根据航空数据提供商 OAG 的数据，由于一场持续近一年的政治争端持续打击旅游业，航空公司将在即将到来的冬季旅行季削减近 70 万个中日航线座位，并取消 5,000 多个航班。
Airlines will cut nearly 700,000 seats from their China-Japan flights and axe more than 5,000 flights for the coming winter travel season as a nearly year-old political squabble continues to depress tourism, according to aviation data provider OAG.
OAG 数据显示，在商业航空业的冬季（10 月 25 日至次年 3 月 27 日），承运航空公司共配置了 2,871,270 个座位，而去年同期为 3,554,167 个。
During the commercial aviation industry’s winter season, October 25 through March 27, carriers allocated a combined 2,871,270 seats, compared with 3,554,167 in the same season last year, OAG data showed.
同一批航空公司在刚刚结束的六个月里配置了 3,889,781 个座位，比即将到来的冬季减少了 100 多万个。夏季历来是航空公司更繁忙的季节。
The same airlines allocated 3,889,781 seats in the six months just ended, representing a cut of more than 1 million compared with the coming winter. Summer is traditionally a busier time of year for airlines.
OAG 首席分析师约翰·格兰特表示，座位运力的下降反映了“地缘政治对航空业的影响力”。
The drop in seat capacity reflected “the power of geopolitics on the aviation industry”, said John Grant, OAG chief analyst.
根据 OAG 数据，飞往两国的航空公司在即将到来的冬季季节比刚结束的夏季季节削减了 5,208 个航班，比去年冬季削减了 5,433 个。
Carriers flying between the two Asian economic giants also slashed 5,208 flights for the coming winter season, compared with the just-ended summer season, and 5,433 versus winter a year ago, according to the OAG data.
数据显示，基于 22 家承运航空公司的信息，航空公司计划在未来六个月执飞 12,613 个航班。数据显示，削减幅度最大的是中国航空公司，而非日本同行。
Airlines were planning 12,613 flights for the coming six months, the data showed, based on information from 22 carriers. Chinese airlines, rather than their Japanese peers, are cutting back the most.
与去年同期相比，国航在冬季季节减少了 60,898 个座位，东航减少了 111,260 个，南航减少了 82,575 个。
Air China allocated 60,898 fewer seats for the winter season, compared with the same block of time last year, while China Eastern Airlines shed 111,260 seats and China Southern Airlines took away 82,575, the data showed.
与一年前相比，国航还在 2026-2027 年冬季取消了 909 个航班，东航取消了 1,185 个，南航取消了 511 个。
Air China also removed 909 flights for winter 2026-2027 versus a year earlier, as China Eastern dropped 1,185 and China Southern axed 511.
OAG 数据显示，与一年前相比，日本承运航空公司在 2026-2027 年冬季季节的航班频率几乎没有变化。例如，全日空保留了其所有 1,848 个航班。
The OAG data pointed to barely any change in flight frequency by Japanese carriers for the 2026-2027 winter season compared with a year earlier. All Nippon Airways, for example, retained all its 1,848 flights.
大规模航班取消始于 2025 年 11 月，当时日本首相高市早苗暗示，如果台湾海峡发生冲突，东京可能会部署军事力量。
Mass flight cancellations began in November 2025 after Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi suggested that Tokyo could deploy military forces in the event of a conflict in the Taiwan Strait.
北京当月发布旅行警告，敦促中国公民避免前往日本，多家中国航空公司为前往日本的航班预订提供全额退款。中国此前曾是日本最大的海外游客来源国。
Beijing issued a travel warning that month urging Chinese citizens to avoid visiting Japan, and several Chinese airlines offered customers full refunds on Japan-bound flight bookings. China was previously Japan’s largest source of overseas tourists.
日本和美军本月在九州及日本西南部岛屿演练反舰打击和机动导弹部署，可能进一步紧张双边关系，此举被视为为在台海冲突中挑战北京控制周边海域的能力做准备。
Possibly straining ties further, Japanese and US forces this month rehearsed anti-ship strikes and mobile missile deployments in Kyushu and Japan’s southwestern islands, seen as preparation to challenge Beijing’s ability to control surrounding waters in a conflict over Taiwan.
日本立命馆亚洲太平洋大学亚洲太平洋学院教授佐藤洋一郎表示，廉价航空公司可能会为剩余的中日旅游市场保持运力。但他补充说，主要航线的机票价格可能会上涨。
Low-cost airlines could maintain capacity for the remaining China-Japan tourism market, said Yoichiro Sato, a professor in the College of Asia-Pacific Studies at Ritsumeikan Asia-Pacific University in Japan. But airfares on major routes would probably rise, he added.
“这将增加日本技术人员和工程师的商务差旅成本，他们为使用日本制造的制造设备的中国用户提供服务，”佐藤说。
“This will raise the cost of business travel by Japanese technicians and engineers, who serve the Chinese users of Japan-built manufacturing equipment,” Sato said.