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拉尔夫·纳德对(几乎)所有事情的判断都正确吗?他在中期选举前向民主党人发出挑战Was Ralph Nader right about (almost) everything? His challenge to Democrats ahead of the midterm elections

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2012年7月2日,拉尔夫·纳德在华盛顿特区“公民关注”组织举行的新闻发布会上听取发言。 摄影:Alex Wong/盖蒂图片社Ralph Nader listens during a news conference on 2 July 2012 at Public Citizen in Washington DC. Photograph: Alex Wong/Getty Images

拉尔夫·纳德在2012年7月2日于华盛顿特区公共公民组织举行的新闻发布会上聆听。

Ralph Nader listens during a news conference on 2 July 2012 at Public Citizen in Washington DC.

纳德(几乎)在所有事情上都说对了?他在中期选举前向民主党人发出的挑战。希瑟·蒂蒙斯,华盛顿报道。“真正为工人阶级改变现状,”这位前总统候选人说。企业寡头统治。破碎的医疗体系。巨大且不断扩大的不平等。金钱浸透的选举。愤怒的人们挣扎着支付账单,厌恶华盛顿特区的立法者。几乎一切促使著名消费者权益倡导者拉尔夫·纳德发起2000年总统竞选——这使他在华盛顿成为政治弃儿——的因素,如今在美国准备迎接2026年中期选举之际,都处于核心位置。但这一次,情况要糟糕得多。

Nader right about (almost) everything? His challenge to Democrats ahead of the midterm elections Heather Timmons in Washington‘Really change things for the working class,’ the ex-presidential candidate says A corporate plutocracy. A broken healthcare system. Massive and widening inequality. Cash-soaked elections. Angry people struggling to pay their bills and disgusted with lawmakers in Washington DC Nearly everything that pushed famed consumer-rights advocate Ralph Nader to launch the 2000 presidential run that made him a political pariah in Washington is front and center as the US gears up for the 2026 midterm elections. But this time, things are much, much worse.

现年92岁的纳德一直在他位于华盛顿西北部的家中怒火中烧,因为特朗普政府正在摧毁他在20世纪60年代和70年代建立起来的、经过艰苦争取的消费者和安全保护。他再次呼吁在一个仍然不想与他有任何关系的民主党内部进行一场革命。

Nader, now 92, has been seething from his home in northwest Washington as the Trump administration rips the guts out of the hard-fought consumer and safety protections he built in the 1960s and 1970s. He’s once again calling for a revolution in a Democratic party that still wants nothing to do with him.

“对民主党人来说,最好的事情就是[参议员查克]舒默和[哈基姆]杰弗里斯在1月被投票赶下台,”纳德在多次长时间电话交谈中的一次对《卫报》说,他指的是国会两院的民主党领袖。

“The best thing that could happen for the Democrats is for [Senator Chuck] Schumer and [Hakeem] Jeffries to be voted out in January,” Nader told the Guardian during one of several long phone calls, speaking of the Democratic leaders in both houses of Congress.

纳德说,如果民主党人下周获胜,他们需要大胆地修复这个国家:起诉腐败,恢复被摧毁的联邦机构,并真正为工人阶级改变现状。他怀疑舒默和杰弗里斯会这样做。

If Democrats win next week, they need to be bold to fix the country, Nader said: prosecute corruption, restore the federal agencies that have been destroyed, and really change things for the working class. He doubts Schumer and Jeffries will do it.

“你认为他们会有那样的精力和勇气吗?”纳德说。“他们没那个胆量。他们会把民主党拖垮。人们想要正义。”在民主党人及其盟友寻求击败特朗普主义、恢复美国摇摇欲坠的民主之际,人们很容易把纳德当作当前乱局中一个悲剧性的注脚而不予理会:尽管他本人及其盟友对此激烈否认,但正是他以绿党总统候选人的身份参选,导致阿尔·戈尔失去了总统宝座,让乔治·W·布什掌控了白宫。

“You think they’re going to have that kind of energy and courage?”Nader said. “They have no stomach for that. They’re going to drag the Democratic party down. People want justice.”As Democrats and their allies seek to defeat Trumpism and restore the US’s teetering democracy, it would be easy to dismiss Nader as a tragic footnote amid the current chaos: the man, although he and his allies vehemently disagree, whose run as a Green party presidential candidate cost Al Gore the presidency and left George W Bush in control.

2000年11月7日,拉尔夫·纳德抵达华盛顿特区国家新闻俱乐部后向支持者发表讲话,他的母亲罗斯·纳德在一旁注视。

Ralph Nader addresses supporters as his mother Rose Nader looks on after his arrival at the National Press Club in Washington DC on 7 November 2000.

2000年11月7日,拉尔夫·纳德抵达华盛顿特区国家新闻俱乐部,在其母亲罗斯·纳德注视下向支持者发表讲话。 摄影:Rick Bowmer/美联社Ralph Nader addresses supporters as his mother Rose Nader looks on after his arrival at the National Press Club in Washington DC on 7 November 2000. Photograph: Rick Bowmer/AP

但他数十年来宣扬的理念植根于新政理想——正是这种理想把美国打造成经济强国——在未能解决美国工人阶级的困境、从而为特朗普主义打开大门之后,这些理念在中期选举及之后的选举中处于核心位置。

But the ideas he’s preached for decades, rooted in the New Deal ideals that built the US into an economic powerhouse, are front and center in the midterms and beyond, after a failure to address the woes of working-class Americans opened the door to Trumpism.

对纳德和许多其他人来说,核心问题是:美国政界有没有人具备纠正错误的斗志?

For Nader, and many others, the central question is: does anyone in US politics have the fight to fix what’s wrong?

民主党初选中一系列进步派的胜利,以及涌入共和党的大量资金,使得从对亿万富翁征税到提高最低工资、到“全民联邦医疗保险”、再到竞选财务改革,一切都被摆上了台面。就连左翼中最温和的声音以及少数共和党人也认为,是时候遏制大企业的权力和影响力了。

A series of progressive wins in the Democratic primaries and a flood of cash to Republicans has put everything on the table from taxing billionaires to raising minimum wage to ‘Medicare for all’ to campaign finance reform. Even the left’s most moderating voices and a few Republicans agree it’s time to rein in the power and influence of big business.

民主党人“信奉受监管的资本主义,认为我们把资本主义做得过头了,监管做得不够”,推动温和理念的智库“第三条道路”的马特·贝内特说。“我们有一个万亿富翁试图控制美国政治,这一事实就是相当有力的证据,”他补充说,指的是埃隆·马斯克对共和党的捐款——目前用于中期选举的捐款已超过4.42亿美元。许多人认为,小修小补是不够的。

Democrats “believe in regulated capitalism, and that we have overdone the capitalism and underdone the regulation”, said Matt Bennett, whose Third Way thinktank pushes moderate ideas. “The fact that we have a trillionaire who is trying to control American politics is pretty good evidence of that,” he added, speaking of Elon Musk’s Republican donations – now over $442m for the midterm elections. Tinkering around the edges won’t be enough, many believe.

“美国今天正在发生一场草原大火式的反抗,”华盛顿反垄断智库公开市场研究所主任巴里·林恩说。“税收政策还不够,”他说。“人们想要革命性的变革。”上一次亲监管时代,拉尔夫·纳德作为汽车安全批评者,出现在1966年参议院商务小组委员会面前,该委员会正在调查纳德提出的指控,即通用汽车因他撰写一本批评汽车制造商的书而骚扰和恐吓他。此前,通用汽车总裁詹姆斯·M·罗奇为其公司对纳德的调查道歉。

“There’s a prairie fire rebellion taking place across America today,” said Barry Lynn, director of the Open Markets Institute, an anti-monopoly thinktank in Washington. “Tax policy is not enough,” he said. “People want revolutionary change.”The last pro-regulation era Ralph Nader, speaking as an auto safety critic, appears in 1966 before the Senate commerce subcommittee, which is investigating charges by Nader that he was harassed and intimidated by General Motors because of a book he had written critical of the automobile makers. Earlier, the GM president, James M Roche, apologized for his firm’s investigation of Nader.

1966年,以汽车安全批评家身份发言的拉尔夫·纳德出席参议院商务小组委员会听证会,该委员会正在调查纳德提出的指控,即因他撰写了一本批评汽车制造商的书,通用汽车公司对他进行了骚扰和恐吓。此前,通用汽车总裁詹姆斯·Ralph Nader, speaking as an auto safety critic, appears in 1966 before the Senate commerce subcommittee, which is investigating charges by Nader that he was harassed and intimidated by General Motors because of a book he had written critical of the automobile makers. Earlier, the GM president, James

照片:贝特曼档案 作为一名30多岁的律师,纳德与政治重量级人物丹尼尔·帕特里克·莫伊尼汉(时任劳工部官员)合作研究汽车安全,在他撰写《任何速度都不安全》一书后被推至全国舞台,该书将美国汽车高死亡率归咎于汽车设计,而非汽车行业过去常称的“方向盘后的螺母”。

Photograph: Bettmann Archive As a lawyer in his 30s working with political heavyweight Daniel Patrick Moynihan, then a labor department official, on auto safety, Nader was thrust into the national spotlight after he wrote “Unsafe At Any Speed” that blamed car design instead of what the industry used to call “the nut behind the wheel” for the high rate of US auto deaths.

1966年他在国会听证会上就其调查结果作证后,通用汽车雇佣私家侦探,正如纳德后来所说,要“获取他私生活的猥亵细节”。

After he appeared before a congressional hearing in 1966 to testify about his findings, General Motors hired private investigators to, as Nader later said, “obtain lurid details” about his private life.

当这一诱捕行动被报道后,时任通用汽车总裁詹姆斯·罗奇公开道歉,纳德提起诉讼。他利用42.5万美元的隐私侵权和解金作为种子资金,组建了一支数百名律师的团队,被称为“纳德突击队”,他们调查了从航空安全到空气质量再到电视机辐射等方方面面,并在其后留下了一连串新法律和联邦机构。

When the sting was reported, the then GM’s president, James Roche, publicly apologized and Nader sued. He used the $425,000 invasion of privacy settlement as seed money to build a team of hundreds of lawyers, dubbed “Nader’s Raiders” who investigated everything from airline safety to air quality to the radiation being emitted from television sets, and left a trail of new laws and federal agencies in their wake.

此后,美国大企业再未遭遇如此大规模的反对,著名例外是马萨诸塞州参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦在华尔街引发2008年金融危机后创建的消费者金融保护局(CFPB)。

Big business hasn’t faced as much pushback in the United States since, with the notable exception of the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau (CFPB) created by Massachusetts senator Elizabeth Warren after Wall Street created the 2008 financial crisis.

由特朗普政府领导的共和党人十年来一直试图摧毁消费者金融保护局(CFPB),并似乎即将得逞。在乔·拜登政府加强对掠夺性行为的执法、重新审视垄断问题并捍卫劳工权利之后,特朗普白宫走向了相反的方向。

Republicans, led by the Trump administration have been trying to destroy the CFPB for a decade and appear to be close to succeeding After Joe Biden’s administration stepped up enforcement of predatory practices, reexamined monopolies, and championed labor rights, Trump’s White House has gone the opposite direction.

纳德在20世纪60年代和70年代所能做到的事情,在今天已行不通。公民会(Public Citizen)联合主席罗伯特·韦斯曼(Robert Weissman)解释说,关于企业应如何行事的新规之所以能够出台,是因为当时国会充满活力,而纳德“能够创建一种倡导模式,并推动通过大量立法和政策,当时企业对此毫无准备,而时代正呼唤这些变革”。公民会是纳德创立的组织之一。

What Nader was able to do during the 1960s and 1970s isn’t going to work today. New rules for how businesses should act happened because of the energy in Congress then and Nader’s ability “to create an advocacy model and push through a lot of legislation and policy where business wasn’t ready for it and the times were demanding it”, explains Robert Weissman, the co-president of Public Citizen, one of groups Nader founded.

韦斯曼说:“现在的问题是,时代呼唤变革,民众渴望变革,但企业却组织起来反对变革。这不是因为我们努力得不够。面临的是一种截然不同的反击。”联邦游说支出——即企业和其他团体为影响华盛顿的政策制定而花费的资金——在2025年达到创纪录的51.3亿美元,较1998年增长了250%。代表行业、房地产经纪人和制药公司的行业协会是主要捐赠者。与此同时,韦斯曼说,“我们面对的是一个既为企业摇旗呐喊又破坏监管机构的政府,背景是一个充满敌意的法院系统。”

“The problem now is the times demand it and people want it but business is organized against it,” Weissman said. “It’s not that we’re not trying hard enough. There’s a different kind of pushback.”Federal lobbying, or money businesses and other groups spend trying to influence policy set in Washington hit a record of $5.13bn in 2025 a 250% increase from 1998. Trade groups representing industry, realtors and drug companies are top donors At the same time, “we’re dealing with an administration that’s both carrying water for corporations and wrecking regulatory agencies, against the backdrop of a hostile court system,” Weissman said.

佛蒙特州参议员伯尼·桑德斯(Bernie Sanders)在2016年,桑德斯和沃伦(Warren)在2020年,都曾以这些议题竞选总统。但没有人能像纳德在其巅峰时期那样,成为这些议题的有效全国代言人。他曾登上杂志 ,在最受信任民调中名列前茅,出现在《周六夜现场》(Saturday Night Live)和菲尔·多纳休(Phil Donahue)的脱口秀节目中,并拥有总统、国会和主要新闻机构的倾听。

Vermont senator Bernie Sanders ran presidential campaigns on these issues in 2016 and Sanders and Warren in 2020. But no one has become an effective national champion for them in the way Nader did at his zenith. He was plastered on magazine covers and topped most-trusted polls, appeared on Saturday Night Live and Phil Donahue’s talk show, and had the ear of presidents, Congress and major news organizations.

1980年3月15日,比尔·默里(Bill Murray)与拉尔夫·纳德(Ralph Nader)在“周末新闻”(Weekend Update)小品中同台。

Bill Murray and Ralph Nader during the Weekend Update sketch on 15 March 1980.

1980年3月15日,比尔·默里与拉尔夫·纳德在“周末更新”小品环节中同台。 摄影:NBC/盖蒂图片社Bill Murray and Ralph Nader during the Weekend Update sketch on 15 March 1980. Photograph: NBC via Getty Images

照片:NBC via Getty Images“考虑到这些议题在全国讨论中处于如此核心的地位,我们在这个国家却没有人领导一场消费者运动,这简直令人愤慨,”总部位于华盛顿的研究和政策组织“Groundwork Collaborative”总裁林赛·欧文斯(Lindsay Owens)说,该组织正在推动新法律以遏制算法定价并采取其他有利于消费者的举措。

Photograph: NBC via Getty Images“It’s almost infuriating that we don’t have somebody helming a consumer movement in this country given how central these issues are to the national conversation,” said Lindsay Owens, the president of Groundwork Collaborative, a Washington research and policy group pushing new laws to curb algorithmic pricing and other pro-consumer moves.

不,桑德斯(Sanders),85岁,也不想跟他谈。“伯尼25年没回过我的电话,”纳德(Nader)说。

And no, Sanders, 85, doesn’t want to talk to him either. “Bernie hasn’t called me back in 25 years,” Nader said.

纳德曾在参议院理发店把桑德斯堵住,当时这位参议员正在刮脸。“他跑不掉,”纳德回忆道,于是他盘问桑德斯为什么不跟他或其他公共倡导者和组织者会面。“听着,他不想跟我扯上关系,因为2000年他们给我抹黑的方式,”他说。

Nader once cornered Sanders in the Senate barbershop while the senator was getting a shave. “He couldn’t run away,” Nader recalled, so he grilled him about why the senator wasn’t meeting with him or other public advocates and organizers. “Look, he doesn’t want to be associated with me because of the way they tainted me on 2000,” he said.

纳德依然不气馁。他支持了7月的一场弹劾研讨会,并预测特朗普(Trump)可能在本月辞职。最近,他一直在直接给进步派候选人打电话,包括密歇根州的阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德(Abdul El-Sayed)和缅因州的特洛伊·杰克逊(Troy Jackson),向他们展示他的政策计划,他认为这将保证他们在中期选举中获胜,即使资金源源不断地流向共和党对手。议程包括:提高工资、全民医保、把“企业恶棍”送进监狱以及弹劾特朗普。“他们的议程越好,赢得选举所需的钱就越少,”他说。

Nader remains undeterred. He backed an impeachment seminar in July and predicted Trump could step down this month. Recently, he has been dialing progressive candidates including Michigan’s Abdul El-Sayed and Maine’s Troy Jackson directly, to present his policy plan he thinks would guarantee their midterm success even as money pours into Republican opponents. On the agenda: higher wages, universal health insurance, putting “corporate crooks” in jail and impeaching Trump. “The better their agenda, the less money they need” to win, he said.

然而,纳德对民主党如果赢得国会两院多数后能带来重大变革并不乐观。“他们会开香槟庆祝,回归照常营业,并开始为2028年筹集更多资金,”他预测道。“我能像预测太阳每天早上升起一样预测他们,”他补充道。

Nader’s not optimistic about big changes if Democrats win both houses of Congress, however. “They’ll break open the champagne and go back to business as normal and start raising more money for 2028,” he predicts. “I can predict ‘em like you predict the sun coming up every morning,” he added.

事态偏离轨道 2000年总统大选意外地让布什(Bush)上台,使国家陷入新一轮企业减税和放松管制,以及灾难性的伊拉克战争。一些自由派人士将其视为一个转折点,标志着两党合作的消亡和最高法院的政治化。

Things go awry The 2000 presidential election that unexpectedly put Bush into power catapulted the country into a fresh round of corporate tax cuts and deregulation, as well as the disastrous Iraq war. Some liberals point to it as a turning point, marking the death of bipartisanship and politicalization of the supreme court.

1996年,绿党因民主党总统比尔·克林顿的福利改革等举措感到失望,首次招募纳德竞选总统。目标是赢得足够的普选票,跨越5%的门槛,从而在下届大选中获得公共资助拨款,在两党主导超过130年的国家开启三党政治的新时代。

Nader was first recruited to run for president in 1996 by a Green party dismayed by, among other things, Democratic president Bill Clinton’s welfare reform. The goal was to capture enough of the popular vote to cross the 5% threshold for a public funding grant in the next election, ushering in a new era of three-party politics in a country dominated by two for over 130 years.

纳德表示,共和党和民主党已如此彻底地向企业权力靠拢,以至于公民以及他创立的公民团体已难以发挥作用。“大企业在华盛顿特区称王,”他在2000年5月的一场演讲中说,“我们拥有一个埃克森的、通用汽车的、为杜邦服务的政府。”“他想传播他的主张,但也想帮助绿党获得5%的选票,以便将其建设成一个组织,”两度担任其竞选经理的特蕾莎·阿马托说,她是一名律师和公共利益倡导者。

Republicans and Democrats had cozied up to corporate power so completely that citizens and citizens groups like the ones he founded couldn’t do much any more, Nader said. “King Corporation rules in Washington DC,” he said in a May 2000 speech“We have a government of the Exxon’s, by the General Motors, for the DuPonts.”“He wanted to get his message out but he also wanted to help the Green party get 5% of the vote so they could build as an organization,” said two-time former campaign manager Theresa Amato, a lawyer and public advocate.

作为桑德斯总统竞选的先驱,纳德在大型集会上吸引了数千名年轻人。苏珊·萨兰登、帕蒂·史密斯、安妮·迪弗兰科和埃迪·维德等名人曾与他同台亮相。

A precursor to Sanders’ presidential campaign, Nader drew thousands of young people in massive rallies. He was joined onstage by celebrities including Susan Sarandon, Patti Smith, Ani DiFranco and Eddie Vedder.

他开始竞选时承诺不在可能导致戈尔落选的摇摆州开展竞选活动,但在被拒之于总统辩论门外后改变了主意,纳德的支持者、电影制片人迈克尔·摩尔在2020年的一期播客中回忆道。“我认为那就是拉尔夫情况开始变糟的时候。”

He started his run promising not to campaign in swing states that could have cost Gore the election, but changed his mind after he was blocked from the presidential debate, filmmaker Michael Moore, a Nader supporter, recalled in a 2020 podcast“That’s when things went awry for Ralph,” he believes.

退出竞选不是选项。“当时面临巨大压力”要求退出竞选,阿马托说。“纳德的观点是,我们不能抛弃我们的支持者、所有志愿者和捐赠者,以及为竞选动员起来的美国绿党雏形,在最后关头退出。”虽然2000年是绿党最成功的一年,但该党仅勉强获得了不到3%的普选票。在佛罗里达州,纳德获得了近10万张选票。当最高法院叫停该州的重新计票时,布什多出537票,从而赢得佛罗里达州的25张选举人票和总统宝座。

Stepping aside wasn’t an option. “There was an immense amount of pressure” to exit the race in late 2000, Amato said. “Nader’s view was that we could not abandon our supporters, all the volunteers and donors, and the embryonic US Green party, that had mobilized for the campaign and just drop out at the last minute.”While 2000 was its most successful year, the Green party eked out less than 3% of the popular vote. In Florida, Nader got nearly 100,000 votes. When a halted a recount in the state, Bush had 537 more votes, giving him Florida’s 25 electoral college votes and the presidency.

2000年9月25日,演员苏珊·萨兰登和蒂姆·罗宾斯在纽约市政厅台阶上领衔举行“纳德2000公民委员会”集会,支持绿党总统候选人拉尔夫·纳德。 摄影:Spencer Platt/盖蒂图片社Actors Susan Sarandon and Tim Robbins lead a Nader 2000 Citizens Committee rally in support of Green party presidential candidate Ralph Nader on 25 September 2000 on the steps of city hall in New York City. Photograph: Spencer Platt/Getty Images

演员苏珊·萨兰登和蒂姆·罗宾斯于2000年9月25日在纽约市政厅台阶上,带领一场支持绿党总统候选人拉尔夫·纳德的“纳德2000公民委员会”集会。

Actors Susan Sarandon and Tim Robbins lead a Nader 2000 Citizens Committee rally in support of Green party presidential candidate Ralph Nader on 25 September 2000 on the steps of city hall in New York City.

戈尔甚至没能赢下家乡田纳西州(比尔·克林顿曾两次在那里获胜)。其他第三党候选人和有缺陷的选票也可能起了作用。帕特里克·布坎南的“改革党”在佛罗里达州获得近17500票;斯坦福大学研究人员发现,棕榈滩县令人困惑的“蝴蝶选票”设计单独导致那里2000多名戈尔选民误投给了布坎南。纳德回忆,一度戈尔曾给他写信,免除他的责任。戈尔拒绝了多次采访请求。发言人称他“日程排满”。

Gore didn’t even win his home state Tennessee (Bill Clinton won there twice). Other third party candidates and a faulty ballot likely played a role. Patrick Buchanan’s ‘Reform party’ got nearly 17,500 in Florida; Stanford University researchers found Palm Beach County’s confusingly designed “butterfly ballot” caused more than 2,000 Gore voters to vote by mistake for Buchanan there alone. At one point, Gore sent him a letter, Nader recalls, absolving him of responsibility. Gore declined several requests for an interview. He is “overbooked”, a spokesperson said.

纳德突然成了弃儿。“他不再受邀上脱口秀,不受邀参加任何活动。他成了贱民,”摩尔解释道。

Nader was suddenly an outcast. “He was no longer invited onto talk shows, he wasn’t invited to anything. He was a pariah,” Moore explained.

即便他警告过的经济危险信号被证明属实,这种状况没有改变。纳德“因充当美国当前局势的‘卡珊德拉’而付出了极其惨重的声誉代价”,《不讲理的人》制片人史蒂夫·斯克罗万说,该片是一部关于纳德和2000年总统大选的2006年纪录片。

That hasn’t changed as the economic red flags he warned about proved true. Nader “played a very steep reputational price for being the Cassandra” of the situation the US is in now, said Steve Skrovan, producer of “An Unreasonable Man,” a 2006 documentary about Nader and the 2000 presidential election.

斯克罗万说,今天的企业越权“行为如果不是所谓的‘反对党’因自身疏忽和企业化而让出阵地,根本不会发生”。

Today’s corporate overreach “would not have happened had the so-called ‘opposition party’ not ceded the ground for this through their own neglect and corporatization,” Skrovan said.

纳德依然不认错。“民主党人是加强版的替罪羊制造者,”他说。“他们从不照照镜子自问:‘我们怎么可能没能让这位来自得克萨斯州、记录糟糕、连三句话都说不利索的笨拙州长惨败?’”他指的是布什。

Nader remains unapologetic. “The Democrats are scapegoaters on steroids,” he said. “They never look at themselves in the mirror and say ‘How can we not have landslided this bumbling governor from Texas with a horrible record who couldn’t string three sentences together?,’” he said, referring to Bush.

他补充说,2016年他们又故技重施,当时唐纳德·特朗普击败了希拉里·克林顿。“想象一下,竟然怪罪吉尔·斯坦,她在宾夕法尼亚州只拿了几票,”他提到这位绿党候选人,她获得了1%的选票,竞选纲领包括15美元最低工资和全民医保。“要是你们采纳了她的议程,你们本会大获全胜,你们这些白痴。”

They did it again in 2016, he added, when Donald Trump beat Hillary Clinton. “Imagine blaming Jill Stein, who got a few votes in Pennsylvania,” he added, speaking of the Green party candidate who got 1% of the vote, running on a $15 minimum wage and guaranteed health care. “What if you picked up her agenda? You would have won in a landslide, you idiots.”

以上皆非 2000年大选也是民主党财政的关键转折点。正如《纽约时报》1999年在托尼·科埃略被任命为戈尔竞选团队负责人时所写,那是他“彻底改造了该党,将筹款置于意识形态之上,使其成为民主党的信条”的时候。

None of the above The 2000 election was a pivotal moment for the Democratic party’s finances too. That’s when Tony Coelho “revolutionized the party, placing fundraising above ideology as the Democratic credo”, the New York Times wrote in 1999 as he was placed at the head of Gore’s campaign.

此后几年,民主党和共和党的企业捐款都飙升。2010年最高法院“联合公民诉联邦选举委员会案”裁决允许大企业公开支持候选人,给捐款又添了一把火。

In the years since, the amount of corporate donations for both Democrats and Republicans has skyrocketed. They got an extra boost from the 2010 Citizens United supreme court decision that allowed big business to openly back candidates.

多条折线图按商业、劳工、意识形态和其他类别对比了各届总统大选的捐款情况。近几个选举周期中,商业捐款遥遥领先,达到60亿美元 对富人征税、让企业善待员工和顾客,这些主张深受选民欢迎。共和党顾问帕特·布坎南在《一个不讲理的人》一书中解释说,共和党制定了一项长期计划,利用非经济议题在曾于1900年代上半叶推动通过这些改革的联盟中楔入楔子。

Multiple line charts comparing donations across Presidential elections grouped by business, labor, ideological and other. Business eclipses donations at $6 billion by recent election cycles Taxing the wealthy and making companies treat their workers and customers better are highly popular with voters. Republicans crafted a long-term plan to use non-economic ideas to drive wedges into the coalition that passed reforms supporting these ideas in the first half of the 1900s, Pat Buchanan, a consultant to Republican presidents Richard Nixon, Gerald Ford, and Ronald Reagan explained in “An Unreasonable Man”.

布坎南曾担任共和党总统理查德·尼克松、杰拉尔德·福特和罗纳德·里根的顾问。“你们是靠社会、文化议题做到的。你们把他们所有与你们自身不冲突的议题都切割出去……然后不断猛敲、猛敲这些议题,”布坎南说。

“You did this with social, cultural issues. You carve off all their issues which do not conflict with your own…and keep hammering and hammering them,” Buchanan said.

为了在经济议题上赢得选票,民主党人将不得不对抗他们的捐赠者,并顶住针对他们的游说攻势和竞选资金打压。一些进步派策略师认为,这早就该发生了。

To win votes on economic issues, Democrats are going to have to turn against their donors and brave an onslaught of lobbying and campaign cash against them. It’s about time, some progressive strategists believe.

“你们花了一代人的时间讨好这些家伙,结果中产阶级不复存在了,”沃伦参议员的前幕僚长、曾参与她2020年竞选活动的丹·盖尔登说。

“You spent a generation cozying up to these guys, and there’s no middle class anymore,” Dan Geldon, senator Warren’s former chief of staff, who worked on her 2020 campaign.

民主党内部斗争、特朗普将共和党重新定位为围绕白人至上主义、民族主义外交政策以及赋予企业和富人更多权力的政党,这些情况出现之际,越来越少的美国人想要支持任一政党。

The Democratic party’s infighting and Trump’s recentering of the Republican party around white supremacy, a nationalist foreign policy and more power for companies and the wealthy come as fewer and fewer Americans want either party.

盖洛普民调显示,2025年底,自认为“独立选民”的美国选民比例创下45%的历史新高。对于1997年至2007年间出生的Z世代选民,这一数字高达创纪录的56%,高于1992年同龄选民的40%。随后,生态党总统候选人拉尔夫·纳德约在1999年参选。

The percentage of US voters who consider themselves “independent” hit a record high of 45% in late 2025, Gallup polling shows For gen Z voters, born between 1997 and 2007, that figure is a record 56%, up from 40% for the same-aged voters in 1992. Then Ecology candidate Ralph Nader for the US presidency circa 1999.

约1999年,时任生态党美国总统候选人的拉尔夫·纳德。 摄影:Andrew Lichtenstein/Sygma/盖蒂图片社Then Ecology candidate Ralph Nader for the US presidency circa 1999. Photograph: Andrew Lichtenstein/Sygma/Getty Images

“工人在这个世界上需要权利和代表,”以独立候选人身份竞选内布拉斯加州联邦参议员的丹·奥斯本对《卫报》说。“否则,他们会榨干你的劳动力,却几乎不给你报酬。”作为工会领袖的奥斯本曾领导凯洛格内布拉斯加工厂的罢工,此前该公司宣布将把工作岗位外包、削减福利,同时却向投资者大肆回购股票。

“Workers need rights and representation in this world,” Dan Osborn, who is running for Senate from Nebraska as an independent, told the Guardian. “Otherwise, they’ll work you to death and not pay hardly anything,” he said. Osborn, a union leader, led a strike at Kellogg’s Nebraska plant after the company said it would offshore jobs and cut benefits while showering investors with stock buy-backs.

“在我看来,一切归根结底是为小人物挺身而出,但我没看到有人这么做,”他解释参选原因时说。奥斯本在2024年大败给共和党现任参议员德布·费舍尔。

“To me, it’s all about standing up for the little guy, and I didn’t see anybody doing that,” he said, explaining why he is running. Osborn lost handily in 2024 to Republican incumbent Deb Fischer.

进入中期选举之际,他落后于共和党人皮特·里基茨,后者的父亲是亿万富翁。进入中期选举之际,里基茨在民调中略微领先。

Going into the midterm election, he’s trailing Pete Ricketts, a Republican whose father is a billionaire. Going into the midterm election, Ricketts has a slight lead in the polls.

对于纳德而言,他还有一些更令人不安的预言。“几十年前有人问我:‘什么会导致世界末日?’我的回答是:掌握在巨型企业和独裁政权手中的科学技术,”纳德说。“我们正走在正确的轨道上。”他并未放弃。

For his part, Nader has some more uncomfortable predictions. “Someone asked me decades ago, ‘What’s going to cause the end of the world?’ And my answer was science and technology in the hands of giant corporations and dictatorships’ “ Nader said. “We’re right on track.” He hasn’t given up.

纳德说,公民仍拥有改变一切的力量,只要组织起来,要求国会通过像全民医保这样具有革命性的法案。他说,也许像乔·罗根这样受欢迎的播客主持人能引发这场运动,不过他一直联系不上罗根。

Citizens still have the power to change everything, Nader said, by organizing themselves to demand Congress pass something revolutionary like universal healthcare. Maybe a popular podcaster like Joe Rogan could jumpstart the movement, he said. He hasn’t been able to get through to Rogan, though.

“宪法里写的依然是‘我们人民’。不是‘我们国会’,也不是‘我们公司’,”纳德说。我们只需要“人民干脆从屁股上站起来”。

“It’s still ‘We the people’ in the Constitution. It’s not ‘We the Congress’ or ‘We the Corporation,’” Nader said. All we need is “the people to just get off their ass.”

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