一项在美国期中选举前夕发布的最新民意调查显示，尽管极少有日本民众支持总统唐纳德·特朗普的政策，但大多数人表示，他们希望日本能有一位能够做出艰难决定的“强硬”国家元首。
A new public opinion poll released on the eve of the US midterm elections indicates that while few Japanese favour President Donald Trump’s policies, most say they wish Japan had a “strong” head of state who could make difficult decisions.
分析人士指出，虽然许多日本人相信强硬的领导人能在世界舞台上捍卫国家利益、且不回避大胆的政策，但这并不意味着他们希望由具有与特朗普相关的夸夸其谈、表演欲和傲慢自大特质的人来担任。
Analysts suggest that while many Japanese believe a strong leader will stand up for the nation on the world stage and not shy away from bold policies, this does not mean they want someone with the bombast, showmanship and arrogance associated with Trump.
根据东京广播公司新闻周二发布的民调，在接受采访的3544人中，仅有23.1%的人对特朗普政府的政策和政治立场表示“同情”。约有38.7%的人强烈反对现任白宫的政策。
According to the poll, released on Tuesday by Tokyo Broadcasting System News, just 23.1 per cent of the 3,544 people interviewed expressed “sympathy” for the Trump administration’s policies and political positions. Some 38.7 per cent were strongly opposed to the present White House’s policies.
然而，尽管78.2%的人对特朗普作为总统的表现评价不高，但有52.6%的人表示日本需要一位具有这位美国领导人模样的“强硬政治家”。
But while 78.2 per cent rated Trump’s performance as president poorly, 52.6 per cent said Japan needed a “strong politician” in the mould of the US leader.
“特朗普是一种独特的总统，我们在白宫从未见过类似的人物，”福井县立大学名誉教授岛田洋一说。
“Trump is a unique kind of president and we have never seen anything quite like him before in the White House,” said Yoichi Shimada, professor emeritus at Fukui Prefectural University.
岛田对《本周亚洲》表示，虽然许多保守派强烈支持特朗普的政策，“但他在作为一个政治家和一个人的很多方面并不适合日本”。
While many conservatives strongly supported Trump’s policies, “there are lots of things about him as a politician and a person that would not work well in Japan”, Shimada told This Week in Asia.
“他过于好斗，专注于琐碎的事情，”岛田说，“他改变主意太快，而且他在说话和许下承诺的方式上夸夸其谈。这在日本选民中是绝对行不通的。”岛田认为，任何想要在日本成为首相的人，都需要展现出辩论和对话的能力、发表不偏离主题的流畅演讲，并淡化夸大其词和谎言。
“He is too aggressive and focuses on frivolous things,” Shimada said. “He changes his mind too easily and he is bombastic in the way he speaks and the promises he makes. That could never work with a Japanese electorate.”According to Shimada, anyone who wants to be prime minister in Japan will need to display the ability to debate and hold a conversation, deliver a cogent speech that does not go off on a tangent, and make light of exaggerations and lies.
他说，日本的领导人与世界上大多数其他国家一样，需要在政治交往中表现出“优雅”。
A leader in Japan, as in most other countries in the world, needed to show “elegance” in their political dealings, he said.
岛田指出，已故的安倍晋三可以说是近年来日本领导人所需特质的最佳典范，他能够在其政治表态中做到“自然而有力”。
The late Shinzo Abe was arguably the best example of the attributes required for a Japanese leader in recent years, Shimada said, noting that Abe was able to be “naturally forceful” in his political deliveries.
“我看到日本现在面临许多挑战，我相信日本最好由一位对邻国（如中国和朝鲜）采取坚定立场的国家领导人来引领，”来自东京的保守倾向商人加藤健说。
“I see many challenges surrounding Japan now and I believe that Japan would be best served by a national leader who would be firm on our neighbours, such as China and North Korea,” said Ken Kato, a conservative-leaning businessman from Tokyo.
他说：“我认为毫无疑问，越来越多的日本人正在得出结论，认为中国对该地区的的安全与稳定构成了威胁，日本需要一位不怕顶住这种压力的领导人。”
“I think there is little doubt that more Japanese are reaching the conclusion that China poses a threat to the security and stability of the region, and Japan needs a leader who is not afraid to stand up to that pressure,” he said.
他补充说：“自安倍以来，我们经历了一系列软弱的首相，他们在地区舞台上没有始终把日本的需求放在首位，尽管我相信首相[高市]早苗现在做得更好。我想要一个能够在国际上展现出自信和日本力量的领导人。”
“We have had a series of weak prime ministers since Abe who have not consistently put Japan’s needs first on the regional stage, although I do believe that Prime Minister [Sanae] Takaichi is doing a better job today,” he added. “I want a leader who is going to project self-belief and Japan’s strength internationally.”
天普大学东京分校政治学教授村上裕美认为，高市自上台以来可能从特朗普的政治手册中借鉴了一些做法。
Hiromi Murakami, a professor of political science at Temple University’s Tokyo branch, believes Takaichi may have taken a few leaves from Trump’s political playbook since coming to power.
“她无疑比她之前的任何一位前任都要强硬，她很执着，她表现出她并不总是听取身边其他人的意见，而且当官僚没有按她的要求行事时，她也不怕解雇他们，”村上说。“在很多方面，这与特朗普在美国的做法完全一样。”
“She has certainly been stronger than any of her immediate predecessors, she has been persistent, she has shown that she does not always listen to what others around her say and she has not been afraid to fire bureaucrats when they have not done as she wanted,” Murakami said. “In many ways, that is exactly the same as Trump has done in the US.”
高市的政府在其执政的第一年保持了相对强劲的公众支持率，周末进行的一项JNN民调显示，内阁支持率为64.9%，比之前的调查上升了1.9个百分点。
Takaichi’s government has maintained relatively strong public support during its first year in office, with a JNN poll conducted over the weekend putting cabinet approval at 64.9 per cent, up 1.9 percentage points from its previous survey.
“我还相信，正是因为她很强硬并坚持在广泛的问题上采取更坚定的路线，这才吸引了日本公众。这很能解释为什么她的公众支持率在一年多后依然如此之高，”村上说。
“I also believe that because she has been strong and insisted on taking a firmer line on a whole range of issues, that has been appealing to the Japanese public. It may very well explain why her public support rating is still so high after more than a year,” Murakami said.
“但她做到这一切时，并没有特朗普那种鲁莽和傲慢，因为她知道这在日本的政治世界或这个社会里是行不通的。”
“But she has done it all without the brashness and arrogance of Trump because she knows that just would not work in Japan’s political world or this society.”