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彭博社

智利经济活动自6月以来首次实现月度增长Chile’s Economic Activity Posts First Monthly Rise Since June

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,在恶劣天气和疲弱矿业产出等逆风因素笼罩近期前景之际,提供了有限的缓解。

Chile’s economic activity posted its first monthly advance since June, offering limited relief as headwinds including severe weather and weak mining output cloud the near-term outlook.

作为国内生产总值(GDP)替代指标的Imacec指数,9月环比8月增长1.9%,符合彭博调查中分析师的预测中值。智利央行周一报告称,经济同比增长0.2%。

The Imacec index, a proxy for gross domestic product, rose 1.9% in September from August, matching the median forecast from analysts in a Bloomberg survey. The economy ticked up 0.2% from the year prior, the central bank reported Monday.

智利总统何塞·安东尼奥·卡斯特正致力于重振经济,分析师预计今年经济将几乎零增长。其政府已宣布计划创造10万个新就业岗位,并颁布了全面立法,将降低企业税并为大型投资项目提供担保。尽管如此,失业率仍处于五年多来的高位,信心低迷,且恶劣天气已连续数月重创铜产量。

Chilean President José Antonio Kast is working to jump-start an economy that analysts expect to barely grow this year. His government has announced plans to create 100,000 new jobs and enacted sweeping legislation that will lower corporate taxes and provide guarantees for large investment projects. Still, unemployment is running at a more than five-year high, confidence is subdued and bad weather has battered copper output over several months this year.

央行表示,9月矿业活动环比激增9.8%,此前曾连续两个月下跌均超过10%。同期非矿业活动增长0.9%,其中商业增长2.5%,服务业增长0.9%。

Mining surged 9.8% on the month in September following back-to-back drops over 10%, the central bank said. Non-mining activity increased 0.9% during the period with commerce gaining 2.5% and services rising 0.9%.

财政部长豪尔赫·基罗斯10月28日表示,智利未来几个月将不得不“与”负面经济活动数据“共存”,反映出全球能源价格上涨、恶劣天气和疲弱铜产出的冲击。不过他表示,商业和服务业等非矿业活动表现将更好。

Chile will have to “live with” negative economic activity figures in coming months, reflecting the blow from higher global energy prices, severe weather and weak copper output, Finance Minister Jorge Quiroz said Oct. 28. Still, non-mining activity such as commerce and services will fare better, he said.

央行官员上周维持借贷成本在4.5%不变,并警告通胀风险和消费者价格预测正在上升,尽管近期数据显示消费和投资仍然疲弱。这种看法助长了政策制定者可能在未来几个月加息的猜测。

Central bankers held borrowing costs steady at 4.5% last week and warned that inflation risks and consumer price forecasts are rising even as recent data show consumption and investment remain weak. That view is fueling speculation that policymakers could lift rates in coming months.

上月底,智利国家炼油厂Enap宣布连续第五次上调燃油价格;柴油上涨6.7%,93号和97号汽油均上涨近3%。

Late last month, Chile’s state refiner Enap announced a fifth consecutive fuel price hike; diesel rose 6.7%, while 93- and 97-octane gasoline both climbed nearly 3%.

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