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英国皇家空军官员:“自主系统而非血肉之躯”,勾勒人工智能无人机驱动的未来‘Autonomy, not flesh’: RAF official outlines AI drone-powered future

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台风战斗机将由四架人工智能无人机伴飞,以监视其周围环境。照片:Okolo Vision/AlamyTyphoon fighters would be accompanied by four AI-enabled drones to monitor its surroundings. Photograph: Okolo Vision/Alamy

英国皇家空军参谋长周一表示,英国皇家空军将依赖“自主系统而非血肉之躯”,并描述了让“台风”战斗机由四架具备人工智能能力的无人机伴随、能够在数百英里外执行巡逻任务的计划。空军上将哈夫·史密斯在伦敦发表演讲时说,这一技术转变将彻底改变战争形态,把军事人员的角色限制在“外围”,并缓解征兵压力。

will rely on "autonomy not flesh," its chief said on Monday as he described plans in which Typhoon fighters are accompanied by four AI-enabled drones capable of patrolling hundreds of miles in the distance. The technological shift would revolutionise warfare, limit the role of military personnel "towards the outside" and ease the pressure on recruitment, Air Chief Marshal Harv Smyth said in a speech in London.

这位高级军官阐述了英国皇家空军的战略。皇家空军已接到指示,必须做好在2030年前与俄罗斯作战的准备;与此同时,美国、以色列、俄罗斯和乌克兰对人工智能的使用已使战争更加致命。

The senior military officer was setting out a strategy for the RAF, which has been told it must be ready to fight against Russia by 2030, at a time when the use of artificial intelligence by the US, Israel, Russia and Ukraine has made warfare more deadly.

史密斯说:“人工智能将使战争的速度远远超出人类的理解范围,这意味着我们的角色将转向外围,转向控制活动并设定防护边界。”他还说,目标是效仿英美在二战时期“钢铁而非血肉”的模式——依靠坦克和作战飞机而不是步兵——以避免像第一次世界大战那样导致数百万人死亡的血腥堑壕战。

"AI will enable warfare that speeds well beyond human comprehension, meaning that our role will shift towards the outside, and it will shift towards controlling the activity and setting the guardrails," Smyth said. The aim, he added, was to mirror the Anglo-American second world war model of "steam, not flesh" – relying on tanks and combat aircraft rather than infantry – to avoid the bloody trench warfare that had led to millions of deaths in the first world war.

这位空军参谋长在英国皇家联合军种研究院的讲座上说:“鉴于当今战争性质的变化,我坚决认为,现代范式现在必须变成自主系统,而非血肉之躯。”

"Given today's changing character of war, I would argue strongly that the modern paradigm must now become autonomy, not flesh," the chief of air staff said in a lecture at the Royal United Services Institute.

哈夫·史密斯表示,人类在空军中的角色将“向外转移”。照片:PA Images/Alamy Stock Photo/Alamy Live NewsHarv Smyth said humans’ role in the air force would ‘shift towards the outside’. Photograph: PA Images/Alamy Stock Photo/Alamy Live News

关于空军未来如何使用人工智能,演讲中给出的例子很少,但史密斯确实提到了7月宣布的耗资3亿英镑的“风暴战斗机”项目,该项目属于被推迟的防务投资计划的一部分,涉及“忠诚僚机”无人机。史密斯说:“有人驾驶平台已经不够了。”

Few examples were given about the future use of AI by the air force, but Smyth did point to the £300m Storm Fighter programme of "loyal wingman" drones announced in July as part of the delayed defence investment plan "Crewed platforms are no longer enough," Smyth said.

每架英国皇家空军“台风”战斗机都将与四架武装化、具备人工智能能力的无人飞行器协同行动,首批测试将于明年进行。目标是让这些无人机在2030年前服役,这与北约的指令一致,即英国和其他联盟成员必须做好准备,在必要时于2030年前与俄罗斯作战。

Four armed, AI-enabled uncrewed craft would work alongside every RAF Typhoon, with the first tests to be conducted next year. The aim is for the drones to be in service by the end of the decade, in line with a Nato directive for the UK and other alliance members to be ready to fight Russia if necessary by 2030.

英国国防大臣韦斯·斯特里廷在周末表示,英国“只剩一千多天来完成我们的使命:与盟友一道做好准备,随时能战并赢得战争”。

Over the weekend Wes Streeting, the defence secretary, said the UK had "a little over 1,000 days to complete our mission: to be ready with our allies to fight and win".

这些无人机将“提供力量倍增功能,以及我们确实迫切需要的可负担的大规模力量”,史密斯补充说,还将“把传感器、武器和联合作战能力深入部署到争夺激烈的空域之中”。

The drones would "provide force multiplier function and the affordable mass we so definitely require" and, Smyth added, would be "placing sensors, weapons, and unite warfare capabilities well within contested airspace".

一种可能的用途是,用这些无人机追踪试图穿越格陵兰—爱尔兰—英国缺口进入北大西洋的俄罗斯飞机,由数百英里外在苏格兰上空飞行的“台风”战机座舱对其进行控制。

One possibility would be to use the drones to track Russian aircraft seeking to cross the Greenland-Ireland-UK gap into the north Atlantic, controlling them from a cockpit of a Typhoon flying over Scotland, several hundred miles away.

以色列和美国军方已在加沙和伊朗的战争中使用人工智能大幅加快目标选择的速度,使其能够执行更多轰炸任务。

AI has been used by the Israeli and US military to dramatically increase the pace of target selection in the wars in Gaza and Iran, allowing them to run more bombing missions.

以色列国防军在加沙战争期间使用两个数据库“薰衣草”和“哈布索拉”(又称“福音”),以加快其攻击人员和建筑的速度。美国的“马文智能系统”与帕兰提尔公司联合开发,在今年春季对伊朗开战的最初24小时内被用于识别并打击1000个目标。

The IDF used two databases, Lavender and Habsora ( or the Gospel ), to increase the pace at which it could attack people and buildings during the war in Gaza. The US's Maven Smart System, developed in conjunction with Palantir, was used to identify and strike 1,000 targets in Iran in the first 24 hours of the war this spring.

俄罗斯和乌克兰已开始使用人工智能识别并打击地面目标,在无人机下降执行轰炸任务时不再需要卫星或无线电通信。今年7月,乌克兰调查人员得出结论,7月在扎波罗热一处加油站附近致一人死亡的无人机是依靠人工智能实施攻击的。

Russia and Ukraine have begun to use AI to identify and strike targets on the ground, eliminating the need for satellite or radio communication as they descend on their bombing mission. In July, Ukrainian investigators concluded that a drone that killed a person near a Zaporizhzhia gas station in July was relying on AI for its attack.

“自主空中系统 routinely 穿透俄罗斯自以为的安全庇护所,”史密斯说,他描述了乌克兰无人机如何对俄罗斯境内的炼油厂等目标实施远程打击。

"Autonomous air systems penetrate Russia's perceived sense of sanctuary on a routine basis," Smyth said, describing how Ukrainian drones conduct long-range strikes against targets inside Russia, such as oil refineries.

在招募面临困难之际,无人机将使英国皇家空军增强打击能力。英国皇家空军完全受训人员数量已从2020年的29800人降至如今的27850人,总数仅在过去18个月里才开始增加。

Drones would allow the RAF to increase its ability to strike at a time when recruitment has been challenging. The RAF's fully trained personnel numbers have fallen from 29,800 in 2020 to 27,850 today, and the total has only begun to increase over the last 18 months.

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