
几天之后,杰弗里·沃斯法官将卸任大法官,这是英格兰民事司法体系中最高的职位。作为他卸任前的最后举措之一,他正试图引发一场关于法官是否以及如何使用人工智能的辩论。
In a few days, judge Geoffrey Vos will retire as Master of the Rolls, the most senior position in England’s civil justice system. As one of his final acts, he’s trying to stoke a debate about whether—and how—judges should be using artificial intelligence.
根据最新指引,英格兰法官被建议将人工智能的使用局限于行政任务,沃斯告诉《连线》杂志,他一直在使用微软 Copilot 来查找分散的文件和总结大量文本。但最近,他参观了中国深圳的一家法院,那里的民事纠纷已由法官在人工智能的大力协助下作出裁决。他对所见印象深刻,认为全球各地法院都应考虑效仿。
Under the latest guidance, judges in England are advised to confine their use of AI to administrative tasks, and Vos tells WIRED he uses Microsoft Copilot all the time to locate far-flung documents and summarize large bodies of text. But recently, he visited a court in Shenzhen, China, where civil disputes are already being decided by judges with heavy assistance from AI. Impressed by what he saw, Vos believes that courts across the globe should consider following.
这条道路布满陷阱。多名律师因引用人工智能捏造的判例法被抓现行,而在英国首次,有人近期因滥用该技术而部分丧失了执业资格。与此同时,随着聊天机器人充当法律顾问,当事人正以空前的数量向法院提起诉讼,其中一些诉讼毫无根据。
That road is littered with pitfalls. Multiple lawyers have been caught citing case law hallucinated by AI, and in a first for the UK, somebody recently lost their license to practice in part because they misused the technology. Meanwhile, with chatbots as their legal counsel, litigants are flooding the courts with an unprecedented number of claims, some of them bogus.
然而,沃斯依然坚信,人工智能终将有助于更快速、成本更低地解决民事纠纷。虽然复杂的商业纠纷和敏感的家事案件可能需要人类法官,但他相信,人身伤害赔偿、低价值职业疏忽等案件完全可以由人工智能裁决。
Yet Vos remains convinced that AI will someday help resolve civil disputes more rapidly and in ways that cost far less. While complicated commercial disputes and sensitive family cases might require a human judge, he believes that personal injury claims, low-value professional negligence cases, and the like could easily be adjudicated by AI.
“大多数人在民事纠纷中迫切想要的就是解决,”沃斯告诉《连线》杂志。“问题在于,界限该划在哪里?” 鉴于他即将退休,这场辩论对他而言主要是哲学层面的。但对于法律界的其他所有人——以及程序员、网络安全专家、数学教授和许多其他人来说——规则正在迅速改变。
“What most people desperately want in civil disputes is resolution,” Vos tells WIRED. “The question is, where is the line to be drawn?”Given his impending retirement, the debate for Vos is largely a philosophical one. But for everyone else in the profession—and for coders, cybersecurity experts, math professors, and a whole host of others—the rules are changing fast.
10月,WIRED在伦敦皇家法院的办公室采访了沃斯。我们探讨了AI如何渗透进法院、由此引发的现实与伦理问题,以及司法系统如何适应以服务于与这项技术共同成长的一代新人。本次对话为求简明已作编辑。
In October, WIRED met with Vos at his office at the Royal Courts of Justice, London. We discussed the ways that AI is spilling into the courts, the practical and ethical issues it raises, and how the justice system might adapt to serve a new generation raised alongside the technology. This conversation has been edited for length and clarity.
WIRED:您距离退休仅剩几天。在这个AI开始重塑法律实务与司法运作的特殊节点上离任,您有何感想?
WIRED: You’re just a few days away from retirement. How do you feel about leaving the post at this particular juncture, as AI begins to reshape how law is practiced and justice administered?
杰弗里·沃斯:我刚当律师时,我们用的是大开本纸、打字员和涂改液。随后我们迅速进入了文字处理器、传真机,最终是电脑的时代。
GEOFFREY VOS: When I started as a lawyer, we had foolscap paper, typists, and Tipp-Ex. We moved rapidly into word processors, faxes, and eventually computers.
律师天生保守(此处指性格谨慎,非政治立场)。但这不代表他们应当因循守旧或倒行逆施。这意味着他们应当睁大眼睛、审慎地拥抱变革。
Lawyers are conservative with a lowercase c. But that doesn’t mean that they should be backward-looking or retrogressive. It means they should be adopting change cautiously, with their eyes open. The legal system is for the people of this country.
法律制度是为本国人民服务的。如果不与时代技术同频共振,就无法有效提供司法救助。但现在是时候交给新一代领导法官了。您迄今如何将AI融入您的工作?
You can’t be effective in providing access to justice if you’re not on the same technological wavelength. But it’s time to leave it to a new generation of leadership judges. How have you built AI into your practice to date? I don’t use it for writing judgments, but I use it for finding things out, navigating large quantities of material, and checking things.
我不靠它撰写判决书,但我用它来查找信息、检索海量材料、核对内容。这为我节省了时间。我一天要开11个会。我知道几年前有份文件与我的会议相关——Copilot能在几秒钟内找到它。我每天都这么做。
It saves me time. I have 11 meetings a day. I know there’s a document created years ago that’s relevant to my meeting—and Copilot finds it in seconds. I do that every day. In law, isn’t the devil always in the details?
在法律领域,魔鬼不总藏在细节里吗?法律制度的公信力不取决于这样一种理解:法官会审阅并斟酌法庭提交材料的每一寸内容吗?
Doesn’t confidence in the legal system depend on the understanding that a judge will review and consider every inch of every court submission? I’m a little more cautious about using it to read papers for my cases, but that’s because I do the most important cases in the system.
用它阅读案件卷宗我要谨慎得多,因为我办理的是系统中最重要的案件。
People have confidence in our justice system because they believe that our judges have absolute integrity.
人们之所以对我们的司法体系充满信心,是因为他们相信我们的法官具有绝对的廉洁。为了不失去这种廉洁,你必须解释你是如何采用技术的,并就其适当性达成广泛共识。
In order not to lose that integrity, you have to explain how you’re adopting technology and achieve a broad consensus that it is appropriate. How is AI spilling into the courts right now?
人工智能目前是如何渗透进法院的?它是否正在改变当事人和法律专业人士的行为?它引发了哪些问题?
Is it changing how litigants and legal professionals behave? What issues is it throwing up? It’s changing everything remarkably quickly.
它正在以惊人的速度改变一切。我们看到县法院每年新增案件数量上升了 10%——而且看起来这一趋势可能还会加剧。这是因为现在凡是遇到法律问题的人,都会把问题输入 Gemini、ChatGPT 或 Claude。让它生成一份诉状细节、一个案件、一份索赔表格——它都能做到。
We see a 10 percent rise in the number of county court cases started every year—and it looks as if this may increase. That’s because everybody who has a legal problem now puts it into Gemini, ChatGPT, or Claude. Ask it to create a particulars of claim, a case, a claim form—it can. What proportion of these claims are based on sound legal principles, though?
不过,这些索赔有多大比例是基于合理法律原则的?人们有多大概率会被聊天机器人误导,误以为自己有索赔权利?
How often are people led by a chatbot to mistakenly believe they have a claim? We don’t have the data.
我们没有这方面的数据。但我认为,假设由 AI 生成的索赔完全是轻率无理的,这是一个错误。
But I think it’s a mistake to assume that just because a claim is created by AI, it’s totally frivolous. In a way it’s a good problem, because it shows there’s greater access to justice because of technology.
从某种意义上说,这是个“好问题”,因为它表明技术带来了更广泛的司法公正渠道。过去司法面临的一个问题是,它只对富人开放。
One of the problems with justice in the past is that it’s only been available to rich people. If people have a problem sufficient to bother ChatGPT, they probably genuinely think they have a claim.
如果人们遇到的问题足以让他们去烦扰 ChatGPT,他们大概率真心认为自己有索赔权利。当你详细探究他们的问题时,可能会发现实际情况略有不同,但这可能仍然是一个法律问题,他们想把它提请关注也可能仍然是合理的。人们通常不是在浪费时间,也通常不是在故意找麻烦。
When you explore their problem in detail, you might find it is actually a bit different, but it may still be a legal problem and may still be reasonable for them to have wanted to bring it to attention. People are not generally time wasters. They’re not generally trying to make trouble.
那么,AI 伪造证据——法官过去一直依赖的图像、视频、语音录音——的机会又如何?这将把法院置于何地?
What about the opportunity for AI to fabricate evidence on which judges have previously been able to rely—images, video, voice recordings? Where does that leave the courts?
通常,法官必须决定一个人是否在说实话。这是最困难的事,因为人类并不擅长撒谎。但法官每天都要做出这些决定。有人在用人工智能生成的虚假图像,这在规模上或质上与此没有任何区别。
Often, judges have to decide whether a person is telling the truth. That is the most difficult thing to do, because humans are not bad at lying. But judges make these decisions every day. There’s absolutely no difference—in scale or qualitatively—in somebody producing a false image created by AI.
我们之所以对深度伪造如此兴奋,仅仅是因为它们太新鲜。但实际上,这正是法官审判时要处理的内容。
The only reason we’re all getting so excited about deepfakes is because they are so new. But actually, that is the stuff of judging.
但我们现在谈论的是一类已经在某种程度上受到损害的证据。这难道不影响法官判断某人是否在说谎的能力吗?
But we’re talking about a whole category of evidence that’s now somewhat compromised. Doesn’t that affect a judge’s ability to decide whether somebody is lying?
情况一直如此。我们一直必须判断遗嘱是否伪造,因为人们过去就这么做。对音频录音和视频来说也是完全一样。这只是向法庭提交的虚假信息类型的延伸。
It was always thus. We always had to decide whether wills were forged, because people used to do that. It’s exactly the same with voice recordings, and video. It’s just an extension of the type of false information that is produced to the court.
人们如果向法庭提交伪造的图像,将被认定为作伪证并入狱,就像伪造遗嘱一样。我认为我们需要对灾难的预测保持谨慎。我非常乐观。
People will find out when they produce fake images to the court that they are committing perjury and they will go to prison, just as if they’d forged a will. I think we need to be cautious about predicting disaster. I’m very optimistic.
你之前曾描述过一个“不可避免”的未来,即更简单的民事案件将完全由人工智能裁决。你为何确信我们正朝这个方向前进?
You’ve previously described an “inevitable” future where simpler civil cases are adjudicated entirely by AI. Why are you confident that’s where we’re headed?
你必须找到一种符合文化传统的司法实现方式。这并不意味着你要把所有案件都搬到抖音上审理。但如果你不明白人们几乎在向大型语言模型询问所有问题,包括法律问题,那么在为21世纪设计合适的程序时,你很可能会出错。
You need to find a way to deliver justice that is within the cultural grain. That doesn’t mean you just conduct all your cases on TikTok. But if you don’t understand that people are asking LLMs for the answer to almost every question under the sun, including legal questions, you’re likely to get it wrong when you try to devise a process fit for the 21st century.
这全在于共识。只有在当事人在特定案件中同意该过程,或社会通过立法决定的情况下,才可能让人们接受算法决策。
It’s all about consensus. It will only be possible to ask people to accept algorithmic decision-making if they consent to the process in a particular case, or if society decides through legislation.
当人们走上法庭并得到不利结果时,即使他们认为该结果不合常理甚至是错误的,只要它以人性化的方式宣布,随着时间推移也是可以接受的。对于AI,我们必须谨慎;人们可能更难以接受机器驱动的不利裁决。
When people go to court and get an adverse outcome, even if they regard the outcome as idiosyncratic or even wrong, when it’s delivered in a human way, it can be accepted over time. With AI, we have to be careful; it may be less easy for people to accept an adverse machine-driven decision.
我非常希望看到一场非常开放、国际性的讨论,探讨我们应该如何解决纠纷。
I very much want to see a very open, international discussion about how we should resolve disputes.
我怀疑人们反对AI审判的部分原因在于,我们无法确切知道模型是如何得出裁决的。对于这个可解释性问题,应该怎么办?
I suspect part of the reason people object to trial by AI is because we can’t know precisely how a model has arrived at a decision. What’s to be done about this problem of explainability?
我认为关键不在于推理,而在于结果。AI可以生成非常可信的推理。你看不到它是如何产生那个推理的,但你能看到它产生的推理,并且可以判断其可信度。
I don’t think it’s about reasoning; it’s about outcomes. The AI can produce very plausible reasoning. You can’t see how it produced that reasoning, but you can see the reasoning it produced, and you can judge the plausibility.
我认为人类法官永远不会被取消。人类法官身上有某种近乎《圣经》般的意味;渴望由同类来审判是人的心理本能。但这并不意味着在某些情况下人们不会更想要一个快速的结果——即使那不是人类给出的结果。你会把界限划在哪里?
I don’t think you’ll ever do away with human judges. There’s something almost biblical about the human judge; it’s in the human psyche to want to be judged by their fellow man. But that does not mean that in some situations people wouldn’t rather have a quick outcome—even if it’s not a human outcome. Where would you draw the line?
我认为法官目前还无法回答这个问题。这是社会、政治人物和立法需要解决的问题。那场辩论非常重要。
I don’t think judges are yet in the position to say. It’s a question for society, politicians, and legislation to resolve. That debate is really important.
我认为监护权和家庭案件是本质上需要人类判断的领域之一,即使是年轻一代也这么认为。在复杂的商业案件中,我认为也是如此。但我认为,我们将通过使用AI整合信息、使决策过程更好更简便,逐步削弱商业案件的裁决方式。
I think that custody and family cases are one of the areas where essentially human judgment is expected, even by the younger generation. In complex commercial cases, I think that’s also the case. But I think we will whittle away at how commercial cases are decided by using AI to collate information to make the decision-making process better and easier.
我们将利用技术让更多人更便宜、更快捷地获得司法服务。这对经济和我们所服务的人民来说总体上是好事。
We will allow more people access to justice more cheaply and more quickly using technology. That will be an overall good for the economy and for the people we serve.