
古巴政府花费数十年时间招募美国人背叛祖国。它反对国务卿马尔科·鲁比奥邀请古巴人与中央情报局合作。哈瓦那显然认为间谍活动应当仍是独裁政权的特权。特朗普政府反对这一观点是正确的。
Cuba’s government has spent decades recruiting Americans to betray their country. It objects to Secretary of State Marco Rubio inviting Cubans to cooperate with the CIA. Havana apparently believes espionage should remain a privilege of the dictatorship. The Trump administration is right to disagree.
鲁比奥正在挑战华盛顿的一个惯性认知:即古巴太穷、无足轻重。一个连电力供应都难以维持的政权,依然能够渗透政府、策反情报官员、协助美国的对手。贫穷从未使一个国家丧失从事间谍活动的资格。反而可能让间谍活动成为其更有价值的“出口产品”之一。
Rubio is challenging a comfortable assumption in Washington: that Cuba is too broke to matter. A regime unable to keep the lights on can still penetrate a government, compromise an intelligence officer, and help America’s adversaries. Poverty has never disqualified a country from espionage. It can make espionage one of its more valuable exports.
我是一名古巴裔美国人,曾在中央情报局担任行动官员逾二十年,其中包括在拉丁美洲担任站长。这一经历让我对“经济衰退必然导致安全机构无能”这一假设毫无耐心。独裁政权分配资源的标准是能否维持其统治。养活民众和保护政权是两个不同的优先事项。哈瓦那一再做出了自己的选择。
I am an American of Cuban descent who spent more than two decades as a CIA operations officer, including service as chief of station in Latin America. That background leaves me with little patience for the assumption that a failing economy must produce an incompetent security apparatus. Dictatorships allocate resources according to what keeps them in power. Feeding the population and protecting the regime are different priorities. Havana has made its choice repeatedly.
案例无需赘述。安娜·贝伦·蒙特斯在为古巴情报机构效力的同时,成为了五角大楼首席古巴问题分析师。她暴露了美国情报官员,并扭曲了华盛顿对她本应评估的那个国家的认知。维克托·曼努埃尔·罗查在秘密为哈瓦那效力期间,曾担任美国大使并进入国家安全委员会任职。肯德尔和格温多琳·迈尔斯夫妇维持了一场长达30年的间谍阴谋。
The record requires little elaboration. Ana Belén Montes became the Pentagon’s leading Cuba analyst while working for Cuban intelligence. She exposed American intelligence officers and distorted Washington’s understanding of the country she was supposed to assess. Victor Manuel Rocha served as a U.S. ambassador and on the National Security Council while secretly serving Havana. Kendall and Gwendolyn Myers sustained an espionage conspiracy for 30 years.
这些都是对获取渠道的长期投资。古巴情报机构培养意识形态忠诚,引导招募对象走向关键岗位,并让美国机构为其提供薪水、资历和信任。蒙特斯不需要在海外存入巨款。信念就足够了。最具破坏力的特工,可能正是那位受人尊敬的专家——他的同事无法想象,他的判断其实属于别人。
These were patient investments in access. Cuban intelligence cultivated ideological commitment, steered recruits toward useful positions, and allowed American institutions to supply salaries, credentials, and trust. Montes needed no fortune deposited offshore. Conviction was enough. The most damaging agent may be the respected expert whose colleagues cannot imagine that his judgment belongs to someone else.
后果远不止文件被盗。古巴的“黄蜂网”渗透了流亡组织,并以美国军事设施为目标。其成员之一因涉及1996年“救援兄弟会”两架飞机被击毁事件,被判犯有谋杀共谋罪。四人遇难,其中三人为美国公民。哈瓦那的情报行动造成了人命代价,这是外交辞令无法抹去的。
The consequences extended beyond stolen documents. Cuba’s Wasp Network penetrated exile organizations and targeted American military facilities. One of its officers was convicted of conspiracy to commit murder in connection with the 1996 destruction of two Brothers to the Rescue aircraft. Four men died, three of them American citizens. Havana’s intelligence operations have carried a human cost that diplomatic euphemisms cannot erase.

鲁比奥的邀请将压力施加在了该施加的地方:维持政权运转的人身上。一名情报官员、军方官员或党内核心成员,可能知晓哈瓦那招募了哪些美国人、协助了哪些外国情报机构,或是谁签署了逮捕异见人士的命令。这些知识使他们拥有了可供交换的筹码。华盛顿应明确表示,已准备好倾听。
Rubio’s invitation puts pressure where it belongs: on the people who keep the regime functioning. An intelligence officer, military official, or party insider may know which Americans Havana has recruited, which foreign services it assists, or who signed an order to arrest a dissident. That knowledge gives him something to offer. Washington should make clear that it is prepared to listen.
这一邀请还在古巴情报总部内部投下了一个无法被任何安全负责人轻易忽视的问题:我们之中谁已经回应了?仅是怀疑就能消耗时间和人力。每一名被指派调查同僚的官员,都是一名无法执行其他任务的官员。一个习惯于利用美国信任的情报机构,理应被迫花费更多精力来保卫自身。
The invitation also puts a question inside Cuban headquarters that no security chief can comfortably dismiss: Who among us has already answered? Even suspicion can consume time and manpower. Every officer assigned to investigate a colleague is an officer unavailable for another mission. A service accustomed to exploiting American trust should have to spend more effort defending its own.
这项邀请背后的工作必须严谨细致。哈瓦那会派遣制造假情报者和受其控制的线人。志愿者对政权的仇恨,并不能证明其情报属实。要核实他所知,甄别他所称,并在其证明可靠后给予保护。衡量成功的标准是:识别出潜伏在美国机构内的古巴特工、保护受到威胁的线人,或挫败一项古巴情报行动。
The work behind that invitation must be exacting. Havana will send fabricators and sources it controls. A volunteer’s hatred of the regime does not establish that his information is true. Verify what he knows, test what he claims, and protect him if he proves reliable. The measure of success is a Cuban agent inside an American institution identified, a threatened source protected, or a Cuban operation stopped.

总统需要了解谁在我们的机构内部为哈瓦那效力,其合作伙伴获得了什么,以及其指挥链在何处脆弱。了解对方隐瞒了什么的谈判者,更难被欺骗。能够在下一个蒙特斯潜伏多年之前将其识别出来的反情报机构,能够防止任何起诉都无法挽回的损害。这就是耐心情报工作的回报。
The president needs to know who works for Havana inside our institutions, what its partners receive, and where its chain of command is vulnerable. A negotiator who knows what the other side is concealing is harder to deceive. A counterintelligence service that can identify the next Montes before she spends years in place can prevent damage that no prosecution will undo. That is the return on patient intelligence work.
哈瓦那将与华盛顿的合作称为叛国。独裁政权总是觉得将自身生存与国家命运混为一谈很方便。揭露监禁邻居的官员或威胁他国的情报网络的古巴人,不需要由那些应负责任的人来教导爱国主义。政权仅仅因为控制了他们的护照,并不拥有他们的效忠。
Havana will call cooperation with Washington treason. A dictatorship always finds it convenient to confuse its own survival with the life of the nation. Cubans who expose the officials imprisoning their neighbors or the intelligence networks threatening other countries need no lecture on patriotism from the people responsible. The regime does not own their allegiance merely because it controls their passports.
唐纳德·特朗普总统和鲁比奥迫使做出这种选择是正确的。压力应让为政权效力的代价更高昂,而可信的开放则给内部人员提供离开政权的理由。华盛顿必须同时坚持这两方面,并持续足够长的时间以取得成果。
President Donald Trump and Rubio are right to force this choice. Pressure should make service to the regime more costly, while a credible opening gives insiders a reason to leave it. Washington must sustain both long enough to produce results.
古巴情报机构按以十年计的时间表运作。美国不能用以新闻周期计的注意力跨度来应对。
The Cuban services have operated on a timetable measured in decades. America cannot answer with an attention span measured in news cycles.
几十年来,哈瓦那要求美国人背叛一个自由国家。华盛顿应欢迎愿意帮助自己的国家成为自由国家的古巴人。
For decades, Havana asked Americans to betray a free country. Washington should welcome Cubans willing to help their country become one.