Anthropic 在首次公开募股文件中披露了其飞速增长和支出计划,称在可能成为史上最大规模的公开上市之前,公司上半年收入飙升至163亿美元,计划在人工智能基础设施上支出8070亿美元。
Anthropic Reveals Skyrocketing Growth and Spending Plans in I.P.O. Filing Ahead of what could be the largest public listing ever, Anthropic said revenue soared to $16.3 billion in the first half of the year, and it planned to spend $807 billion on A.I. infrastructure.
Anthropic 是一家成立五年的公司,其人工智能工具使其成为该技术领域的全球领袖,该公司周一首次完整阐述了其宏大抱负背后的业务。
Anthropic, a five-year-old company whose artificial intelligence tools have made it a world leader in the technology, on Monday fully laid out the business behind its big ambitions for the first time.
在一份可能成为史上最大规模首次公开募股的财务招股说明书中,这家位于旧金山的公司透露,其向其他企业销售的人工智能产品(如 Claude 聊天机器人)增长速度惊人。但文件也指出,公司仍在亏损,并计划以更快的速度支出,因为它正大举投资人工智能基础设施以支撑这一增长。
In a financial prospectus for what could be the largest ever initial public offering, the San Francisco company revealed that sales of its A.I. products like the Claude chatbot to other businesses had grown at an astonishing clip. But it also said that it was losing money and planned to spend at an even faster rate as it invests heavily in A.I. infrastructure to support that growth.
Anthropic 上半年收入为163亿美元,净亏损为807亿美元,主要源于一次性费用。令人震惊的是,根据《纽约时报》统计,公司已在未来十年内签订了价值高达8070亿美元的数据中心、芯片和计算能力合同,其中许多合同不可取消。许多合同的期限各不相同,部分合同的条款尚未最终确定。
Anthropic’s revenue was $16.3 billion in the first half of the year and its net loss was $80.7 billion, driven largely by a one-time charge. Stunningly, the company has committed up to $807 billion in contracts for data centers, chips and computing power, many of which cannot be canceled, over the next 10 years, according to a tally by The New York Times. Many of the contracts span different lengths of time, and the terms have yet to be finalized for some.
这些数字凸显了 Anthropic 对未来业务能够证明其支出的高度押注。即便其公开发行可能筹集超过1000亿美元,也可能不足以为公司提供满足其强劲基础设施需求的资金,公司警告称可能需要比预期更早寻求额外融资。
The numbers underscored how much Anthropic is betting that its future business will justify its outlays. Even its public offering, which could raise more than $100 billion, may not provide the company with enough money to fund its intense infrastructure needs, as it warned that it might need to seek additional financing sooner than anticipated.
Anthropic 首席执行官 Dario Amodei 以及公司的其他六位创始人表示,人工智能的强大推动了这些工作和巨额支出。
Dario Amodei, the chief executive of Anthropic, and the company’s six other founders said the power of A.I. has driven the work and the sums.
“我们认为,人工智能是人类历史上最具影响力的技术之一,”他们在招股说明书中写道。他们还表示,公司的目标是“实现”人工智能的好处,“同时应对并防范这场如此快速、如此强大的技术革命带来的风险。”Anthropic的上市预计将在下个月进行,这在很大程度上是对领先人工智能实验室业务的考验,这些实验室制造尖端模型,并处于芯片和云计算供应商生态系统的顶端。
“We believe that A.I. is one of the most consequential technologies in human history,” they wrote in the prospectus. They added that their company aimed to “realize” the benefits of A.I. “while navigating and preventing the risks that come with a technological revolution this fast and this powerful.”Anthropic’s listing, which is expected to happen in the next month, is in many ways a test of the business of leading A.I. labs, which make cutting-edge models and sit atop an ecosystem of chip and cloud computing suppliers.
此次上市可能使Anthropic的估值达到2万亿美元,超越埃隆·马斯克的SpaceX,成为全球最大的首次公开募股(IPO)。这家私营公司5月份已超越竞争对手OpenAI的估值,达到9000亿美元,而OpenAI为7300亿美元。(OpenAI正在考虑进行新一轮融资,在其自身公开上市之前估值约为1.5万亿美元。)但近期,由于股市不确定性,一些公司已撤回上市计划。
The listing could value Anthropic at $2 trillion, pushing it past Elon Musk’s SpaceX as the world’s biggest I.P.O. The privately held company had already surpassed rival OpenAI’s valuation in May, reaching $900 billion compared with OpenAI’s $730 billion. (OpenAI is considering a new funding that would value it at about $1.5 trillion in advance of its own public offering.) But some companies have recently pulled back from going public amid uncertainty in the stock market.
智能戒指制造商Oura最近推迟了上市,日本企业集团软银的子公司SB Energy也推迟了上市,后者提议在俄亥俄州建设全球最大的数据中心项目。人们日益担心,如果对该技术的需求降温,人工智能方面的支出能否获得回报。
Oura, a maker of smart rings, recently delayed a listing, as did SB Energy, a subsidiary of the Japanese conglomerate SoftBank that has proposed to build the world’s largest data center project in Ohio. And fears have grown over whether the spending on A.I. will pay off if demand for the technology cools.
Anthropic的上市文件显示,该公司今年上半年收入飙升至163亿美元,是去年同期的14倍,主要来自使用其人工智能软件(包括Claude)的企业。
Anthropic’s filing showed that revenue soared to $16.3 billion in the first half of the year, 14-fold from a year earlier, largely from businesses using its A.I. software, including Claude.
该公司上半年亏损超过807亿美元,而去年同期亏损130亿美元。净亏损异常巨大,因为其中包括一笔与可转换票据相关的724亿美元一次性费用。可转换票据是一种日后将转为股权的债务。Anthropic同期的营业亏损(不包括某些成本)较小,为6.93亿美元。
The company lost more than $80.7 billion in the first half of the year, compared with a loss of $13 billion a year earlier. The net loss was abnormally large because it included a one-time $72.4 billion charge related to convertible notes, a type of debt that will later turn into equity. Anthropic posted a smaller operating loss, which excludes certain costs, of $693 million during that period.
Anthropic的文件异常之处在于,它警告其产品可能导致灾难,包括对技术失控以及专制滥用。Amodei博士和其他创始人写道:“构建人工智能就是利用认知本身,任何如此强大的东西都可能被用于善,也可能被用于恶。”
Anthropic’s filing was unusual in that it warned its products could bring about disasters, including loss of control of the technology and authoritarian abuses. “To build A.I. is to harness cognition itself, and anything so powerful can be used for ill as well as good,” Dr. Amodei and the other founders wrote.
一个令人震惊的风险因素:公司称,先进的人工智能系统可能“对人类构成灾难性或生存性风险”。
One jaw-dropping risk factor: Advanced A.I. systems could “pose catastrophic or existential risks to humanity,” the company said.
Anthropic的技术被认为极其强大,以至于它使该初创公司与美国国防部产生争议,令全球各国政府对其可能渗透安全系统感到不安,并使公司领导人与各国元首乃至天主教教皇展开对话。上个月,Amodei博士呼吁放慢其人工智能的开发进程。
Anthropic’s technology is regarded as so powerful that it plunged the start-up into disputes with the Department of Defense, rattled governments worldwide with how it could penetrate security systems and brought company leaders into conversation with heads of state and even the head of the Catholic church. Last month, Dr. Amodei called for a slowdown in development of its A.I.
如果该公司的公开发行成功,可能会为华尔街和硅谷释放一股财富洪流。这将是今年第二个“巨额”首次公开募股,继6月SpaceX上市之后,后者曾短暂使马斯克成为全球首位万亿美元富豪。OpenAI也计划在明年进行可能的上市发行。
If the company’s public offering is successful, it would likely unleash an avalanche of wealth for Wall Street and Silicon Valley. It would be the second “mega” I.P.O. this year, following SpaceX’s listing in June, which briefly turned Mr. Musk into the world’s first trillionaire. OpenAI is also aiming to list its shares in an offering that could come next year.
Anthropic成立于2021年,当时一批员工因对人工智能研发方向的分歧而离开OpenAI。曾任OpenAI研究副总裁的Amodei博士与其妹妹Daniela以及其他人共同创立了Anthropic,致力于尽快且安全地开发出超智能计算系统。
Anthropic was founded in 2021 when a group of employees left OpenAI over disagreements about how A.I. should be developed. Dr. Amodei, who was OpenAI’s vice president of research, created Anthropic with his sister, Daniela, and others who were focused on developing a superintelligent computer system as quickly and safely as possible.
“我认为大多数人低估了人工智能可能带来的极其激进的正面效应,就像我认为大多数人低估了其风险可能有多糟糕一样,”阿莫迪博士在2024年10月题为《慈爱机器》的文章中写道,该文灵感来源于理查德·布劳蒂根的一首诗,描绘了全能机器人与人类在“和谐”中共处的未来。对这首诗——以及阿莫迪博士著作的解读,范围从技术乐观主义到对人工智能对世界影响的悲观观点不等。阿莫迪博士和其他Anthropic创始人有时被称为人工智能的“末日论者”。
“I think that most people are underestimating just how radical the upside of A.I. could be, just as I think most people are underestimating how bad the risks could be,” Dr. Amodei wrote in an October 2024 essay titled “Machines of Loving Grace,” inspired by a Richard Brautigan poem on a future in which all-powerful robots commingle with humans in “harmony.”Interpretations of the poem — and of Dr. Amodei’s writings — range from techno-optimism to a pessimistic view of A.I.’s impact on the world. Dr. Amodei and the other Anthropic founders have sometimes been called “doomers” about A.I.
风险投资者最初把Anthropic当作一个科学项目而轻视。许多早期支持者是有效利他主义运动的知名人物,该运动将数据和分析应用于社会事业。Facebook联合创始人达斯汀·莫斯科维茨、企业家简·塔林以及破产加密货币交易所FTX的垮台创始人山姆·班克曼-弗里德,都是Anthropic的首批投资者之一。
Venture capital investors initially dismissed Anthropic as a science project. Many early backers were prominent figures in the effective altruism movement, which applies data and analysis to social causes. Dustin Moskovitz, a co-founder of Facebook; Jaan Tallinn, an entrepreneur; and Sam Bankman-Fried, the disgraced founder of the bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX, were among Anthropic’s first investors.
在OpenAI于2022年发布ChatGPT聊天机器人并突破行业之际,Anthropic大多在默默无闻中艰苦奋斗。Anthropic最终将重点转向人工智能编码工具,这些工具在生成软件代码方面的效果如此惊人,以至于在硅谷的工程界掀起了震动。该初创公司去年秋季对其编码聊天机器人进行更新后,业务迅速增长,全球科技公司纷纷采用这些程序。
Anthropic toiled largely in obscurity as OpenAI broke through with the 2022 release of its ChatGPT chatbot. Anthropic eventually focused on A.I. coding tools, which were so effective at generating software code that they sent shock waves through Silicon Valley’s engineering ranks. After the start-up released updates to its coding chatbots last fall, its business surged as tech companies worldwide adopted the programs.
包括Menlo Ventures、Lightspeed和Iconiq Capital在内的投资者向公司注入了数十亿美元的资金。Anthropic已累计募集约1300亿美元的私人融资。
Investors including Menlo Ventures, Lightspeed and Iconiq Capital poured billions into the company. Anthropic has raised roughly $130 billion in private funding.
在此过程中,Anthropic也成为了单一的批评目标。该公司因阿莫迪博士在支持人工智能监管方面的强硬立场以及对开源软件的警惕而招致许多科技行业人士的不满。包括英伟达的黄仁勋和Meta的马克·扎克伯格在内的其他科技领袖也批评Anthropic,指责阿莫迪博士试图将人工智能权力集中化。
Along the way, Anthropic also became a singular target for criticism. The company has incurred the ire of many in the tech industry for Dr. Amodei’s hard-line stance in support of A.I. regulation and his wariness of open-source software. Other tech leaders including Jensen Huang of Nvidia and Mark Zuckerberg of Meta have criticized Anthropic, accusing Dr. Amodei of trying to centralize A.I. power.
公司警告投资者称,其支持人工智能监管和安全可能使其面临“更严格的审查、政治反弹或不成比例的监管行动”。为保持竞争优势,Anthropic 已与云计算巨头亚马逊、谷歌和微软以及芯片供应商博通和英伟达达成协议,以获取人工智能基础设施推动技术发展。公司表示,今年上半年在计算能力和基础设施上的支出接近90亿美元,比去年全年的支出多近20亿美元,占其运营费用总额的半数。
The company warned investors that its backing of A.I. regulation and safety could subject it to “heightened scrutiny, political backlash or disproportionate regulatory action.”To maintain its competitive edge, Anthropic has struck deals with the cloud computing giants Amazon, Google and Microsoft, as well as the chip suppliers Broadcom and Nvidia, to secure the A.I. infrastructure to advance the technology. The company said it spent nearly $9 billion on computing power and infrastructure in the first half of this year, nearly $2 billion more than it spent all of last year, and comprising half its total operating expenses.
这些协议中有部分与竞争对手签订,导致公司警告投资者称,其对合作伙伴的“依赖”,其中“一些与我们有战略和投资关系且也是我们的客户”,会产生复杂的动态,可能引发利益冲突并不利于我们获取算力。招股说明书未披露 Anthropic 第三季度的业绩细节,该业绩在本月一次私人会议上向投资者预览。分析师预计,LightShed Partners 的分析师布兰登·罗斯表示,投资者正关注“近实时”结果,以评估 Anthropic 是否能够兑现其支出承诺并实现估值增长。高盛和摩根士丹利是此次公开发行的主承销银行。
The deals, some with competitors, led the company to warn investors that its “reliance” on partners, “some of which have strategic and investment relationships with us and are our customers, creates complex dynamics that could give rise to conflicts of interest and adversely affect our access to compute.”The prospectus does not include details about Anthropic’s third quarter performance, which it previewed to investors at a private meeting this month. Analysts will likely Brandon Ross, an analyst at LightShed Partners, said investors were focused on “near real-time” results as they tried to project whether Anthropic could meet its spending commitments and grow into its valuation. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are the investment banks leading the public offering.
Anthropic 未透露将在首次公开募股中出售多少股份或发行价。其将在纳斯达克交易所上市,代码为 ANT。
Anthropic did not say how many shares it would sell in the I.P.O. or at what price. It will trade on the Nasdaq exchange under the symbol ANT.
迈克·艾萨克是《泰晤士报》硅谷记者,常驻旧金山,报道全球最具影响力的科技公司及其线上线下的文化影响。
Mike Isaac is The Times’s Silicon Valley correspondent, based in San Francisco. He covers the world’s most consequential tech companies, and how they shape culture both online and offline.
埃琳·格里菲斯从旧金山报道科技公司、初创企业以及硅谷的文化。
Erin Griffith covers tech companies, start-ups and the culture of Silicon Valley from San Francisco.
劳伦·赫希是《泰晤士报》记者,报道华尔街和华盛顿的交易及交易者。
Lauren Hirsch is a Times reporter who covers deals and dealmakers in Wall Street and Washington.