
一位是前市长、白宫竞逐者和交通部长。另一位在不投参议院票的时候,则从曾由马丁·路德·金牧师博士主持的讲坛上布道。
One is a former mayor, White House hopeful, and Transportation Secretary. The other preaches from the pulpit once claimed by the Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. when he isn’t casting votes in the Senate.
无论是皮特·布蒂吉格,还是佐治亚州参议员拉斐尔·沃诺克,今年都不在选票上,但两人都活跃在全国各地的竞选路演中,为候选人助选,备战周二的中期选举。
Neither Pete Buttigieg nor Sen. Rafael Warnock of Georgia are on the ballot this year, but both have been all over the campaign trail, stumping for candidates across the country ahead of Tuesday’s midterm elections.
民主党操盘手表示,他们是本周期最受追捧的两位“拉票明星”。虽然佛蒙特州参议员伯尼·桑德斯、纽约州众议员亚历山德拉·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯是稳操胜券的基本盘取悦者,前总统巴拉克·奥巴马和比尔·克林顿是传统派民主党人的吸票磁铁,但沃诺克和布蒂吉格提供了一种高效且直白的风格,崇拜者称这种风格能跨越意识形态和代际界限。
Democratic operatives say they are two of the most in-demand boosters this cycle. While the likes of Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York are surefire base pleasers and former Presidents Barack Obama and Bill Clinton are draws for legacy Democrats, Warnock and Buttigieg offer an efficient and plain-spoken manner that admirers say cuts across ideologies and generations.
这种正面反馈必将引人注目,因为周二过后,对2028年总统大选的胜算推测将全面展开。
It’s the kind of positive feedback that is sure to gain notice as handicapping for the 2028 presidential race begins in earnest after Tuesday.
巧合的是,两人的助选行程都安排在了对任何怀揣白宫雄心的人来说可能至关重要的地方。仅上个月,沃诺克就跑了南卡罗来纳州——该州将拉开民主党提名日程的序幕——以及内华达州、新罕布什尔州、北卡罗来纳州、密歇根州和威斯康星州。他还涉足了密西西比州,因为民主党寄希望于一场足够大的“蓝色浪潮”或许能翻转那里的一个参议院席位。
And, coincidentally, both men’s stump schedules have sent them to places that may prove crucial to anyone with White House ambitions. Just last month, Warnock made stops in South Carolina, which is due to kick off the Democratic nominating calendar, as well as Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Michigan, and Wisconsin. He also dipped into Mississippi as Democrats are hopeful that a Blue Wave might just be big enough to flip a Senate seat there.
与此同时,布蒂吉格今年已在38个州助选——其中18个州不止一次。仅最后一周的助选行程,就让他跑了密歇根州和威斯康星州——这两个近期的摇摆州——以及科罗拉多州和明尼苏达州。总计而言,布蒂吉格本周期已亲自为70多名候选人助选——包括24名全国民主党标记为翻盘首选目标的共和党选区众议院候选人。两人的行程安排都透露出一种仿佛已在竞选总统的忙碌劲头。
Meanwhile, Buttigieg has campaigned in 38 states this year—18 of them more than once. His final week of campaign travel alone had him in Michigan and Wisconsin—both recent swing states—as well as Colorado and Minnesota. All told, Buttigieg has campaigned for more than 70 candidates in person this cycle—including 24 House hopefuls in Republican districts marked by national Democrats as top contenders for flipping. Both itineraries suggest the hustle of someone already running for President.
民主党策略人士表示,每位人物都带来了独特的选民基础。但他们有一项共同的重叠能力:既能激发活动家的想象力,又能吸引那些只想跳过似乎主导了竞选后期话语体系的党派尖叫的中间派选民。
Democratic strategists say each figure brings a unique constituency to the table. But they share an overlapping ability to inspire activists’ imaginations while also appealing to middle-of-the-road voters who just want to skip past the partisan screaming that seems to dominate the discourse this late in the campaign.
“没有人会把这些人和社会主义者混为一谈,”一位曾推动民主党向中间靠拢的民主党策略人士说道。
“No one confuses these guys for socialists,” says one Democratic strategist who has pushed for the party to move back to the center.
另一位补充道:“这些人不是投机政客。”哈佛毕业的退伍军人布蒂吉格,本质上是一位技术官僚,他和丈夫查斯滕已成为民主党品牌的受青睐代言人。布蒂吉格已证明自己是福克斯新闻主持人的得力对手,展示了民主党人如何能进入不友好的阵地并站稳脚跟。这就是为什么这位前印第安纳州南本德市长、曾在拜登政府担任交通部长的人,在民主党人考量2028年人选储备时频频被提及。8月,布蒂吉格表示,他“倾向于”再次竞选白宫。
Adds a second: “These guys aren’t hacks.”Buttigieg, a Harvard-educated veteran who is a technocrat at his core, has become, along with his husband Chasten, favored advocates for the Democratic brand. Buttigieg has proven an able sparring partner with Fox News personalities, showing how Democrats can go into unfriendly territory and hold their own. It’s why the former Mayor of South Bend, Ind., who ran the Department of Transportation in the Biden Administration, is a frequent mention when Democrats mull their bench for 2028. In August, Buttigieg said he’s “more inclined than not” to launch another White House run.
“选民看到的其中一点是,酒吧尽头那个大嗓门家伙只会制造噪音,不会带来力量,”布蒂吉格在新罕布什尔州为众议员克里斯·帕帕斯的参议院竞选助选时表示。“眼下,选民寻找的是源于纪律的力量,而非混乱。人们受够了混乱。他们希望有人能把事情办成。”与此同时,沃诺克在民主党的另一部分群体中取得了进展。
“One of the things the voters have seen is the loud-mouth guy at the end of the bar is a source of noise but not a source of strength,” Buttigieg said during a swing through New Hampshire for the Senate campaign of Rep. Chris Pappas. “Right now, voters are looking for the strength that comes with discipline and not chaos. People have had enough of the chaos. They want people to get things done.”Warnock, meanwhile, has made inroads with a different slice of the Democratic Party.
他代表的摇摆州不久前还被视为深红州,他在参议院是一位清醒的务实派,设法与泰德·克鲁兹等共和党人在基础设施项目上合作,并在私下劝说同僚在激烈时刻保持克制。沃诺克保留了亚特兰大那座曾由金牧师领导的教会资深牧师的职务,同僚间称他为“牧师参议员”。他的造势演说常被听众视为布道,而非纯粹的政治说教。
Representing a swing state that was not too long ago viewed as deep-red, he is a clear-eyed pragmatist in the Senate, where he has managed to work with Republicans like Ted Cruz on infrastructure programs and has privately counseled colleagues on showing restraint during heated moments. Warnock has maintained his role as the senior pastor at the Atlanta church once led by King, and is known among colleagues as the Reverend Senator. His stump speeches are often regarded by attendees more as sermons than straight politicking.
“我们输掉选举,是因为我们疏离的边缘,”沃诺克上月在访问另一个深红州时表示。“密西西比是个蓝州。它只是还不知道而已。” 9月被问及是否计划发起总统竞选时,沃诺克回应:“我们拭目以待。” 这两人是一长串在竞选路上为民主党同僚站台的潜在总统候选人中的成员。康涅狄格州参议员克里斯·墨菲、新泽西州参议员科里·布克、亚利桑那州参议员马克·凯利,都是精明且好奇的党内成员热衷邀请的明星人物,大家渴望开始为后唐纳德·特朗普时代打基础。
“We lose elections by the margins of our disengagement,” Warnock said during a visit to another deep-red state last month. “Mississippi is a blue state. It just doesn’t know it yet.”When asked in September if he planned to launch a presidential bid, Warnock responded, “We’ll see what happens.”The two men are among a long list of aspiring Presidents showing up for fellow Democrats on the trail. Sens. Chris Murphy of Connecticut, Cory Booker of New Jersey, and Mark Kelly of Arizona have all been popular draws from the savvy and curious members of their party eager to start building for a post-Donald Trump era.
前白幕僚长拉姆·伊曼纽尔、肯塔基州州长安迪·贝希尔、伊利诺伊州州长J·B·普里兹克、宾夕法尼亚州州长乔什·夏皮罗、马里兰州州长韦斯·摩尔,肯定也在考虑之列。还有一对密歇根州人,参议员埃莉萨·斯洛特金和州长格雷琴·惠特默,也被纳入讨论。
Former White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel, Gov. Andy Beshear of Kentucky, Gov. J.B. Pritzker of Illinois, Gov. Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania, and Gov. Wes Moore of Maryland are certainly in the mix. And a pair of Michiganders, Sen. Elissa Slotkin and Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, are also discussed.
但正是沃诺克和布蒂吉格凭借其沟通技巧,正证明自己是摇摆州候选人最具活力的代理人。
But it’s Warnock and Buttigieg who are proving to be the most dynamic surrogates for swing-state candidates given their communications skills.
沃诺克与黑人选民的联系尤其引起了感激不已的候选人的关注,他们希望巩固这一关键投票群体。上个月,他匆忙赶往底特律,为阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德背书,后者正在密歇根州与众议员迈克·罗杰斯进行一场紧张且关键的参议院竞选。“这不仅仅关乎我们的美国参议院席位,”埃尔-赛义德于10月20日表示,“这关乎对整个美国参议院的控制权。牧师之所以来这里,是有原因的。这是因为他真的想确保自己在未来两年不会处于少数派地位。” 确实如此。但这只是原因的一部分。
Warnock’s connection with Black voters in particular has drawn the attention of grateful candidates looking to shore up that crucial voting bloc. Last month, he dashed to Detroit to lend his credibility to Abdul El-Sayed, who is locked in a tense and pivotal Senate race in Michigan against Rep. Mike Rogers. “This is not just for our U.S. Senate seat,” El-Sayed said on Oct. 20. “It is for control of the entire United States Senate. There's a reason that the Reverend is here. It's because he really wants to make sure that he's not in the minority for the next two years.”True. But that’s only part of it.