
距离2026年中期选举仅剩几天,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普宣布将削减密集的竞选集会行程,取消原定在爱荷华州和堪萨斯州的出席活动。
With only days remaining until the 2026 midterm elections, United States President Donald Trump has announced he will dial back on his packed rally schedule, cancelling scheduled appearances in Iowa and Kansas.
共和党全国委员会(RNC)周四在一份声明中确认了取消事项,并推出一系列“电话集会”来替代取消的活动。
The Republican National Committee (RNC) confirmed the cancellations in a statement on Thursday, unveiling a slate of “tele-rallies” in place of the nixed events.
RNC主席乔·格鲁特斯认为,虚拟出席将更加高效,能够比特朗普现场造势触及更多选民。
RNC Chairman Joe Gruters argued that the virtual appearances will be more efficient, reaching more voters than Trump otherwise could with on-the-ground stops.
“全国各地的选民都想在选举日前听到特朗普总统的声音,这场72小时的冲刺将在最后几天起到巨大的推动作用,”格鲁特斯说。
“Voters across the country want to hear from President Trump before Election Day, and this 72-hour sprint will be a huge boost in the closing days,” Gruters said.
电话集会将向近20个州播出,包括密歇根州、阿拉斯加州、得克萨斯州和爱荷华州等摇摆州,这些州正在进行美国参议院的竞争性选举。RNC声明补充称,未来几天可能会宣布更多活动。
The tele-rallies will be broadcast to nearly 20 states, including battlegrounds like Michigan, Alaska, Texas and Iowa, where competitive races are unfolding for the US Senate. The RNC statement added that further events may be announced in the coming days.
特朗普周五在佛罗里达州戴通纳的集会——距离他马阿拉戈庄园沿海约321公里或200英里——也将按计划于周五举行。
Trump’s rally on Friday in Daytona, Florida — some 321 kilometres or 200 miles up the coast from his Mar-a-Lago resort — will also proceed as planned on Friday.
距离11月3日的中期选举不足五天,该选举将决定国会的组成,以及关键的州和地方职务。
Less than five days remain until the midterm elections on November 3, which will decide the composition of Congress, as well as key state and local offices.
无论哪个政党赢得国会控制权,都将在特朗普第二任期最后两年掌握其立法议程的权力。
Whichever party wins control of Congress will exercise power over Trump’s legislative agenda during the final two years of his second term.
特朗普还表示担忧,如果民主党在众议院和参议院都赢得多数席位,可能会推动第三次弹劾他。
Trump has also expressed concern that the Democratic Party might push to impeach him for a third time if it wins majorities in both the House of Representatives and the Senate.
目前,共和党在两院都持有微弱多数席位。在参议院,右翼政党占100个席位中的53个。在众议院,其拥有218个席位,本届选举周期全部435个席位均待争夺。
Currently, the Republican Party holds narrow majorities in both chambers. In the Senate, the right-wing party holds 53 seats out of 100. In the House, it has 218 seats, with all 435 offices up for grabs this election cycle.
与此同时,参议院大约三分之一的办公室将在中期选举中面临竞选。与众议院不同,众议员任期仅两年,参议员的任期为六年,其选举在不同年份错期进行,以实现更大的稳定性。
The Senate, meanwhile, will see only about a third of its offices on the midterm ballot. Unlike in the House, where terms only last two years, senators are elected to six-year time spans, and their elections are staggered across different election years, to allow for greater stability.
政治预测人士预测,民主党在这一中期选举周期中占有优势,他们引用特朗普的民调支持率下降,以及选民对生活成本问题、外交政策及其他担忧的反弹。
Political forecasters have predicted Democrats have an advantage this midterm election cycle, citing Trump’s sloping poll numbers and voter blowback over cost-of-living issues, foreign policy and other concerns.
例如,哈佛大学的分析人士估计,民主党有94%的几率夺取众议院控制权。
Analysts at Harvard University, for instance, have estimated that Democrats have a 94 percent chance of taking control of the House.
然而,参议院的竞争将更加困难,可争夺的席位较少。哈佛大学预测,民主党在参议院赢得多数席位的几率为74%。
The race for the Senate, however, will be more difficult, with fewer seats available to win. Harvard rates Democrats as having a 74 percent chance to win a majority there.
特朗普将自己置于共和党捍卫国会多数席位战略的中心。为了激励其支持基础,他反复以“假如我在选票上”这一短语鼓励选民。中期选举发生在总统任期中途,通常被视为对总统支持率的反映。
Trump has placed himself at the centre of the Republican strategy to defend the party’s congressional majorities. To motivate his base of support, he has repeatedly encouraged voters with the phrase, “Pretend I’m on the ballot.”Midterm elections occur halfway through a president’s term, and they are often considered a reflection of a president’s popularity.
然而,特朗普今年80岁,到其任期结束时将是年龄最大的总统,其健康状况一直令人担忧。
At 80 years old, however, Trump will be the oldest president by the time his term concludes, and his health has been a concern.
自开始第二个任期以来,这位共和党领导人被拍到手上有淤青,引发了对他可能患有任何未披露的医疗状况的猜测。周四在南卡罗来纳州结束一场集会后,记者询问了他的健康状况。
Since starting his second term, the Republican leader has been photographed with bruising on his hands, sparking speculation about any undisclosed medical conditions he may have. After concluding a rally in South Carolina on Thursday, reporters inquired about his health.
“总统先生,您一直在大量旅行。我们一直和您一起大量旅行。您感觉如何?您的健康状况如何?”路透社的一名记者在跑道上问道。
“ Mr President, you’ve been doing a lot of travel. We’ve been doing a lot of travel with you. How are you feeling? How’s your health?” a reporter from the news agency Reuters asked on the tarmac.
特朗普起初回避了这个问题,转而谈论他对共和党在选举中前景的乐观态度。“我们将在周二晚上取得强劲表现,”特朗普说。
Trump, at first, dodged the question, focusing instead on his optimism about the Republican Party’s prospects in the election. “ We’re going to have a strong Tuesday night,” Trump said.
但记者继续追问:“所以你不去堪萨斯州,跟你厌倦旅行没关系?”这引来特朗普愤怒的回应,他大发雷霆。
But the reporter continued with his line of questioning: ”So you not going to Kansas has nothing to do with you being sick of travelling?”That prompted an irate reply from Trump, who lashed out.
“哦,你问这个问题就很病态。你很病态,”特朗普说,并开始侮辱该记者的体重。
“Oh, you’re sick to ask that question. You are sick,” Trump said, as he proceeded to insult the reporter’s weight.
“你跟踪我两周了。我感觉很好。你真恶心。把自己锻炼好。你看起来糟透了。”在对记者讲话时,特朗普还质疑有必要前往堪萨斯州萨利纳,他原计划周六前往。“我不觉得我必须去堪萨斯州,”总统说。
“ You’ve been following me for two weeks. I feel perfect. You are disgusting. Put yourself in shape. You look like hell.”During his remarks to the reporter, Trump also questioned the need to visit Salina, Kansas, as he had planned to do on Saturday. “ I don’t feel I have to go to Kansas,” the president said.
堪萨斯州通常是右翼的堡垒,自1932年以来未曾选出过民主党参议员。
Kansas, normally a right-wing stronghold, has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932.
但在这个选举周期,共和党参议员罗杰·马歇尔正面临与民主党人亚当·汉密尔顿的激烈竞争,汉密尔顿是一家大型教会的牧师。
But this election cycle, Republican Senator Roger Marshall is facing a tight race with Democrat Adam Hamilton, the pastor of a mega-church.
周四,新闻媒体CNN发布的一项民调显示,汉密尔顿以四个百分点领先,支持率为49%,马歇尔为45%。
On Thursday, the news outlet CNN released a poll showing Hamilton up by four percentage points, leading with 49 percent support to Marshall’s 45 percent.