Republican supervisors accused of not doing enough to push back against state pandemic rules.
曾担任多年警察局长的伦纳德·莫蒂(Leonard Moty)突然发现,自己已无法满足当下政治氛围对“保守派”的要求。特伦特·科普兰(Trent Copland)是一位退休教师,其家族自19世纪60年代起便定居该县。他与莫蒂是朋友,并认为莫蒂是一位理性的共和党人。科普兰回忆说,尽管他们的政治信仰存在冲突,但当莫蒂面临罢免选举时,他还是赶去帮忙。
Leonard Moty, a former police chief who had served on the board for years, suddenly found himself not conservative enough for the political moment. Trent Copland, a retired teacher whose family settled in the county in the 1860s, was friends with Moty and considered him a reasonable Republican. They had clashing political beliefs, Copland recalled, but when Moty faced a recall election, he rushed to help.
最终,莫蒂失去了席位,罢免选举将该县管理机构的控制权交给了与反建制运动结盟的极右翼多数派。这引发了长达数年的功能失调。
In the end, Moty lost his seat, and the recall handed control of the county’s governing body to a deeply conservative majority aligned with the anti-establishment movement. It set off years of dysfunction.
在随后的五年里,当地政治被敌意所笼罩,民主党人和温和派共和党人与极右翼保守派针锋相对。公开会议上几乎看不到有意义的对话,取而代之的是口角,甚至逮捕事件。
In the following five years, local politics would be defined by animosity, with Democrats and moderate Republicans pitted against ultra conservatives.
曾任学前班教师、没有任何犯罪记录的珍妮·奥康奈尔·诺温(Jenny O’Connell Nowain)因对一名官员进行静默抗议而被拘留并受到指控。该官员曾毫无根据地声称社区选举受到操纵。
Public meetings have seen little meaningful conversation and instead verbal sparring and even arrests.
近年来到访沙斯塔县,人们可能会留下这样一种印象:选举舞弊是当地最紧迫的问题。
Jenny O’Connell Nowain, a former pre-school teacher with no criminal history, was detained and charged for silently protesting against an official who had alleged without evidence that elections in the community were being manipulated.
“现在最受关注的是选举舞弊,但没有任何证据表明选举舞弊曾经发生过,”科普兰说。“但这似乎并不重要。事实并不重要。”尽管如此,一小群引人注目的当地居民仍坚称地方选举受到了破坏。一些民选官员支持这些说法,在没有证据的情况下声称地方竞选存在广泛的干预。他们曾试图推行人工计票系统,但均以失败告终。这种方法被认为对于复杂的美国选举而言成本过高且容易出错,但却受到那些不信任国家投票公正性的人们的推崇。
Visiting Shasta county in recent years, one might come away with the impression that fraudulent elections are the most pressing local issue. “Now the big deal is election fraud, and there’s not a shred of proof that election fraud has ever taken place,’ said Copland. “But that doesn’t seem to matter. The facts don’t matter.” Still, a small but visible group of local residents has insisted local races are compromised. Some elected officials have supported those claims, arguing without evidence there has been widespread interference in local contests. They’ve unsuccessfully sought to implement a hand-count system, a method considered too costly and error-prone for complex US elections but embraced by those who mistrust the integrity of the country’s voting.
去年,沙斯塔县任命克林特·柯蒂斯负责监督投票工作。柯蒂斯自称是选举公正倡导者,但并无相关经验。尽管共和党人在该县一直获胜,柯蒂斯仍指责其前任干预选举,并于近期宣布计划聘请一名来自科罗拉多州、名声扫地的选举书记员担任职务。
Last year, Shasta appointed Clint Curtis, a self-described election integrity advocate with no experience, to oversee its voting. Curtis accused his predecessors of interfering with elections – even though Republicans consistently win the county – and recently announced plans to hire a disgraced election clerk from Colorado for a job.
像基尼恩这样的长期居民感到沮丧,因为官员们投入了大量的时间和资源试图解决一个并不存在的问题,而该地区却面临着严峻的挑战。
Longtime residents like Kinyon are frustrated by the significant time and resources officials have invested in trying to solve a problem that doesn’t exist while the area faces significant challenges.
沙斯塔县拥有全州最高的自杀率之一,药物过量发生率也很高。居民们表示,当地严重缺乏经济机会。伯特利是一座拥有约1.1万名成员的保守派大型教会,在当地经济中发挥着重要作用。该教会的超自然事工学院被称为“基督教霍格沃茨”,吸引了数以千计的学生和游客,其中一些人留下来并创办了企业。
Shasta county has one of the highest suicide rates in the state and high overdose rates. There is a severe lack of economic opportunity, residents say. Bethel, a conservative megachurch with about 11,000 members, plays a significant role in the local economy. The church’s school of supernatural ministry, which has been called a “Christian Hogwarts”, has attracted thousands of students and visitors, some of whom have stayed and started businesses.
该地区严重依赖联邦资金——并非通过曾经雇佣数千人的大型基础设施项目,而是通过拨款和社会服务。
The area relies heavily on federal funding – not in the form of massive infrastructure projects that once employed thousands – but through grants and social services.
加利福尼亚州的农村地区预计将因特朗普政府对相关拨款和服务的削减而遭受重创,其中包括在10年内从医疗补助计划(Medicaid)中削减约1万亿美元。去年,沙斯塔县最大医疗服务提供商的负责人曾警告称,医疗补助计划的这些变动将对该县产生“毁灭性”影响,当地的医疗补助计划服务对象接近该县人口的三分之一。
Rural California is expected to take a significant hit with the Trump administration’s cuts to those grants and services, including about $1tn from Medicaid over 10 years. Last year, the head of Shasta’s largest healthcare provider warned the changes to Medicaid would have “crippling” impacts in a county where the local Medicaid provider serves nearly a third of the population.
预算削减的全面影响尚需时日才能显现,但这些削减将在未来多年内对该地区产生连锁反应。专家们警告称,一项为农村医疗分配500亿美元的新基金规模太小,不足以抵消这些负面影响。
It will take time for the full effect of the budget reductions to be seen, but they will have repercussions in the region for years to come. Experts have warned a new fund allocating $50bn for rural health is too small to offset the adverse effects.
民主党人表示,如果他们在中期选举中获胜,将撤销这些削减措施。
Democrats have said they will reverse the cuts if they are victorious in the midterms.
对于沙斯塔县的民主党人来说,前景或许黯淡,但也存在一些希望。
Times may be dark for Democrats in Shasta, but there is also some hope.
由于为了应对特朗普在得克萨斯州推动不公正划分选区而进行了一项重新划分选区的努力,该地区有望迎来近50年来首位民主党籍国会众议员。
Because of a redistricting effort undertaken in response to Trump’s push for gerrymandering in Texas, the region is poised to have its first Democratic representative in Congress in nearly 50 years.
在保守派人士中,这项被称为“50号提案”的重新划分选区措施,只会加剧他们对加州州长加文·纽森的不满,并强化了农村地区没有获得公平代表权的感受。超过70%的沙斯塔县选民反对该提案。但其他人则对这一进展表示庆祝,并对迎来一位经验丰富的新国会议员感到兴奋。
Among conservatives, the redistricting measure, called Prop 50, has only fueled resentment against the California governor, Gavin Newsom, and intensified feelings that rural areas are not getting fair representation. Just over 70% of Shasta voters opposed it. But others celebrated the development, and are excited to have an experienced new congressman.
“我相信北加州将获得的最优秀的倡导者之一就是贾里德·赫夫曼,”杰夫·卡尔在提到这位定于1月开始代表该地区的议员时说道。他指出了赫夫曼作为众议院自然资源委员会民主党领袖的角色,以及他为农民所做的倡导工作。
“I believe one of the best advocates that the North State will have gained is Jared Huffman,” Jeff Carr said, referring to the lawmaker slated to represent the region in January. He pointed to Huffman’s role as the top Democrat on the House natural resources committee and advocacy for farmers.
当地民主党人希望该党能被推动在沙斯塔县投入更多资源进行组织工作。“我们民主党人过去一直把沙斯塔县视为一个必须减少损失的地方,而不是一个我们可以获胜的地方,”马尔霍兰去年曾这样说道。
Local Democrats hope the party will be moved to invest more into organizing in the county. “We as Democrats [have looked] at Shasta county as a place where we gotta reduce our losses, not as a place we can win,” Mulholland said last year.
加州民主党将资源集中在选情胶着的选区,这意味着保守的农村地区得到的支持相对较少。金扬长期以来一直认为,如果州党部能在地方选举中投入更多资金,这里的民主党人就能动员更多的选民。
The California Democratic party concentrates resources in close races, meaning conservative rural areas receive relatively little support. Kinyon has long believed that if the state party invested more into local races, Democrats here could rally more voters.
“我们的选票很重要。我们的人民也很重要。请给我们一些帮助。”与此同时,当地民主党人正专注于金扬童年记忆中的那种情感:通过食品和衣物募捐活动以及为移民提供支持小组,来进行社区建设和倡导工作。
“Our votes are important. Our people are. Give us some help.”In the meantime, local Democrats are focused on the same sentiment Kinyon recalled from her childhood; community building and advocacy with food and clothing drives and support groups for immigrants.
“我认为我们在沙斯塔县所做的事情,在人们需要帮助的方面取得了有意义的进展,”她说。“这些就是我们在这里努力的方向。”杰夫·卡尔与金扬一同在当地民主党中央委员会任职,他表示,当地党部正试图帮助那些因近期联邦削减开支而面临失去食品、医疗和住房福利风险的民众。
“I think we’re making meaningful progress in Shasta county in the ways that we find people need help,” she said. “Those are the things that we work on here.”Jeff Carr serves on the local Democratic central committee, alongside Kinyon, and says the local party is trying to aid people at risk of losing food, health and housing benefits under recent federal cuts.
曾任沙斯塔县管理委员会成员的少数民主党人之一弗兰西·沙利文认为,来自州党部的更多支持未必能立即改变选举结果,但有助于改善对话氛围。
More support from the state party wouldn’t necessarily change the outcome of races right away, but it would help improve the conversation, argued Francie Sullivan, one of the few Democrats to ever serve on Shasta’s governing board.
但沃克表示,该地区像美国各地类似的区域一样,需要的是大规模的投资,以创造繁荣的社区。他补充说,乔·拜登政府支持了一些重要的农村项目,但民主党人在沟通方面一直做得不够好,未能清晰地阐明他们正在做的事情。
But what the region needs, like similar areas across America, is massive investment, Walker said, to create thriving communities. Joe Biden’s administration backed some significant rural projects, but Democrats have largely been poor communicators and failed to articulate what they were doing, he added.
“像沙斯塔县这样的农村地区的人们根本不知道拜登试图为他们做什么……他们不认为政府在帮助他们,”他说。“有大量的资金从较富裕的地区流入沙斯塔县,但没有人宣扬这一点。他们需要更多,却得不到。我理解他们的绝望。”
“People in the rural areas like Shasta county have no idea what Biden was trying to do for them … They don’t think the government helps them,” he said. “There’s a lot of money that flows into Shasta county from the richer areas, but nobody trumpets it. They need more, and they don’t get it. And I understand their despair.”
“如果我们不能达成某种新的‘新政’,这种情况就会持续下去,”他说。“农村地区将继续沉溺于‘让美国再次伟大’(Magaism)的泥潭中,而我们将被困在这个糟糕的政府里。这是一场悲剧。这只是一场漫长而缓慢的悲剧。”回到帕特·卡尔的办公室,他和他的兄弟思考着在沙斯塔扭转局面需要什么。杰夫·卡尔说,居民们此前曾游说州政府在这里开设一个新的大学校园,这将产生巨大的影响。他说,该地区需要改变视角,并对未来经济有一个愿景。但无论发生什么,他们都不会离开。
“If we don’t get a new New Deal of some kind it’ll continue,” he said. “The rural areas will continue to wallow in the mire of Magaism, and we’re going to be stuck with this horrible government. It’s a tragedy. It’s just a long, slow tragedy.”Back in Pat Carr’s office, he and his brother pondered what it might take to turn things around in Shasta. Residents have previously lobbied the state to open a new university campus here, which would have a tremendous impact, Jeff Carr said. The region needs a change of perspective and a vision for its future economically, he said. But whatever comes, they’re not going anywhere.
“我本可以去其他地方,那里会更轻松之类的。这远不止是出于家庭忠诚,”帕特·卡尔在卡顿伍德的住所说道,阳光明媚地照耀着他身后窗框里的拉森峰。“我几乎感到有一种留在这里的责任。”
“There are other places that I could be that would be easier and the like. It’s well beyond family loyalty,” Pat Carr said from his property in Cottonwood, as the sun shone brightly over Lassen Peak framed in the window behind him. “I feel a duty almost to be here.”