Anthropic 周一公布了其 Form S-1 申报文件，使该公司距离备受期待的上市更进一步，这一举措现在被视为几乎肯定将在今年实现。
Anthropic on Monday unveiled its Form S-1 filing, taking the company one step closer to completing its long-awaited move to the public markets, which is now seen as almost guaranteed to come this year.
预测市场平台 Kalshi 上的投机者给出 95% 的几率，认为这家人工智能巨头将在 2026 年底前正式宣布首次公开募股（IPO）。
Speculators on prediction market platform Kalshi place 95% odds that the artificial intelligence giant officially announces an initial public offering by the end of 2026.
Kalshi 将“正式宣布 IPO”定义为：美国证券交易委员会（SEC）宣布 S-1 生效、IPO 定价或交易所为股票分配代码。
Kalshi defines officially announcing an IPO as either the Securities and Exchange Commission declaring an S-1 effective, a priced IPO or an exchange assigning a ticker to a stock.
Anthropic 的 S-1 文件设想其纳斯达克股票代码为 “ANT”。《华尔街日报》报道称，Anthropic 计划在 11 月 16 日那一周开始交易。Kalshi 上的交易者认为该公司在此之前开始交易的几率仅为 14%。
The Anthropic S-1 envisions a Nasdaq Stock Market ticker symbol of "ANT." Anthropic is aiming to start trading the week of Nov. 16, according to a report in the Wall Street Journal. Traders on Kalshi place just a 14% chance that the company begins trading before then.
在 Polymarket 平台上，交易者给出 69% 的几率，认为 Anthropic 将在 11 月 20 日前在公开交易所上市并开始交易。
On the Polymarket platform, traders give a 69% chance that Anthropic will list on a public exchange and open for trading by Nov. 20.
披露：CNBC 与 Kalshi 存在商业关系，包括客户获取和少数股权投资。
Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship that includes customer acquisition and a minority investment.