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日本厚生劳动大臣:日本在避免医疗危机方面“刻不容缓”Japan has 'no time to lose' to avert a healthcare crisis, minister says

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在日本东京的一家养老院,一名护理员正在与住户交谈。(摄影:Akira Kodaka)A carer talks to residents at an aged care home in Tokyo, Japan. (Photo by Akira Kodaka)

东京 —— 日本厚生劳动大臣上野贤一郎警告称,随着人口老龄化和支撑全民保险制度的劳动力池萎缩,日本在避免医疗危机方面“刻不容缓”。

TOKYO -- Japan's health minister warned the country has "no time to lose" in heading off a healthcare crisis as the population ages and the pool of workers supporting its universal insurance system shrinks.

上野贤一郎在其东京办公室接受《日经亚洲》采访时表示,人口结构变化是日本医疗体系面临的“最大”挑战。他补充道:“日本全民健康保险制度的可持续性正受到质疑。”

Demographic change is the "biggest" challenge for Japan's medical system, Kenichiro Ueno, the minister of health, labour and welfare, told Nikkei Asia in an interview at his Tokyo office. "The sustainability of Japan's universal health insurance system is being called into question," he added.

日本的国民医疗保险涵盖一系列经批准的医疗服务,居民通常承担30%的医疗费用。部分人群,包括大多数70岁及以上老人,仅需支付10%至20%。该制度由税收和保险费共同支撑。

Japan's national healthcare insurance covers a range of approved care, and residents typically pay 30% of medical fees. Some, including most people aged 70 and above, pay just 10% to 20%. The system is paid for by tax revenue and insurance fees.

据政府预测,65岁及以上人口预计将在2040年前后达到峰值,届时人数将超过3900万,约占全国总人口的35%。与此同时,劳动年龄人口(15至64岁)预计将从2025年的7310万减少至2040年的6210万。

The number of people aged 65 or older is projected to peak around 2040, when their numbers will reach more than 39 million, or about 35% of the country's total population. The working-age population, those aged 15 to 64, meanwhile, is expected to drop to 62.1 million in 2040 from 73.1 million in 2025, according to the government's forecast.

压力来自两端:需要照护的老年人增多,而负责人员配置和财政支撑的劳动年龄人口却在减少。作为执政党自由民主党(自民党)议员的上野表示,他正在“致力于对制度本身进行持续改革,作为一项紧迫课题”。由自民党及其小党伙伴日本维新会组成的执政联盟计划敲定一个时间表,让更多老年人承担30%的医疗费用。

The pressure is coming from both ends: more older people will need care as the working-age population that staffs and finances the system shrinks. Ueno, a lawmaker with the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), said he is "working on the continuous reform of the system itself as an urgent issue." The ruling coalition of the LDP and its junior partner, the Japan Innovation Party, is planning to decide on a timeline to make more elderly people pay 30% of their medical fees.

上野贤一郎对《日经亚洲》表示:“日本全民健康保险制度的可持续性正受到质疑。”他还说:“今后,我们必须确保人们根据其负担能力来承担(社会保障负担)。”

Kenichiro Ueno tells Nikkei Asia that "the sustainability of Japan's universal health insurance system is being called into question." "Going forward, we must ensure that people pay [for the social security burden] according to their ability," Ueno said.

厚生劳动省还计划采取措施,以便更准确地掌握老年人的收入,包括股息等投资收入,这些在现行制度下往往被忽视。

The ministry is also planning to take steps so it can better gauge older people's income, including investment income such as from dividends that is often overlooked under the current system.

现年61岁的上野通子还强调,要尽可能缩小平均寿命与健康寿命之间的差距。她说,如果人们能保持健康直到100岁左右,“这有助于抑制医疗费用,并扩大支撑社会保障体系的人群。”展望2040年,厚生劳动省正与各市町村政府合作,确保日本各地都能为高效的医疗运营做规划,包括需要多少家医院、应提供哪些类型的护理。

Ueno, 61, also stressed the importance of narrowing the gap between life expectancy and healthy life expectancy as much as possible. If people remain healthy up to about 100 years old, he said, "that could help curb medical costs and expand the pool of people supporting the social security system." Looking ahead to 2040, the health ministry is working with municipal governments to ensure regions across Japan can plan for efficient healthcare operations, including how many hospitals they will need and the types of care they should provide.

大臣表示:“除非我们现在开始采取适当措施培养和确保必要的人力,否则可能会出现一些地区没有医生等问题。”医生在农村地区或某些基础科室往往短缺,且许多人倾向于从事整形外科等不在保险覆盖范围、利润往往更高的领域。

"Unless we start taking proper measures now to train and secure the necessary workforce," the minister said, "there could be problems such as some regions being left without doctors." Doctors tend to be scarce in rural areas or in some essential departments, and many prefer to work in fields such as cosmetic surgery that are not covered by insurance and tend to be more profitable.

她说:“重要的是建立一套无论身在全国何处都能获得医疗支持的体系”,这不仅需要医生,还需要护士和其他医疗工作者。

"It is important to create a system that can support healthcare no matter where you are in the country," not just with doctors but also with nurses and other healthcare workers, he said.

尽管各行各业的企业都在与日本的劳动力短缺作斗争,许多企业正在雇佣外国人。但从事护士工作的外国人很少。据上野通子称,日本的护理需求应由日本人自己来满足。她表示,许多人拥有护士资格却未从事该职业,建议改善工作安排以吸引他们回归。

While businesses across sectors and industries are struggling against Japan's labor crunch, many are hiring foreigners. But few of these foreigners are working as nurses According to Ueno, Japanese themselves should meet the country's nursing demand. He said many are qualified as nurses but are not working in the profession, suggesting improved working arrangements to attract them back.

“因为这里已有多达70万名潜在护士,”他说,“所以不会立即涉及[从国外招揽人才]。”上野还谈到了利用技术支持该国医疗服务。随着人工智能预计将提供更多支持,这将“有助于维持一定水平的医疗服务”,他说。

"Because there there are as many as 700,000 potential nurses" already here, he said, "it will not immediately be about [calling for talent] from abroad." Ueno also spoke of using technology to support the country's healthcare service. As artificial intelligence is expected to provide more support, this would "help maintain a certain standard of medical care," he said.

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