总部位于柏林的智库Agora Energiewende的一项研究显示，德国过时的电力电网规划到2045年可能导致660亿欧元（约合738亿美元）的可避免扩网成本。
Germany’s outdated electricity grid planning could result in €66 billion ($73.8 billion) in avoidable expansion costs by 2045, according to a study by think tank Agora Energiewende.
该组织在一份声明中表示，如果运营商继续沿用以往的规划和建设方式，扩建德国的电力配电网将耗资约2500亿欧元（约合2790亿美元）。
The Berlin-based organization said expanding the country’s electricity distribution networks would cost around €250 billion ($279 billion) if operators continue planning and building as they have in the past.
声明称，现代化运营并将创新措施纳入扩网计划，可将该账单削减逾四分之一，同时缓解现有的电网瓶颈。
Modernizing operations and incorporating innovative measures into expansion plans could reduce that bill by more than a quarter, while easing existing grid bottlenecks, it said in a statement.
研究发现，运营商在很大程度上忽视了热泵、电动汽车和储能系统所带来的灵活用电潜力。
The study found that operators largely overlook the potential of flexible electricity demand from heat pumps, electric vehicles and storage systems.
报告敦促德国政府和联邦网络局调整法规，以便运营商能在规划中可靠地纳入更廉价的替代方案。
It urged the German government and the Federal Network Agency to adapt regulations so operators can reliably incorporate cheaper alternatives into their planning.
选项包括反映当地电网使用情况的价格信号、覆盖峰值需求的储能系统，以及在紧急情况下缓解网络压力的针对性措施。
Options include price signals reflecting local grid usage, storage systems that cover peak demand and targeted measures to relieve pressure on networks during emergencies.
Agora Energiewende Deutschland主任Julia Blasius警告称，放缓能源转型无法解决根本挑战。
Julia Blasius, director of Agora Energiewende Deutschland, warned that slowing the energy transition would fail to resolve the underlying challenges.
她表示：“正如目前正在讨论的那样，通过放缓能源转型来推迟电网扩建，只会将挑战往后推。”
“Delaying grid expansion by slowing down the energy transition, as is currently being discussed, only postpones the challenges,” she said.
声明称，最大的扩建需求预计将从2030年代中期起出现，主要由电动汽车、热泵、工业和商业不断增长的用电需求驱动。
The greatest need for expansion is expected from the mid-2030s onward, driven primarily by rising electricity demand from electric vehicles, heat pumps, industry and commerce, the statement said.
Agora估计，拟议措施从2030年起每年可节省至少20亿欧元，从2035年起每年可节省50亿欧元。相比之下，德国政府2026年在降低电网费上花费了65亿欧元。
Agora estimated that the proposed measures could generate annual savings of at least €2 billion from 2030 and €5 billion from 2035. By comparison, Germany’s government spent €6.5 billion on reducing grid fees in 2026.